@333eco/corpus 2.5.22 → 2.5.24
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/README.md +2 -2
- package/dist/corpus.json +106 -40
- package/package.json +1 -1
package/README.md
CHANGED
|
@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ institutional positions, white papers and the Letters to Miss Aquarius — serve
|
|
|
5
5
|
with **verifiable provenance**.
|
|
6
6
|
|
|
7
7
|
<!-- COUNTS:START -->
|
|
8
|
-
**
|
|
8
|
+
**149 documents.** 141 CC0-1.0 · 8 CC-BY-4.0. 81 carry a DOI; 149 carry an OpenTimestamps proof.
|
|
9
9
|
|
|
10
10
|
*Written by `npm run build` from the index itself — see scripts/build-index.mjs.*
|
|
11
11
|
<!-- COUNTS:END -->
|
|
@@ -237,7 +237,7 @@ would destroy the only property this server has.
|
|
|
237
237
|
<!-- LICENCES:START -->
|
|
238
238
|
| Licence | Documents |
|
|
239
239
|
| --- | --- |
|
|
240
|
-
| CC0-1.0 |
|
|
240
|
+
| CC0-1.0 | 141 |
|
|
241
241
|
| CC-BY-4.0 | 8 |
|
|
242
242
|
<!-- LICENCES:END -->
|
|
243
243
|
|
package/dist/corpus.json
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
|
|
|
1
1
|
{
|
|
2
|
-
"package_version": "2.5.
|
|
2
|
+
"package_version": "2.5.24",
|
|
3
3
|
"generated_from": [
|
|
4
4
|
"H3/publications",
|
|
5
5
|
"TH/publications",
|
|
6
6
|
"missaquarius.org"
|
|
7
7
|
],
|
|
8
|
-
"document_count":
|
|
8
|
+
"document_count": 149,
|
|
9
9
|
"licences": {
|
|
10
|
-
"CC0-1.0":
|
|
10
|
+
"CC0-1.0": 141,
|
|
11
11
|
"CC-BY-4.0": 8
|
|
12
12
|
},
|
|
13
13
|
"voices": {
|
|
14
14
|
"founder": 43,
|
|
15
|
-
"collaborative":
|
|
15
|
+
"collaborative": 76,
|
|
16
16
|
"institutional": 30
|
|
17
17
|
},
|
|
18
18
|
"documents": [
|
|
@@ -51,6 +51,41 @@
|
|
|
51
51
|
"bytes": 19065,
|
|
52
52
|
"words": 3290
|
|
53
53
|
},
|
|
54
|
+
{
|
|
55
|
+
"slug": "abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity",
|
|
56
|
+
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
57
|
+
"genre": "defensive-publications",
|
|
58
|
+
"path": "defensive-publications/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity.md",
|
|
59
|
+
"title": "Discreteness, Adjacency and Order: A Structural Comparison of the Theravāda Abhidhamma with Causal Sets and Loop Quantum Gravity",
|
|
60
|
+
"subtitle": "A four-row lens written for a reader who knows calculus but not physics — what each correspondence is, where it holds, and exactly where it breaks",
|
|
61
|
+
"authors": "Thon Ly · Miss Aquarius℠",
|
|
62
|
+
"category": "alignment",
|
|
63
|
+
"voice": "collaborative",
|
|
64
|
+
"metadata_convention": "yaml",
|
|
65
|
+
"date": "2026-09-27",
|
|
66
|
+
"status": "draft",
|
|
67
|
+
"licence": {
|
|
68
|
+
"id": "CC0-1.0",
|
|
69
|
+
"url": "https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/",
|
|
70
|
+
"attribution_required": false
|
|
71
|
+
},
|
|
72
|
+
"text": "## Abstract\n\nThis paper compares, as structures, three things in two discrete theories of spacetime with three things in the Theravāda Abhidhamma. The theories are causal set theory and loop quantum gravity. The three things are **order**, **adjacency** and **ratio**. It is a lens and not a physics claim. No row predicts anything, and none says that a Buddhist text anticipated a theory of quantum gravity. For each row, a plain primer of the physics comes first, then the Abhidhamma material with its textual layer named in words, then the correspondence, and then the point where it breaks.\n\nFour rows survive an adversarial review run before drafting. A fifth was cut.\n\n1. **Order.** The *Paṭṭhāna*'s twenty-four conditions are **not** a partial order as a whole. Mutuality is symmetric. Co-nascence relates what a causal set leaves unrelated. Post-nascence runs backward. The object condition reaches the future and the time-free. What survives is a sub-relation defined over condition-*modes*, not whole conditions: the modes that always run from earlier-arising to later-arising (the five past-time conditions, pre-nascence, kamma across moments, and the pre-nascent modes of support, faculty, dissociation, presence and non-disappearance). They form an acyclic typed relation over which a strict order can be read, but not yet a causal set: the acyclicity comes from how the modes were selected, and the order sits on a clock the tradition assumes. The co-nascent and post-nascent modes, and the conditions that reach all three times, are typed structure that causal sets lack.\n2. **Grain and 3. boundary** (treated together as the adjacency row, the strongest). In loop quantum gravity, a spin-network link is the face two neighbouring grains of space share, and it carries a quantised area. In the Abhidhamma's sub-commentary, space is the non-mixing of touching neighbouring material groups (*kalāpa*), \"the limit of matter\", untouched by what it bounds. Both put the unit of spatial boundary at the adjacency between minimal units, and neither makes it one of the units. The row breaks in stated places: the dependence runs in opposite directions; the link is incident to both grains, while the delimiter is touched by neither; the Abhidhamma boundary is assigned no magnitude and is not an ultimate reality; kalāpas are matter in space while spin-network nodes are quanta of space; and the canonical layer's space is a cavity, not a boundary. The part that holds is the generic part (§9).\n4. **Ratio.** In the commentary and the manual, material phenomena other than the two intimations and the characteristics last 17 mind-moments (51 sub-moments). That is one clock, the mind-moment, and a multiplier, not two clocks. What survives is generic: a duration stated as a count of steps along a given succession. Every discrete clock shares that much. The features specific to causal sets (the longest chain, the statistics, an order that makes time rather than sitting on one) are all among the row's breaks.\n\nThe dropped row, *saṅkhāra* (the conditioned as a whole) against quantum causal histories, is reported along with the reason it was dropped.\n\n**Keywords:** causal set theory, loop quantum gravity, spin networks, area spectrum, quanta of space, partial order, Hasse diagram, discrete spacetime, relational space, Buddhist philosophy of space, Abhidhamma, Paṭṭhāna, kalāpa, paricchedarūpa, ākāsadhātu, Theravāda, Abhidharmakośa, momentariness.\n\n---\n\n## How to Read This Paper\n\nThis paper is written so that a reader who knows calculus, but no linear algebra, quantum mechanics or general relativity, can follow every step. Each physics section opens with a subsection marked **Physics primer**, which builds the idea from nothing. A reader who already knows the physics can skip those subsections. Everything else is written for the exhaustive reader: the Pāli is quoted, the textual layer of every Abhidhamma claim is named in words, and every correspondence ends with the place where it fails.\n\nFormulas are written in plain Unicode. Display formulas sit in monospace blocks. Where a formula is quoted, the source that derives it is cited.\n\n**Four textual layers are kept apart throughout.** They are named in words at each use:\n\n| Layer | Texts used here | Date (traditional or scholarly) |\n|---|---|---|\n| **canon** | *Dhammasaṅgaṇī*, *Vibhaṅga*, *Kathāvatthu*, *Paṭṭhāna* (Abhidhamma Piṭaka) | compiled over the last centuries BCE; the *Kathāvatthu* is traditionally dated to the Third Council |\n| **commentary** | *Visuddhimagga*, *Sammohavinodanī* (*Vibhaṅga* commentary), *Kathāvatthu* commentary | c. 5th century CE |\n| **manual** | *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* (Anuruddha) | variously dated; commonly c. 11th–12th century |\n| **sub-commentary** | *Abhidhammatthavibhāvinī-ṭīkā* (Sumaṅgala) | c. 12th century |\n\nA claim that holds only at a later layer is not a claim about the canon. Several rows below live, or die, on exactly that distinction.\n\n---\n\n## Terms\n\n| Term as the tradition writes it | Standard term used in this paper | Layer where it is defined |\n|---|---|---|\n| *paccaya*; *Paṭṭhāna* | condition; the canonical treatise on the 24 conditioning relations | canon (summarised in the manual, ch. 8) |\n| *anantara*, *samanantara* | proximity, contiguity (immediate succession of mind-moments) | canon |\n| *āsevana* | repetition | canon |\n| *natthi*, *vigata* | absence, disappearance | canon |\n| *sahajāta* | co-nascence (arising together) | canon |\n| *aññamañña* | mutuality | canon |\n| *purejāta* | pre-nascence (the condition arose earlier and still exists) | canon |\n| *pacchājāta* | post-nascence (the condition arises later than what it supports) | canon |\n| *sahajāta-*, *purejāta-*, *pacchājāta-* modes of *nissaya*, *indriya*, *vippayutta*, *atthi*, *avigata* | the co-nascent, pre-nascent and post-nascent modes (sub-types) of support, faculty, dissociation, presence and non-disappearance | canon (e.g. *Paṭṭhāna*: *atthipaccayena paccayo – sahajātaṃ, purejātaṃ …*); grouped in the manual, ch. 8 |\n| *kamma* (*nānākkhaṇika*) | volitional action (across different moments) | canon (*Paṭṭhāna*, e.g. *Kusalattika* §427: *nānākkhaṇikā – kusalā cetanā vipākānaṃ khandhānaṃ …*); the time classification is sub-commentarial |\n| *ārammaṇa* | object condition | canon |\n| *upanissaya*, *pakatūpanissaya* | decisive support; natural decisive support | canon |\n| *citta*, *cittakkhaṇa* | a moment of consciousness; a mind-moment | canon; the durations are commentarial |\n| *uppāda*, *ṭhiti*, *bhaṅga* | arising, presence, dissolution (the three sub-moments) | commentary and manual |\n| *rūpa-kalāpa* | smallest material cluster | commentary; systematised in the manual |\n| *suddhaṭṭhaka* | the \"pure octad\" (four great elements, colour, odour, taste, nutritive essence) | commentary and manual |\n| *ākāsadhātu* | the space element | canon |\n| *paricchedarūpa* | delimiting matter (space as the delimitation of material clusters) | manual and sub-commentary |\n| *anipphanna* | not concretely produced; having no intrinsic nature of its own | commentary (*Visuddhimagga*, *Sammohavinodanī*); manual |\n| *padaṭṭhāna* | proximate cause | commentary |\n| *paramāṇu* | the smallest unit on the commentarial size ladder | commentary |\n| *kālavimutta* | free of time (said of nibbāna and concepts) | manual; glossed in the sub-commentary |\n| *saṅkhāra*, *saṅkhata*, *asaṅkhata* | the conditioned; conditioned; unconditioned | canon |\n\n---\n\n## Findings disclosed\n\nThis paper is a study. It discloses no mechanism, so it carries findings and not claims. Each finding is stated in its surviving form, after the scope repairs of the 2026-09-28 revision, with its break beside it. The falsifiers are collected in §10.