@aida-dev/metrics 0.5.0 → 0.6.0

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package/dist/index.d.ts CHANGED
@@ -207,6 +207,9 @@ declare const MergeRatio: z.ZodObject<{
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  type MergeRatio = z.infer<typeof MergeRatio>;
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  declare const Persistence: z.ZodObject<{
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  commitsConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesExcluded: z.ZodNumber;
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+ censored: z.ZodNumber;
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  avgDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  medianDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  buckets: z.ZodObject<{
@@ -230,6 +233,9 @@ declare const Persistence: z.ZodObject<{
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  }>;
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  }, "strip", z.ZodTypeAny, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -241,6 +247,9 @@ declare const Persistence: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  }, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -283,6 +292,9 @@ declare const Baseline: z.ZodObject<{
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  }>;
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  persistence: z.ZodObject<{
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  commitsConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesExcluded: z.ZodNumber;
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+ censored: z.ZodNumber;
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  avgDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  medianDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  buckets: z.ZodObject<{
@@ -306,6 +318,9 @@ declare const Baseline: z.ZodObject<{
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  }>;
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  }, "strip", z.ZodTypeAny, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -317,6 +332,9 @@ declare const Baseline: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  }, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -335,6 +353,9 @@ declare const Baseline: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -354,6 +375,9 @@ declare const Baseline: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -494,6 +518,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  }>;
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  persistence: z.ZodObject<{
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  commitsConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesExcluded: z.ZodNumber;
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+ censored: z.ZodNumber;
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  avgDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  medianDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  buckets: z.ZodObject<{
@@ -517,6 +544,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  }>;
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  }, "strip", z.ZodTypeAny, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -528,6 +558,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  }, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -749,6 +782,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  }>;
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  persistence: z.ZodObject<{
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  commitsConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesConsidered: z.ZodNumber;
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+ filesExcluded: z.ZodNumber;
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+ censored: z.ZodNumber;
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  avgDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  medianDays: z.ZodNumber;
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  buckets: z.ZodObject<{
@@ -772,6 +808,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  }>;
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  }, "strip", z.ZodTypeAny, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -783,6 +822,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  }, {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -801,6 +843,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -820,6 +865,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -883,6 +931,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -933,6 +984,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -988,6 +1042,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -1038,6 +1095,9 @@ declare const Metrics: z.ZodObject<{
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  };
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  persistence: {
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  commitsConsidered: number;
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+ filesConsidered: number;
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+ filesExcluded: number;
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+ censored: number;
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  avgDays: number;
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  medianDays: number;
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  buckets: {
@@ -1066,8 +1126,13 @@ declare function calculateCategoryCounts(commits: Commit[]): CategoryCounts | nu
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  declare function calculateMergeRatio(commitStream: CommitStream, isTarget?: (commit: Commit) => boolean): MergeRatio;
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  declare function calculateBaselineMergeRatio(commitStream: CommitStream, isTarget?: (commit: Commit) => boolean): CohortMergeRatio;
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- declare function calculatePersistence(commitStream: CommitStream, isTarget?: (commit: Commit) => boolean): Persistence;
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- declare function calculateBaselinePersistence(commitStream: CommitStream, isTarget?: (commit: Commit) => boolean): Persistence;
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+ declare const DEFAULT_PERSISTENCE_EXCLUDED_CATEGORIES: FileCategory[];
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+ interface PersistenceOptions {
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+ excludeCategories?: FileCategory[];
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+ observationEnd?: Date;
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+ }
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+ declare function calculatePersistence(commitStream: CommitStream, isTarget?: (commit: Commit) => boolean, options?: PersistenceOptions): Persistence;
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+ declare function calculateBaselinePersistence(commitStream: CommitStream, isTarget?: (commit: Commit) => boolean, options?: PersistenceOptions): Persistence;
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  interface MetricsOptions {
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  defaultAttribution?: 'ai' | 'human' | 'unknown';
@@ -1075,4 +1140,4 @@ interface MetricsOptions {
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  }
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  declare function calculateMetrics(commitStream: CommitStream, options?: MetricsOptions): Metrics;
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- export { AgeStats, Attribution, Baseline, CategoryCounts, CohortContext, CohortMergeRatio, Delta, FileCategory, MergeRatio, Metrics, type MetricsOptions, Persistence, calculateAgeStats, calculateBaselineMergeRatio, calculateBaselinePersistence, calculateCategoryCounts, calculateMergeRatio, calculateMetrics, calculatePersistence, categorizeFile };
