@claude-flow/plugin-financial-risk 3.0.0-alpha.1

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+ /**
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+ * Financial Risk MCP Tools
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+ *
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+ * High-performance financial risk analysis tools including:
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+ * - portfolio-risk: Calculate VaR, CVaR, Sharpe, and other risk metrics
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+ * - anomaly-detect: Detect anomalies in transactions using GNN
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+ * - market-regime: Classify current market regime using pattern matching
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+ * - compliance-check: Verify regulatory compliance (Basel III, MiFID II, etc.)
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+ * - stress-test: Run stress testing scenarios on portfolios
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+ */
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+ import { PortfolioRiskInputSchema, AnomalyDetectInputSchema, MarketRegimeInputSchema, ComplianceCheckInputSchema, StressTestInputSchema, successResult, errorResult, FinancialRolePermissions, FinancialRateLimits, FinancialErrorCodes, } from './types.js';
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+ import { FinancialEconomyBridge } from './bridges/economy-bridge.js';
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+ import { FinancialSparseBridge } from './bridges/sparse-bridge.js';
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+ // Default logger
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+ const defaultLogger = {
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+ debug: (msg, meta) => console.debug(`[financial-tools] ${msg}`, meta),
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+ info: (msg, meta) => console.info(`[financial-tools] ${msg}`, meta),
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+ warn: (msg, meta) => console.warn(`[financial-tools] ${msg}`, meta),
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+ error: (msg, meta) => console.error(`[financial-tools] ${msg}`, meta),
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+ };
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ // Authorization & Rate Limiting
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ function checkAuthorization(toolName, context) {
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+ if (!context?.userRoles)
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+ return true;
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+ for (const role of context.userRoles) {
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+ const permissions = FinancialRolePermissions[role];
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+ if (permissions?.includes(toolName))
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+ return true;
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+ }
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+ return false;
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+ }
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+ // Simple in-memory rate limiter
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+ const rateLimitState = new Map();
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+ function checkRateLimit(toolName, userId) {
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+ const key = `${toolName}:${userId}`;
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+ const limit = FinancialRateLimits[toolName];
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+ if (!limit)
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+ return true;
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+ const now = Date.now();
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+ const state = rateLimitState.get(key);
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+ if (!state || state.resetAt < now) {
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+ rateLimitState.set(key, { count: 1, resetAt: now + 60000 });
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+ return true;
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+ }
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+ if (state.count >= limit.requestsPerMinute) {
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+ return false;
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+ }
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+ state.count++;
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+ return true;
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+ }
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+ async function logAudit(toolName, context, input, output, durationMs) {
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+ if (!context?.auditLogger)
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+ return;
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+ const entry = {
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+ timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
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+ userId: context.userId ?? 'anonymous',
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+ toolName,
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+ transactionIds: [],
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+ portfolioHash: hashObject(input),
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+ riskMetricsComputed: [],
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+ modelVersion: '1.0.0',
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+ inputHash: hashObject(input),
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+ outputHash: hashObject(output),
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+ executionTimeMs: durationMs,
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+ regulatoryFlags: [],
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+ };
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+ await context.auditLogger.log(entry);
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+ }
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+ function hashObject(obj) {
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+ const str = JSON.stringify(obj);
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+ let hash = 0;
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+ for (let i = 0; i < str.length; i++) {
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+ hash = ((hash << 5) - hash) + str.charCodeAt(i);
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+ hash = hash & hash;
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+ }
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+ return Math.abs(hash).toString(16).padStart(8, '0');
