@aibvf/core 0.3.2 → 0.3.3

package/dist/diagnose.d.ts

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+import type { ProcessSignals, BrainVerdict, Intervention, FunctionId, EvidenceMaturity } from './types.js';
+/**
+ * AI BVF Advisor Brain — process diagnosis.
+ *
+ * Deterministic. No network. No dependencies. Implements docs/brain-spec.md
+ * (the four models) calibrated by docs/evidence-table.md (the effectiveness
+ * bands). Given observed process signals it returns a BrainVerdict: the
+ * "this is too heavy → do X → save €Y → want me to get it done?" call, with
+ * confidence governed by how much was actually measured.
+ *
+ * Reuses the kernel's READINESS_CAPTURE so an org that can't absorb change
+ * doesn't get credited the gross saving.
+ */
+export declare const BRAIN_VERSION = "0.1";
+interface Band {
+    lo: number;
+    hi: number;
+    maturity: EvidenceMaturity;
+}
+/**
+ * DRAFT per-function medians for normalising cycle time + handoffs into a
+ * heaviness penalty. Pending calibration vs APQC process-cost distributions
+ * (evidence-table "honest gaps"). Directional, not audited.
+ */
+export declare const FUNCTION_MEDIANS: Record<FunctionId, {
+    cycle_days: number;
+    handoffs: number;
+}>;
+/**
+ * Per-(function × intervention) effectiveness bands, transcribed from
+ * docs/evidence-table.md. Conservative — haircut from cited headline
+ * benchmarks. Cells absent here fall back to CROSS_CUTTING.
+ */
+export declare const EVIDENCE: Partial<Record<FunctionId, Partial<Record<Intervention, Band>>>>;
+/**
+ * Diagnose one process. Deterministic: same signals in, same verdict out.
+ */
+export declare function diagnoseProcess(s: ProcessSignals): BrainVerdict;
+export {};
+//# sourceMappingURL=diagnose.d.ts.map