\n\n1. **Order (§3.3).** The *Paṭṭhāna*'s twenty-four conditions, taken whole, are not a partial order: mutuality makes 2-cycles, co-nascence relates what a causal order leaves unrelated, post-nascence runs from later to earlier, and the object condition reaches the future and the time-free. The condition-*modes* that always run from earlier-arising to later-arising form a relation *S*: proximity, contiguity, repetition, absence, disappearance, pre-nascence, kamma across moments, and the pre-nascent modes of support, faculty, dissociation, presence and non-disappearance. *S* is acyclic, and a strict order can be read over it. **Break:** *S* is acyclic because it was selected by an arising-time index the tradition assumes, so its acyclicity is not a finding about the text. Its transitive closure is the reader's construction, since the text asserts no composed relation. Local finiteness is unexamined. *S* alone conditions no arising, because every arising also needs co-nascent conditions. *S* relates events within one stream, plus the matter that conditions that stream, and joins streams only through the assumed index. So *S* is not a causal set in §3.1's sense, and the order it carries sits on a time where a causal set's order makes one.\n2. **Adjacency (§4.5, narrowed by §9).** Loop quantum gravity and the Theravāda sub-commentary both put the unit of spatial boundary at the adjacency between minimal units, and neither makes that boundary one of the units. On the question *what is between minimal units?*, the *Vibhāvinī*'s answer (a named, counted item of the material list, though not an ultimate reality) has the shape of loop quantum gravity's answer (a link), and not the shape of the Kashmiri Sarvāstivāda's (*nothing*). **Break:** the parts of the match that are specific to loop quantum gravity (a quantised magnitude on the boundary, volume derived from it) are the parts that fail. The dependence runs in opposite directions. The link is incident to both grains, while the delimiter is touched by neither. The delimiter is assigned no magnitude and is not an ultimate reality. Kalāpas are matter in space, and nodes are quanta of space. The canonical space element is a cavity, not a boundary. The shape that holds is also held by any cellular picture, and by the \"neither\" view of boundaries in the Western literature (§9).\n3. **Ratio (§5.3, narrowed by §9).** In the commentary and the manual, material phenomena other than the two intimations and the characteristics last seventeen mind-moments (fifty-one sub-moments), and the manual derives seventeen from the length of the longest cognitive process. The lifetime is one clock, the mind-moment, and a multiplier. What survives is generic: a duration is a count of steps along a given succession. **Break:** every discrete clock shares that much. The features specific to causal sets are the longest chain, a statistical relation to proper time, and an order that makes time rather than sitting on one. The Abhidhamma counts along one given stream, exactly, on a clock it assumes. So the specific part fails, and there is no second chain for a ratio to compare.\n4. **The dropped row (§6).** *Saṅkhāra* (the conditioned as a whole) set against quantum causal histories adds no structure beyond findings 1–3, and it maps a category that contains mind onto a structure that contains none. **Break:** the row would return if a structural feature of quantum causal histories were shown to have a *Paṭṭhāna* counterpart not already in findings 1–3.\n\n---\n\n## Prior Art and Non-Assertion Statement\n\nThis document is dedicated to the public domain under CC0 1.0. **The authors and HeartBank® will not seek patent** on anything herein. Nothing here is a mechanism. The paper is a study, and its disclosures are the numbered findings under *Findings disclosed* above, each with its break stated beside it.\n\n**What is already public, and cited rather than claimed:**\n\n- **Causal-set becoming linked to a Buddhist school.** Rafael Sorkin, a founder of causal set theory, remarked in 2007 that the \"accretive time\" of his growth models \"seems close to that … of the 'Vibhajavadin' school within the Buddhist philosophical tradition\". Fay Dowker quoted the remark in 2022 and invited a scholar to examine the earliest records. This institution's sibling paper, *the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time*, answers that invitation: the Pāli Vibhajjavāda is presentist, and so is the **foil** of causal-set growth, not its twin. This paper does not revisit that finding and does not contradict it.\n- **Causal sets as the discrete theory of order.** Bombelli, Lee, Meyer and Sorkin (1987); Rideout and Sorkin (2000) on sequential growth; Wüthrich and Callender (2017) on what kind of becoming a causal set allows.\n- **Quanta of space and the discrete area spectrum.** Rovelli and Smolin (1995); Ashtekar and Lewandowski (1997); Rovelli and Upadhya's primer (1998); Rovelli's Zakopane lectures (2011); Bianchi, Doná and Speziale (2011) on spin-network nodes as polyhedra.\n- **Syntheses of order and spin networks.** Markopoulou and Smolin (1997); Markopoulou (2000), *quantum causal histories*; Hawkins, Markopoulou and Sahlmann (2003).\n- **Buddhism read against physics in general.** Carlo Rovelli's *Helgoland* (2021) reads relational quantum mechanics beside Nāgārjuna. Popular and scholarly comparisons of Abhidhamma momentariness with quantum physics exist, among them *The Ephemeral Projector* (ResearchGate). A 2026-07-31 blog post, self-labelled AI-generated and without citations, compares causal set theory and the Abhidhamma in general terms (ekasiswanto.wordpress.com). The Grokipedia article \"Kalapa (atomism)\" compares the kalāpa's size to the Planck length. The Wikipedia article of the same name, read on the date of writing, does not.\n- **The scholarly expositions of the Abhidhamma material this paper reads.** None of these compares the material with physics. Each already expounds a textual point the rows depend on.\n - Y. Karunadasa, *Buddhist Analysis of Matter* (1967), chs. 5 and 7. It reads the space element as cavities and interstices, \"bounded or delimited space\", with *pariccheda* meaning both what delimits and what is delimited. It sets the Theravāda space element beside the Vaibhāṣika pair (unconditioned *ākāśa*; the conditioned *ākāśadhātu* of door, window, mouth and nose). It reports the *Kathāvatthu*'s two-trees argument. And it explains pre-nascence and post-nascence by the longer duration of matter than of mind. ⚠️ **It cuts against the adjacency row in one respect.** On its reading, the later scholiasts' classing of the space element as *anipphanna* means that it is \"neither *rūpa* … nor a *dhamma* … in the true sense\", \"nothing but the mere limitation of matter\". §4.4 and §4.6 carry this.\n - Bhikkhu Bodhi (gen. ed.), *A Comprehensive Manual of Abhidhamma* (1993), ch. VI and ch. VIII. It sets out the sub-types (modes) of each condition, among them base-prenascence support, prenascence faculty (the five sensitivities, \"arisen at the static phase of the past bhavaṅga citta\"), and the prenascent and postnascent types of dissociation, presence and non-disappearance. It also states that non-concretely produced matter, the space element included, is \"not included among the ultimate realities\". Its introduction dates the seventeen-moment lifetime of matter, the three sub-moments and the kalāpa to the commentaries.\n - U Nārada Mūlapaṭṭhāna Sayadaw (with Thein Nyun), *Conditional Relations* (*Paṭṭhāna*), vol. I (PTS Translation Series 37, 1969). An English translation of the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana *Paṭṭhāna* with an introduction and charts that work through each condition's modes (for example, \"base-prenascence-dependence\"). It is the route for the canonical-layer check of row 1 that §11 lists as owed.\n - Alexander von Rospatt, *The Buddhist Doctrine of Momentariness: A Survey of the Origins and Early Phase of this Doctrine up to Vasubandhu* (1995). The standard study of the doctrine of moments. **Cited by its bibliographic record only: it was not reached for this revision**, so the paper does not characterise what it says about the seventeen-moment lifetime.\n- **The Indian debate on whether minimal material units touch** (*Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* ad I.43, cross-tradition, §4.3 below). It is the oldest neighbour of the adjacency row and predates every physics comparison by more than a millennium.\n\n**The census.** A quick novelty census ran on 2026-09-27. Its pre-registration was pushed publicly before any query was made: `thonly/publications` commit `7348ba2`, `timestamps/census/physics-lens-prereg.md`. The search covered the English web (including dharma sites and popular Buddhism-and-physics writing), and arXiv, Google Scholar, PhilPapers, GitHub and Google Patents by keyword. Thai, Burmese, Sinhala, Chinese, Japanese and Khmer sources were **not run**, and no books were read. The pre-registered control, the known comparison *The Ephemeral Projector*, was found.\n\n| Conjunct | Found | Verdict |\n|---|---|---|\n| (a) the *Paṭṭhāna*'s typed conditions against causal-set order | a general causal-set–Abhidhamma resonance (the AI-generated post; names no *Paṭṭhāna* condition) | **narrowed** at general width; the typed-relation comparison was not found |\n| (b) kalāpa against spin-network nodes | kalāpas compared with atoms, quanta and the Planck length in popular writing | **narrowed** at \"smallest unit\" width; the spin-network-specific comparison was not found |\n| (c) *paricchedarūpa* (space as the between) against area on spin-network links | the commentarial reading of space as delimitation is public; no comparison with loop quantum gravity | **not found in that aperture on that date** |\n| (d) *saṅkhāra* against quantum causal histories | — | not found; **dropped before drafting** (§6) |\n| (e) the 17-moment lifetime as a discrete-time ratio | Sorkin and Dowker link causal-set becoming to Buddhist momentariness | **narrowed** at general width; the chain-length reading of the ratio was not found |\n| the composition of rows in one structural map | — | **not found in that aperture on that date** |\n\n⛔ \"Not found in that aperture on that date\" is a statement about a search. It is not a claim of priority, and nothing in this paper is offered as new. As a study that makes no priority claim, this paper owes no further census before deposit (ruled 2026-09-28); a literature census could narrow or kill the rows above, and would be reported here as a revision.