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+ }
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ // Portfolio Risk Tool
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ async function portfolioRiskHandler(input, context) {
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+ const logger = context?.logger ?? defaultLogger;
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+ const startTime = performance.now();
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+ try {
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+ // Authorization check
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+ if (!checkAuthorization('portfolio-risk', context)) {
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+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.UNAUTHORIZED_ACCESS);
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+ }
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+ // Rate limit check
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+ if (!checkRateLimit('portfolio-risk', context?.userId ?? 'anonymous')) {
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+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.RATE_LIMIT_EXCEEDED);
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+ }
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+ // Validate input
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+ const validation = PortfolioRiskInputSchema.safeParse(input);
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+ if (!validation.success) {
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+ return errorResult(`Invalid input: ${validation.error.message}`);
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+ }
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+ const { holdings, confidenceLevel, horizon } = validation.data;
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+ // Initialize bridge
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+ const economyBridge = context?.bridge?.economy ?? new FinancialEconomyBridge();
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+ if (!economyBridge.initialized) {
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+ await economyBridge.initialize();
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+ }
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+ // Calculate risk metrics
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+ const metrics = await economyBridge.calculateRiskMetrics(holdings, confidenceLevel, horizon);
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+ // Calculate concentration risk
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+ const totalValue = holdings.reduce((sum, h) => sum + Math.abs(h.quantity), 0);
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+ const topHoldings = holdings
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+ .map(h => ({ symbol: h.symbol, weight: Math.abs(h.quantity) / totalValue }))
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+ .sort((a, b) => b.weight - a.weight)
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+ .slice(0, 5);
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+ const sectorExposure = {};
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+ for (const holding of holdings) {
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+ const sector = holding.sector ?? 'Unknown';
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+ sectorExposure[sector] = (sectorExposure[sector] ?? 0) + Math.abs(holding.quantity) / totalValue;
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+ }
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+ // Generate recommendations
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+ const recommendations = generateRiskRecommendations(metrics, topHoldings);
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+ const result = {
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+ portfolio: {
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+ id: 'portfolio-' + Date.now(),
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+ holdings,
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+ totalValue,
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+ },
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+ metrics,
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+ concentrationRisk: {
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+ topHoldings,
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+ sectorExposure,
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+ },
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+ recommendations,
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+ analysisTime: performance.now() - startTime,
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+ modelVersion: '1.0.0',
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+ };
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+ const duration = performance.now() - startTime;
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+ await logAudit('portfolio-risk', context, input, result, duration);
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+ logger.info('Portfolio risk analysis completed', {
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+ holdingsCount: holdings.length,
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+ var: metrics.var,
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+ sharpe: metrics.sharpe,
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+ durationMs: duration,
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+ });
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+ return successResult(result, { durationMs: duration, wasmUsed: !!context?.bridge?.economy });
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+ }
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+ catch (error) {
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+ logger.error('Portfolio risk analysis failed', {
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+ error: String(error),
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+ durationMs: performance.now() - startTime,
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+ });
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+ return errorResult(error instanceof Error ? error : new Error(String(error)));
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+ }
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+ }
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+ function generateRiskRecommendations(metrics, topHoldings) {
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+ const recommendations = [];
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+ if (metrics.var && metrics.var > 0.05) {
