@actuarial-ts/core 0.4.0 → 0.5.0

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Files changed (7) hide show
  1. package/README.md +12 -1
  2. package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.d.ts +1 -1
  3. package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.d.ts.map +1 -1
  4. package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.js +3 -1
  5. package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.js.map +1 -1
  6. package/package.json +1 -1
  7. package/src/casualtyDiagnostics.ts +3 -1
package/README.md CHANGED
@@ -104,7 +104,7 @@ Three rules hold everywhere:
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  | `trend` | `analyzeTrend`, `trendValue` (log-linear, windowed) | Werner & Modlin, *Basic Ratemaking* ch. 6 |
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  | `onlevel` | `parallelogramOnLevel` (exact piecewise-linear earning geometry) | Werner & Modlin ch. 5 |
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  | `diagnostics` | `runDiagnostics` (paid/incurred drift, case adequacy, closure rates), `calendarYearTest` | Mack (1994) calendar-year rank test |
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- | `metricDiagnostics` | generic ratio-of-sums metrics, claim-level amount layers, emergence/triangle/maturity views, optional 20-metric casualty preset | actuarial diagnostic practice |
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+ | `metricDiagnostics` | generic ratio-of-sums metrics, claim-level amount layers, emergence/triangle/maturity views, optional 22-metric casualty preset | actuarial diagnostic practice |
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  | `periods` | quarterly parse/format/compare, development age, fiscal/policy mapping, complete-quarter cutoffs | explicit SDK conventions |
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  | `canonical` | `canonicalJson` (RFC 8785 / JCS canonical serialization), `fnv1a64` (integrity tagging aid — not a security control) | RFC 8785 |
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@@ -175,6 +175,17 @@ exposure; a missing contributor makes the combined exposure null with an
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  exposure copies honor valuation filters, while exposure rows without a
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  valuation remain timeless.
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+ The preset's count-share definitions include the reported-base ratios
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+ `CNP / reported`, `CWP / reported`, and `open / reported`, plus two
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+ non-CNP-base ratios:
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+
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+ - `closed-with-pay-share-of-non-cnp` = `CWP / (reported - CNP)`
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+ - `open-share-of-non-cnp` = `open / (reported - CNP)`
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+
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+ Both use the ordinary metric evaluator, so aggregation is a ratio of component
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+ sums and a non-positive or incomplete `reported - CNP` denominator fails
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+ closed with the standard structured warnings.
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+
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  ### Amount layers
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  `deriveAmountLayers` evaluates a declarative layer on each claim row before
package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.d.ts CHANGED
@@ -26,7 +26,7 @@ export interface CasualtyMetricPresetOptions {
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  /** Per-metric display/basis overrides; formulas remain the documented preset formulas. */
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  displayOverrides?: Readonly<Record<string, MetricDisplayOverride>>;
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  }
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- /** Builds the optional 20-metric reference preset from caller-selected keys and display metadata. */
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+ /** Builds the optional 22-metric reference preset from caller-selected keys and display metadata. */
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  export declare function createCasualtyQuarterlyMetrics(options?: CasualtyMetricPresetOptions): readonly MetricDefinition[];
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  export declare const CASUALTY_QUARTERLY_METRICS: readonly MetricDefinition[];
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  export interface CasualtyAmountLayerOptions {
package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.d.ts.map CHANGED
@@ -1 +1 @@
