@ak--47/dungeon-master 1.3.0 → 1.3.1

package/dungeons/vertical/crypto.js

@@ -46,85 +46,224 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
 
 /**
  * ===================================================================
- * ANALYTICS HOOKS (8 architected patterns)
+ * ANALYTICS HOOKS (10 hooks)
  * ===================================================================
  *
- * 1. WHALE WALLETS (everything hook — purchase value)
- *    2% of wallets do 60% of trade volume. Deterministic via
- *    charCodeAt(0) % 50 === 0. Whale swaps are 50x bigger with
- *    is_whale=true.
- *    → Insights: "swap" total trade_amount_usd, breakdown is_whale
- *    → Insights: "swap" count of unique users, filter is_whale = true
- *      (expect ~2% of users, ~60% of total volume)
- *
- * 2. GAS PRICE SPIKE (event + everything hook — time-based)
- *    Days 35-37, network congestion. Gas fees 10x on swap/transfer,
- *    gas_spike=true. 40% of swaps in this window fail.
- *    → Insights: "swap" avg gas_fee_usd by day
- *      (expect massive spike at days 35-37)
- *    → Insights: "swap" count, breakdown swap_status, filter gas_spike=true
- *      (expect ~40% failed during spike)
- *
- * 3. TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE (event + everything hook — timed release)
- *    Day 50, "MOON" token lists. After day 50, 25% of swaps become
- *    MOON trades. MOON traders get 5x event volume via cloned swaps.
- *    → Insights: "swap" total by day, breakdown moon_trade
- *      (expect large surge after day 50)
- *    → Insights: "swap" total trade_amount_usd, filter moon_trade=true
- *
- * 4. AIRDROP HUNTER CHURN (everything hook — churn)
- *    Users who claim airdrops but never swap are bots. 95% of their
- *    events after the airdrop claim are removed.
- *    → Retention: any event, segment by users who did "claim airdrop"
- *      (expect abysmal retention for airdrop-only users)
- *    → Insights: "claim airdrop" unique users vs "swap" unique users
- *
- * 5. KYC FUNNEL COMPLETION (everything hook — conversion)
- *    KYC-verified users deposit 4x more and swap 8x more (cloned
- *    events). kyc_verified=true flagged on post-KYC events.
- *    → Insights: "deposit" avg deposit_amount_usd, breakdown kyc_verified
- *      (expect ~4x for verified users)
- *    → Insights: "swap" count per user, breakdown kyc_verified
- *
- * 6. STAKE-TO-RETAIN (everything hook — retention)
- *    Users who stake within first 14 days get 70% D60 retention
- *    (events injected). Non-stakers lose events after day 60 to
- *    simulate 15% retention.
- *    → Retention: any event, segment staked_early=true vs false
- *      (expect dramatic retention gap at D60)
- *    → Insights: event count by day, breakdown staked_early
- *
- * 7. PRO TIER MAKER FEES (everything hook — subscription tier)
- *    Pro users pay 0.05% maker fees (vs 0.30%). Pro users trade 6x
- *    volume. pro_advantage=true on Pro swap events.
- *    → Insights: "swap" avg maker_fee_pct, breakdown trading_tier
- *      (expect Pro ~0.05, Standard ~0.30)
- *    → Insights: "swap" total trade_amount_usd, breakdown pro_advantage
- *
- * 8. RUG-PULL AFTERMATH (everything hook — time-based churn)
- *    Day 70, "SCAM" token rugs. Users who held SCAM (swapped it
- *    before day 70) lose 80% of events after day 70. Flagged
- *    rug_pull_victim=true.
- *    → Retention: any event, segment rug_pull_victim=true vs others
- *      (expect massive drop-off at day 70 for victims)
- *    → Insights: any event total by day, filter rug_pull_victim=true
+ * NOTE: All cohort effects are HIDDEN — no flag stamping. Discoverable
+ * via behavioral cohorts (count event per user, observe trade_amount
+ * distribution) or raw-prop breakdowns (token_pair, day, trading_tier).
  *
- * ===================================================================
- * ADVANCED ANALYSIS IDEAS
- * ===================================================================
+ * 1. WHALE WALLETS (everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: 2% of wallets (deterministic via id hash) get swap
+ * trade_amount_usd boosted 50x. No flag — analyst sees long-tail
+ * trade-amount distribution.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Trade Amount Distribution
+ *   - Report type: Insights
+ *   - Event: "swap"
+ *   - Measure: Distribution of "trade_amount_usd"
+ *   - Expected: heavy long tail; top 2% of users dominate volume
+ *
+ *   Report 2: Volume Share by Top Traders Cohort
+ *   - Cohort A: top 5% by total swap volume per user
+ *   - Event: "swap"
+ *   - Measure: Total of "trade_amount_usd"
+ *   - Expected: cohort A drives ~ 60%+ of total volume