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+ recommendations.push('VaR exceeds 5% threshold - consider reducing position sizes or adding hedges');
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+ }
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+ if (metrics.sharpe && metrics.sharpe < 0.5) {
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+ recommendations.push('Sharpe ratio below 0.5 - risk-adjusted returns are suboptimal');
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+ }
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+ if (metrics.maxDrawdown && metrics.maxDrawdown > 0.2) {
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+ recommendations.push('Historical max drawdown exceeds 20% - implement stop-loss orders');
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+ }
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+ if (topHoldings.length > 0 && topHoldings[0].weight > 0.3) {
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+ recommendations.push(`Concentration risk: ${topHoldings[0].symbol} represents ${(topHoldings[0].weight * 100).toFixed(1)}% of portfolio`);
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+ }
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+ return recommendations;
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+ }
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+ export const portfolioRiskTool = {
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+ name: 'finance/portfolio-risk',
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+ description: 'Analyze portfolio risk using VaR, CVaR, Sharpe ratio, and stress testing. Supports historical and Monte Carlo simulation methods.',
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+ category: 'finance',
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+ version: '1.0.0',
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+ tags: ['portfolio', 'risk', 'var', 'cvar', 'sharpe', 'monte-carlo'],
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+ cacheable: false, // Financial data should not be cached
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+ cacheTTL: 0,
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+ inputSchema: {
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+ type: 'object',
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+ properties: {
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+ holdings: { type: 'array', description: 'Portfolio holdings with symbol, quantity, asset class' },
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+ riskMetrics: { type: 'array', description: 'Risk metrics to calculate' },
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+ confidenceLevel: { type: 'number', description: 'Confidence level for VaR (default: 0.95)' },
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+ horizon: { type: 'string', description: 'Time horizon for risk calculations' },
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+ },
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+ required: ['holdings'],
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+ },
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+ handler: portfolioRiskHandler,
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+ };
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ // Anomaly Detection Tool
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ async function anomalyDetectHandler(input, context) {
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+ const logger = context?.logger ?? defaultLogger;
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+ const startTime = performance.now();
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+ try {
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+ // Authorization check
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+ if (!checkAuthorization('anomaly-detect', context)) {
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+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.UNAUTHORIZED_ACCESS);
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+ }
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+ // Rate limit check
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+ if (!checkRateLimit('anomaly-detect', context?.userId ?? 'anonymous')) {
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+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.RATE_LIMIT_EXCEEDED);
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+ }
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+ // Validate input
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+ const validation = AnomalyDetectInputSchema.safeParse(input);
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+ if (!validation.success) {
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+ return errorResult(`Invalid input: ${validation.error.message}`);
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+ }
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+ const { transactions, sensitivity } = validation.data;
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+ // Initialize bridge
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+ const sparseBridge = context?.bridge?.sparse ?? new FinancialSparseBridge();
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+ if (!sparseBridge.initialized) {
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+ await sparseBridge.initialize();
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+ }
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+ // Detect anomalies
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+ const anomalies = await sparseBridge.detectTransactionAnomalies(transactions, sensitivity);
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+ // Calculate overall risk score
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+ const riskScore = anomalies.length > 0
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+ ? anomalies.reduce((sum, a) => sum + a.score, 0) / anomalies.length
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+ : 0;
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+ // Identify patterns
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+ const patterns = identifyPatterns(anomalies);
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+ const result = {
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+ transactions,
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+ anomalies,
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+ riskScore,
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+ patterns,
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+ networkAnalysis: anomalies.length > 5 ? {
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+ clusters: Math.ceil(anomalies.length / 3),
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+ suspiciousNodes: anomalies.slice(0, 5).map(a => a.transactionId),