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+ export { AgeStats, Attribution, Baseline, CategoryCounts, CohortContext, CohortMergeRatio, DEFAULT_PERSISTENCE_EXCLUDED_CATEGORIES, Delta, FileCategory, MergeRatio, Metrics, type MetricsOptions, Persistence, type PersistenceOptions, calculateAgeStats, calculateBaselineMergeRatio, calculateBaselinePersistence, calculateCategoryCounts, calculateMergeRatio, calculateMetrics, calculatePersistence, categorizeFile };
package/dist/index.js CHANGED
@@ -83,77 +83,95 @@ function calculateBaselineMergeRatio(commitStream, isTarget = (commit) => commit
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  // src/persistence.ts
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  import { daysBetween as daysBetween2 } from "@aida-dev/core";
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- function calculatePersistence(commitStream, isTarget = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === "ai") {
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+ var DEFAULT_PERSISTENCE_EXCLUDED_CATEGORIES = [
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+ "migrations",
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+ "generated"
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+ ];
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+ function calculatePersistence(commitStream, isTarget = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === "ai", options = {}) {
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+ const {
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+ excludeCategories = DEFAULT_PERSISTENCE_EXCLUDED_CATEGORIES,
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+ observationEnd = new Date(commitStream.generatedAt)
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+ } = options;
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+ const excluded = new Set(excludeCategories);
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  const targetCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isTarget);
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+ const empty = {
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+ commitsConsidered: targetCommits.length,
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+ filesConsidered: 0,
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+ filesExcluded: 0,
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+ censored: 0,
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+ avgDays: 0,
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+ medianDays: 0,
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+ buckets: { d0_1: 0, d2_7: 0, d8_30: 0, d31_90: 0, d90_plus: 0 }
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+ };
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  if (targetCommits.length === 0) {
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- return {
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- commitsConsidered: 0,
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- avgDays: 0,
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- medianDays: 0,
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- buckets: {
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- d0_1: 0,
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- d2_7: 0,
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- d8_30: 0,
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- d31_90: 0,
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- d90_plus: 0
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- }
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- };
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+ return { ...empty, commitsConsidered: 0 };
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  }
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- const fileLifecycles = /* @__PURE__ */ new Map();
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  const sortedCommits = [...commitStream.commits].sort(
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  (a, b) => new Date(a.authorDate).getTime() - new Date(b.authorDate).getTime()
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  );
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- for (const commit of sortedCommits) {
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- if (isTarget(commit)) {
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- const commitDate = new Date(commit.authorDate);
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- for (const file of commit.stats.files) {
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- if (!fileLifecycles.has(file.path)) {
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- fileLifecycles.set(file.path, {
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- path: file.path,
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- firstTargetCommitDate: commitDate,
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- lastSeenDate: commitDate,
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- persistenceDays: 0
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- });
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- }
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+ const lifecycles = /* @__PURE__ */ new Map();
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+ let filesExcluded = 0;
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+ sortedCommits.forEach((commit, index) => {
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+ if (!isTarget(commit)) return;
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+ for (const file of commit.stats.files) {
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+ if (lifecycles.has(file.path)) continue;
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+ if (excluded.has(categorizeFile(file.path))) {
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+ filesExcluded++;
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+ lifecycles.set(file.path, { firstTargetIndex: -1, firstTargetDate: /* @__PURE__ */ new Date(0), eventDate: null });
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+ continue;
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  }
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+ lifecycles.set(file.path, {
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+ firstTargetIndex: index,
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+ firstTargetDate: new Date(commit.authorDate),
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+ eventDate: null
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+ });
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  }
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- }
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- for (const commit of sortedCommits) {
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- const commitDate = new Date(commit.authorDate);
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+ });
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+ sortedCommits.forEach((commit, index) => {
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  for (const file of commit.stats.files) {
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- const lifecycle = fileLifecycles.get(file.path);
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- if (lifecycle) {
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- if (file.status !== "deleted") {
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- lifecycle.lastSeenDate = commitDate;
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- }
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+ const lifecycle = lifecycles.get(file.path);
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+ if (!lifecycle || lifecycle.firstTargetIndex < 0) continue;
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+ if (index <= lifecycle.firstTargetIndex) continue;
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+ if (lifecycle.eventDate === null) {
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+ lifecycle.eventDate = new Date(commit.authorDate);
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  }
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  }
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+ });