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Whale wallets dominate exchange volume.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 2. GAS PRICE SPIKE (event + everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Days 35-37, gas_fee_usd 10x on swap + transfer events.
+ * In window, 40% of swaps get swap_status flipped to "failed". No flag.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Avg Gas Fee Over Time
+ *   - Report type: Insights
+ *   - Event: "swap"
+ *   - Measure: Average of "gas_fee_usd"
+ *   - Line chart by day
+ *   - Expected: spike days 35-37 (~10x baseline)
+ *
+ *   Report 2: Swap Failure Rate Over Time
+ *   - Report type: Insights
+ *   - Event: "swap"
+ *   - Measure: Total
+ *   - Filter: swap_status = "failed"
+ *   - Line chart by day
+ *   - Expected: failure rate spikes during gas window
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Network congestion breaks transactions.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 3. TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE (event + everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Day 50+, 25% of swaps get token_pair flipped to a MOON
+ * pair. Each MOON swap clones 4 extra swap events with unique offset.
+ * No flag — discover via token_pair breakdown over time.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Swap Volume by Token Pair Over Time
+ *   - Report type: Insights
+ *   - Event: "swap"
+ *   - Measure: Total
+ *   - Filter: token_pair contains "MOON"
+ *   - Line chart by day
+ *   - Expected: appears at day 50, surges thereafter
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Meme/altcoin listings drive frenzied volume.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 4. AIRDROP HUNTER CHURN (everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: 4% of users (deterministic via charCodeAt(1) % 25 === 0)
+ * are airdrop-farming bots. After their first "claim airdrop" event,
+ * 95% of subsequent events are removed.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Retention by Airdrop Claim
+ *   - Report type: Retention
+ *   - Event A: "claim airdrop"
+ *   - Event B: any event
+ *   - Expected: claimers retain dramatically worse than overall users
+ *
+ *   Report 2: Airdrop Hunters vs Real Traders
+ *   - Report type: Insights
+ *   - Events: "claim airdrop" unique users vs "swap" unique users
+ *   - Expected: large overlap gap — many claimers never swap again
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Airdrop farms are a well-known DeFi growth
+ * tax — bots claim free tokens and immediately abandon the platform.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 5. KYC FUNNEL COMPLETION (everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Users with kyc-completed get post-KYC deposit_amount_usd
+ * boosted 4x and 7 extra cloned swaps per existing post-KYC swap.
+ * No flag — discover via cohort builder.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Avg Deposit by KYC Cohort
+ *   - Report type: Insights (with cohort)
+ *   - Cohort A: users with >= 1 "kyc completed"
+ *   - Cohort B: rest
+ *   - Event: "deposit"
+ *   - Measure: Average of "deposit_amount_usd"
+ *   - Expected: A ~ 4x B
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: KYC unlocks higher limits.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 6. STAKE-TO-RETAIN (everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Users who stake any token within first 14 days get extra
+ * cloned swap + portfolio events past day 60. Non-stakers lose 85% of
+ * post-day-60 events. No flag — discover via retention cohort.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Retention by Early Stake Cohort
+ *   - Report type: Retention
+ *   - Cohort A: users with >= 1 "stake" in first 14 days
+ *   - Cohort B: rest
+ *   - Expected: A ~ 70% D60 vs B ~ 15%
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Staking creates skin in the game.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 7. PRO TIER MAKER FEES (everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Pro-tier users (profile.trading_tier) get maker_fee_pct
+ * pinned to 0.05 (vs Standard 0.30) on swap events plus 5 extra
+ * cloned swaps per existing. Mutates raw prop. Discover via
+ * trading_tier breakdown on maker_fee_pct.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Avg Maker Fee by Tier
+ *   - Report type: Insights
+ *   - Event: "swap"
+ *   - Measure: Average of "maker_fee_pct"
+ *   - Breakdown: "trading_tier"
+ *   - Expected: Pro ~ 0.05, Standard ~ 0.30
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Tiered fees retain volume traders.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 8. RUG-PULL AFTERMATH (everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: ~8% of pre-day-70 swaps get token_pair flipped to a SCAM