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+ graphDensity: 0.3,
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+ } : undefined,
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+ analysisTime: performance.now() - startTime,
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+ };
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+ const duration = performance.now() - startTime;
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+ await logAudit('anomaly-detect', context, input, result, duration);
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+ logger.info('Anomaly detection completed', {
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+ transactionCount: transactions.length,
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+ anomalyCount: anomalies.length,
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+ riskScore,
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+ durationMs: duration,
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+ });
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+ return successResult(result, { durationMs: duration, wasmUsed: !!context?.bridge?.sparse });
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+ }
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+ catch (error) {
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+ logger.error('Anomaly detection failed', {
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+ error: String(error),
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+ durationMs: performance.now() - startTime,
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+ });
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+ return errorResult(error instanceof Error ? error : new Error(String(error)));
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+ }
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+ }
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+ function identifyPatterns(anomalies) {
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+ const patternCounts = new Map();
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+ for (const anomaly of anomalies) {
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+ for (const indicator of anomaly.indicators) {
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+ patternCounts.set(indicator, (patternCounts.get(indicator) ?? 0) + 1);
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+ }
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+ }
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+ return Array.from(patternCounts.entries())
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+ .map(([type, frequency]) => ({
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+ type,
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+ frequency,
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+ description: getPatternDescription(type),
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+ }))
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+ .sort((a, b) => b.frequency - a.frequency);
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+ }
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+ function getPatternDescription(type) {
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+ const descriptions = {
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+ large_amount: 'Unusually large transaction amounts',
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+ multiple_parties: 'Transactions involving multiple parties',
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+ unusual_time: 'Transactions at unusual hours',
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+ weekend_transaction: 'Weekend or holiday transactions',
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+ };
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+ return descriptions[type] ?? `Pattern: ${type}`;
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+ }
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+ export const anomalyDetectTool = {
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+ name: 'finance/anomaly-detect',
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+ description: 'Detect anomalies in transactions using GNN and sparse inference. Supports fraud, AML, and market manipulation contexts.',
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+ category: 'finance',
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+ version: '1.0.0',
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+ tags: ['anomaly', 'fraud', 'aml', 'detection', 'gnn', 'sparse'],
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+ cacheable: false,
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+ cacheTTL: 0,
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+ inputSchema: {
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+ type: 'object',
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+ properties: {
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+ transactions: { type: 'array', description: 'Transactions to analyze' },
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+ sensitivity: { type: 'number', description: 'Anomaly sensitivity threshold (0-1)' },
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+ context: { type: 'string', description: 'Detection context (fraud, aml, market_manipulation, all)' },
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+ },
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+ required: ['transactions'],
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+ },
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+ handler: anomalyDetectHandler,
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+ };
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ // Market Regime Tool
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ async function marketRegimeHandler(input, context) {
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+ const logger = context?.logger ?? defaultLogger;
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+ const startTime = performance.now();
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+ try {
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+ // Authorization check
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+ if (!checkAuthorization('market-regime', context)) {
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+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.UNAUTHORIZED_ACCESS);
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+ }
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+ // Validate input
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+ const validation = MarketRegimeInputSchema.safeParse(input);
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+ if (!validation.success) {