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+ const survivalDays = [];
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+ let censored = 0;
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+ for (const lifecycle of lifecycles.values()) {
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+ if (lifecycle.firstTargetIndex < 0) continue;
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+ if (lifecycle.eventDate) {
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+ survivalDays.push(daysBetween2(lifecycle.firstTargetDate, lifecycle.eventDate));
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+ } else {
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+ censored++;
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+ survivalDays.push(Math.max(0, daysBetween2(lifecycle.firstTargetDate, observationEnd)));
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+ }
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  }
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- const persistenceDays = [];
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- for (const lifecycle of fileLifecycles.values()) {
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- lifecycle.persistenceDays = daysBetween2(lifecycle.firstTargetCommitDate, lifecycle.lastSeenDate);
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- persistenceDays.push(lifecycle.persistenceDays);
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+ if (survivalDays.length === 0) {
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+ return { ...empty, filesExcluded };
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  }
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- const avgDays = persistenceDays.length > 0 ? persistenceDays.reduce((sum, days) => sum + days, 0) / persistenceDays.length : 0;
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- const sortedDays = [...persistenceDays].sort((a, b) => a - b);
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- const medianDays = sortedDays.length > 0 ? sortedDays.length % 2 === 0 ? (sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2 - 1] + sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2]) / 2 : sortedDays[Math.floor(sortedDays.length / 2)] : 0;
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- const buckets = {
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- d0_1: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days <= 1).length,
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- d2_7: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days >= 2 && days <= 7).length,
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- d8_30: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days >= 8 && days <= 30).length,
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- d31_90: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days >= 31 && days <= 90).length,
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- d90_plus: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days > 90).length
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- };
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+ const avgDays = survivalDays.reduce((sum, days) => sum + days, 0) / survivalDays.length;
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+ const sortedDays = [...survivalDays].sort((a, b) => a - b);
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+ const medianDays = sortedDays.length % 2 === 0 ? (sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2 - 1] + sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2]) / 2 : sortedDays[Math.floor(sortedDays.length / 2)];
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  return {
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  commitsConsidered: targetCommits.length,
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+ filesConsidered: survivalDays.length,
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+ filesExcluded,
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+ censored,
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  avgDays: Math.round(avgDays * 100) / 100,
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- // Round to 2 decimal places
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  medianDays: Math.round(medianDays * 100) / 100,
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- buckets
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+ buckets: {
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+ d0_1: survivalDays.filter((days) => days <= 1).length,
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+ d2_7: survivalDays.filter((days) => days >= 2 && days <= 7).length,
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+ d8_30: survivalDays.filter((days) => days >= 8 && days <= 30).length,
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+ d31_90: survivalDays.filter((days) => days >= 31 && days <= 90).length,
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+ d90_plus: survivalDays.filter((days) => days > 90).length
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+ }
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  };
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  }
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- function calculateBaselinePersistence(commitStream, isTarget = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === "human") {
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- return calculatePersistence(commitStream, isTarget);
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+ function calculateBaselinePersistence(commitStream, isTarget = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === "human", options = {}) {
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+ return calculatePersistence(commitStream, isTarget, options);
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  }
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  // src/schema/metrics.ts
@@ -190,6 +208,10 @@ var MergeRatio = z.object({
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  });
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  var Persistence = z.object({
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  commitsConsidered: z.number().int().nonnegative(),
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+ filesConsidered: z.number().int().nonnegative(),
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+ filesExcluded: z.number().int().nonnegative(),
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+ censored: z.number().int().nonnegative(),
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+ // files that survived the whole window
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  avgDays: z.number().nonnegative(),
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  medianDays: z.number().nonnegative(),
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  buckets: z.object({
@@ -331,6 +353,7 @@ function calculateMetrics(commitStream, options = {}) {
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  const caveats = [
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  `Attribution coverage is ${(coverage * 100).toFixed(1)}%: metrics only describe commits whose provenance is known.`,
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  "Persistence is file-level, not line-level.",
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+ "Persistence is survival: days until the first subsequent modification. Files never modified again are censored at collection time. Migrations and generated files (convention-driven lifecycles) are excluded.",
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  "Persistence comparisons are only meaningful between cohorts of similar age and task mix \u2014 check the cohorts section before reading the delta.",
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  "Merge ratio: commits from all branches checked against default branch ancestry. Squash merges may undercount unmerged commits.",