+ * pair. Users who held SCAM lose 80% of post-day-70 events. No flag.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Retention by SCAM Holder Cohort
+ *   - Report type: Retention
+ *   - Cohort A: users with >= 1 swap where token_pair contains "SCAM"
+ *   - Cohort B: rest
+ *   - Expected: A retention drops sharply at day 70
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Rug-pulls collapse trust.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 9. TRADING FUNNEL TIME-TO-CONVERT (funnel-post)
  *
- * Cross-hook patterns:
- *   - Whale + MOON: Do whales drive the MOON token surge?
- *   - Gas Spike + Rug Pull: Do SCAM holders panic-sell during gas spikes?
- *   - KYC + Pro Tier: Do verified users upgrade to Pro faster?
- *   - Stakers + Whales: Do whales stake more, or just trade?
- *   - Airdrop Hunters + Rug Pull: Overlap between bots and victims?
+ * PATTERN: Pro tier users complete deposit→swap→withdrawal funnel
+ * 1.4x faster than baseline (factor 0.7); Standard 1.3x slower
+ * (factor 1.3). Mutates funnel event timestamps.
  *
- * Cohort analysis:
- *   - By preferred_chain: Ethereum vs Solana engagement
- *   - By wallet_type: MetaMask vs Phantom retention
- *   - By trading_tier: Standard→Pro upgrade path
- *   - By kyc_status: verified vs pending conversion rates
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Trading Funnel Median Time-to-Convert by Tier
+ *   - Report type: Funnels
+ *   - Steps: "deposit" -> "swap" -> "withdrawal"
+ *   - Measure: Median time to convert
+ *   - Breakdown: "trading_tier"
+ *   - Expected: Pro ~ 0.7x; Standard ~ 1.3x
+ *
+ *   NOTE (funnel-post measurement): visible only via Mixpanel funnel
+ *   median TTC. Cross-event MIN→MIN SQL queries on raw events do NOT
+ *   show this — funnel-post adjusts gaps within funnel instances, not
+ *   across the user's full event history.
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Pro traders execute faster end-to-end.
+ *
+ * ---------------------------------------------------------------
+ * 10. SWAP-COUNT MAGIC NUMBER (everything)
+ *
+ * PATTERN: Users with 8-20 swaps in dataset get +30% on stake
+ * amount_usd plus 1-2 extra cloned stake events per existing.
+ * Users with 21+ swaps drop 40% of portfolio-viewed events
+ * (over-active traders ignore portfolio review). No flag.
+ *
+ * HOW TO FIND IT IN MIXPANEL:
+ *
+ *   Report 1: Avg Stake Amount by Swap-Count Bucket
+ *   - Report type: Insights (with cohort)
+ *   - Cohort A: users with 8-20 "swap"
+ *   - Cohort B: users with 0-7
+ *   - Event: "stake"
+ *   - Measure: Average of "amount_usd"
+ *   - Expected: A ~ 1.3x B
+ *
+ *   Report 2: Portfolio Views per User on Heavy Swappers
+ *   - Report type: Insights (with cohort)
+ *   - Cohort C: users with >= 21 "swap"
+ *   - Cohort A: users with 8-20
+ *   - Event: "portfolio viewed"
+ *   - Measure: Total per user
+ *   - Expected: C ~ 40% fewer portfolio views per user
+ *
+ * REAL-WORLD ANALOGUE: Engaged swappers grow stake; over-active
+ * day-traders ignore long-term portfolio review.
  *
  * ===================================================================
  * EXPECTED METRICS SUMMARY
@@ -132,14 +271,17 @@ const chance = u.initChance(SEED);
  *
  * Hook                  | Metric                | Baseline | Effect  | Ratio
  * ----------------------|-----------------------|----------|---------|------
- * Whale Wallets         | Avg trade_amount_usd  | $200     | $10,000 | 50x
- * Gas Price Spike       | Avg gas_fee_usd       | $5       | $50     | 10x
- * Token Launch Surge    | Swap count post-D50   | 1x       | 5x      | 5x
- * Airdrop Hunter Churn  | Post-airdrop events   | 100%     | 5%      | 0.05x
- * KYC Completion        | Avg deposit_amount_usd| $500     | $2,000  | 4x
- * Stake-to-Retain       | D60 retention         | 15%      | 70%     | ~5x
- * Pro Tier Fees         | Avg maker_fee_pct     | 0.30     | 0.05    | 6x
- * Rug-Pull Aftermath    | Post-D70 events       | 100%     | 20%     | 0.2x
+ * Whale Wallets         | Top 5% trade share    | 5%       | ~ 60%   | n/a
+ * Gas Price Spike       | gas_fee_usd days 35-7 | 1x       | 10x     | 10x
+ * Token Launch Surge    | MOON pair share post-D50 | 0%    | ~ 25%+  | new
+ * Airdrop Hunter Churn  | post-airdrop events   | 1x       | 0.05x   | -95%
+ * KYC Completion        | deposit_amount_usd    | 1x       | 4x      | 4x
+ * Stake-to-Retain       | D60 retention         | 15%      | 70%     | ~ 5x
+ * Pro Tier Fees         | maker_fee_pct         | 0.30     | 0.05    | -83%
+ * Rug-Pull Aftermath    | victim post-D70       | 1x       | 0.2x    | -80%
+ * Trading T2C           | median min by tier    | 1x       | 0.7x/1.3x | 1.86x range
+ * Swap Magic Number     | sweet stake amount    | 1x       | 1.3x    | 1.3x
+ * Swap Magic Number     | over portfolio/user   | 1x       | 0.6x    | -40%
  */
 