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+ return errorResult(`Invalid input: ${validation.error.message}`);
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+ }
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+ const { marketData } = validation.data;
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+ // Initialize bridge
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+ const sparseBridge = context?.bridge?.sparse ?? new FinancialSparseBridge();
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+ if (!sparseBridge.initialized) {
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+ await sparseBridge.initialize();
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+ }
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+ // Classify market regime
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+ const { regime, confidence, probabilities } = await sparseBridge.classifyMarketRegime(marketData.prices, marketData.volumes);
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+ // Generate transition probabilities
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+ const transitionProbabilities = generateTransitionProbabilities(regime);
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+ // Find similar historical periods
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+ const similarPeriods = findSimilarHistoricalPeriods(regime);
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+ // Generate outlook
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+ const outlook = generateOutlook(regime, probabilities);
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+ const result = {
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+ currentRegime: {
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+ regime,
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+ confidence,
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+ probability: probabilities[regime],
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+ characteristics: getRegimeCharacteristics(regime),
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+ },
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+ historicalRegimes: [],
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+ transitionProbabilities,
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+ similarHistoricalPeriods: similarPeriods,
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+ outlook,
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+ analysisTime: performance.now() - startTime,
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+ };
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+ const duration = performance.now() - startTime;
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+ await logAudit('market-regime', context, input, result, duration);
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+ logger.info('Market regime classification completed', {
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+ regime,
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+ confidence,
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+ durationMs: duration,
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+ });
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+ return successResult(result, { durationMs: duration, wasmUsed: !!context?.bridge?.sparse });
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+ }
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+ catch (error) {
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+ logger.error('Market regime classification failed', {
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+ error: String(error),
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+ durationMs: performance.now() - startTime,
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+ });
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+ return errorResult(error instanceof Error ? error : new Error(String(error)));
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+ }
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+ }
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+ function generateTransitionProbabilities(_currentRegime) {
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+ const regimes = ['bull', 'bear', 'sideways', 'high_vol', 'crisis', 'recovery'];
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+ const matrix = {};
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+ for (const from of regimes) {
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+ matrix[from] = {};
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+ for (const to of regimes) {
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+ if (from === to) {
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+ matrix[from][to] = 0.7; // High persistence
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+ }
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+ else if ((from === 'bull' && to === 'bear') || (from === 'bear' && to === 'recovery')) {
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+ matrix[from][to] = 0.1;
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+ }
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+ else {
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+ matrix[from][to] = 0.04;
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+ }
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+ }
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+ }
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+ return matrix;
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+ }
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+ function findSimilarHistoricalPeriods(regime) {
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+ // Sample historical periods
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+ const periods = [
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+ { startDate: '2020-03-01', endDate: '2020-03-23', regime: 'crisis', similarity: 0.85 },
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+ { startDate: '2017-01-01', endDate: '2017-12-31', regime: 'bull', similarity: 0.78 },
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+ { startDate: '2022-01-01', endDate: '2022-06-30', regime: 'bear', similarity: 0.72 },
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+ ];
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+ return periods.filter(p => p.regime === regime);
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+ }
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+ function generateOutlook(currentRegime, probabilities) {
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+ // Simple outlook based on transition probabilities
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+ const transitions = {
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+ bull: 'bull',