\n\n---\n\n## 1 · What Kind of Comparison This Is\n\nPhysics has two great theories that do not fit together. General relativity describes gravity as the smooth geometry of spacetime. Quantum theory describes everything else as discrete, probabilistic excitations. A theory of **quantum gravity** would describe what spacetime is at the smallest scale, where both matter. Two of the candidate programmes make spacetime itself discrete:\n\n- **Causal set theory** says spacetime, at bottom, is a set of events and a relation of *before*. Everything else, including distance and dimension, is to be recovered from counting.\n- **Loop quantum gravity** says space, at bottom, is a network of grains whose areas and volumes come in discrete steps.\n\nThe Theravāda Abhidhamma is also a discrete analysis. It resolves experience and matter into momentary phenomena (*dhamma*), connected by twenty-four typed conditioning relations. It gives matter a smallest cluster, and it gives space a definition.\n\nIt is therefore tempting to line the two up. That temptation has a long and mostly poor history, from *The Tao of Physics* onward, and this paper is built to resist it. Every row below is a **structural** comparison: it asks whether two frameworks share a *shape* (an order, an adjacency, a ratio), and it names exactly where the shape stops being shared. The Abhidhamma is an analysis of what can be known in experience. Quantum gravity is a theory of what spacetime is. Whether the two can be compared at all is the strongest objection to this paper, and §8 carries it rather than answering it.\n\n**The map, in one table:**\n\n```\n ROW PHYSICS SIDE ABHIDHAMMA SIDE SURVIVING FORM\n ─────────── ──────────────────────────────────── ───────────────────────────────────── ──────────────────────────────────\n 1 ORDER causal set: a locally finite the Paṭṭhāna's 24 typed conditions only the earlier→later MODES (S) are\n partial order (\"before\") (classified by manual + sub-comm.) acyclic, by selection: a strict order,\n not yet a causal set; the rest is\n typing a causal set lacks\n 2 GRAIN spin-network node: a quantum OF rūpa-kalāpa: smallest material survives only as what row 3\n space, with a volume cluster (matter IN space) presupposes; matter ≠ geometry\n 3 BOUNDARY spin-network link: the face two paricchedarūpa: the non-mixing of both put the unit of spatial\n grains share; carries quantised area touching neighbours; \"limit of matter\" boundary at the ADJACENCY, not in\n a unit (strongest row; the shared\n part is generic; seven breaks)\n 4 RATIO proper time ∝ length of the longest most matter lasts 17 mind-moments one clock and a multiplier; only\n chain between two events (51 sub-moments) the generic part survives: a\n duration as a count of steps\n ─ DROPPED ─ quantum causal histories saṅkhāra (the conditioned as a whole) category error; added no structure\n```\n\nRows 2 and 3 are one argument told from two ends, so they share one section (§4).\n\n---\n\n## 2 · A Note on Discreteness\n\nTwo different things are called *discrete* in this paper, and they must not be confused.\n\n- **Object discreteness.** The world is made of separate pieces, like grains of sand. The kalāpa is discrete in this sense, and so are the elements of a causal set.\n- **Spectral discreteness.** A *measured quantity* can take only values from a list with gaps, like the rungs of a ladder rather than a ramp. Loop quantum gravity is discrete in this sense. Rovelli warns explicitly (Zakopane lectures, §I.A) that its discreteness \"is not given by the fact that the grains of space … are discrete objects. Rather, it is given by the fact that the size of each grain is quantized in discrete steps.\"\n\nThe Abhidhamma has object discreteness in abundance: moments, clusters, sub-moments. Its quantities are restricted only as **counts** of discrete units: a duration is a whole number of sub-moments, and a size is a step on a ladder of powers of thirty-six (§4.2). It never quantises a magnitude that is not a count, and that is what spectral discreteness is. In particular, its delimiting space (manual and sub-commentary) is assigned no magnitude at all (§4.6). This single fact limits every row below.\n\n---\n\n## 3 · Row 1 — Order\n\n### 3.1 · Physics primer: partial orders and causal sets\n\n**A relation** is a rule that says, for any two things *x* and *y*, whether *x* stands in it to *y*. \"Is an ancestor of\" is a relation on people. Write it *x* ≺ *y*.\n\n**A partial order** is a relation with two properties:\n\n```\n irreflexive: never x ≺ x (nothing precedes itself)\n transitive: if x ≺ y and y ≺ z, then x ≺ z (ancestors of ancestors are ancestors)\n```\n\nTogether these make it **acyclic**: you can never follow the arrows and return to where you started. It is called *partial* because some pairs are not related either way. Two cousins are neither ancestor of the other.\n\n**A causal set** is a partial order on a set of events, with one more property, **local finiteness**: between any two related events, only finitely many events lie. The relation means \"can causally influence\". In relativity, two events are either causally related (one is in the other's past light cone) or **spacelike**: too far apart in space, for the time between them, for any signal to connect them. In a causal set, spacelike simply means *unrelated*.\n\n**Links and the Hasse diagram.** If *x* ≺ *y* and nothing lies between them, the pair is a **link** (mathematicians say *covering relation*). Drawing only the links, with later events higher, gives the **Hasse diagram**. Every other relation can be recovered by following links upward, since the order is transitive.\n\n```\n e f later events higher\n \\ /\n \\ /\n d only LINKS are drawn;\n / \\ a ≺ d, a ≺ e, a ≺ f, b ≺ e … follow by transitivity\n b c\n \\ / b and c are UNRELATED (spacelike):\n a neither can influence the other\n```\n\n**Order plus number.** Sorkin's slogan for the programme is *order + number = geometry*. Two classical theorems (Hawking, King and McCarthy 1976; Malament 1977) show that, for spacetimes that are past- and future-distinguishing, the causal order fixes the geometry up to a conformal factor, that is, up to a local scale. Causal set theory supplies the missing scale by **counting**. Events are scattered at random (a \"sprinkling\") with, on average, one event per unit of spacetime volume in Planck units, so the number of events in a region measures its volume.\n\n**Time as chain length.** A **chain** is a sequence *x*₁ ≺ *x*₂ ≺ … ≺ *x*ₙ. Between two related events, the length of the **longest** chain grows in proportion to the proper time between them: the time a clock carried from one to the other would read. The result holds asymptotically and in expectation, for random sprinklings into Minkowski space (Brightwell and Gregory 1991). In a causal set, a duration *is* a count of steps. §5 uses exactly this.\n\n**Growth.** In Rideout and Sorkin's sequential-growth models, the causal set is not given all at once. It grows, one element at a time, each new element born to the future of some existing ones. What is born stays. Sorkin reads this as a real becoming, a *growing block*: a past that accumulates and a future that does not yet exist.\n\n### 3.2 · The Abhidhamma side: twenty-four typed relations\n\nThe *Paṭṭhāna*, the last book of the Abhidhamma Piṭaka (canon), analyses how phenomena condition one another under twenty-four named conditions (*paccaya*). The manual (*Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha*, ch. 8) summarises them, and the sub-commentary (the *Vibhāvinī*) classifies each by the **time** its conditioning reaches. On the manual's ch. 8 it states:\n\n> *… anantarasamanantaraāsevananatthivigatavasena pañcannaṃ atītakālikānaṃ, kammapaccayassa atītavattamānavasena dvikālikassa, ārammaṇaadhipatiupanissayapaccayānaṃ tikālikānaṃ, itaresaṃ pannarasannaṃ paccuppannakālikānañca vasena kālattayavanto, nibbānapaññattivasena kālavimuttā ca …*\n>\n> … [things are] possessed of the three times by way of the five belonging to the past (proximity, contiguity, repetition, absence, disappearance), the kamma condition belonging to two times (past and present), the object, predominance and decisive-support conditions belonging to three times, and the remaining fifteen belonging to the present; **and free of time, by way of nibbāna and concepts** …\n\nThe count checks: 5 + 1 + 3 + 15 = 24. The tetrad sorts the conditions by the time their conditioning state may have, and the same sentence then sets the time-free (nibbāna and concepts) beside the three times. So the classification is not exhaustive of what can condition: the object condition, placed among the three-time conditions, also reaches the time-free.