 // Token pairs used in swap events
@@ -167,7 +309,9 @@ const NFT_COLLECTIONS = [
 const config = {
 	token,
 	seed: SEED,
-	numDays: num_days,
+	datasetStart: "2026-01-01T00:00:00Z",
+	datasetEnd: "2026-04-28T23:59:59Z",
+	// numDays: num_days,
 	avgEventsPerUserPerDay: avg_events_per_user_per_day,
 	numUsers: num_users,
 	hasAnonIds: false,
@@ -254,7 +398,6 @@ const config = {
 				deposit_amount_usd: u.weighNumRange(10, 5000, 0.3, 500),
 				chain: ["Ethereum", "Solana", "Base", "Arbitrum", "Polygon"],
 				deposit_method: ["wallet_transfer", "bridge", "on_ramp", "exchange_transfer"],
-				kyc_verified: [false],
 			}
 		},
 		{
@@ -277,13 +420,6 @@ const config = {
 				swap_status: ["completed", "completed", "completed", "completed", "pending", "failed"],
 				slippage_pct: u.weighNumRange(0.01, 5, 0.3, 0.5),
 				maker_fee_pct: [0.30],
-				is_whale: [false],
-				kyc_verified: [false],
-				gas_spike: [false],
-				pro_advantage: [false],
-				rug_pull_victim: [false],
-				moon_trade: [false],
-				staked_early: [false],
 			}
 		},
 		{
@@ -363,7 +499,6 @@ const config = {
 				amount_usd: u.weighNumRange(10, 5000, 0.3, 300),
 				gas_fee_usd: u.weighNumRange(0.5, 30, 0.3, 5),
 				destination_type: ["wallet", "exchange", "contract", "ens_name"],
-				gas_spike: [false],
 			}
 		},
 	],
@@ -372,7 +507,6 @@ const config = {
 		trading_tier: ["Standard", "Standard", "Standard", "Pro"],
 		preferred_chain: ["Ethereum", "Solana", "Base", "Arbitrum", "Polygon"],
 		wallet_type: ["MetaMask", "Phantom", "Coinbase Wallet", "Rainbow", "WalletConnect"],
-		staked_early: [false],
 	},
 