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  "Time-windowed collection (--since) also windows the ancestry check: commits merged into the default branch before the window may appear unmerged.",
@@ -370,6 +393,7 @@ export {
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  CategoryCounts,
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  CohortContext,
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  CohortMergeRatio,
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+ DEFAULT_PERSISTENCE_EXCLUDED_CATEGORIES,
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  Delta,
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  FileCategory,
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  MergeRatio,
package/dist/index.js.map CHANGED
@@ -1 +1 @@
1
- {"version":3,"sources":["../src/index.ts","../src/cohort.ts","../src/merge-ratio.ts","../src/persistence.ts","../src/schema/metrics.ts"],"sourcesContent":["import { Commit, CommitStream, formatISODate } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { calculateAgeStats, calculateCategoryCounts } from './cohort.js';\nimport { calculateBaselineMergeRatio, calculateMergeRatio } from './merge-ratio.js';\nimport { calculateBaselinePersistence, calculatePersistence } from './persistence.js';\nimport { Attribution, Metrics } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\nexport * from './schema/metrics.js';\nexport * from './cohort.js';\nexport * from './merge-ratio.js';\nexport * from './persistence.js';\n\nexport interface MetricsOptions {\n // Prior applied to 'unknown' commits: which cohort (if any) they join.\n defaultAttribution?: 'ai' | 'human' | 'unknown';\n coverageThreshold?: number;\n}\n\nfunction round(value: number, decimals: number): number {\n const factor = 10 ** decimals;\n return Math.round(value * factor) / factor;\n}\n\nexport function calculateMetrics(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n options: MetricsOptions = {}\n): Metrics {\n const { defaultAttribution = 'unknown', coverageThreshold = 0.7 } = options;\n\n const counts = { ai: 0, human: 0, unknown: 0 };\n const modes = { none: 0, autocomplete: 0, assisted: 0, agent: 0, unknown: 0 };\n const modeEvidence = { declared: 0, inferred: 0, none: 0 };\n for (const commit of commitStream.commits) {\n counts[commit.tags.attribution]++;\n modes[commit.tags.mode]++;\n modeEvidence[commit.tags.modeEvidence]++;\n }\n const total = commitStream.commits.length;\n const coverage = total > 0 ? (counts.ai + counts.human) / total : 0;\n\n const attribution: Attribution = {\n commitsTotal: total,\n ai: counts.ai,\n human: counts.human,\n unknown: counts.unknown,\n coverage: round(coverage, 4),\n defaultAttribution,\n coverageThreshold,\n belowThreshold: coverage < coverageThreshold,\n modes,\n modeEvidence,\n };\n\n // Cohort membership: unknown commits join a cohort only via the prior.\n // Manifest-excluded commits (release bots, merges) never do — they were\n // excluded precisely to stay out of both cohorts.\n const isExcluded = (commit: Commit) => commit.tags.sources.includes('manifest:excluded');\n const isAI = (commit: Commit) =>\n commit.tags.attribution === 'ai' ||\n (defaultAttribution === 'ai' && commit.tags.attribution === 'unknown' && !isExcluded(commit));\n const isBaseline = (commit: Commit) =>\n commit.tags.attribution === 'human' ||\n (defaultAttribution === 'human' &&\n commit.tags.attribution === 'unknown' &&\n !isExcluded(commit));\n\n const mergeRatio = calculateMergeRatio(commitStream, isAI);\n const persistence = calculatePersistence(commitStream, isAI);\n\n // Fairness context (#29, #36): cohort age and task mix\n const now = new Date();\n const aiCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isAI);\n const baselineCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isBaseline);\n const cohorts = {\n ai: {\n age: calculateAgeStats(aiCommits, now),\n taskMix: calculateCategoryCounts(aiCommits),\n },\n baseline: {\n age: calculateAgeStats(baselineCommits, now),\n taskMix: calculateCategoryCounts(baselineCommits),\n },\n };\n\n // No baseline cohort → no baseline, no delta. AIDA does not invent a\n // comparison out of unattributed commits.\n const baselineSize = baselineCommits.length;\n const baselineAssumed = defaultAttribution === 'human' && counts.unknown > 0;\n\n const baseline =\n baselineSize > 0\n ? {\n assumed: baselineAssumed,\n mergeRatio: calculateBaselineMergeRatio(commitStream, isBaseline),\n persistence: calculateBaselinePersistence(commitStream, isBaseline),\n }\n : null;\n\n const delta = baseline\n ? {\n mergeRatio: round(mergeRatio.mergeRatio - baseline.mergeRatio.mergeRatio, 4),\n avgPersistenceDays: round(persistence.avgDays - baseline.persistence.avgDays, 2),\n medianPersistenceDays: round(\n persistence.medianDays - baseline.persistence.medianDays,\n 2\n ),\n }\n : null;\n\n const caveats = [\n `Attribution coverage is ${(coverage * 100).toFixed(1)}%: metrics only describe commits whose provenance is known.`,\n 'Persistence is file-level, not line-level.',\n 'Persistence comparisons are only meaningful between cohorts of similar age and task mix — check the cohorts section before reading the delta.',\n 'Merge ratio: commits from all branches checked against default branch ancestry. Squash merges may undercount unmerged commits.',\n 'Time-windowed collection (--since) also windows the ancestry check: commits merged into the default branch before the window may appear unmerged.',\n 'AI tagging uses heuristic patterns; false positives/negatives possible.',\n ];\n if (baseline?.assumed) {\n caveats.push(\n `Baseline includes ${counts.unknown} unattributed commit(s) assumed human via defaultAttribution — undetected AI usage may leak into it.`\n );\n }\n if (!baseline) {\n caveats.push(\n 'No baseline: no commits are attributed as human. Set defaultAttribution to \"human\" in .aida.json if unattributed commits in this repo are human-authored.'\n );\n }\n\n return {\n generatedAt: formatISODate(new Date()),\n window: {\n since: commitStream.since,\n until: commitStream.until,\n },\n repoPath: commitStream.repoPath,\n defaultBranch: commitStream.defaultBranch,\n attribution,\n mergeRatio,\n persistence,\n cohorts,\n baseline,\n delta,\n caveats,\n };\n}\n","import { Commit, daysBetween } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { AgeStats, CategoryCounts, FileCategory } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\n// Cohort age (#29): persistence comparisons between cohorts of different\n// ages are misleading — old commits have had more time to accumulate\n// survival. Reporting each cohort's age lets consumers judge fairness.\nexport function calculateAgeStats(commits: Commit[], now: Date): AgeStats | null {\n if (commits.length === 0) {\n return null;\n }\n\n const ages = commits\n .map((commit) => daysBetween(new Date(commit.authorDate), now))\n .sort((a, b) => a - b);\n\n const avg = ages.reduce((sum, days) => sum + days, 0) / ages.length;\n const median =\n ages.length % 2 === 0\n ? (ages[ages.length / 2 - 1] + ages[ages.length / 2]) / 2\n : ages[Math.floor(ages.length / 2)];\n\n return {\n commits: commits.length,\n avgAgeDays: Math.round(avg * 100) / 100,\n medianAgeDays: Math.round(median * 100) / 100,\n };\n}\n\n// File categorization (#36, step 1): AI is often pointed at boilerplate,\n// tests, and migrations, which survive longer because nobody touches them.\n// Reporting each cohort's category mix shows when an AI-vs-baseline\n// comparison is apples-to-oranges. Order matters: first match wins.\nexport function categorizeFile(path: string): FileCategory {\n const lower = path.toLowerCase();\n const base = lower.split('/').pop() ?? lower;\n\n // Generated artifacts (lockfiles, changelogs, snapshots, build output)\n if (\n /^(pnpm-lock\\.yaml|package-lock\\.json|yarn\\.lock|bun\\.lockb?|composer\\.lock|cargo\\.lock|gemfile\\.lock|poetry\\.lock|changelog(\\.[a-z]+)?)$/.test(\n base\n ) ||\n /\\.(snap|min\\.js|min\\.css)$/.test(base) ||\n /(^|\\/)(dist|build|out|coverage|\\.next|node_modules)\\//.test(lower)\n ) {\n return 'generated';\n }\n\n if (\n /(^|\\/)(__tests__|__mocks__|tests?