package/dist/diagnose.d.ts.map

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package/dist/diagnose.js

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+import { READINESS_CAPTURE } from './score.js';
+/**
+ * AI BVF Advisor Brain — process diagnosis.
+ *
+ * Deterministic. No network. No dependencies. Implements docs/brain-spec.md
+ * (the four models) calibrated by docs/evidence-table.md (the effectiveness
+ * bands). Given observed process signals it returns a BrainVerdict: the
+ * "this is too heavy → do X → save €Y → want me to get it done?" call, with
+ * confidence governed by how much was actually measured.
+ *
+ * Reuses the kernel's READINESS_CAPTURE so an org that can't absorb change
+ * doesn't get credited the gross saving.
+ */
+export const BRAIN_VERSION = '0.1';
+const clamp01 = (x) => Math.max(0, Math.min(1, x));
+const round2 = (x) => Math.round(x * 100) / 100;
+/**
+ * DRAFT per-function medians for normalising cycle time + handoffs into a
+ * heaviness penalty. Pending calibration vs APQC process-cost distributions
+ * (evidence-table "honest gaps"). Directional, not audited.
+ */
+export const FUNCTION_MEDIANS = {
+    finance: { cycle_days: 5, handoffs: 4 },
+    hr: { cycle_days: 7, handoffs: 4 },
+    sales: { cycle_days: 14, handoffs: 3 },
+    supply: { cycle_days: 10, handoffs: 5 },
+    cx: { cycle_days: 1, handoffs: 2 },
+    risk: { cycle_days: 7, handoffs: 4 },
+    it: { cycle_days: 2, handoffs: 3 },
+    rd: { cycle_days: 30, handoffs: 4 },
+};
+/** Heaviness factor weights (sum to 1.0). brain-spec §3.2. */
+const HEAVINESS_WEIGHTS = { manual: 0.25, rework: 0.20, handoffs: 0.20, wait: 0.20, cycle: 0.15 };
+/** Cross-cutting fallback bands (process-mining grounded). evidence-table. */
+const CROSS_CUTTING = {
+    'Automate': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.50, maturity: 'Medium' },
+    'Consolidate & re-sequence': { lo: 0.20, hi: 0.40, maturity: 'Medium' },
+    'Quality controls': { lo: 0.40, hi: 0.70, maturity: 'Medium' },
+    'Eliminate / insource': { lo: 0.60, hi: 0.90, maturity: 'Low' },
+};
+/**
+ * Per-(function × intervention) effectiveness bands, transcribed from
+ * docs/evidence-table.md. Conservative — haircut from cited headline
+ * benchmarks. Cells absent here fall back to CROSS_CUTTING.
+ */
+export const EVIDENCE = {
+    finance: {
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.40, hi: 0.65, maturity: 'High' },
+        'Quality controls': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.55, maturity: 'Medium' },
+        'Consolidate & re-sequence': { lo: 0.20, hi: 0.35, maturity: 'Medium' },
+        'Eliminate / insource': { lo: 0.50, hi: 0.80, maturity: 'Low' },
+    },
+    hr: {
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.35, hi: 0.60, maturity: 'High' },
+        'Consolidate & re-sequence': { lo: 0.20, hi: 0.35, maturity: 'Medium' },
+        'Quality controls': { lo: 0.25, hi: 0.45, maturity: 'Low' },
+        'Eliminate / insource': { lo: 0.50, hi: 0.80, maturity: 'Low' },
+    },
+    supply: {
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.25, hi: 0.45, maturity: 'Medium' },
+        'Quality controls': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.55, maturity: 'Medium' },
+        'Consolidate & re-sequence': { lo: 0.20, hi: 0.40, maturity: 'Medium' },
+        'Eliminate / insource': { lo: 0.60, hi: 0.90, maturity: 'Low' },
+    },
+    cx: {
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.35, hi: 0.60, maturity: 'High' },
+        'Quality controls': { lo: 0.25, hi: 0.45, maturity: 'Medium' },
+    },
+    it: {
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.55, maturity: 'High' },
+        'Consolidate & re-sequence': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.55, maturity: 'High' },
+        'Quality controls': { lo: 0.25, hi: 0.45, maturity: 'Medium' },
+    },
+    risk: {
+        'Quality controls': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.50, maturity: 'Medium' },
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.55, maturity: 'Medium' },
+    },
+    sales: {
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.30, hi: 0.50, maturity: 'Low' },
+    },
+    rd: {
+        'Automate': { lo: 0.20, hi: 0.40, maturity: 'Medium' },
+    },
+};
+const MATURITY_EVIDENCE = { High: 0.9, Medium: 0.6, Low: 0.3 };
+/** Low-volume threshold below which a heavy process is an Eliminate candidate. DRAFT. */
+const ELIMINATE_VOLUME = 250;
+function bandFor(fn, iv) {
+    return EVIDENCE[fn]?.[iv] ?? CROSS_CUTTING[iv];
+}
+function dominantFactor(d) {
+    return Object.keys(d).reduce((a, b) => (d[b] > d[a] ? b : a));
+}
+/**
+ * Saturated signals (penalty near 0 or 1) mean we are extrapolating beyond the
+ * range the bands were calibrated on → lower fit. Mid-range signals → high fit.
+ */
+function benchmarkFit(penalties) {
+    const saturated = penalties.filter(p => p > 0.95 || p < 0.05).length;
+    return clamp01(1 - saturated / penalties.length);
+}
+/**
+ * Diagnose one process. Deterministic: same signals in, same verdict out.