 	userProps: {
@@ -382,70 +516,40 @@ const config = {
 		total_trade_volume: u.weighNumRange(0, 500000, 0.3, 5000),
 		portfolio_value: u.weighNumRange(0, 200000, 0.3, 3000),
 		kyc_status: ["pending"],
-		has_staked: [false],
-		staked_early: [false],
 	},
 
 	groupKeys: [],
 	groupProps: {},
 	lookupTables: [],
 
-	/**
-	 * ARCHITECTED ANALYTICS HOOKS
-	 *
-	 * This hook function creates 8 deliberate patterns in the data:
-	 *
-	 * 1. WHALE WALLETS: 2% of users (deterministic) trade 50x volume, is_whale=true
-	 * 2. GAS PRICE SPIKE: Days 35-37 gas fees 10x, 40% swaps fail, gas_spike=true
-	 * 3. TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE: Day 50+ MOON token, 25% swaps become MOON, 5x volume for MOON traders
-	 * 4. AIRDROP HUNTER CHURN: Airdrop claimers with no swaps lose 95% of events post-claim
-	 * 5. KYC COMPLETION: Verified users deposit 4x more, swap 8x more, kyc_verified=true
-	 * 6. STAKE-TO-RETAIN: Early stakers (first 14 days) get 70% D60 retention vs 15%
-	 * 7. PRO TIER FEES: Pro users pay 0.05% fees (vs 0.30%), trade 6x volume, pro_advantage=true
-	 * 8. RUG-PULL AFTERMATH: Day 70 SCAM token rugs, holders lose 80% of post-D70 events
-	 */
 	hook: function (record, type, meta) {
-		const NOW = dayjs();
-		const DATASET_START = NOW.subtract(num_days, "days");
-
-		// ===============================================================
-		// Hook #2 (partial): GAS PRICE SPIKE (event)
-		// Days 35-37, network congestion. Gas fees 10x on swap/transfer
-		// events and gas_spike=true.
-		// ===============================================================
-		if (type === "event") {
-			const EVENT_TIME = dayjs(record.time);
-			const dayInDataset = EVENT_TIME.diff(DATASET_START, "day");
-
-			// Gas price spike: days 35-37
-			if (dayInDataset >= 35 && dayInDataset <= 37) {
-				if (record.event === "swap") {
-					record.gas_fee_usd = Math.round((record.gas_fee_usd || 5) * 10);
-					record.gas_spike = true;
-				}
-				if (record.event === "transfer") {
-					record.gas_fee_usd = Math.round((record.gas_fee_usd || 5) * 10);
-					record.gas_spike = true;
-				}
-			}
-
-			// ===============================================================
-			// Hook #3 (partial): TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE (event)
-			// After day 50, 25% of swap events get token_pair changed to
-			// include "MOON". Tagged moon_trade=true.
-			// ===============================================================
-			if (record.event === "swap" && dayInDataset >= 50) {
-				if (chance.bool({ likelihood: 25 })) {
-					record.token_pair = chance.pickone(["MOON/USDC", "MOON/ETH", "ETH/MOON"]);
-					record.moon_trade = true;
+		// HOOKS 2 + 3: GAS PRICE SPIKE and TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE moved to everything
+		// hook below — event hook fires before bunchIntoSessions reshuffles timestamps,
+		// causing day-window tags to leak across the boundary.
+
+		// HOOK 9 (T2C): TRADING FUNNEL TIME-TO-CONVERT (funnel-post)
+		// Pro tier users complete deposit→swap→withdrawal funnel 1.4x faster
+		// (factor 0.7 on inter-event gaps); Standard 1.3x slower (factor 1.3).
+		if (type === "funnel-post") {
+			const segment = meta?.profile?.trading_tier;
+			if (Array.isArray(record) && record.length > 1) {
+				const factor = (
+					segment === "Pro" ? 0.7 :
+					segment === "Standard" ? 1.3 :
+					1.0
+				);
+				if (factor !== 1.0) {
+					for (let i = 1; i < record.length; i++) {
+						const prev = dayjs(record[i - 1].time);
+						const newGap = Math.round(dayjs(record[i].time).diff(prev) * factor);
+						record[i].time = prev.add(newGap, "milliseconds").toISOString();
+					}
 				}
 			}
 		}
 
-		// ===============================================================
-		// EVERYTHING HOOK — all complex behavioral patterns
-		// ===============================================================
 		if (type === "everything") {
+			const datasetStart = dayjs.unix(meta.datasetStart);
 			const userEvents = record;
 			const profile = meta.profile;
 
@@ -454,17 +558,12 @@ const config = {
 				e.trading_tier = profile.trading_tier;
 				e.preferred_chain = profile.preferred_chain;
 				e.wallet_type = profile.wallet_type;
-				e.staked_early = profile.staked_early;
 			});
 
 			const firstEventTime = userEvents.length > 0 ? dayjs(userEvents[0].time) : null;
 
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			// Hook #1: WHALE WALLETS
-			// 2% of wallets do massive volume. Deterministic selection via
-			// charCodeAt(0) % 50 === 0. Whales get 50x trade_amount_usd
-			// on all swap events with is_whale=true.
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
+			// HOOK 1: WHALE WALLETS — 2% of users (charCodeAt(0) % 50 === 0)
+			// get swap trade_amount_usd boosted 50x. No flag.
 			const userId = userEvents.length > 0 ? (userEvents[0].user_id || userEvents[0].distinct_id || "") : "";
 			const isWhale = userId.length > 0 && userId.charCodeAt(0) % 50 === 0;
 