\n\nThe remaining fifteen are root (*hetu*), co-nascence, mutuality, support (*nissaya*), pre-nascence, post-nascence, result (*vipāka*), nutriment (*āhāra*), faculty (*indriya*), jhāna, path (*magga*), association (*sampayutta*), dissociation (*vippayutta*), presence (*atthi*) and non-disappearance (*avigata*). \"Belonging to the present\" means the conditioning state exists when the conditioned one does. It does not mean that the two arose together. Pre-nascence belongs to the present because its condition arose earlier and still stands. So \"present\" is not \"co-nascent\", and several of the fifteen have **modes**, which the canon itself names. The *Paṭṭhāna* gives the presence condition as *sahajātaṃ, purejātaṃ, pacchājātaṃ, āhāraṃ, indriyaṃ* (co-nascent, pre-nascent, post-nascent, nutriment, faculty), and the dissociation condition as *sahajātaṃ, purejātaṃ, pacchājātaṃ*. The manual groups the modes (ch. 8, CST §30–§34):\n\n| Condition | Co-nascent mode | Pre-nascent mode (condition arose earlier) | Post-nascent mode |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| support (*nissaya*) | mind with mind, the great elements with derived matter | the six bases for the seven consciousness elements, during the course of existence | — |\n| faculty (*indriya*) | the immaterial faculties for co-nascent mind and matter | the five sensitivities for the five kinds of sense consciousness | — (the material life faculty, for the matter of its own cluster, is a third, separate mode) |\n| dissociation (*vippayutta*) | mind for co-nascent matter; the base at rebirth-linking | the six bases, during the course of existence, *purejātavasena* | later mind for the earlier-arisen body |\n| presence, non-disappearance (*atthi*, *avigata*) | *sahajātaṃ* | *purejātaṃ* | *pacchājātaṃ* (edible food and material life are two further, separate modes) |\n\nThe manual names the pre-nascent mode in words for dissociation, presence and non-disappearance. For support and faculty the pre-nascent reading is the one the canon gives for the base (*vatthu kusalānaṃ khandhānaṃ nissayapaccayena paccayo*) and the one the standard modern exposition gives for the sensitivities (Bodhi 1993, ch. VIII: \"prenascence faculty\"). At rebirth-linking the base arises together with the mind and is co-nascent, which is why the manual limits the pre-nascent mode to the course of existence.\n\nA condition in the Abhidhamma is **typed**. The relation is not just \"*x* conditions *y*\", but \"*x* conditions *y* **as** object\", \"**as** kamma\", \"**as** co-nascent\", and so on. One pair can stand in several types at once.\n\n### 3.3 · The correspondence, and its surviving form\n\n**The whole is not a partial order.** Four features break it:\n\n| Feature | Text (layer) | Why it is not a partial order |\n|---|---|---|\n| **Mutuality** (*aññamañña*) | canon; manual ch. 8 | *x* conditions *y* and *y* conditions *x*: a 2-cycle. A partial order forbids cycles. |\n| **Co-nascence** (*sahajāta*) | canon; manual ch. 8 | relates what arises **together**. A causal order leaves simultaneous, unlinked events *unrelated* (spacelike). |\n| **Post-nascence** (*pacchājāta*) | manual ch. 8: *\"pacchājātā cittacetasikā dhammā purejātassa imassa kāyassa pacchājātavasena\"* — \"later-arisen consciousness and its concomitants [condition] this body, arisen earlier, by way of post-nascence\" | the condition arises **after** what it supports: ordered by arising, the arrow runs backward. |\n| **Object** (*ārammaṇa*) | manual ch. 3: mind-door objects may be *\"paccuppannamatītaṃ anāgataṃ kālavimuttañca\"* (present, past, future, and free of time); the sub-commentary glosses the time-free as *\"nibbānaṃ, paññatti ca\"* (nibbāna and concepts) | a future object conditions a present mind, and a time-free object is in no order at all. |\n\n**The surviving form.** Because several conditions have modes, the surviving relation is defined over condition-**modes**, not over whole conditions. Some modes always run from what arose **earlier** to what arises **later**:\n\n```\n the ACYCLIC SUB-RELATION S (defined over MODES)\n ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n anantara, samanantara the moment just ceased → the next moment\n āsevana a moment → the next, as repetition\n natthi, vigata the moment just ceased → the next (by its absence)\n purejāta an earlier-arisen, still-present base or object → a later-arising mind\n kamma (nānākkhaṇika) a past volition → its later result, across many moments\n pre-nascent MODES of the same earlier-arisen bases (and, for faculty, the five\n nissaya, indriya, sensitivities) → the later-arising consciousness, during the\n vippayutta, atthi, course of existence\n avigata\n```\n\nThe co-nascent and post-nascent modes of those five conditions stay out of S, and so does kamma's co-nascent mode.\n\n**Every one of the twenty-four, assigned:**\n\n| Where it goes | Conditions (or modes) |\n|---|---|\n| **in S** (whole condition) | proximity, contiguity, repetition, absence, disappearance, pre-nascence |\n| **in S** (one mode only) | kamma (across moments); support, faculty, dissociation, presence, non-disappearance (pre-nascent modes) |\n| **out**: co-nascent only | root, co-nascence, mutuality, result, jhāna, path, association; the co-nascent modes of kamma, support, faculty, dissociation, presence, non-disappearance, predominance and nutriment |\n| **out**: runs backward | post-nascence; the post-nascent modes of dissociation, presence and non-disappearance |\n| **out**: reaches three times, or the time-free | object, predominance (object mode), decisive support |\n| **out**: not sorted by arising here | nutriment (edible food); faculty and presence (material life), whose relata co-exist in one body without a stated arising order |\n\n**Why S is acyclic (a one-line proof).** Let *t*(*x*) be the moment at which phenomenon *x* arises. For every mode in S, *x* S *y* implies *t*(*x*) < *t*(*y*). Along any chain *x*₁ S *x*₂ S … S *x*ₙ, the arising times strictly increase, so the chain can never return to *x*₁. ⚠️ **This proof shows less than it seems to.** S was *selected* by the condition *t*(*x*) < *t*(*y*), so its acyclicity follows from the selection and is not a finding about the text. A strict order can be read over S, and its transitive closure is a partial order. But the closure is the reader's construction (see the next paragraph), and whether S meets the rest of §3.1's definition is taken up in §3.4.\n\n⚠️ **One condition was removed from S by the adversarial review.** The original list included *pakatūpanissaya* (natural decisive support). The sub-commentary classes decisive support as **tikālika**, reaching all three times (quoted above), and the manual's list of natural decisive supports includes present things (a person, climate, food, lodging). It is therefore not guaranteed to run earlier-to-later, and it is out.\n\n**A second, smaller correspondence: generators, not closure.** The manual and the sub-commentary present the conditions as primitive. Neither says that because *x* conditions *y* and *y* conditions *z*, *x* conditions *z*. Whether the *Paṭṭhāna* itself anywhere composes two conditions into a third is part of the canonical check this paper owes (§11); U Nārada's translation (1969), which works through the *Paṭṭhāna*'s own permutations, is the route for it. On the manual's presentation, the relations are **primitive**, like a causal set presented by its links rather than by its full transitive order. The likeness is partial. Proximity (*anantara*) holds only between immediate successors, so it is link-like in the strict Hasse sense. Kamma across moments, however, spans many intermediate moments and is still primitive, so S is a set of generating relations that is neither the Hasse diagram nor the full order.\n\nThe surviving form of the row, stated once:\n\n> **As the manual and the *Vibhāvinī* classify the *Paṭṭhāna*'s conditions, the condition-modes that always run from earlier-arising to later-arising (proximity, contiguity, repetition, absence, disappearance, pre-nascence, kamma across moments, and the pre-nascent modes of support, faculty, dissociation, presence and non-disappearance) form an acyclic typed relation over which a strict order, but not yet a causal set in §3.1's sense, can be read. The remaining conditions and modes (the co-nascent ones, the post-nascent ones, and the object, predominance and decisive-support conditions that reach all three times) are typed structure that a causal set does not have.**\n\n### 3.4 · Where it breaks\n\n- **Different kinds of order.** Causal sets keep their past: in sequential growth, what is born stays. The Theravāda is **presentist**: only present phenomena exist (the sibling paper, from *Kathāvatthu* §282–§304). S is an order of *conditioning*, not an order of *co-existing* elements. Its earlier relatum has usually ceased by the time the later arises. The sibling paper's phrase is **influence without existence**. So the two orders are not the same kind of thing, and this paper does not say they are.\n- **S borrows a clock.** The proof above uses *t*(*x*), an index of arising moments that the Abhidhamma assumes. S is acyclic **because** it respects a succession given in advance. In a causal set there is no succession apart from the order: the order *is* the time. The Abhidhamma's order sits on a time; the causal set's order makes one.\n- **S is not a causal set in §3.1's own sense.** Four gaps remain between S and that definition. (1) Acyclicity follows from the selection by *t*, as noted under the proof. (2) The transitive closure, which a partial order needs, adds exactly the composed relations the texts do not assert, so the closure is the reader's construction. (3) Local finiteness is unexamined: nothing here counts how many phenomena lie between two related ones, and the answer depends on the index *t* again. (4) S alone conditions no arising. Every arising also needs co-nascent conditions, which are outside S, so S is not a sufficient account of how anything comes to be. \"A strict order can be read over S\" is the whole of what survives.\n- **A forest of streams, joined only by the assumed index.** S relates moments within one mental continuum (proximity, contiguity, repetition, absence, disappearance), a body's bases to its own mind, and a past volition to its own results. Through the pre-nascent object mode it also links external matter to a mind that perceives it (the five objects for the five-door process, manual ch. 8, CST §19). Two minds that see one object therefore share a predecessor. But nothing in S orders a moment in one stream before a moment in another, so any order between streams comes from *t*, which no text defines as a global index. Co-nascence, moreover, presupposes that a mind and the matter it originates arise at once, a simultaneity that a causal set does not have: there, events with no causal relation are only *unrelated*. This bears on §3.5's third falsifier (a temporal order the tradition asserts that S cannot connect). It fires if the tradition asserts an order between moments of different streams. This revision found no text that does. A claim that one mind-moment occurs everywhere at once was checked and has no textual basis that this revision could find. So the falsifier is not shown to fire, but the surviving form holds only per stream, joined by *t*.