+ */
+export function diagnoseProcess(s) {
+    const fn = s.function;
+    const med = FUNCTION_MEDIANS[fn];
+    if (!med)
+        throw new Error(`Unknown function: ${fn}`);
+    const readiness = s.readiness ?? 'traditional';
+    const cap = READINESS_CAPTURE[readiness];
+    if (!cap)
+        throw new Error(`Unknown readiness: ${readiness}`);
+    // ── 3.1 baseline cost ("your current spend") ──
+    const labour_cost = s.instances_per_year * s.fte_hours_per_instance * s.loaded_hourly_rate_eur;
+    const baseline_cost_eur = Math.round(labour_cost + s.direct_spend_eur);
+    if (baseline_cost_eur <= 0)
+        throw new Error('baseline_cost_eur must be positive — check signal inputs');
+    // ── 3.2 heaviness index + drag decomposition ──
+    const cycle_penalty = clamp01(s.cycle_time_days / (2 * med.cycle_days));
+    const handoff_penalty = clamp01(s.handoffs / (2 * med.handoffs));
+    const rework_penalty = clamp01(s.rework_rate);
+    const manual_penalty = clamp01(1 - s.automation_level);
+    const wait_penalty = clamp01(1 - s.touch_ratio);
+    const w = HEAVINESS_WEIGHTS;
+    const weighted = {
+        manual: manual_penalty * w.manual,
+        rework: rework_penalty * w.rework,
+        handoffs: handoff_penalty * w.handoffs,
+        wait: wait_penalty * w.wait,
+        cycle: cycle_penalty * w.cycle,
+    };
+    const heavySum = weighted.manual + weighted.rework + weighted.handoffs + weighted.wait + weighted.cycle;
+    const heaviness = Math.round(100 * heavySum); // weights sum to 1, penalties 0..1 → 0..100
+    const drag_decomposition = heavySum > 0 ? {
+        manual: round2(weighted.manual / heavySum),
+        handoffs: round2(weighted.handoffs / heavySum),
+        wait: round2(weighted.wait / heavySum),
+        rework: round2(weighted.rework / heavySum),
+        cycle: round2(weighted.cycle / heavySum),
+    } : { manual: 0, handoffs: 0, wait: 0, rework: 0, cycle: 0 };
+    // ── 3.3 intervention selector + addressable fraction ──
+    const labour_fraction = clamp01(labour_cost / ((labour_cost + s.direct_spend_eur) || 1));
+    let intervention;
+    let addressable;
+    if (s.instances_per_year < ELIMINATE_VOLUME && heaviness >= 50) {
+        intervention = 'Eliminate / insource';
+        addressable = 1.0;
+    }
+    else {
+        const dominant = dominantFactor(drag_decomposition);
+        if (dominant === 'manual') {
+            intervention = 'Automate';
+            addressable = labour_fraction;
+        }
+        else if (dominant === 'rework') {
+            intervention = 'Quality controls';
+            addressable = clamp01(s.rework_rate);
+        }
+        else { // handoffs | wait | cycle
+            intervention = 'Consolidate & re-sequence';
+            addressable = labour_fraction;
+        }
+    }
+    const band = bandFor(fn, intervention);
+    // ── 3.4 savings quantifier ──
+    const gross_low = baseline_cost_eur * addressable * band.lo;
+    const gross_high = baseline_cost_eur * addressable * band.hi;
+    const net_saving_low_eur = Math.round(gross_low * cap.low);
+    const net_saving_high_eur = Math.round(gross_high * cap.high);
+    const eff_mid = (band.lo + band.hi) / 2;
+    const efficiency_gain_pct = Math.round(eff_mid * addressable * 100);
+    // ── §4 decision confidence ──
+    const signal_completeness = clamp01(s.signal_completeness ?? 0.7);
+    const intervention_evidence = MATURITY_EVIDENCE[band.maturity];
+    const benchmark_fit = benchmarkFit([cycle_penalty, handoff_penalty, rework_penalty, manual_penalty, wait_penalty]);
+    const decision_confidence = round2(0.5 * signal_completeness + 0.4 * intervention_evidence + 0.1 * benchmark_fit);
+    // ── §4 verdict (on the intervention) ──
+    const net_mid = (net_saving_low_eur + net_saving_high_eur) / 2;
+    const saving_ratio = net_mid / baseline_cost_eur;
+    let verdict;
+    if (heaviness < 25 || saving_ratio < 0.02) {
+        verdict = 'Stop';
+    }
+    else if (saving_ratio >= 0.05 && decision_confidence >= 0.6) {
+        verdict = 'Accelerate';
+    }
+    else {
+        verdict = 'Fix';
+    }
+    const assumptions = [
+        `loaded rate €${s.loaded_hourly_rate_eur}/hr`,
+        `${readiness} capture band ${cap.low}–${cap.high}`,
+        `evidence ${band.maturity} (effectiveness ${band.lo}–${band.hi})`,
+        `signal completeness ${signal_completeness}`,
+        'heaviness bands DRAFT — pending APQC calibration',
+    ];
+    return {
+        process_id: s.process_id,
+        function: fn,
+        baseline_cost_eur,
+        heaviness,
+        drag_decomposition,
+        intervention,
+        net_saving_low_eur,
+        net_saving_high_eur,
+        efficiency_gain_pct,
+        verdict,
+        decision_confidence,
+        assumptions,
+        offer_to_execute: verdict === 'Accelerate',
+        evidence_maturity: band.maturity,
+        brain_version: BRAIN_VERSION,
+        disclaimer: 'Directional decision aid, not an audited figure.',
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=diagnose.js.map