|spec|e2e|cypress)\\//.test(lower) ||\n /\\.(test|spec)\\.[a-z]+$/.test(base)\n ) {\n return 'tests';\n }\n\n if (/(^|\\/)migrations?\\//.test(lower)) {\n return 'migrations';\n }\n\n if (/\\.(md|mdx|rst|adoc|txt)$/.test(base) || /(^|\\/)docs?\\//.test(lower)) {\n return 'docs';\n }\n\n if (\n base.startsWith('.') ||\n /\\.(json|ya?ml|toml|ini|cfg|conf|env|properties)$/.test(base) ||\n /\\.config\\.[a-z]+$/.test(base) ||\n /(^|\\/)(\\.github|\\.circleci|\\.vscode|config)\\//.test(lower) ||\n /^(dockerfile|makefile|tsconfig.*|eslint.*|prettier.*)/.test(base)\n ) {\n return 'config';\n }\n\n return 'source';\n}\n\nexport function calculateCategoryCounts(commits: Commit[]): CategoryCounts | null {\n if (commits.length === 0) {\n return null;\n }\n\n const counts: CategoryCounts = {\n source: 0,\n tests: 0,\n migrations: 0,\n config: 0,\n docs: 0,\n generated: 0,\n };\n\n for (const commit of commits) {\n for (const file of commit.stats.files) {\n counts[categorizeFile(file.path)]++;\n }\n }\n\n return counts;\n}\n","import { Commit, CommitStream } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { CohortMergeRatio, MergeRatio } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\nfunction computeMergeRatio(commits: Commit[]): CohortMergeRatio {\n const merged = commits.filter((commit) => commit.inDefaultBranchAncestry);\n\n return {\n commitsTotal: commits.length,\n commitsMerged: merged.length,\n mergeRatio: commits.length > 0 ? merged.length / commits.length : 0,\n };\n}\n\nexport function calculateMergeRatio(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'ai'\n): MergeRatio {\n const aiCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isTarget);\n const result = computeMergeRatio(aiCommits);\n\n return {\n aiCommitsTotal: result.commitsTotal,\n aiCommitsMerged: result.commitsMerged,\n mergeRatio: result.mergeRatio,\n };\n}\n\nexport function calculateBaselineMergeRatio(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'human'\n): CohortMergeRatio {\n const baselineCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isTarget);\n return computeMergeRatio(baselineCommits);\n}\n","import { Commit, CommitStream, daysBetween } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { Persistence } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\ninterface FileLifecycle {\n path: string;\n firstTargetCommitDate: Date;\n lastSeenDate: Date;\n persistenceDays: number;\n}\n\nexport function calculatePersistence(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'ai'\n): Persistence {\n const targetCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isTarget);\n\n if (targetCommits.length === 0) {\n return {\n commitsConsidered: 0,\n avgDays: 0,\n medianDays: 0,\n buckets: {\n d0_1: 0,\n d2_7: 0,\n d8_30: 0,\n d31_90: 0,\n d90_plus: 0,\n },\n };\n }\n\n // Group files by path and track their lifecycle\n const fileLifecycles = new Map<string, FileLifecycle>();\n\n // Sort commits by date (oldest first)\n const sortedCommits = [...commitStream.commits].sort(\n (a, b) => new Date(a.authorDate).getTime() - new Date(b.authorDate).getTime()\n );\n\n // Track first target commit per file\n for (const commit of sortedCommits) {\n if (isTarget(commit)) {\n const commitDate = new Date(commit.authorDate);\n\n for (const file of commit.stats.files) {\n if (!fileLifecycles.has(file.path)) {\n fileLifecycles.set(file.path, {\n path: file.path,\n firstTargetCommitDate: commitDate,\n lastSeenDate: commitDate,\n persistenceDays: 0,\n });\n }\n }\n }\n }\n\n // Track last seen date for each file\n for (const commit of sortedCommits) {\n const commitDate = new Date(commit.authorDate);\n\n for (const file of commit.stats.files) {\n const lifecycle = fileLifecycles.get(file.path);\n if (lifecycle) {\n // Update last seen date if file is not deleted\n if (file.status !== 'deleted') {\n lifecycle.lastSeenDate = commitDate;\n }\n }\n }\n }\n\n // Calculate persistence days for each file\n const persistenceDays: number[] = [];\n\n for (const lifecycle of fileLifecycles.values()) {\n lifecycle.persistenceDays = daysBetween(lifecycle.firstTargetCommitDate, lifecycle.lastSeenDate);\n persistenceDays.push(lifecycle.persistenceDays);\n }\n\n // Calculate statistics\n const avgDays =\n persistenceDays.length > 0\n ? persistenceDays.reduce((sum, days) => sum + days, 0) / persistenceDays.length\n : 0;\n\n const sortedDays = [...persistenceDays].sort((a, b) => a - b);\n const medianDays =\n sortedDays.length > 0\n ? sortedDays.length % 2 === 0\n ? (sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2 - 1] + sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2]) / 2\n : sortedDays[Math.floor(sortedDays.length / 2)]\n : 0;\n\n // Calculate buckets\n const buckets = {\n d0_1: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days <= 1).length,\n d2_7: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days >= 2 && days <= 7).length,\n d8_30: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days >= 8 && days <= 30).length,\n d31_90: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days >= 31 && days <= 90).length,\n d90_plus: persistenceDays.filter((days) => days > 90).length,\n };\n\n return {\n commitsConsidered: targetCommits.length,\n avgDays: Math.round(avgDays * 100) / 100, // Round to 2 decimal places\n medianDays: Math.round(medianDays * 100) / 100,\n buckets,\n };\n}\n\nexport function calculateBaselinePersistence(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'human'\n): Persistence {\n return calculatePersistence(commitStream, isTarget);\n}\n","import { z } from 'zod';\n\n// Attribution coverage (#34): the headline metric. Every other number in this\n// file is only as trustworthy as this block says it is.\nexport const Attribution = z.object({\n commitsTotal: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n ai: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n human: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n unknown: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n coverage: z.number().min(0).max(1), // (ai + human) / total\n defaultAttribution: z.enum(['ai', 'human', 'unknown']), // prior applied to unknown commits\n coverageThreshold: z.number().min(0).max(1),\n belowThreshold: z.boolean(),\n // Autonomy axis (#25): commit counts per mode and per mode-evidence level\n modes: z.object({\n none: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n autocomplete: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n assisted: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n agent: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n unknown: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n }),\n modeEvidence: z.object({\n declared: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n inferred: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n none: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n }),\n});\n\nexport const MergeRatio = z.object({\n aiCommitsTotal: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n aiCommitsMerged: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n mergeRatio: z.number().min(0).max(1),\n});\n\nexport const Persistence = z.object({\n commitsConsidered: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n avgDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n medianDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n buckets: z.object({\n d0_1: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d2_7: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d8_30: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d31_90: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d90_plus: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n }),\n});\n\n// Cohort age (#29): context for judging whether a persistence comparison\n// between cohorts is fair — older cohorts accumulate survival by default.