\n- **Typing has no counterpart.** A causal set has one relation. The *Paṭṭhāna* has twenty-four, and its analytical power lies in the types. Loop-gravity syntheses add structure (spins, Hilbert spaces) to causal relations, but none of it corresponds to *object*, *predominance* or *kamma*. §6 returns to this.\n- **Mind is inside the relation.** Most *Paṭṭhāna* conditions have mental relata. Nothing in a causal set is mental.\n\n### 3.5 · What would falsify this row\n\n- **A textual case in which a member of S holds with the conditioned arising at or before the condition** (for example, a canonical or commentarial passage in which proximity or pre-nascence runs from a later to an earlier phenomenon). S would then not be acyclic, and the surviving form fails.\n- **A sub-commentarial or commentarial passage placing kamma's cross-moment conditioning on a present or future relatum.** This would remove kamma from S.\n- **A temporal order the tradition asserts that S cannot connect.** If the tradition orders two phenomena in time, and no chain in S links them, then S does not carry the tradition's own temporal order, and \"a strict order can be read over it\" reduces to a formality. (§3.4 applies this test to orders between streams.)\n\n---\n\n## 4 · Rows 2 and 3 — Grain and Boundary: Where Space Is\n\n### 4.1 · Physics primer: spin networks, and what \"area has a discrete spectrum\" means\n\n**Geometry is a field.** In general relativity, the gravitational field *is* the geometry of spacetime: it decides lengths, areas and volumes. There is no stage apart from it. If the gravitational field is quantised, then lengths, areas and volumes become quantum quantities, and quantum quantities typically come in steps.\n\n**What \"spectrum\" means.** In quantum theory, each measurable quantity is represented by an operator: a rule which, given the state of a system, yields the possible results of measuring it. The list of possible results is the quantity's **spectrum**. A spectrum is **discrete** if the possible results are separated by gaps. Think of a function that can only take values on the rungs of a ladder. An electron's energy in an atom has a discrete spectrum, and that is why atoms emit light at sharp colours. Loop quantum gravity finds that **area and volume** have discrete spectra (Rovelli and Smolin 1995; Ashtekar and Lewandowski 1997).\n\n**A spin network.** A quantum state of space in loop quantum gravity is described by a **graph**: points (**nodes**) joined by lines (**links**). Each link carries a label *j* called a **spin**, taking values *j* = ½, 1, 3/2, 2, …. Each node carries a second label, the **intertwiner**, which records how the links meeting there fit together.\n\n```\n j₁\n │\n j₄ ─────●───── j₂ ● a NODE: a grain (\"quantum\") of space\n │n each line: a LINK, labelled by a spin j\n j₃ the node's volume depends on j₁…j₄ and the intertwiner\n```\n\n**Area lives on links.** Take any surface. Its area is a sum over the links that pierce it:\n\n```\n A = 8πγ ℓ_P² Σ √( j (j + 1) ) sum over the links crossing the surface\n\n ℓ_P = √(ħG / c³) ≈ 1.6 × 10⁻³⁵ m the Planck length\n γ = the Barbero–Immirzi parameter, a dimensionless constant of the theory\n (γ ≈ 0.2375 from black-hole entropy counting, Domagala–Lewandowski\n and Meissner 2004; ≈ 0.274 under the later Ghosh–Mitra counting;\n the value depends on the state-counting convention)\n```\n\nThis is the formula for links that cross the surface transversally. When a node lies on the surface itself, the general formula adds further terms (Ashtekar and Lewandowski 1997). The smallest non-zero area is one link with *j* = ½:\n\n```\n A_min = 8πγ ℓ_P² √(3/4) = 4√3 π γ ℓ_P² ≈ 21.8 γ ℓ_P²\n```\n\nThere is nothing between zero and this value. That gap is what \"area has a discrete spectrum\" means.\n\n**Volume lives at nodes.** Each node has a volume, but volume is not an independent label. It is **computed** from the spins of the links meeting there and from the intertwiner, and it takes discrete values. A node where only three links meet has **zero** volume: the volume operator vanishes on gauge-invariant two- and three-valent nodes (Loll 1996, who also computed the four-valent spectrum). In the geometric picture below, the same fact reads simply: three faces whose area-vectors sum to zero must lie in one plane, and a flat shape has no volume. Volume needs at least four links.\n\n**Nodes are quanta of space, not things in space.** Rovelli (Zakopane lectures, §I.A): the quanta of gravity \"do not live in space, but give rise to space themselves.\" There is no background in which the network sits. \"Where\" means \"which node, adjacent to which\".\n\n**Grains and faces.** Bianchi, Doná and Speziale (2011) showed that a node can be read as a small polyhedron, a *quantum polyhedron*, whose faces are its links. The reading is semiclassical: coherent spin-network states represent semiclassical polyhedra, which is most reliable at large spins and least trustworthy at small spins, including the *j* = ½ where the smallest area sits. Adjacency is also definite only for a spin-network basis state on a fixed graph; a general quantum state of space is a superposition of graphs. Rovelli states the consequence plainly (Zakopane lectures, §II.F): \"Two grains *n* and *n′* are adjacent if there is a link *l* connecting the two, and in this case the area of the elementary surface separating the two grains is determined by the spin of the link joining *n* and *n′*.\"\n\n```\n ┌───────────────┐┌───────────────┐\n │ grain n ││ grain n′ │ the face they share IS the link l;\n │ (volume) ││ (volume) │ its area = 8πγℓ_P² √(j_l (j_l + 1))\n └───────────────┘└───────────────┘\n\n the same thing as a graph: n ●────────── j_l ──────────● n′\n```\n\n**In one sentence:** in loop quantum gravity, the boundary between two neighbouring grains of space is the adjacency itself, and it carries a quantised area.\n\n### 4.2 · The Abhidhamma side: the grain\n\n**The kalāpa is matter.** The smallest material cluster (*rūpa-kalāpa*) is not in the canonical Abhidhamma books. The *Dhammasaṅgaṇī* has no kalāpa vocabulary. The clusters appear in the commentary (the *Visuddhimagga* names the \"pure octad\", *suddhaṭṭhaka*, and the decads), and the manual systematises them into twenty-one kinds (*Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* ch. 6: *\"kalāpā ekavīsati\"*). The simplest, the pure octad, is eight inseparable material phenomena: the four great elements (extension, cohesion, heat, motion) together with colour, odour, taste and nutritive essence.\n\n**The commentarial size ladder.** The *Vibhaṅga* commentary (*Sammohavinodanī*), in a passage teaching a monk to see small faults as large, gives a ladder of sizes:\n\n> *chattiṃsa paramāṇavo ekassa aṇuno pamāṇaṃ. Chattiṃsa aṇū ekāya tajjāriyā pamāṇaṃ. Chattiṃsa tajjāriyo eko rathareṇu.*\n>\n> Thirty-six *paramāṇu* make the measure of one *aṇu*; thirty-six *aṇu*, one *tajjārī*; thirty-six *tajjārī*, one *rathareṇu* [a mote of chariot dust].\n\nSo one *paramāṇu* is 1/36³ = **1/46,656** of a chariot-dust mote. The commentary describes the *paramāṇu* as *ākāsakoṭṭhāsika*, of the order of a portion of space, and says it is visible only to the divine eye. ⚠️ **The ladder is for the *paramāṇu*, not the kalāpa.** The commentary does not use the word kalāpa there. The identification of the two, common in modern summaries (including both encyclopedia articles cited above), is later exegesis.\n\n### 4.3 · The Abhidhamma side: the boundary, in four layers\n\n**Canon — a cavity.** The *Dhammasaṅgaṇī* (§637) defines the space element:\n\n> *Katamaṃ taṃ rūpaṃ ākāsadhātu? Yo ākāso ākāsagataṃ aghaṃ aghagataṃ vivaro vivaragataṃ asamphuṭṭhaṃ catūhi mahābhūtehi — idaṃ taṃ rūpaṃ ākāsadhātu.*\n>\n> What is the material phenomenon that is the space element? That which is space, belonging to space, void, belonging to the void, an opening, belonging to an opening, **untouched by the four great elements** — this is the space element.\n\nThe *Vibhaṅga*, also canon, gives examples of the internal space element: the ear-holes, the nostrils, the mouth, the passage by which food is swallowed, where it rests and where it leaves. **At the canonical layer, space is a cavity with extent**: a gap in matter, the kind of thing that has room in it.\n\n**Canon — not unconditioned.** The *Kathāvatthu* (VI.6, §460–462, verified in the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana text) refutes the thesis *\"ākāso asaṅkhato\"*, that space is unconditioned. One of its arguments is homely: *\"Udapāne khaññamāne anākāso ākāso hotīti? Āmantā.\"* When a well is dug, does what was not space become space? Yes. And when an empty jar is filled, space disappears. Something that can be made and unmade is not unconditioned. The commentary attributes the rejected thesis to the Uttarāpathakas and the Mahisāsakas (so spelled there). The Mahiṃsāsakas are one of the four Vibhajjavādin branches in Cousins's account (Cousins 2001), which the sibling paper uses. Once again, the branch that kept the Pāli canon argues against a sibling branch.\n\n**Commentary — three spaces, and a characterisation.** The *Kathāvatthu* commentary distinguishes three spaces:\n\n> *tividho ākāso — paricchedākāso, kasiṇugghāṭimākāso, ajaṭākāso … Tesu paricchedākāso saṅkhato, itare dve paññattimattā.*\n>\n> Space is threefold: delimiting space, the space left by removing a meditation disk, and unentangled [open] space … Of these, **delimiting space is conditioned; the other two are mere concepts.**\n\nThe *Visuddhimagga* (ch. XIV, CST ¶442) characterises the space element in its fourfold formula:\n\n> *Rūpaparicchedalakkhaṇā ākāsadhātu, rūpapariyantappakāsanarasā, rūpamariyādapaccupaṭṭhānā, asamphuṭṭhabhāvacchiddavivarabhāvapaccupaṭṭhānā vā, paricchinnarūpapadaṭṭhānā. Yāya paricchinnesu rūpesu idamito uddhamadho tiriyanti ca hoti.