@@ -472,30 +571,41 @@ const config = {
 				userEvents.forEach(e => {
 					if (e.event === "swap") {
 						e.trade_amount_usd = Math.round((e.trade_amount_usd || 200) * 50);
-						e.is_whale = true;
 					}
 				});
 			}
 
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			// Hook #2 (continued): GAS PRICE SPIKE — failed swaps
-			// During days 35-37, 40% of swaps get swap_status changed to
-			// "failed".
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
+			// HOOK 2: GAS PRICE SPIKE — days 35-37 swap+transfer gas_fee_usd 10x,
+			// 40% of swaps get swap_status=failed. Runs in everything hook so
+			// timestamp checks see post-bunchIntoSessions times.
+			const day35 = datasetStart.add(35, "days");
+			const day38 = datasetStart.add(38, "days");
 			userEvents.forEach(e => {
-				if (e.event === "swap" && e.gas_spike === true) {
-					if (chance.bool({ likelihood: 40 })) {
+				if (e.event !== "swap" && e.event !== "transfer") return;
+				const t = dayjs(e.time);
+				if (t.isAfter(day35) && t.isBefore(day38)) {
+					e.gas_fee_usd = Math.round((e.gas_fee_usd || 5) * 10);
+					if (e.event === "swap" && chance.bool({ likelihood: 40 })) {
 						e.swap_status = "failed";
 					}
 				}
 			});
 
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			// Hook #3 (continued): TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE — volume boost
-			// Users who traded MOON get 5x swap event volume via cloned
-			// events spread over days after day 50.
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			const moonSwaps = userEvents.filter(e => e.event === "swap" && e.moon_trade === true);
+			// HOOK 3: TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE — after d50, 25% of swaps flip token_pair to MOON.
+			const day50 = datasetStart.add(50, "days");
+			userEvents.forEach(e => {
+				if (e.event === "swap" && dayjs(e.time).isAfter(day50) && chance.bool({ likelihood: 25 })) {
+					e.token_pair = chance.pickone(["MOON/USDC", "MOON/ETH", "ETH/MOON"]);
+				}
+			});
+
+			// HOOK 3 (cont): TOKEN LAUNCH SURGE — clone 4 extra MOON-pair
+			// swap events per existing MOON swap. Cloned with unique offset.
+			const moonSwaps = userEvents.filter(e =>
+				e.event === "swap" &&
+				typeof e.token_pair === "string" &&
+				e.token_pair.includes("MOON")
+			);
 			if (moonSwaps.length > 0) {
 				const clonedMoonEvents = [];
 				moonSwaps.forEach(moonEvt => {
@@ -514,14 +624,16 @@ const config = {
 
 			// -----------------------------------------------------------
 			// Hook #4: AIRDROP HUNTER CHURN
-			// Users who have "claim airdrop" events but zero "swap"
-			// events are bots/hunters. Remove 95% of events after the
-			// first airdrop claim.
+			// 4% of users are deterministically tagged as airdrop-farming bots
+			// via charCodeAt(1) % 25 === 0. Bots that have ever claimed an airdrop
+			// lose 95% of events after their first claim. (Original cohort
+			// "claimed-but-never-swapped" was empty because every claimer also
+			// has organic swap events at this scale.)
 			// -----------------------------------------------------------
+			const isAirdropBot = userId.length > 1 && userId.charCodeAt(1) % 25 === 0;
 			const hasAirdropClaim = userEvents.some(e => e.event === "claim airdrop");
-			const hasSwap = userEvents.some(e => e.event === "swap");
 
-			if (hasAirdropClaim && !hasSwap) {
+			if (isAirdropBot && hasAirdropClaim) {
 				const firstClaim = userEvents.find(e => e.event === "claim airdrop");
 				if (firstClaim) {
 					const claimTime = dayjs(firstClaim.time);
@@ -536,31 +648,22 @@ const config = {
 				}
 			}
 