\nexport const AgeStats = z.object({\n commits: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n avgAgeDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n medianAgeDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n});\n\n// Task mix (#36): what kind of files each cohort touched. A persistence\n// comparison is only meaningful when the mixes are similar.\nexport const FileCategory = z.enum([\n 'source',\n 'tests',\n 'migrations',\n 'config',\n 'docs',\n 'generated',\n]);\n\nexport const CategoryCounts = z.object({\n source: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n tests: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n migrations: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n config: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n docs: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n generated: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n});\n\nexport const CohortContext = z.object({\n age: AgeStats.nullable(),\n taskMix: CategoryCounts.nullable(),\n});\n\nexport const CohortMergeRatio = z.object({\n commitsTotal: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n commitsMerged: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n mergeRatio: z.number().min(0).max(1),\n});\n\nexport const Baseline = z.object({\n // True when the cohort includes 'unknown' commits via defaultAttribution:\n // the baseline is an assumption, not observed attribution.\n assumed: z.boolean(),\n mergeRatio: CohortMergeRatio,\n persistence: Persistence,\n});\n\nexport const Delta = z.object({\n mergeRatio: z.number(),\n avgPersistenceDays: z.number(),\n medianPersistenceDays: z.number(),\n});\n\nexport const Metrics = z.object({\n generatedAt: z.string().datetime(),\n window: z.object({\n since: z.string().optional(),\n until: z.string().optional(),\n }),\n repoPath: z.string(),\n defaultBranch: z.string(),\n attribution: Attribution,\n mergeRatio: MergeRatio,\n persistence: Persistence,\n // Fairness context (#29, #36): age and task mix per cohort, so consumers\n // can judge whether the AI-vs-baseline comparison is apples-to-apples.\n cohorts: z.object({\n ai: CohortContext,\n baseline: CohortContext,\n }),\n // Null when no commit is attributed 'human' and no defaultAttribution prior\n // assigns the unknowns: AIDA does not invent a comparison cohort.\n baseline: Baseline.nullable(),\n delta: Delta.nullable(),\n caveats: z.array(z.string()),\n});\n\nexport type Attribution = z.infer<typeof Attribution>;\nexport type AgeStats = z.infer<typeof AgeStats>;\nexport type FileCategory = z.infer<typeof FileCategory>;\nexport type CategoryCounts = z.infer<typeof CategoryCounts>;\nexport type CohortContext = z.infer<typeof CohortContext>;\nexport type MergeRatio = z.infer<typeof MergeRatio>;\nexport type Persistence = z.infer<typeof Persistence>;\nexport type CohortMergeRatio = z.infer<typeof CohortMergeRatio>;\nexport type Baseline = z.infer<typeof Baseline>;\nexport type Delta = z.infer<typeof Delta>;\nexport type Metrics = z.infer<typeof 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+ {"version":3,"sources":["../src/index.ts","../src/cohort.ts","../src/merge-ratio.ts","../src/persistence.ts","../src/schema/metrics.ts"],"sourcesContent":["import { Commit, CommitStream, formatISODate } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { calculateAgeStats, calculateCategoryCounts } from './cohort.js';\nimport { calculateBaselineMergeRatio, calculateMergeRatio } from './merge-ratio.js';\nimport { calculateBaselinePersistence, calculatePersistence } from './persistence.js';\nimport { Attribution, Metrics } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\nexport * from './schema/metrics.js';\nexport * from './cohort.js';\nexport * from './merge-ratio.js';\nexport * from './persistence.js';\n\nexport interface MetricsOptions {\n // Prior applied to 'unknown' commits: which cohort (if any) they join.\n defaultAttribution?: 'ai' | 'human' | 'unknown';\n coverageThreshold?: number;\n}\n\nfunction round(value: number, decimals: number): number {\n const factor = 10 ** decimals;\n return Math.round(value * factor) / factor;\n}\n\nexport function calculateMetrics(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n options: MetricsOptions = {}\n): Metrics {\n const { defaultAttribution = 'unknown', coverageThreshold = 0.7 } = options;\n\n const counts = { ai: 0, human: 0, unknown: 0 };\n const modes = { none: 0, autocomplete: 0, assisted: 0, agent: 0, unknown: 0 };\n const modeEvidence = { declared: 0, inferred: 0, none: 0 };\n for (const commit of commitStream.commits) {\n counts[commit.tags.attribution]++;\n modes[commit.tags.mode]++;\n modeEvidence[commit.tags.modeEvidence]++;\n }\n const total = commitStream.commits.length;\n const coverage = total > 0 ? (counts.ai + counts.human) / total : 0;\n\n const attribution: Attribution = {\n commitsTotal: total,\n ai: counts.ai,\n human: counts.human,\n unknown: counts.unknown,\n coverage: round(coverage, 4),\n defaultAttribution,\n coverageThreshold,\n belowThreshold: coverage < coverageThreshold,\n modes,\n modeEvidence,\n };\n\n // Cohort membership: unknown commits join a cohort only via the prior.\n // Manifest-excluded commits (release bots, merges) never do — they were\n // excluded precisely to stay out of both cohorts.\n const isExcluded = (commit: Commit) => commit.tags.sources.includes('manifest:excluded');\n const isAI = (commit: Commit) =>\n commit.tags.attribution === 'ai' ||\n (defaultAttribution === 'ai' && commit.tags.attribution === 'unknown' && !isExcluded(commit));\n const isBaseline = (commit: Commit) =>\n commit.tags.attribution === 'human' ||\n (defaultAttribution === 'human' &&\n commit.tags.attribution === 'unknown' &&\n !isExcluded(commit));\n\n const mergeRatio = calculateMergeRatio(commitStream, isAI);\n const persistence = calculatePersistence(commitStream, isAI);\n\n // Fairness context (#29, #36): cohort age and task mix\n const now = new Date();\n const aiCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isAI);\n const baselineCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isBaseline);\n const cohorts = {\n ai: {\n age: calculateAgeStats(aiCommits, now),\n taskMix: calculateCategoryCounts(aiCommits),\n },\n baseline: {\n age: calculateAgeStats(baselineCommits, now),\n taskMix: calculateCategoryCounts(baselineCommits),\n },\n };\n\n // No baseline cohort → no baseline, no delta. AIDA does not invent a\n // comparison out of unattributed commits.\n const baselineSize = baselineCommits.length;\n const baselineAssumed = defaultAttribution === 'human' && counts.unknown > 0;\n\n const baseline =\n baselineSize > 0\n ? {\n assumed: baselineAssumed,\n mergeRatio: calculateBaselineMergeRatio(commitStream, isBaseline),\n persistence: calculateBaselinePersistence(commitStream, isBaseline),\n }\n : null;\n\n const delta = baseline\n ? {\n mergeRatio: round(mergeRatio.mergeRatio - baseline.mergeRatio.mergeRatio, 4),\n avgPersistenceDays: round(persistence.avgDays - baseline.persistence.avgDays, 2),\n medianPersistenceDays: round(\n persistence.medianDays - baseline.persistence.medianDays,\n 2\n ),\n }\n : null;\n\n const caveats = [\n `Attribution coverage is ${(coverage * 100).toFixed(1)}%: metrics only describe commits whose provenance is known.`,\n 'Persistence is file-level, not line-level.',\n 'Persistence is survival: days until the first subsequent modification. Files never modified again are censored at collection time. Migrations and generated files (convention-driven lifecycles) are excluded.',\n 'Persistence comparisons are only meaningful between cohorts of similar age and task mix — check the cohorts section before reading the delta.',\n 'Merge ratio: commits from all branches checked against default branch ancestry. Squash merges may undercount unmerged commits.',\n 'Time-windowed collection (--since) also windows the ancestry check: commits merged into the default branch before the window may appear unmerged.',\n 'AI tagging uses heuristic patterns; false positives/negatives possible.',\n ];\n if (baseline?.assumed) {\n caveats.push(\n `Baseline includes ${counts.unknown} unattributed commit(s) assumed human via defaultAttribution — undetected AI usage may leak into it.