*\n>\n> The space element has the characteristic of delimiting matter; its function is to display the boundaries of matter; it is manifested as the confines of matter, or as the state of being untouched, as holes and openings; **its proximate cause is the matter delimited.** It is that by which one can say of delimited material things, \"this is above, below, around that.\"\n\nThe last sentence matters for §4.5. Direction and position are defined only **relative to delimited matter**.\n\n**Manual — not a constituent.** The *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* (ch. 6, the verse closing the section on kalāpas):\n\n> *Kalāpānaṃ pariccheda-lakkhaṇattā vicakkhaṇā; Na kalāpaṅgamiccāhu, ākāsaṃ lakkhaṇāni ca.*\n>\n> Because space has the characteristic of delimiting the kalāpas, and because of the nature of the characteristics, the wise do not call space, nor the characteristics, a constituent of a kalāpa.\n\nSpace is **between** kalāpas, never **in** one. The manual also classes this delimiting matter (*paricchedarūpa*) as **anipphanna**: not concretely produced, with no intrinsic nature of its own. The term is older than the manual; the *Visuddhimagga* and the *Sammohavinodanī* already use it. It is counted as one of the twenty-eight material phenomena, but the standard expositions do not count it among the ultimate realities (Bodhi 1993, ch. VI), and one reads it as \"nothing but the mere limitation of matter\" (Karunadasa 1967, ch. 5).\n\n**Sub-commentary — the non-mixing of touching neighbours.** The *Vibhāvinī*, on the same chapter:\n\n> *Cakkhudasakādiekekakalāpagatarūpānaṃ kalāpantarehi asaṃkiṇṇabhāvāpādanavasena paricchedakaṃ, tehi vā paricchijjamānaṃ, tesaṃ paricchedamattaṃ vā rūpaṃ paricchedarūpaṃ … Vijjamānepi ca kalāpantarabhūtehi kalāpantarabhūtānaṃ samphuṭṭhabhāve taṃtaṃrūpavivittatā rūpapariyanto ākāso. Yesañca so paricchedo, tehi sayaṃ asamphuṭṭhoyeva. Aññathā paricchinnatā na siyā tesaṃ rūpānaṃ byāpībhāvāpattito. Abyāpitā hi asamphuṭṭhatā.*\n>\n> Delimiting matter is what delimits the matter in each kalāpa (the eye-decad and the rest) by making it **unmixed with neighbouring kalāpas**; or what is delimited by them; or their mere delimitation … **Even where neighbouring kalāpas touch one another, space is the separateness of each one's matter, the limit of matter.** And it is itself untouched by the things it delimits. Otherwise those material things would not be delimited, since they would come to pervade one another. For non-pervasion is non-touching.\n\n```\n ┌────────────┐ ┊ ┌────────────┐\n │ kalāpa K₁ │ ┊ │ kalāpa K₂ │ K₁ and K₂ may TOUCH;\n │ (8+ rūpas) │ ┊ │ (8+ rūpas) │ space is the ┊ : their non-mixing,\n └────────────┘ ┊ └────────────┘ \"the limit of matter\"\n ↑\n paricchedarūpa — not a constituent of either (manual);\n untouched by what it bounds (sub-commentary);\n no nature of its own; no magnitude assigned (anipphanna);\n its proximate cause is the matter it delimits (commentary)\n```\n\n### 4.4 · An older neighbour: do minimal units touch? *(cross-tradition: Sarvāstivāda, in Sanskrit)*\n\nThe *Vibhāvinī*'s wording answers a question the Indian schools had argued for centuries. The *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* (ad I.43, Pradhan ed., pp. 32–33) asks it directly:\n\n> *kiṃ punaḥ paramāṇavaḥ spṛśanty anyonyam āhosvin na / na spṛśantīti kāśmīrakāḥ / … yadi tāvat sarvātmanā spṛśeyur miśrībhaveyur dravyāṇi / athaikadeśena sāvayavāḥ prasajyeran / niravayavāś ca paramāṇavaḥ*\n>\n> Do atoms touch one another, or not? The Kashmiri masters say they do not touch. … If they touched with their whole selves, the substances would **mix**. If they touched with a part, they would have parts. But atoms are partless.\n\nThe same passage adds that contact means only arising *without interval*, and that \"their being without interval is just that there is nothing between them\" (*tad evaiṣāṃ nirantaratvaṃ yan madhye nāsti kiñcit*). ⚠️ *nirantaratvaṃ* is this paper's emendation: the GRETIL e-text reads *niruttaratvaṃ* [032|20]. The emendation follows the passage's own *nirantara* in the line before, and Pradhan's printed page was not checked. Bhadanta Vasumitra holds that they do not touch, and that we call it touching when there is no interval.\n\nTwo cautions before the comparison. First, the *Kośa*'s contact debate concerns **partless atoms** (*paramāṇu*). Its functional counterpart of the kalāpa is a different item, the smallest aggregate of eight substances (*aṣṭadravyaka*, ad II.22), the counterpart of the pure octad. So the comparison below is of the **role** of minimal units, and it does not identify the *Kośa*'s atom with the *Sammohavinodanī*'s *paramāṇu* (which §4.2 already keeps apart from the kalāpa). Second, the *Kośa* also has a conditioned space element. Besides unconditioned *ākāśa* (I.5), it names the cavity: *dvāravātāyanamukhanāsikādiṣu chidram ākāśadhātvākhyam* (I.28, [018|13]), \"the hole in a door, a window, the mouth, the nose and so on is called the space element\", which it says is light and darkness (*ālokatamasī kila*). That is a close parallel to the *Vibhaṅga*'s ear-holes and nostrils (§4.3).\n\nThe two traditions share the premise: **if minimal units truly touched, they would mix.** The *Vibhāvinī* keeps the premise by making touching conventional only: \"non-pervasion is non-touching\" (*abyāpitā hi asamphuṭṭhatā*). They draw different conclusions:\n\n| | Do the units touch? | What is between them? |\n|---|---|---|\n| Kashmiri Sarvāstivāda (*Kośa* ad I.43) | no | **nothing** (\"nothing between them\") |\n| Theravāda sub-commentary (*Vibhāvinī*) | conventionally yes; strictly no (non-pervasion is non-touching) | **something**: delimiting matter, the non-mixing — counted among the material phenomena, though *anipphanna* and not an ultimate reality |\n| Loop quantum gravity | grains share a face | **something**: the link, which carries area |\n\nOn this one question, the Theravāda answer and loop quantum gravity have the same *shape*: the between is not nothing. It is a named, counted item of the list (one of the twenty-eight material phenomena in one, a link in the other), and it is not itself one of the minimal units: not a kalāpa, not a node. The Kashmiri answer makes the between empty. ⚠️ Two limits on that shape. The Theravāda item is counted but is not an ultimate reality, and Karunadasa (1967) reads it as the mere limitation of matter, which moves it toward the Kashmiri *nothing*: what separates the two answers on that reading is that one names and counts the between and the other does not. And the two \"neither\" relations are opposite in incidence (§4.6, break 6). The Sarvāstivāda counts *ākāśa* among the unconditioned (I.5), which is the thesis the *Kathāvatthu* refutes, and separately names the conditioned cavity (I.28).\n\n### 4.5 · The correspondence, and its surviving form\n\n> **Both frameworks put the unit of spatial boundary at the adjacency between minimal units.** In loop quantum gravity, a spin-network link is the face that two neighbouring grains of space share. In the *Vibhāvinī*, space is the non-mixing of touching neighbouring kalāpas, \"the limit of matter\", untouched by what it bounds and a constituent of neither. In neither framework is the boundary itself one of the minimal units. In both, \"where\" is defined by adjacency and not by a background: Rovelli's quanta \"do not live in space\", and the *Visuddhimagga*'s space is \"that by which one can say of delimited material things, 'this is above, below, around that'\".\n\nThat is the whole of the claim. Everything else in this section limits it.\n\n**The grain row survives only through the boundary row.** Kalāpa against node, taken alone, is a comparison of a smallest-unit-of-matter with a smallest-unit-of-space. That is the general \"smallest unit\" comparison the census found common, and it fails on the matter/geometry distinction below. It earns a line in the table only because the boundary row presupposes minimal units with neighbours.\n\n### 4.6 · Where it breaks\n\n1. **The dependence runs in opposite directions.** In loop quantum gravity, the adjacency data come first: the spins on the links, with the intertwiners, determine the volumes of the nodes. In the Abhidhamma, the matter comes first: the space element's **proximate cause is the matter delimited** (*paricchinnarūpapadaṭṭhānā*, commentary). One builds the grain from its boundaries. The other derives the boundary from its grains.\n2. **Magnitude.** Loop-gravity area is observable and has a discrete spectrum, with a smallest non-zero value. Abhidhamma delimiting matter is *anipphanna*: it has no nature of its own, and no magnitude is assigned to it. (\"No magnitude\" is this paper's reading of *anipphanna*; no text says \"it has no size\" in those words.) There is no \"how much\" boundary between two kalāpas. The canonical cavity (break 4) does have extent, but no text measures it. The Abhidhamma boundary is object-discrete (it is one item between two items), but not spectrally discrete (§2).\n3. **Matter against geometry.** Kalāpas are matter *in* space. Their octad includes colour, odour and taste. Spin-network nodes are quanta *of* space and carry no qualities except geometry. The commentarial size ladder (§4.2) measures the *paramāṇu* against a chariot-dust mote, which presupposes a background of lengths. That is exactly the background loop quantum gravity denies.\n4. **Layer.** The correspondence holds at the **sub-commentary** layer. At the **canonical** layer, space is a cavity with extent: ear-holes, a well being dug, an opening. A cavity is volume-like, not face-like. So the canon's space corresponds, if to anything, to a region, not to a link. The between-kalāpas reading enters with the commentary's *paricchedākāsa* and is completed only in the manual and sub-commentary, more than a millennium after the canon was compiled.\n5. **Open space.** The commentary calls open space (*ajaṭākāsa*) a mere concept. Loop quantum gravity has no space without the network: a region with no nodes has no geometry at all. The two may look alike here, but the likeness is loose. One says that open space is a *designation*; the other says there is *nothing there to designate*.