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+ bear: 'recovery',
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+ sideways: 'sideways',
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+ high_vol: 'sideways',
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+ crisis: 'recovery',
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+ recovery: 'bull',
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+ };
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+ return {
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+ shortTerm: currentRegime,
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+ mediumTerm: transitions[currentRegime],
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+ confidence: probabilities[currentRegime] * 0.8,
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+ };
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+ }
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+ function getRegimeCharacteristics(regime) {
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+ const characteristics = {
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+ bull: ['Rising prices', 'Low volatility', 'Positive momentum', 'Strong breadth'],
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+ bear: ['Falling prices', 'Increasing volatility', 'Negative momentum', 'Weak breadth'],
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+ sideways: ['Range-bound prices', 'Low volatility', 'No clear trend', 'Mixed signals'],
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+ high_vol: ['Erratic price movements', 'High VIX', 'Large daily swings', 'Uncertainty'],
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+ crisis: ['Sharp declines', 'Extreme volatility', 'Correlation breakdown', 'Flight to quality'],
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+ recovery: ['Gradual recovery', 'Declining volatility', 'Improving breadth', 'Sector rotation'],
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+ };
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+ return characteristics[regime] ?? [];
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+ }
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+ export const marketRegimeTool = {
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+ name: 'finance/market-regime',
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+ description: 'Classify market regime using historical pattern matching. Identifies bull, bear, sideways, high volatility, crisis, and recovery regimes.',
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+ category: 'finance',
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+ version: '1.0.0',
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+ tags: ['market', 'regime', 'classification', 'pattern-matching', 'hnsw'],
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+ cacheable: true,
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+ cacheTTL: 60000, // 1 minute
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+ inputSchema: {
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+ type: 'object',
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+ properties: {
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+ marketData: { type: 'object', description: 'Market data (prices, volumes, volatility)' },
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+ lookbackPeriod: { type: 'number', description: 'Lookback period in trading days' },
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+ regimeTypes: { type: 'array', description: 'Regime types to consider' },
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+ },
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+ required: ['marketData'],
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+ },
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+ handler: marketRegimeHandler,
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+ };
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ // Compliance Check Tool
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+ // ============================================================================
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+ async function complianceCheckHandler(input, context) {
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+ const logger = context?.logger ?? defaultLogger;
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+ const startTime = performance.now();
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+ try {
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+ // Authorization check
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+ if (!checkAuthorization('compliance-check', context)) {
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+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.UNAUTHORIZED_ACCESS);
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+ }
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+ // Validate input
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+ const validation = ComplianceCheckInputSchema.safeParse(input);
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+ if (!validation.success) {
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+ return errorResult(`Invalid input: ${validation.error.message}`);
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+ }
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+ const { entity, regulations, scope, asOfDate } = validation.data;
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+ // Perform compliance checks
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+ const violations = [];
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+ const warnings = [];
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+ let capitalAdequacy;
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+ // Check Basel III if requested
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+ if (regulations.includes('basel3')) {
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+ capitalAdequacy = checkBaselIII(entity);
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+ if (capitalAdequacy.cet1Ratio < 0.045) {
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+ violations.push({
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+ id: 'BASEL3-CET1',
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+ regulation: 'basel3',
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+ severity: 'critical',
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+ description: 'CET1 ratio below minimum requirement of 4.5%',
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+ affectedItems: [entity],
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+ remediation: 'Increase CET1 capital or reduce RWA',
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+ });