`\n );\n }\n if (!baseline) {\n caveats.push(\n 'No baseline: no commits are attributed as human. Set defaultAttribution to \"human\" in .aida.json if unattributed commits in this repo are human-authored.'\n );\n }\n\n return {\n generatedAt: formatISODate(new Date()),\n window: {\n since: commitStream.since,\n until: commitStream.until,\n },\n repoPath: commitStream.repoPath,\n defaultBranch: commitStream.defaultBranch,\n attribution,\n mergeRatio,\n persistence,\n cohorts,\n baseline,\n delta,\n caveats,\n };\n}\n","import { Commit, daysBetween } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { AgeStats, CategoryCounts, FileCategory } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\n// Cohort age (#29): persistence comparisons between cohorts of different\n// ages are misleading — old commits have had more time to accumulate\n// survival. Reporting each cohort's age lets consumers judge fairness.\nexport function calculateAgeStats(commits: Commit[], now: Date): AgeStats | null {\n if (commits.length === 0) {\n return null;\n }\n\n const ages = commits\n .map((commit) => daysBetween(new Date(commit.authorDate), now))\n .sort((a, b) => a - b);\n\n const avg = ages.reduce((sum, days) => sum + days, 0) / ages.length;\n const median =\n ages.length % 2 === 0\n ? (ages[ages.length / 2 - 1] + ages[ages.length / 2]) / 2\n : ages[Math.floor(ages.length / 2)];\n\n return {\n commits: commits.length,\n avgAgeDays: Math.round(avg * 100) / 100,\n medianAgeDays: Math.round(median * 100) / 100,\n };\n}\n\n// File categorization (#36, step 1): AI is often pointed at boilerplate,\n// tests, and migrations, which survive longer because nobody touches them.\n// Reporting each cohort's category mix shows when an AI-vs-baseline\n// comparison is apples-to-oranges. Order matters: first match wins.\nexport function categorizeFile(path: string): FileCategory {\n const lower = path.toLowerCase();\n const base = lower.split('/').pop() ?? lower;\n\n // Generated artifacts (lockfiles, changelogs, snapshots, build output)\n if (\n /^(pnpm-lock\\.yaml|package-lock\\.json|yarn\\.lock|bun\\.lockb?|composer\\.lock|cargo\\.lock|gemfile\\.lock|poetry\\.lock|changelog(\\.[a-z]+)?)$/.test(\n base\n ) ||\n /\\.(snap|min\\.js|min\\.css)$/.test(base) ||\n /(^|\\/)(dist|build|out|coverage|\\.next|node_modules)\\//.test(lower)\n ) {\n return 'generated';\n }\n\n if (\n /(^|\\/)(__tests__|__mocks__|tests?|spec|e2e|cypress)\\//.test(lower) ||\n /\\.(test|spec)\\.[a-z]+$/.test(base)\n ) {\n return 'tests';\n }\n\n if (/(^|\\/)migrations?\\//.test(lower)) {\n return 'migrations';\n }\n\n if (/\\.(md|mdx|rst|adoc|txt)$/.test(base) || /(^|\\/)docs?\\//.test(lower)) {\n return 'docs';\n }\n\n if (\n base.startsWith('.') ||\n /\\.(json|ya?ml|toml|ini|cfg|conf|env|properties)$/.test(base) ||\n /\\.config\\.[a-z]+$/.test(base) ||\n /(^|\\/)(\\.github|\\.circleci|\\.vscode|config)\\//.test(lower) ||\n /^(dockerfile|makefile|tsconfig.*|eslint.*|prettier.*)/.test(base)\n ) {\n return 'config';\n }\n\n return 'source';\n}\n\nexport function calculateCategoryCounts(commits: Commit[]): CategoryCounts | null {\n if (commits.length === 0) {\n return null;\n }\n\n const counts: CategoryCounts = {\n source: 0,\n tests: 0,\n migrations: 0,\n config: 0,\n docs: 0,\n generated: 0,\n };\n\n for (const commit of commits) {\n for (const file of commit.stats.files) {\n counts[categorizeFile(file.path)]++;\n }\n }\n\n return counts;\n}\n","import { Commit, CommitStream } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { CohortMergeRatio, MergeRatio } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\nfunction computeMergeRatio(commits: Commit[]): CohortMergeRatio {\n const merged = commits.filter((commit) => commit.inDefaultBranchAncestry);\n\n return {\n commitsTotal: commits.length,\n commitsMerged: merged.length,\n mergeRatio: commits.length > 0 ? merged.length / commits.length : 0,\n };\n}\n\nexport function calculateMergeRatio(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'ai'\n): MergeRatio {\n const aiCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isTarget);\n const result = computeMergeRatio(aiCommits);\n\n return {\n aiCommitsTotal: result.commitsTotal,\n aiCommitsMerged: result.commitsMerged,\n mergeRatio: result.mergeRatio,\n };\n}\n\nexport function calculateBaselineMergeRatio(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'human'\n): CohortMergeRatio {\n const baselineCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isTarget);\n return computeMergeRatio(baselineCommits);\n}\n","import { Commit, CommitStream, daysBetween } from '@aida-dev/core';\nimport { categorizeFile } from './cohort.js';\nimport { FileCategory, Persistence } from './schema/metrics.js';\n\n// Categories whose lifecycle is governed by convention, not code quality:\n// migrations are append-only (never modified once applied), generated files\n// (lockfiles, changelogs) churn on every release regardless of author.\n// Either way their survival carries no signal, so they are excluded from\n// persistence by default. They still appear in the task-mix table.\nexport const DEFAULT_PERSISTENCE_EXCLUDED_CATEGORIES: FileCategory[] = [\n 'migrations',\n 'generated',\n];\n\nexport interface PersistenceOptions {\n excludeCategories?: FileCategory[];\n // End of the observation window, used to measure censored files (never\n // modified again). Defaults to the stream's collection time.\n observationEnd?: Date;\n}\n\ninterface FileLifecycle {\n firstTargetIndex: number;\n firstTargetDate: Date;\n // Set when a later commit modifies or deletes the file: survival ends\n eventDate: Date | null;\n}\n\n// Persistence = survival: days from the first target-cohort touch of a file\n// until the FIRST subsequent modification (or deletion) by any commit.\n// Files never touched again are censored at the observation end — they\n// survived the whole window, which is the best possible outcome, not zero.\nexport function calculatePersistence(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'ai',\n options: PersistenceOptions = {}\n): Persistence {\n const {\n excludeCategories = DEFAULT_PERSISTENCE_EXCLUDED_CATEGORIES,\n observationEnd = new Date(commitStream.generatedAt),\n } = options;\n const excluded = new Set<FileCategory>(excludeCategories);\n\n const targetCommits = commitStream.commits.filter(isTarget);\n\n const empty: Persistence = {\n commitsConsidered: targetCommits.length,\n filesConsidered: 0,\n filesExcluded: 0,\n censored: 0,\n avgDays: 0,\n medianDays: 0,\n buckets: { d0_1: 0, d2_7: 0, d8_30: 0, d31_90: 0, d90_plus: 0 },\n };\n\n if (targetCommits.length === 0) {\n return { ...empty, commitsConsidered: 0 };\n }\n\n // Sort commits by date (oldest first)\n const sortedCommits = [...commitStream.commits].sort(\n (a, b) => new Date(a.authorDate).getTime() - new Date(b.authorDate).getTime()\n );\n\n // First target-cohort touch per file\n const lifecycles = new Map<string, FileLifecycle>();\n let filesExcluded = 0;\n sortedCommits.forEach((commit, index) => {\n if (!isTarget(commit)) return;\n for (const file of commit.stats.files) {\n if (lifecycles.has(file.path)) continue;\n if (excluded.has(categorizeFile(file.path))) {\n filesExcluded++;\n lifecycles.set(file.path, { firstTargetIndex: -1, firstTargetDate: new Date(0), eventDate: null });\n continue;\n }\n lifecycles.set(file.path, {\n firstTargetIndex: index,\n firstTargetDate: new Date(commit.authorDate),\n eventDate: null,\n });\n }\n });\n\n // First subsequent modification (or deletion) ends the survival clock\n sortedCommits.forEach((commit, index) => {\n for (const file of commit.stats.files) {\n const lifecycle = lifecycles.get(file.path);\n if (!lifecycle || lifecycle.firstTargetIndex < 0) continue; // excluded category\n if (index <= lifecycle.firstTargetIndex) continue; // not later than first touch\n if (lifecycle.eventDate === null) {\n lifecycle.eventDate = new Date(commit.authorDate);\n }\n }\n });\n\n const