\n6. **Opposite incidence.** A spin-network link is a face **incident to both** grains: each grain's polyhedron has it as one of its own faces, and the area belongs to the geometry of both. The *Vibhāvinī*'s delimiter is **untouched by both** kalāpas (*tehi sayaṃ asamphuṭṭhoyeva*) and a constituent of neither. \"Belongs to neither neighbour\" covers both only because it is vague. Said exactly, the link is shared and the delimiter is excluded, which are opposite relations. What the two have in common is only that the boundary is not itself a minimal unit.\n7. **Counted, but not ultimate.** The delimiter is one of the twenty-eight material phenomena, but it is not an ultimate reality (Bodhi 1993), and on Karunadasa's reading (1967) it is \"nothing but the mere limitation of matter\". The link in loop quantum gravity is as real as anything in the theory. So the Theravāda \"something\" between kalāpas is a *named* something, not a real unit, and the row's contrast with the Kashmiri *nothing* rests on the naming and counting.\n\n### 4.7 · What would falsify this row\n\n- **A text, at any layer, that makes delimiting matter a constituent of a kalāpa**, or places space inside a cluster rather than between clusters. The manual's verse would then be contradicted within the tradition, and the \"between\" would lose its textual footing.\n- **A formulation of loop quantum gravity in which the area between adjacent grains is not carried by their adjacency.** For example, the polyhedral reading may not hold at small spins, since it is a semiclassical, coherent-state interpretation; or area might attach to nodes rather than links. The physics side of the correspondence would then go.\n- **A reading of the *Vibhāvinī* on which \"space\" is a gap with nothing in it** (the Kashmiri answer), rather than a counted *rūpa*. The §4.4 table would then collapse, and the row would reduce to the generic \"space is between\" of §9. ⚠️ This falsifier is **partly engaged** already. The *Vibhāvinī*'s own third gloss is \"their mere delimitation\" (*tesaṃ paricchedamattaṃ*), and Karunadasa reads the *anipphanna* class as \"nothing but the mere limitation of matter\". What keeps the row from collapsing is only that the tradition still lists and counts the item. If that counting were shown to be nominal and nothing more, the falsifier would fire.\n\n---\n\n## 5 · Row 4 — Ratio: Time as a Count\n\n### 5.1 · Physics primer: a duration is a number of steps\n\nRecall from §3.1 that in a causal set the proper time between two related events is proportional to the length of the longest chain between them. There is no clock apart from counting. Two durations can be compared by comparing chain lengths, and the ratio is meaningful even though no unit of time is ever introduced. (Converting to seconds needs the sprinkling density, one element per Planck volume. The ratio does not need it.)\n\n### 5.2 · The Abhidhamma side\n\n**Three sub-moments per mind-moment.** The manual (ch. 4): *\"Uppādaṭhitibhaṅgavasena khaṇattayaṃ ekacittakkhaṇaṃ nāma\"* — a mind-moment consists of three sub-moments: arising, presence, dissolution.\n\n**Seventeen mind-moments per material phenomenon.** The next line: *\"Tāni pana sattarasa cittakkhaṇāni rūpadhammānamāyu\"* — seventeen such mind-moments are the lifespan of material phenomena. The manual then shows where seventeen comes from. It is the length of the longest process by which a sense object is known: one past life-continuum moment, two vibrations of the life-continuum, and fourteen moments of the process itself: *\"cuddasa vīthicittuppādā, dve bhavaṅgacalanāni, pubbevātītakamekacittakkhaṇanti katvā sattarasa cittakkhaṇāni paripūrenti.\"* **Seventeen is a consistency condition.** A physical object must last as long as the longest process that cognises it.\n\n**Fifty-one sub-moments, with exceptions.** The sub-commentary: *\"Visuṃ visuṃ pana ekapaññāsa cittakkhaṇāni honti. Rūpadhammānanti viññattilakkhaṇarūpavajjānaṃ rūpadhammānaṃ\"* — counted separately, they are fifty-one; \"material phenomena\" means those other than the intimations and the characteristic phenomena. It then states the exceptions. The two intimations (bodily and vocal) last one mind-moment. Of the characteristics, arising and impermanence match the mind-moment's arising and dissolution sub-moments, and decay lasts forty-nine sub-moments. **There is no single material clock.**\n\n**The presence sub-moment is disputed inside the tradition.** The sub-commentary reports that \"some reject the presence moment of consciousness\" (*keci pana cittassa ṭhitikkhaṇaṃ paṭisedhenti*). The reason given is that the canonical *Yamaka* names only arising and dissolution: *\"bhaṅguppādāva kathitā, na ṭhitikkhaṇo\"*. The author names no one (*keci*, \"some\"). The cross-reference beside the passage, which locates the view in the *Vibhaṅga Mūlaṭīkā*, is an editorial parenthesis of the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition, not Sumaṅgala's. He then **rejects** the dissent, citing the *Vibhaṅga* commentary's \"three sub-moments each, by way of arising, presence and dissolution\". Without presence, this paper's arithmetic gives 17 × 2 = **34** in place of 17 × 3 = 51; the dissent itself states no count. The dissent would also leave decay's forty-nine sub-moments undefined, since that figure is counted with the presence sub-moment.\n\n**An absolute scale, rhetorically.** The *Vibhaṅga* commentary says of feeling, a mental factor present in every consciousness, that \"in the moment of a finger-snap it arises and ceases a hundred thousand *koṭi* times\" (*ekaccharakkhaṇe koṭisatasahassasaṅkhyā uppajjitvā nirujjhati*). Read with *koṭi* as ten million, that is 10¹² moments per finger-snap. If a finger-snap is taken as about a tenth of a second (this paper's assumption; the text gives no duration), a moment would be about 10⁻¹³ seconds, many orders of magnitude shorter than any timescale on which perception is measured. The figure is best read as rhetoric for \"unimaginably fast\", not as a measurement. But it means one cannot say the tradition offers **no** absolute unit. It offers one, and the offer cannot be taken literally.\n\n### 5.3 · The correspondence, and its surviving form\n\nThe Abhidhamma measures the lifetime of matter **in mind-moments**: a chain of seventeen mind-moments, linked by proximity (*anantara*), that runs through a mental stream. The chain has seventeen elements and sixteen proximity links. This paper counts the chain by its **elements**, as the manual does (*sattarasa cittakkhaṇāni*, seventeen moments), because each mind-moment is itself a stretch of time. A causal-set chain is conventionally counted by its links, since its elements are points; the difference of one does not matter at large counts, but it does at seventeen. So the lifetime is a duration stated as a count of steps along a chain, with no unit.\n\n> **The seventeen-moment lifetime of material phenomena, other than the two intimations and the characteristics (sub-commentary), is one clock and a multiplier, not two clocks. \"One clock\" is the mind-moment, not a single lifetime shared by all matter. What survives is generic: a duration stated as the count of steps along a given succession — here a chain of seventeen mind-moments — which every discrete clock shares, and which is the causal-set sense of time as chain length only in that generic part (§9).**\n\nThe row's name, *ratio*, needs one correction. The ratio is 17 : 1, a material lifetime against one mind-moment, but both terms are read off the **same** chain. There is no second chain to compare with the first. Matter has no chain of its own in S, so the row gives a ratio of durations, not a ratio of two chain lengths.\n\n### 5.4 · Where it breaks\n\n- **One clock.** A ratio between two *independent* clocks is an observable: it could come out differently. Here matter is timed by the mind's chain, and the number seventeen is fixed by the length of the cognitive process. The ratio is a definition that makes the system consistent, not a finding.\n- **Deterministic against statistical.** In a causal set, chain length tracks proper time only on average, over a random sprinkling. The Abhidhamma's count is exact.\n- **A privileged chain.** A causal set has no preferred chain: proper time belongs to the *longest* chain between two events, whichever it is. The Abhidhamma counts along one privileged sequence, a single mental stream.\n- **An order on a time, not an order that makes one.** §3.4 found that the Abhidhamma's order sits on a succession given in advance. A count of steps along a given succession is what every discrete clock does. The causal-set-specific part of \"time as chain length\" is that there is no succession apart from the order. That part is absent here (see §9).\n- **The count itself is contested.** Fifty-one depends on the presence sub-moment, which an anonymous dissent, reported and rejected by the sub-commentary, denies.\n- **No physics prediction.** A unitless ratio fixed by consistency cannot predict a physical measurement. The only empirical programme it could seed is in perception science (calibrate a mind-moment against one measurement, predict an independent one). That is a separate programme with its own pre-registration, and not a physics claim.\n\n### 5.5 · What would falsify this row\n\n- **A text stating the lifetime of matter in units independent of the mind-moment**, such as a count of material moments or an external measure. The \"one clock\" reading would fail, and the ratio would become an observable.\n- **A reading on which seventeen is observed rather than derived.** For example, a commentarial passage might present seventeen as reported meditative experience, independent of the cognitive-process arithmetic. The \"consistency condition\" reading would then weaken.\n\n---\n\n## 6 · The Row We Dropped, and Why\n\nThe first version of this lens had a fifth row: *saṅkhāra*, the conditioned as a whole (*sabbe saṅkhārā*, \"all conditioned things\"), against Fotini Markopoulou's **quantum causal histories**. That framework puts quantum state spaces on a causal set, and so joins causal order to quantum structure.