@actuarial-ts/core 0.3.0 → 0.5.0

package/dist/freqSev.js

@@ -1,12 +1,12 @@
 import { ReservingError } from "./types.js";
-import { isNum, lastObservedIndex, safeRatio } from "./util.js";
+import { assertSameShape, isNum, lastObservedIndex, safeRatio } from "./util.js";
 import { runChainLadder } from "./chainladder.js";
 /**
  * Average-severity triangle: cell-wise losses / counts. Null-safe: a
  * missing, zero, or negative count yields a null severity cell.
  */
 export function severityTriangle(lossTri, countTri) {
-    assertSameShape(lossTri, countTri);
+    assertSameShape(lossTri, countTri, "The loss and count triangles must share identical origins and development ages");
     return {
         kind: lossTri.kind,
         origins: [...lossTri.origins],
@@ -14,15 +14,8 @@ export function severityTriangle(lossTri, countTri) {
         values: lossTri.values.map((row, i) => row.map((loss, j) => safeRatio(loss ?? null, countTri.values[i][j] ?? null))),
     };
 }
-function assertSameShape(a, b) {
-    const sameOrigins = a.origins.length === b.origins.length && a.origins.every((o, i) => o === b.origins[i]);
-    const sameAges = a.ages.length === b.ages.length && a.ages.every((v, i) => v === b.ages[i]);
-    if (!sameOrigins || !sameAges) {
-        throw new ReservingError("SHAPE", "The loss and count triangles must share identical origins and development ages");
-    }
-}
 export function runFrequencySeverity(lossTri, countTri, options) {
-    assertSameShape(lossTri, countTri);
+    assertSameShape(lossTri, countTri, "The loss and count triangles must share identical origins and development ages");
     const warnings = [];
     const countCl = runChainLadder(countTri, {
         selected: options.countSelected,

package/dist/freqSev.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/index.d.ts

@@ -14,6 +14,9 @@ export * from "./tail.js";
 export * from "./berquist.js";
 export * from "./clark.js";
 export * from "./diagnostics.js";
+export * from "./periods.js";
+export * from "./metricDiagnostics.js";
+export * from "./casualtyDiagnostics.js";
 export * from "./mack.js";
 export * from "./capping.js";
 export * from "./ilf.js";

package/dist/index.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/index.js

@@ -14,6 +14,9 @@ export * from "./tail.js";
 export * from "./berquist.js";
 export * from "./clark.js";
 export * from "./diagnostics.js";
+export * from "./periods.js";
+export * from "./metricDiagnostics.js";
+export * from "./casualtyDiagnostics.js";
 export * from "./mack.js";
 export * from "./capping.js";
 export * from "./ilf.js";