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			// Hook #5: KYC FUNNEL COMPLETION
-			// Users with "kyc completed" events get 4x deposit_amount_usd
-			// and 8x more swap events (cloned). Flag kyc_verified=true on
-			// post-KYC events.
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
+			// HOOK 5: KYC FUNNEL COMPLETION — users with kyc-completed
+			// get post-KYC deposit_amount_usd boosted 4x and 7 extra cloned
+			// swaps per existing post-KYC swap. No flag.
 			const kycCompleted = userEvents.find(e => e.event === "kyc completed");
 			if (kycCompleted) {
 				const kycTime = dayjs(kycCompleted.time);
 
-				// Boost deposits and flag post-KYC events
 				userEvents.forEach(e => {
-					if (dayjs(e.time).isAfter(kycTime)) {
-						if (e.event === "deposit") {
-							e.deposit_amount_usd = Math.round((e.deposit_amount_usd || 500) * 4);
-							e.kyc_verified = true;
-						}
-						if (e.event === "swap") {
-							e.kyc_verified = true;
-						}
+					if (dayjs(e.time).isAfter(kycTime) && e.event === "deposit") {
+						e.deposit_amount_usd = Math.round((e.deposit_amount_usd || 500) * 4);
 					}
 				});
 
-				// Clone swap events for 8x volume
-				const postKycSwaps = userEvents.filter(e => e.event === "swap" && e.kyc_verified === true);
+				const postKycSwaps = userEvents.filter(e =>
+					e.event === "swap" && dayjs(e.time).isAfter(kycTime)
+				);
 				const clonedKycSwaps = [];
 				postKycSwaps.forEach(swapEvt => {
 					const swapTime = dayjs(swapEvt.time);
@@ -570,7 +673,6 @@ const config = {
 							time: swapTime.add(chance.integer({ min: 1, max: 48 }), "hours").toISOString(),
 							user_id: swapEvt.user_id,
 							trade_amount_usd: Math.round((swapEvt.trade_amount_usd || 200) * chance.floating({ min: 0.8, max: 1.5 })),
-							kyc_verified: true,
 						});
 					}
 				});
@@ -583,19 +685,15 @@ const config = {
 			// dataset have 70% D60 retention (events injected beyond D60).
 			// Non-stakers lose events after day 60 to simulate 15% retention.
 			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			const day14 = DATASET_START.add(14, "days");
-			const day60 = DATASET_START.add(60, "days");
+			const day14 = datasetStart.add(14, "days");
+			const day60 = datasetStart.add(60, "days");
 
 			const stakedEarly = userEvents.some(e =>
 				e.event === "stake" && dayjs(e.time).isBefore(day14)
 			);
 
 			if (stakedEarly) {
-				// Mark all events for this user
-				userEvents.forEach(e => { e.staked_early = true; });
-
-				// 70% retention: inject late-stage events for stakers
-				// (only inject if they don't already have many post-D60 events)
+				// 70% retention: inject late-stage events for stakers (no flag)
 				const postD60Events = userEvents.filter(e => dayjs(e.time).isAfter(day60));
 				if (postD60Events.length < 5) {
 					const swapTemplate = userEvents.find(e => e.event === "swap");
@@ -607,7 +705,6 @@ const config = {
 								time: day60.add(chance.integer({ min: 1, max: 55 }), "days").toISOString(),
 								user_id: swapTemplate.user_id,
 								trade_amount_usd: Math.round((swapTemplate.trade_amount_usd || 200) * chance.floating({ min: 0.5, max: 2.0 })),
-								staked_early: true,
 							});
 						}
 					}
@@ -617,7 +714,6 @@ const config = {
 								...portfolioTemplate,
 								time: day60.add(chance.integer({ min: 1, max: 55 }), "days").toISOString(),
 								user_id: portfolioTemplate.user_id,
-								staked_early: true,
 							});
 						}
 					}
@@ -634,21 +730,14 @@ const config = {
 				}
 			}
 
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			// Hook #7: PRO TIER MAKER FEES
-			// Pro users (from profile.trading_tier) pay maker_fee_pct=0.05
-			// vs standard 0.30. Pro users also trade 6x volume.
-			// pro_advantage=true on Pro swap events.
-			// -----------------------------------------------------------
+			// HOOK 7: PRO TIER MAKER FEES — Pro users pay maker_fee_pct=0.05
+			// (vs Standard 0.30) and get 5 extra cloned swaps. Mutates raw
+			// maker_fee_pct prop. Reads trading_tier from profile.
 			if (profile.trading_tier === "Pro") {
 				userEvents.forEach(e => {
-					if (e.event === "swap") {
-						e.maker_fee_pct = 0.05;
-						e.pro_advantage = true;
-					}
+					if (e.event === "swap") e.maker_fee_pct = 0.05;
 				});
 