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+ {"version":3,"file":"casualtyDiagnostics.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../src/casualtyDiagnostics.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA,OAAO,EAEL,KAAK,qBAAqB,EAE1B,KAAK,gBAAgB,EAEtB,MAAM,wBAAwB,CAAC;AAahC,MAAM,WAAW,+BAA+B;IAC9C,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACjB,IAAI,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACb,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACpB,aAAa,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACtB,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACjB,OAAO,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAChB,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACpB,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACpB,eAAe,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;CACzB;AAED,eAAO,MAAM,8BAA8B,EAAE,QAAQ,CAAC,+BAA+B,CAU3E,CAAC;AAEX,KAAK,qBAAqB,GAAG,OAAO,CAAC,IAAI,CACvC,gBAAgB,EAChB,aAAa,GAAG,aAAa,GAAG,MAAM,GAAG,gBAAgB,GAAG,kBAAkB,GAAG,OAAO,CACzF,CAAC,CAAC;AAEH,MAAM,WAAW,2BAA2B;IAC1C,qEAAqE;IACrE,UAAU,CAAC,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC,+BAA+B,CAAC,CAAC;IACtD,cAAc,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACxB,aAAa,CAAC,EAAE,gBAAgB,CAAC,MAAM,CAAC,CAAC;IACzC,iBAAiB,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAC3B,WAAW,CAAC,EAAE;QAAE,UAAU,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAAC,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAAC,MAAM,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAA;KAAE,CAAC;IACzE,0FAA0F;IAC1F,gBAAgB,CAAC,EAAE,QAAQ,CAAC,MAAM,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,qBAAqB,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC;CACpE;AA6CD,qGAAqG;AACrG,wBAAgB,8BAA8B,CAC5C,OAAO,GAAE,2BAAgC,GACxC,SAAS,gBAAgB,EAAE,CA0C7B;AAED,eAAO,MAAM,0BAA0B,6BAAmC,CAAC;AAE3E,MAAM,WAAW,0BAA0B;IACzC,UAAU,CAAC,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,+BAA+B,EAAE,SAAS,GAAG,aAAa,GAAG,aAAa,GAAG,iBAAiB,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC;IAC3H,UAAU,CAAC,EAAE;QACX,EAAE,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACZ,WAAW,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACrB,iBAAiB,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAC3B,qBAAqB,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;KAChC,CAAC;IACF,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE;QACR,EAAE,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACZ,WAAW,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QACrB,oBAAoB,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAC9B,wBAAwB,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAClC,kBAAkB,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAC5B,sBAAsB,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;QAChC,cAAc,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;KACzB,CAAC;CACH;AAED,wBAAgB,0BAA0B,CACxC,OAAO,GAAE,0BAA+B,GACvC,SAAS,qBAAqB,EAAE,CA6BlC;AAED,eAAO,MAAM,sBAAsB,kCAA+B,CAAC"}
package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.js CHANGED
@@ -45,7 +45,7 @@ const paidWarning = [{
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  message: "Paid exceeds incurred on the selected amount basis",
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  tolerance: 1e-9,
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  }];
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- /** Builds the optional 20-metric reference preset from caller-selected keys and display metadata. */
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+ /** Builds the optional 22-metric reference preset from caller-selected keys and display metadata. */
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  export function createCasualtyQuarterlyMetrics(options = {}) {
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  const C = {
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  ...CASUALTY_DIAGNOSTIC_COMPONENTS,
@@ -72,7 +72,9 @@ export function createCasualtyQuarterlyMetrics(options = {}) {
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  metric("non-closed-no-pay-frequency", "Non-closed-no-pay frequency", "Reported less closed-no-pay claims per scaled exposure units", frequencyUnit, frequencyScale, nonClosedNoPay, m(C.exposure), "reported less closed-no-pay claims", "exposure", countBasis, version, override("non-closed-no-pay-frequency")),
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  metric("closed-no-pay-share", "Closed-no-pay share", "Closed-no-pay claims divided by reported claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.closedNoPay), m(C.reported), "closed-no-pay claims", "reported claims", countBasis, version, override("closed-no-pay-share")),
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  metric("closed-with-pay-share", "Closed-with-pay share", "Closed-with-pay claims divided by reported claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.closedWithPay), m(C.reported), "closed-with-pay claims", "reported claims", countBasis, version, override("closed-with-pay-share")),
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+ metric("closed-with-pay-share-of-non-cnp", "Closed-with-pay share of non-CNP claims", "Closed-with-pay claims divided by reported less closed-no-pay claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.closedWithPay), nonClosedNoPay, "closed-with-pay claims", "reported less closed-no-pay claims", countBasis, version, override("closed-with-pay-share-of-non-cnp")),
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  metric("open-share", "Open share", "Open claims divided by reported claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.open), m(C.reported), "open claims", "reported claims", countBasis, version, override("open-share")),