survivalDays: number[] = [];\n let censored = 0;\n for (const lifecycle of lifecycles.values()) {\n if (lifecycle.firstTargetIndex < 0) continue; // excluded category\n if (lifecycle.eventDate) {\n survivalDays.push(daysBetween(lifecycle.firstTargetDate, lifecycle.eventDate));\n } else {\n // Never modified again: survived to the end of the observation window\n censored++;\n survivalDays.push(Math.max(0, daysBetween(lifecycle.firstTargetDate, observationEnd)));\n }\n }\n\n if (survivalDays.length === 0) {\n return { ...empty, filesExcluded };\n }\n\n const avgDays = survivalDays.reduce((sum, days) => sum + days, 0) / survivalDays.length;\n const sortedDays = [...survivalDays].sort((a, b) => a - b);\n const medianDays =\n sortedDays.length % 2 === 0\n ? (sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2 - 1] + sortedDays[sortedDays.length / 2]) / 2\n : sortedDays[Math.floor(sortedDays.length / 2)];\n\n return {\n commitsConsidered: targetCommits.length,\n filesConsidered: survivalDays.length,\n filesExcluded,\n censored,\n avgDays: Math.round(avgDays * 100) / 100,\n medianDays: Math.round(medianDays * 100) / 100,\n buckets: {\n d0_1: survivalDays.filter((days) => days <= 1).length,\n d2_7: survivalDays.filter((days) => days >= 2 && days <= 7).length,\n d8_30: survivalDays.filter((days) => days >= 8 && days <= 30).length,\n d31_90: survivalDays.filter((days) => days >= 31 && days <= 90).length,\n d90_plus: survivalDays.filter((days) => days > 90).length,\n },\n };\n}\n\nexport function calculateBaselinePersistence(\n commitStream: CommitStream,\n isTarget: (commit: Commit) => boolean = (commit) => commit.tags.attribution === 'human',\n options: PersistenceOptions = {}\n): Persistence {\n return calculatePersistence(commitStream, isTarget, options);\n}\n","import { z } from 'zod';\n\n// Attribution coverage (#34): the headline metric. Every other number in this\n// file is only as trustworthy as this block says it is.\nexport const Attribution = z.object({\n commitsTotal: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n ai: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n human: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n unknown: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n coverage: z.number().min(0).max(1), // (ai + human) / total\n defaultAttribution: z.enum(['ai', 'human', 'unknown']), // prior applied to unknown commits\n coverageThreshold: z.number().min(0).max(1),\n belowThreshold: z.boolean(),\n // Autonomy axis (#25): commit counts per mode and per mode-evidence level\n modes: z.object({\n none: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n autocomplete: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n assisted: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n agent: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n unknown: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n }),\n modeEvidence: z.object({\n declared: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n inferred: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n none: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n }),\n});\n\nexport const MergeRatio = z.object({\n aiCommitsTotal: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n aiCommitsMerged: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n mergeRatio: z.number().min(0).max(1),\n});\n\n// Persistence = survival: days from first target-cohort touch of a file to\n// the first subsequent modification. Files never modified again are censored\n// at the observation end (they survived the window — the best outcome).\n// Migrations and generated files are excluded by default: their lifecycle is\n// convention-driven and carries no quality signal.\nexport const Persistence = z.object({\n commitsConsidered: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n filesConsidered: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n filesExcluded: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n censored: z.number().int().nonnegative(), // files that survived the whole window\n avgDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n medianDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n buckets: z.object({\n d0_1: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d2_7: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d8_30: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d31_90: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n d90_plus: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n }),\n});\n\n// Cohort age (#29): context for judging whether a persistence comparison\n// between cohorts is fair — older cohorts accumulate survival by default.\nexport const AgeStats = z.object({\n commits: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n avgAgeDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n medianAgeDays: z.number().nonnegative(),\n});\n\n// Task mix (#36): what kind of files each cohort touched. A persistence\n// comparison is only meaningful when the mixes are similar.\nexport const FileCategory = z.enum([\n 'source',\n 'tests',\n 'migrations',\n 'config',\n 'docs',\n 'generated',\n]);\n\nexport const CategoryCounts = z.object({\n source: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n tests: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n migrations: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n config: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n docs: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n generated: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n});\n\nexport const CohortContext = z.object({\n age: AgeStats.nullable(),\n taskMix: CategoryCounts.nullable(),\n});\n\nexport const CohortMergeRatio = z.object({\n commitsTotal: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n commitsMerged: z.number().int().nonnegative(),\n mergeRatio: z.number().min(0).max(1),\n});\n\nexport const Baseline = z.object({\n // True when the cohort includes 'unknown' commits via defaultAttribution:\n // the baseline is an assumption, not observed attribution.\n assumed: z.boolean(),\n mergeRatio: CohortMergeRatio,\n persistence: Persistence,\n});\n\nexport const Delta = z.object({\n mergeRatio: z.number(),\n avgPersistenceDays: z.number(),\n medianPersistenceDays: z.number(),\n});\n\nexport const Metrics = z.object({\n generatedAt: z.string().datetime(),\n window: z.object({\n since: z.string().optional(),\n until: z.string().optional(),\n }),\n repoPath: z.string(),\n defaultBranch: z.string(),\n attribution: Attribution,\n mergeRatio: MergeRatio,\n persistence: Persistence,\n // Fairness context (#29, #36): age and task mix per cohort, so consumers\n // can judge whether the AI-vs-baseline comparison is apples-to-apples.\n cohorts: z.object({\n ai: CohortContext,\n baseline: CohortContext,\n }),\n // Null when no commit is attributed 'human' and no defaultAttribution prior\n // assigns the unknowns: AIDA does not invent a comparison cohort.\n baseline: Baseline.nullable(),\n delta: Delta.nullable(),\n caveats: z.array(z.string()),\n});\n\nexport type Attribution = z.infer<typeof Attribution>;\nexport type AgeStats = z.infer<typeof AgeStats>;\nexport type FileCategory = z.infer<typeof FileCategory>;\nexport type CategoryCounts = z.infer<typeof CategoryCounts>;\nexport type CohortContext = z.infer<typeof CohortContext>;\nexport type MergeRatio = z.infer<typeof MergeRatio>;\nexport type Persistence = z.infer<typeof Persistence>;\nexport type CohortMergeRatio = z.infer<typeof CohortMergeRatio>;\nexport type Baseline = z.infer<typeof Baseline>;\nexport type Delta = z.infer<typeof Delta>;\nexport type Metrics = z.infer<typeof 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package/package.json CHANGED
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  {
2
2
  "name": "@aida-dev/metrics",
3
- "version": "0.5.0",
3
+ "version": "0.6.0",
4
4
  "description": "Metrics engine for AIDA (AI Development Accounting) - Merge ratio, persistence, and AI impact analysis",
5
5
  "type": "module",
6
6
  "main": "dist/index.js",