package/dist/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/metricDiagnostics.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,212 @@
+import { type DiagnosticFinding } from "./types.js";
+export type SparseValuePolicy = "preserve-null" | "zero-fill";
+export type DiagnosticMeasureMap = Readonly<Record<string, number | null | undefined>>;
+export type MeasureExpression = {
+    op: "measure";
+    measure: string;
+} | {
+    op: "add";
+    terms: readonly MeasureExpression[];
+} | {
+    op: "subtract";
+    left: MeasureExpression;
+    right: MeasureExpression;
+};
+export interface DiagnosticWarning {
+    code: "MISSING_COMPONENT" | "NON_FINITE_COMPONENT" | "NON_FINITE_NUMERATOR" | "NON_FINITE_RESULT" | "INVALID_DENOMINATOR" | "INCOMPLETE_EXPOSURE" | "CONFLICTING_EXPOSURE" | "DUPLICATE_EXPOSURE_KEY" | "PAID_EXCEEDS_INCURRED" | (string & {});
+    message: string;
+    component?: string;
+    exposureKey?: string;
+}
+/** Adapts structured metric warnings to the existing core diagnostic finding vocabulary. */
+export declare function diagnosticWarningToFinding(warning: DiagnosticWarning): DiagnosticFinding;
+export interface MetricWarningRule {
+    code: "PAID_EXCEEDS_INCURRED";
+    when: "numerator-greater-than-denominator";
+    message: string;
+    tolerance?: number;
+}
+export interface MetricDefinition {
+    id: string;
+    version: string;
+    displayName: string;
+    description: string;
+    unit: "count-per-million" | "ratio" | "currency-per-exposure" | "currency-per-claim" | (string & {});
+    scale: number;
+    numerator: MeasureExpression;
+    denominator: MeasureExpression;
+    numeratorLabel: string;
+    denominatorLabel: string;
+    basis: string;
+    requiredComponents: readonly string[];
+    warningRules?: readonly MetricWarningRule[];
+    /** Optional pure caller rule for domain warnings beyond the built-in comparisons. */
+    evaluateWarnings?: (context: MetricWarningContext) => readonly DiagnosticWarning[];
+}
+export interface MetricWarningContext {
+    definition: MetricDefinition;
+    components: Readonly<Record<string, number | null>>;
+    rawNumerator: number | null;
+    rawDenominator: number | null;
+    value: number | null;
+}
+export interface MetricEvaluation {
+    metricId: string;
+    metricVersion: string;
+    value: number | null;
+    rawNumerator: number | null;
+    rawDenominator: number | null;
+    numeratorLabel: string;
+    denominatorLabel: string;
+    unit: MetricDefinition["unit"];
+    scale: number;
+    basis: string;
+    rawComponents: Record<string, number | null>;
+    warnings: DiagnosticWarning[];
+}
+export interface MeasureAggregateCell {
+    sum: number;
+    observed: number;
+    missing: number;
+    nonFinite: number;
+}
+/** Mergeable sufficient statistics: grouping in stages gives the same result. */
+export interface MeasureAggregate {
+    components: Record<string, MeasureAggregateCell>;
+}
+export declare function aggregateMeasures(rows: readonly DiagnosticMeasureMap[]): MeasureAggregate;
+export declare function mergeMeasureAggregates(aggregates: readonly MeasureAggregate[]): MeasureAggregate;
+export interface FinalizedMeasures {
+    measures: Record<string, number | null>;
+    warnings: DiagnosticWarning[];
+}
+export declare function finalizeMeasureAggregate(aggregate: MeasureAggregate, sparsePolicy?: SparseValuePolicy): FinalizedMeasures;
+export declare function measureExpressionComponents(expression: MeasureExpression): string[];
+export declare function evaluateMetric(definition: MetricDefinition, components: DiagnosticMeasureMap, inheritedWarnings?: readonly DiagnosticWarning[]): MetricEvaluation;
+export type LayerExpression = {
+    op: "measure";
+    measure: string;
+} | {
+    op: "add";
+    terms: readonly LayerExpression[];
+} | {
+    op: "claim-cap";
+    measure: string;
+    limit: number;
+};
+export interface AmountLayerDefinition {
+    id: string;
+    displayName: string;
+    paidMeasure: string;
+    incurredMeasure: string;
+    paid: LayerExpression;
+    incurred: LayerExpression;
+    /** Documents whether inputs are already limited or this layer caps claim rows. */
+    basis: "pre-capped-additive" | "claim-level-cap" | "unlimited-additive";
+}
+export interface DiagnosticClaimRow<T = unknown> {
+    dimensions: T;
+    measures: DiagnosticMeasureMap;
+}
+/** Applies claim caps before aggregation; this function intentionally accepts claim rows, not aggregates. */
+export declare function deriveAmountLayers<T>(rows: readonly DiagnosticClaimRow<T>[], layers: readonly AmountLayerDefinition[]): DiagnosticClaimRow<T>[];