package/dist/diagnose.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/diagnose.test.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
+export {};
+//# sourceMappingURL=diagnose.test.d.ts.map

package/dist/diagnose.test.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"diagnose.test.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../src/diagnose.test.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":""}

package/dist/diagnose.test.js

@@ -0,0 +1,93 @@
+import { test } from 'node:test';
+import assert from 'node:assert/strict';
+import { diagnoseProcess } from './diagnose.js';
+// A heavy, mostly-manual finance process: high volume, low automation,
+// real rework, fully measured.
+const heavyFinance = {
+    process_id: 'fin-ap',
+    function: 'finance',
+    instances_per_year: 50_000,
+    fte_hours_per_instance: 0.5,
+    loaded_hourly_rate_eur: 60,
+    cycle_time_days: 12,
+    touch_ratio: 0.3,
+    handoffs: 6,
+    rework_rate: 0.25,
+    automation_level: 0.1,
+    direct_spend_eur: 200_000,
+    signal_completeness: 0.9,
+    readiness: 'traditional',
+};
+test('baseline cost = labour + direct spend', () => {
+    const v = diagnoseProcess(heavyFinance);
+    // 50000 * 0.5 * 60 = 1_500_000 + 200_000 = 1_700_000
+    assert.equal(v.baseline_cost_eur, 1_700_000);
+});
+test('deterministic: same input → identical output', () => {
+    assert.deepEqual(diagnoseProcess(heavyFinance), diagnoseProcess(heavyFinance));
+});
+test('heavy manual finance process → Automate + Accelerate + offer', () => {
+    const v = diagnoseProcess(heavyFinance);
+    assert.equal(v.intervention, 'Automate');
+    assert.equal(v.verdict, 'Accelerate');
+    assert.equal(v.offer_to_execute, true);
+    assert.equal(v.evidence_maturity, 'High'); // finance×Automate
+});
+test('bounds: heaviness 0..100, confidence 0..1, savings ordered', () => {
+    const v = diagnoseProcess(heavyFinance);
+    assert.ok(v.heaviness >= 0 && v.heaviness <= 100);
+    assert.ok(v.decision_confidence >= 0 && v.decision_confidence <= 1);
+    assert.ok(v.net_saving_low_eur <= v.net_saving_high_eur);
+    const sum = Object.values(v.drag_decomposition).reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);
+    assert.ok(Math.abs(sum - 1) < 0.02); // decomposition normalised
+});
+test('light process → low heaviness → Stop', () => {
+    const light = {
+        ...heavyFinance,
+        process_id: 'fin-light',
+        automation_level: 0.95,
+        rework_rate: 0.01,
+        handoffs: 1,
+        touch_ratio: 0.95,
+        cycle_time_days: 1,
+    };
+    const v = diagnoseProcess(light);
+    assert.ok(v.heaviness < 25, `expected light, got heaviness ${v.heaviness}`);
+    assert.equal(v.verdict, 'Stop');
+});
+test('low signal completeness drags confidence down', () => {
+    const blind = { ...heavyFinance, signal_completeness: 0.2 };
+    const seen = diagnoseProcess(heavyFinance).decision_confidence;
+    const unseen = diagnoseProcess(blind).decision_confidence;
+    assert.ok(unseen < seen, `expected ${unseen} < ${seen}`);
+});
+test('evidence fallback: rework-dominant sales uses cross-cutting Quality band', () => {
+    const sales = {
+        process_id: 'sales-rework',
+        function: 'sales',
+        instances_per_year: 10_000,
+        fte_hours_per_instance: 1,
+        loaded_hourly_rate_eur: 70,
+        cycle_time_days: 5,
+        touch_ratio: 0.8,
+        handoffs: 2,
+        rework_rate: 0.9, // rework dominates → Quality controls
+        automation_level: 0.8,
+        direct_spend_eur: 0,
+        signal_completeness: 0.8,
+    };
+    const v = diagnoseProcess(sales);
+    assert.equal(v.intervention, 'Quality controls');
+    // sales has no Quality cell → cross-cutting Medium
+    assert.equal(v.evidence_maturity, 'Medium');
+});
+test('low-volume heavy process → Eliminate / insource', () => {
+    const niche = {
+        ...heavyFinance,
+        process_id: 'fin-niche',
+        instances_per_year: 100, // below ELIMINATE_VOLUME
+    };
+    const v = diagnoseProcess(niche);
+    assert.equal(v.intervention, 'Eliminate / insource');
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=diagnose.test.js.map

package/dist/diagnose.test.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/index.d.ts