-				// Clone swap events for 6x volume
 				const proSwaps = userEvents.filter(e => e.event === "swap");
 				const clonedProSwaps = [];
 				proSwaps.forEach(swapEvt => {
@@ -660,27 +749,23 @@ const config = {
 							user_id: swapEvt.user_id,
 							trade_amount_usd: Math.round((swapEvt.trade_amount_usd || 200) * chance.floating({ min: 0.5, max: 3.0 })),
 							maker_fee_pct: 0.05,
-							pro_advantage: true,
 						});
 					}
 				});
 				userEvents.push(...clonedProSwaps);
 			} else {
-				// Ensure standard fee on non-Pro swap events
 				userEvents.forEach(e => {
-					if (e.event === "swap") {
-						e.maker_fee_pct = 0.30;
-					}
+					if (e.event === "swap") e.maker_fee_pct = 0.30;
 				});
 			}
 
 			// -----------------------------------------------------------
 			// Hook #8: RUG-PULL AFTERMATH
 			// Day 70, "SCAM" token rugs. Users who swapped SCAM token
-			// before day 70 lose 80% of events after day 70.
-			// rug_pull_victim=true on remaining events.
+			// before day 70 lose 80% of events after day 70. No flag —
+			// derive cohort by detecting users with token_pair containing "SCAM".
 			// -----------------------------------------------------------
-			const day70 = DATASET_START.add(70, "days");
+			const day70 = datasetStart.add(70, "days");
 
 			// Check if user traded SCAM before day 70
 			// ~10% of pre-day-70 swaps naturally get SCAM token pair
@@ -688,7 +773,7 @@ const config = {
 			let hadScam = false;
 			userEvents.forEach(e => {
 				if (e.event === "swap") {
-					const swapDay = dayjs(e.time).diff(DATASET_START, "day");
+					const swapDay = dayjs(e.time).diff(datasetStart, "day");
 					// Before day 70, ~8% of swaps randomly become SCAM trades
 					if (swapDay >= 10 && swapDay < 70 && chance.bool({ likelihood: 8 })) {
 						e.token_pair = chance.pickone(["SCAM/USDC", "SCAM/ETH", "ETH/SCAM"]);
@@ -700,17 +785,41 @@ const config = {
 			if (hadScam) {
 				for (let i = userEvents.length - 1; i >= 0; i--) {
 					const evt = userEvents[i];
-					if (dayjs(evt.time).isAfter(day70)) {
-						if (chance.bool({ likelihood: 80 })) {
-							userEvents.splice(i, 1);
-						} else {
-							evt.rug_pull_victim = true;
+					if (dayjs(evt.time).isAfter(day70) && chance.bool({ likelihood: 80 })) {
+						userEvents.splice(i, 1);
+					}
+				}
+			}
+
+			// HOOK 10: SWAP-COUNT MAGIC NUMBER (no flags)
+			// Sweet 8-20 swaps → +30% on stake amount_usd; clone 1-2 extra
+			// stake events per existing. Over 21+ → drop 40% of portfolio
+			// viewed events (over-active traders ignore their portfolio).
+			const swapCount = userEvents.filter(e => e.event === "swap").length;
+			if (swapCount >= 8 && swapCount <= 20) {
+				const stakeTemplate = userEvents.find(e => e.event === "stake");
+				if (stakeTemplate) {
+					const stakes = userEvents.filter(e => e.event === "stake");
+					stakes.forEach(s => {
+						if (typeof s.amount_usd === "number") s.amount_usd = Math.round(s.amount_usd * 1.3);
+						const extras = chance.integer({ min: 1, max: 2 });
+						for (let k = 0; k < extras; k++) {
+							userEvents.push({
+								...s,
+								time: dayjs(s.time).add(chance.integer({ min: 5, max: 360 }), "minutes").toISOString(),
+								user_id: s.user_id,
+							});
 						}
+					});
+				}
+			} else if (swapCount >= 21) {
+				for (let i = userEvents.length - 1; i >= 0; i--) {
+					if (userEvents[i].event === "portfolio viewed" && chance.bool({ likelihood: 40 })) {
+						userEvents.splice(i, 1);
 					}
 				}
 			}
 
-			// Sort by time after all mutations
 			userEvents.sort((a, b) => new Date(a.time) - new Date(b.time));
 		}