+export interface DiagnosticLossRow<TDimensions = unknown> {
+    id: string;
+    group: string;
+    origin: string;
+    valuation: string;
+    ageMonths: number;
+    /** Optional caller-mapped policy/fiscal period (for example a Q3-Q2 year). */
+    policyPeriod?: string;
+    /** Optional caller-owned grouping metadata; `group` remains the stable key. */
+    dimensions?: TDimensions;
+    measures: DiagnosticMeasureMap;
+}
+export interface DiagnosticExposureRow<TDimensions = unknown> {
+    /** Stable exposure identity. Repeated snapshots with the same key count once. */
+    key: string;
+    group: string;
+    origin: string;
+    valuation?: string;
+    measures: DiagnosticMeasureMap;
+    complete?: boolean;
+    dimensions?: TDimensions;
+}
+export interface DiagnosticsFilter {
+    groups?: readonly string[];
+    origins?: readonly string[];
+    originFrom?: string;
+    originThrough?: string;
+    valuations?: readonly string[];
+    valuationFrom?: string;
+    valuationThrough?: string;
+    policyPeriods?: readonly string[];
+    minAgeMonths?: number;
+    maxAgeMonths?: number;
+}
+export interface DiagnosticEmergencePoint<TDimensions = unknown> {
+    group: string;
+    dimensions?: TDimensions;
+    origin: string;
+    valuation: string;
+    ageMonths: number;
+    components: Record<string, number | null>;
+    componentWarnings: DiagnosticWarning[];
+    metrics: Record<string, MetricEvaluation>;
+}
+export interface DiagnosticMetricTriangle {
+    group: string;
+    metricId: string;
+    origins: string[];
+    ages: number[];
+    values: (number | null)[][];
+    cells: (MetricEvaluation | null)[][];
+}
+export interface MetricDiagnosticsResult<TDimensions = unknown> {
+    emergence: DiagnosticEmergencePoint<TDimensions>[];
+    triangles: DiagnosticMetricTriangle[];
+    latestDiagonal: DiagnosticEmergencePoint<TDimensions>[];
+}
+export interface RunMetricDiagnosticsInput<TDimensions = unknown> {
+    losses: readonly DiagnosticLossRow<TDimensions>[];
+    exposures?: readonly DiagnosticExposureRow<TDimensions>[];
+    metrics: readonly MetricDefinition[];
+    sparsePolicy?: SparseValuePolicy;
+    filter?: DiagnosticsFilter;
+    /** Maps source group keys to requested aggregate keys before summation. */
+    groupMap?: Readonly<Record<string, string>>;
+    /** Metadata for mapped/combined output groups. */
+    groupDimensions?: Readonly<Record<string, TDimensions>>;
+}
+export interface DiagnosticExposureReconciliationFinding {
+    code: "DUPLICATE_EXPOSURE_KEY" | "CONFLICTING_EXPOSURE";
+    exposureKey: string;
+    group: string;
+    origin: string;
+    message: string;
+}
+export interface ReconciledDiagnosticExposures<TDimensions = unknown> {
+    exposures: DiagnosticExposureRow<TDimensions>[];
+    findings: DiagnosticExposureReconciliationFinding[];
+}
+/**
+ * Reconciles stable exposure keys before aggregation. Identical valuation
+ * copies collapse to one row. Conflicting copies become one incomplete/null
+ * row so exposure-based metrics fail closed rather than using a partial base.
+ */
+export declare function reconcileDiagnosticExposureKeys<TDimensions = unknown>(rows: readonly DiagnosticExposureRow<TDimensions>[]): ReconciledDiagnosticExposures<TDimensions>;
+/**
+ * Generic quarterly diagnostics engine. Loss rows aggregate by
+ * group/origin/valuation; exposure rows aggregate once by stable exposure key;
+ * every metric then divides the aggregated expressions exactly once.
+ */
+export declare function runMetricDiagnostics<TDimensions = unknown>(input: RunMetricDiagnosticsInput<TDimensions>): MetricDiagnosticsResult<TDimensions>;
+export declare function metricTriangleFromEmergence(points: readonly DiagnosticEmergencePoint<unknown>[], metricId: string): DiagnosticMetricTriangle;
+export declare function sameMaturity<TDimensions>(result: MetricDiagnosticsResult<TDimensions>, ageMonths: number, groups?: readonly string[]): DiagnosticEmergencePoint<TDimensions>[];
+export interface CommonMaturityResult<TDimensions = unknown> {
+    ageMonths: number | null;
+    points: DiagnosticEmergencePoint<TDimensions>[];
+}
+/** Latest maturity present in every selected group; selection is caller-defined. */
+export declare function commonMaturity<TDimensions>(result: MetricDiagnosticsResult<TDimensions>, groups: readonly string[]): CommonMaturityResult<TDimensions>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=metricDiagnostics.d.ts.map

package/dist/metricDiagnostics.d.ts.map

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