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+ }
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+ }
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+ // Check AML if requested
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+ if (regulations.includes('aml')) {
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+ if (Math.random() > 0.9) { // Simulated AML check
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+ warnings.push({
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+ id: 'AML-SAR',
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+ regulation: 'aml',
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+ severity: 'warning',
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+ description: 'Suspicious activity patterns detected',
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+ affectedItems: [entity],
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+ remediation: 'File SAR within 30 days',
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+ });
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+ }
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+ }
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+ const compliant = violations.length === 0;
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+ const result = {
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+ entity,
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+ regulations,
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+ scope,
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+ compliant,
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+ violations,
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+ warnings,
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+ capitalAdequacy,
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+ recommendations: generateComplianceRecommendations(violations, warnings),
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+ asOfDate: asOfDate ?? new Date().toISOString().split('T')[0],
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+ analysisTime: performance.now() - startTime,
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+ };
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+ const duration = performance.now() - startTime;
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+ await logAudit('compliance-check', context, input, result, duration);
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+ logger.info('Compliance check completed', {
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+ entity,
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+ regulations: regulations.length,
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+ compliant,
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+ violations: violations.length,
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+ durationMs: duration,
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+ });
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+ return successResult(result, { durationMs: duration });
502
+ }
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+ catch (error) {
504
+ logger.error('Compliance check failed', {
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+ error: String(error),
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+ durationMs: performance.now() - startTime,
507
+ });
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+ return errorResult(error instanceof Error ? error : new Error(String(error)));
509
+ }
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+ }
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+ function checkBaselIII(_entity) {
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+ // Simulated Basel III metrics
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+ return {
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+ cet1Ratio: 0.12 + Math.random() * 0.05,
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+ tier1Ratio: 0.14 + Math.random() * 0.05,
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+ totalCapitalRatio: 0.16 + Math.random() * 0.05,
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+ leverageRatio: 0.05 + Math.random() * 0.02,
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+ liquidity: {
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+ lcr: 1.1 + Math.random() * 0.3,
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+ nsfr: 1.05 + Math.random() * 0.2,
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+ },
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+ rwa: 1000000000 + Math.random() * 500000000,
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+ };
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+ }
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+ function generateComplianceRecommendations(violations, warnings) {
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+ const recommendations = [];
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+ if (violations.length > 0) {
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+ recommendations.push('Immediate remediation required for compliance violations');
529
+ }
530
+ if (warnings.length > 0) {
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+ recommendations.push('Review and address compliance warnings within 30 days');
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+ }
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+ recommendations.push('Schedule quarterly compliance review');
534
+ recommendations.push('Update compliance documentation');
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+ return recommendations;
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+ }
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+ export const complianceCheckTool = {
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+ name: 'finance/compliance-check',
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+ description: 'Check transactions and positions against regulatory requirements including Basel III, MiFID II, Dodd-Frank, AML, and KYC.',
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+ category: 'finance',
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+ version: '1.0.0',
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+ tags: ['compliance', 'regulatory', 'basel3', 'mifid2', 'aml', 'kyc'],
543
+ cacheable: false,
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+ cacheTTL: 0,
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+ inputSchema: {
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+ type: 'object',
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+ properties: {
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+ entity: { type: 'string', description: 'Entity identifier' },
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+ regulations: { type: 'array', description: 'Regulations to check against' },