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+ metric("open-share-of-non-cnp", "Open share of non-CNP claims", "Open claims divided by reported less closed-no-pay claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.open), nonClosedNoPay, "open claims", "reported less closed-no-pay claims", countBasis, version, override("open-share-of-non-cnp")),
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  metric("paid-to-incurred-250", "Paid-to-incurred ($250K)", "Paid divided by incurred on the pre-capped $250K basis", "ratio", 1, m(C.paid250), m(C.incurred250), "$250K paid", "$250K incurred", limitedBasis, version, override("paid-to-incurred-250"), paidWarning),
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  metric("paid-to-incurred-primary", "Paid-to-incurred (primary)", "Paid divided by incurred on the primary basis", "ratio", 1, m(C.paidPrimary), m(C.incurredPrimary), "primary paid", "primary incurred", primaryBasis, version, override("paid-to-incurred-primary"), paidWarning),
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  metric("incurred-250-per-exposure", "Incurred per exposure ($250K)", "$250K incurred divided by exposure", "currency-per-exposure", 1, m(C.incurred250), m(C.exposure), "$250K incurred", "exposure", limitedBasis, version, override("incurred-250-per-exposure")),
package/dist/casualtyDiagnostics.js.map CHANGED
@@ -1 +1 @@
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- 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package/package.json CHANGED
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  {
2
2
  "name": "@actuarial-ts/core",
3
- "version": "0.4.0",
3
+ "version": "0.5.0",
4
4
  "description": "Pure, zero-dependency P&C loss reserving engine for TypeScript: triangles, chain ladder, Mack, Bornhuetter-Ferguson, Benktander, Cape Cod (Gluck decay), Munich chain ladder, Clark growth curves, frequency-severity, Berquist-Sherman, ULAE, discounting, tails, capping/ILF, trend/on-level, diagnostics, and a seeded stochastic layer (ODP bootstrap, Merz-Wuthrich one-year risk) — validated against published actuarial literature.",
5
5
  "license": "Apache-2.0",
6
6
  "type": "module",
package/src/casualtyDiagnostics.ts CHANGED
@@ -100,7 +100,7 @@ const paidWarning: readonly MetricWarningRule[] = [{
100
100
  tolerance: 1e-9,
101
101
  }];
102
102
 
103
- /** Builds the optional 20-metric reference preset from caller-selected keys and display metadata. */
103
+ /** Builds the optional 22-metric reference preset from caller-selected keys and display metadata. */
104
104
  export function createCasualtyQuarterlyMetrics(
105
105
  options: CasualtyMetricPresetOptions = {},
106
106
  ): readonly MetricDefinition[] {
@@ -129,7 +129,9 @@ export function createCasualtyQuarterlyMetrics(
129
129
  metric("non-closed-no-pay-frequency", "Non-closed-no-pay frequency", "Reported less closed-no-pay claims per scaled exposure units", frequencyUnit, frequencyScale, nonClosedNoPay, m(C.exposure), "reported less closed-no-pay claims", "exposure", countBasis, version, override("non-closed-no-pay-frequency")),
130
130
  metric("closed-no-pay-share", "Closed-no-pay share", "Closed-no-pay claims divided by reported claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.closedNoPay), m(C.reported), "closed-no-pay claims", "reported claims", countBasis, version, override("closed-no-pay-share")),
131
131
  metric("closed-with-pay-share", "Closed-with-pay share", "Closed-with-pay claims divided by reported claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.closedWithPay), m(C.reported), "closed-with-pay claims", "reported claims", countBasis, version, override("closed-with-pay-share")),
132
+ metric("closed-with-pay-share-of-non-cnp", "Closed-with-pay share of non-CNP claims", "Closed-with-pay claims divided by reported less closed-no-pay claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.closedWithPay), nonClosedNoPay, "closed-with-pay claims", "reported less closed-no-pay claims", countBasis, version, override("closed-with-pay-share-of-non-cnp")),
132
133
  metric("open-share", "Open share", "Open claims divided by reported claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.open), m(C.reported), "open claims", "reported claims", countBasis, version, override("open-share")),
134
+ metric("open-share-of-non-cnp", "Open share of non-CNP claims", "Open claims divided by reported less closed-no-pay claims", "ratio", 1, m(C.open), nonClosedNoPay, "open claims", "reported less closed-no-pay claims", countBasis, version, override("open-share-of-non-cnp")),
133
135
  metric("paid-to-incurred-250", "Paid-to-incurred ($250K)", "Paid divided by incurred on the pre-capped $250K basis", "ratio", 1, m(C.paid250), m(C.incurred250), "$250K paid", "$250K incurred", limitedBasis, version, override("paid-to-incurred-250"), paidWarning),
134
136
  metric("paid-to-incurred-primary", "Paid-to-incurred (primary)", "Paid divided by incurred on the primary basis", "ratio", 1, m(C.paidPrimary), m(C.incurredPrimary), "primary paid", "primary incurred", primaryBasis, version, override("paid-to-incurred-primary"), paidWarning),
135
137
  metric("incurred-250-per-exposure", "Incurred per exposure ($250K)", "$250K incurred divided by exposure", "currency-per-exposure", 1, m(C.incurred250), m(C.exposure), "$250K incurred", "exposure", limitedBasis, version, override("incurred-250-per-exposure")),