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 export { validate } from './validate.js';
 export { score, recommendImprovements, calculatePaceLayerDrag, BASE_RATES, IND_MULT, TIER_ADJ, READINESS_CAPTURE, PACE_DRAG_RATE, } from './score.js';
+export { diagnoseProcess, BRAIN_VERSION, EVIDENCE, FUNCTION_MEDIANS, } from './diagnose.js';
 export { bvfSchema } from './schema.js';
 export { INDUSTRIES, FUNCTIONS, AI_TIERS, READINESS, INDUSTRY_LABEL, FUNCTION_LABEL, TIER_LABEL } from './taxonomy.js';
 export type * from './types.js';

package/dist/index.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/index.js

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 export { validate } from './validate.js';
 export { score, recommendImprovements, calculatePaceLayerDrag, BASE_RATES, IND_MULT, TIER_ADJ, READINESS_CAPTURE, PACE_DRAG_RATE, } from './score.js';
+export { diagnoseProcess, BRAIN_VERSION, EVIDENCE, FUNCTION_MEDIANS, } from './diagnose.js';
 export { bvfSchema } from './schema.js';
 export { INDUSTRIES, FUNCTIONS, AI_TIERS, READINESS, INDUSTRY_LABEL, FUNCTION_LABEL, TIER_LABEL } from './taxonomy.js';
 export const BVF_VERSION = '1.0';

package/dist/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/types.d.ts

@@ -111,4 +111,48 @@ export interface ValidationResult {
     valid: boolean;
     errors: ValidationError[];
 }
+export type Intervention = 'Automate' | 'Consolidate & re-sequence' | 'Quality controls' | 'Eliminate / insource';
+export type EvidenceMaturity = 'High' | 'Medium' | 'Low';
+/** Source-agnostic process signals the agent extracts from digital exhaust. */
+export interface ProcessSignals {
+    process_id: string;
+    function: FunctionId;
+    instances_per_year: number;
+    fte_hours_per_instance: number;
+    loaded_hourly_rate_eur: number;
+    cycle_time_days: number;
+    touch_ratio: number;
+    handoffs: number;
+    rework_rate: number;
+    automation_level: number;
+    direct_spend_eur: number;
+    signal_completeness?: number;
+    readiness?: Readiness;
+}
+export interface DragDecomposition {
+    manual: number;
+    handoffs: number;
+    wait: number;
+    rework: number;
+    cycle: number;
+}
+/** The Brain's verdict on one process — both the proposal and the one-pager. */
+export interface BrainVerdict {
+    process_id: string;
+    function: FunctionId;
+    baseline_cost_eur: number;
+    heaviness: number;
+    drag_decomposition: DragDecomposition;
+    intervention: Intervention;
+    net_saving_low_eur: number;
+    net_saving_high_eur: number;
+    efficiency_gain_pct: number;
+    verdict: Classification;
+    decision_confidence: number;
+    assumptions: string[];
+    offer_to_execute: boolean;
+    evidence_maturity: EvidenceMaturity;
+    brain_version: string;
+    disclaimer: string;
+}
 //# sourceMappingURL=types.d.ts.map

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package/package.json

@@ -1,8 +1,17 @@
 {
   "name": "@aibvf/core",
-  "version": "0.3.2",
+  "version": "0.3.3",
   "description": "AI BVF — open protocol for scoring AI investments. Validator and scoring engine.",
-  "keywords": ["ai", "bvf", "ai-governance", "enterprise-ai", "ai-scoring", "ai-roi", "eu-ai-act", "standards"],
+  "keywords": [
+    "ai",
+    "bvf",
+    "ai-governance",
+    "enterprise-ai",
+    "ai-scoring",
+    "ai-roi",
+    "eu-ai-act",
+    "standards"
+  ],
   "homepage": "https://www.aibvf.com/protocol",
   "repository": "github:Bahamas1717/ai-bvf",
   "license": "MIT",
@@ -11,10 +20,20 @@
   "main": "dist/index.js",
   "types": "dist/index.d.ts",
   "exports": {
-    ".": { "import": "./dist/index.js", "types": "./dist/index.d.ts" },
-    "./schema": { "import": "./dist/schema.js", "types": "./dist/schema.d.ts" }
+    ".": {
+      "import": "./dist/index.js",
+      "types": "./dist/index.d.ts"
+    },
+    "./schema": {
+      "import": "./dist/schema.js",
+      "types": "./dist/schema.d.ts"
+    }
   },
-  "files": ["dist", "README.md", "LICENSE"],
+  "files": [
+    "dist",
+    "README.md",
+    "LICENSE"
+  ],
   "scripts": {
     "build": "tsc",
     "test": "node --test dist/*.test.js"