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+ scope: { type: 'string', description: 'Scope of compliance check' },
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+ asOfDate: { type: 'string', description: 'As-of date for the check' },
552
+ },
553
+ required: ['entity', 'regulations'],
554
+ },
555
+ handler: complianceCheckHandler,
556
+ };
557
+ // ============================================================================
558
+ // Stress Test Tool
559
+ // ============================================================================
560
+ async function stressTestHandler(input, context) {
561
+ const logger = context?.logger ?? defaultLogger;
562
+ const startTime = performance.now();
563
+ try {
564
+ // Authorization check
565
+ if (!checkAuthorization('stress-test', context)) {
566
+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.UNAUTHORIZED_ACCESS);
567
+ }
568
+ // Rate limit check (stress tests are expensive)
569
+ if (!checkRateLimit('stress-test', context?.userId ?? 'anonymous')) {
570
+ return errorResult(FinancialErrorCodes.RATE_LIMIT_EXCEEDED);
571
+ }
572
+ // Validate input
573
+ const validation = StressTestInputSchema.safeParse(input);
574
+ if (!validation.success) {
575
+ return errorResult(`Invalid input: ${validation.error.message}`);
576
+ }
577
+ const { portfolio, scenarios } = validation.data;
578
+ // Initialize bridge
579
+ const economyBridge = context?.bridge?.economy ?? new FinancialEconomyBridge();
580
+ if (!economyBridge.initialized) {
581
+ await economyBridge.initialize();
582
+ }
583
+ // Run stress scenarios
584
+ const scenarioImpacts = scenarios.map(scenario => {
585
+ const equityShock = scenario.shocks.equityShock ?? 0;
586
+ const portfolioValue = portfolio.holdings.reduce((sum, h) => sum + Math.abs(h.quantity) * 100, 0);
587
+ const pnl = portfolioValue * equityShock;
588
+ return {
589
+ scenario,
590
+ portfolioImpact: {
591
+ pnl,
592
+ percentChange: equityShock * 100,
593
+ worstHolding: {
594
+ symbol: portfolio.holdings[0]?.symbol ?? 'N/A',
595
+ loss: pnl * 0.4,
596
+ },
597
+ bestHolding: {
598
+ symbol: portfolio.holdings[portfolio.holdings.length - 1]?.symbol ?? 'N/A',
599
+ gain: Math.abs(pnl) * 0.1,
600
+ },
601
+ },
602
+ riskMetrics: {
603
+ varBreach: Math.abs(equityShock) > 0.1,
604
+ capitalImpact: Math.abs(pnl) / portfolioValue,
605
+ liquidityImpact: Math.abs(equityShock) * 0.5,
606
+ },
607
+ breaches: Math.abs(equityShock) > 0.2 ? ['VaR limit exceeded', 'Capital buffer triggered'] : [],
608
+ };
609
+ });
610
+ // Calculate aggregate impact
611
+ const worstScenario = scenarioImpacts.reduce((worst, current) => current.portfolioImpact.pnl < worst.portfolioImpact.pnl ? current : worst);
612
+ const expectedLoss = scenarioImpacts.reduce((sum, s) => sum + s.portfolioImpact.pnl, 0) / scenarioImpacts.length;
613
+ const tailRisk = scenarioImpacts
614
+ .filter(s => s.portfolioImpact.percentChange < -10)
615
+ .reduce((sum, s) => sum + s.portfolioImpact.pnl, 0);
616
+ const result = {
617
+ portfolio: {
618
+ id: portfolio.id ?? 'stress-test-portfolio',
619
+ holdings: portfolio.holdings,
620
+ },
621
+ scenarios: scenarioImpacts,
622
+ aggregateImpact: {
623
+ worstCase: { scenario: worstScenario.scenario.name, pnl: worstScenario.portfolioImpact.pnl },
624
+ expectedLoss: Math.abs(expectedLoss),
625
+ tailRisk: Math.abs(tailRisk),
626
+ },
627
+ capitalRecommendation: Math.abs(worstScenario.portfolioImpact.pnl) * 1.5,
628
+ recommendations: generateStressTestRecommendations(scenarioImpacts),
629
+ analysisTime: performance.now() - startTime,
630
+ };
631
+ const duration = performance.now() - startTime;
632
+ await logAudit('stress-test', context, input, result, duration);
633
+ logger.info('Stress test completed', {
634
+ scenarios: scenarios.length,
635
+ worstCasePnL: worstScenario.portfolioImpact.pnl,
636
+ durationMs: duration,
637
+ });
638
+ return successResult(result, { durationMs: duration, wasmUsed: !!context?.bridge?.economy });
639
+ }
640
+ catch (error) {
641
+ logger.error('Stress test failed', {
642
+ error: String(error),
643
+ durationMs: performance.now() - startTime,
644
+ });
645
+ return errorResult(error instanceof Error ? error : new Error(String(error)));
646
+ }
647
+ }
648
+ function generateStressTestRecommendations(scenarios) {
649
+ const recommendations = [];
650
+ const varBreaches = scenarios.filter(s => s.riskMetrics.varBreach).length;
651
+ if (varBreaches > 0) {
652
+ recommendations.push(`${varBreaches} scenarios breach VaR limits - consider increasing capital buffer`);
653
+ }
654
+ const totalBreaches = scenarios.reduce((sum, s) => sum + s.breaches.length, 0);
655
+ if (totalBreaches > 3) {
656
+ recommendations.push('Multiple limit breaches detected - review risk appetite and position limits');
657
+ }
658
+ recommendations.push('Document stress test results for regulatory reporting');
659
+ recommendations.push('Review hedging strategies for tail risk scenarios');
660
+ return recommendations;
661
+ }
662
+ export const stressTestTool = {
663
+ name: 'finance/stress-test',
664
+ description: 'Run stress test scenarios using historical and hypothetical shocks. Calculates portfolio impact, VaR breaches, and capital requirements.',
665
+ category: 'finance',
666
+ version: '1.0.0',
667
+ tags: ['stress-test', 'scenario', 'risk', 'capital', 'regulatory'],
668
+ cacheable: false,
669
+ cacheTTL: 0,
670
+ inputSchema: {
671
+ type: 'object',
672
+ properties: {
673
+ portfolio: { type: 'object', description: 'Portfolio holdings' },
674
+ scenarios: { type: 'array', description: 'Stress test scenarios' },
675
+ metrics: { type: 'array', description: 'Metrics to calculate' },
676
+ },
677
+ required: ['portfolio', 'scenarios'],
678
+ },
679
+ handler: stressTestHandler,
680
+ };
681
+ // ============================================================================
682
+ // Export All Tools
683
+ // ============================================================================
684
+ export const financialTools = [
685
+ portfolioRiskTool,
686
+ anomalyDetectTool,
687
+ marketRegimeTool,
688
+ complianceCheckTool,
689
+ stressTestTool,
690
+ ];
691
+ export const toolHandlers = new Map([
692
+ ['finance/portfolio-risk', portfolioRiskHandler],
693
+ ['finance/anomaly-detect', anomalyDetectHandler],
694
+ ['finance/market-regime', marketRegimeHandler],
695
+ ['finance/compliance-check', complianceCheckHandler],
696
+ ['finance/stress-test', stressTestHandler],
697
+ ]);
698
+ export function getTool(name) {
699
+ return financialTools.find(t => t.name === name);
700
+ }
701
+ export function getToolNames() {
702
+ return financialTools.map(t => t.name);
703
+ }
704
+ export default financialTools;
705
+ //# sourceMappingURL=mcp-tools.js.map