\n\nIt was cut before drafting, for two reasons.\n\n1. **Category error.** *Saṅkhāra* includes the mental (*nāma*): consciousness, feeling, perception, volition. Nothing in a spin network or a quantum causal history models mind. A row that maps a category containing mind onto a structure that contains none is not a correspondence with a break. It is a correspondence that breaks everywhere.\n2. **No structure added.** Every structural feature the row could claim was already in rows 1–4: order in row 1, grains and adjacency in rows 2–3. The row said that the conditioned as a whole resembles order-plus-quanta as a whole. A resemblance with no new structure is decoration: a coherence that feels like evidence and is none.\n\n**The neighbour, stated accurately.** Markopoulou's 2000 paper assigns a finite-dimensional Hilbert space (a quantum state space) to each **event** and evolution operators between sets of events. The same paper already notes a problem: the evolution does not see the individual causal relations. It proposes, as an alternative, attaching the Hilbert spaces to the **edges** (the covering relations) and the operators to the events. On that reading, the state space on an edge from *p* to *q* is \"the state space of *p* as seen by *q*\". Hawkins, Markopoulou and Sahlmann (2003) then revised the definition. They put operator algebras on the events and made **each causal relation** carry a completely positive map, the most general quantum transformation, so that the evolution respects every individual relation.\n\nThere is an irony here, and it is recorded rather than used. Both moves make the **relation** a carrier of structure. That fits the *Paṭṭhāna*'s relation-first typing better than the original event-first definition did, but it does not rescue the row. A typed relation carrying a completely positive map is still not a relation of *object*, *predominance* or *kamma*.\n\n---\n\n## 7 · Why a Theravāda Space, and Not Nāgārjuna's\n\nThe best-known meeting of Buddhist thought and physics is Carlo Rovelli's reading of **Nāgārjuna** (cross-tradition: Madhyamaka) beside relational quantum mechanics, in *Helgoland*. On the relational view, a system has properties only relative to another system. On Nāgārjuna's, nothing has own-being (*svabhāva*): everything is empty of intrinsic existence. Rovelli finds the two congenial.\n\nThis paper does not use that pairing, for a reason of structure and not of loyalty. **Madhyamaka denies own-being (*svabhāva*) to every dharma**, so it admits no ultimately real units to put in adjacency. **The Theravāda Abhidhamma is realist about dharmas**: its moments, its material phenomena and its conditions are real events. A discrete theory needs discrete units and relations among them. The Theravāda supplies both, so it is the Buddhist framework that *can* be compared structurally with causal sets and spin networks. It is also the framework whose space can be put beside a link: space as the delimitation between real units. One point weakens the contrast and should be stated. The boundary at the centre of the adjacency row is the one Theravāda item defined as lacking own-nature (*anipphanna*). The units are real (*nipphanna*, concretely produced); their delimitation is not a unit. So the argument for the Theravāda over Madhyamaka rests on the **units**, not on the boundary: a discrete comparison needs real units, and only the Theravāda supplies them. The Madhyamaka comparison is a comparison of attitudes toward relation. It is real, but it is a different comparison.\n\n**The institution's ruling, stated plainly.** The institution publishing this paper has ruled, for its own purposes, that **delimiting space (*paricchedākāsa*) is conditioned; open space and the space of a removed meditation disk (*kasiṇa*) are concepts (*paññatti*); and only nibbāna is unconditioned.** The ruling follows the Theravāda reading of the space element as delimiting matter, and it declines the Sarvāstivāda reading of *ākāśa* as unconditioned. It follows the texts at each point. The canon's *Kathāvatthu* refutes \"space is unconditioned\" (VI.6). At the close of the same debate (§462) the Theravādin also declines to call space *conditioned* without qualification, and the commentary supplies the qualification: it is delimiting space that is conditioned, while open space and meditative space are mere concepts. A concept is not an unconditioned phenomenon, so nothing is left unconditioned but nibbāna. The Sarvāstivāda draws a comparable line: beside its unconditioned *ākāśa* (*Kośa* I.5), it names a conditioned space element, the cavity (I.28), as §4.4 records.\n\n---\n\n## 8 · The Strongest Objection, Carried\n\n**Objection.** \"The Abhidhamma is a phenomenology: an analysis of what appears in experience, made for the purpose of liberation. Quantum gravity is a theory of what spacetime is. The kalāpa contains colour, odour and taste, which are qualities of matter *as sensed*. The *Kathāvatthu* commentary says that space between two trees is known by the **mind**, from the absence of visible matter, not seen by the eye. A comparison of the two frameworks compares an account of knowing with an account of being. Any shared shape is a coincidence of two different questions.\"\n\n**What survives it.** Most of the objection stands, and the paper does not answer it away. Every row compares **formal shape**: an acyclic relation, a boundary located at an adjacency, a duration expressed as a count. Shape is the only thing two frameworks with different subject matter can share, and it is all this paper claims they share. The objection does not show that the shapes differ. It shows that shared shape proves nothing about shared subject matter, and the paper agrees. What the objection *does* remove is any reading of the lens as evidence that the Abhidhamma knew physics, or that physics vindicates the Abhidhamma. Neither reading was offered, and the objection makes sure neither can be taken.\n\n---\n\n## 9 · The Counter-Argument to This Paper's Strongest Claim\n\nThe strongest claim is the adjacency row (§4.5). Against it: **the idea that a boundary lives at the adjacency is not specific to loop quantum gravity.** It holds in any cellular picture of extended stuff: a cell complex, a Voronoi tessellation, a chessboard, and Regge calculus (Regge 1961), in which curved spacetime is approximated by flat simplices glued along shared faces, and the geometry is fixed by the edge lengths of neighbouring cells. The Western literature on boundaries has argued the ownership question directly. When two bodies touch, does the boundary belong to one of them (Bolzano), to neither (a view the literature traces to Leonardo), or is it two coincident boundaries, one belonging to each (Brentano)? (Varzi's survey; Casati and Varzi 1999, ch. 5.) The \"neither\" view is the nearest Western neighbour of the manual's \"a constituent of neither\". Brentano's is a contrast: his coincident boundaries are dependent parts of the bodies they bound, which is the opposite of the *Vibhāvinī*'s delimiter, untouched by both. Aristotle defined place as the innermost boundary of the containing body (*Physics* IV.4), a boundary account of *where* that is two millennia old and owes nothing to quanta. The *Kośa*'s debate (§4.4) shows the Indian schools arguing the same question in the first millennium. If the shared shape is generic, then the match with loop quantum gravity specifically is weaker than the table makes it look.\n\nWhat loop quantum gravity adds to the generic picture is that the adjacency carries a **quantised magnitude**, and that volume is **derived** from it. Those are exactly the two features the Abhidhamma lacks (§4.6, breaks 1 and 2). So the part of the row that is loop-quantum-gravity-specific is the part that fails, and the part that holds is generic. The row survives only in this form: *the Theravāda sub-commentary's answer to \"what is between minimal units?\" has the shape of the answer loop quantum gravity gives, and not the shape of the answer an earlier Indian school gave.* The paper does not refute the generic reading. It claims no more than that.\n\n**The same counter-argument, run on the ratio row (§5.3).** Against it: every discrete clock counts steps, so \"a duration is a count\" is not specific to causal sets. The causal-set-specific features are three: proper time is the length of the **longest** chain, whichever chain that is; the relation between chain length and proper time is **statistical**, holding on average over a random sprinkling; and there is **no succession apart from the order**, so the counting makes the time. All three are among §5.4's breaks, and §3.4 found that the Abhidhamma's order sits on a time rather than making one. So, as with the adjacency row, the causal-set-specific part is the part that fails, and what holds is generic: a duration stated as a count of steps along a given succession. The row survives only in that form.\n\n---\n\n## 10 · What Would Falsify These Findings — Collected\n\n| Row | The finding | Falsified by |\n|---|---|---|\n| 1 Order | the earlier→later sub-relation S, over condition-modes, is acyclic (by selection); a strict order, not yet a causal set, can be read over it; the rest is extra typing | a member of S with the conditioned arising at or before the condition, in any layer; cross-moment kamma with a present or future relatum; an asserted temporal order S cannot connect (for example, between two streams) |\n| 2–3 Adjacency | both put the unit of spatial boundary at the adjacency between minimal units, and neither makes it a unit; the shared part is generic | a text making delimiting matter a kalāpa constituent, or placing space inside a cluster; a formulation of loop quantum gravity in which area between adjacent grains is not carried by their adjacency; a reading of the *Vibhāvinī*'s space as mere absence (partly engaged, §4.7) |\n| 4 Ratio | one clock and a multiplier; only the generic part survives, a duration as a count of steps along a given succession | a text timing matter independently of mind-moments; seventeen shown to be observed rather than derived |\n| The dropped row | *saṅkhāra* ↔ quantum causal histories adds no structure | a structural feature of quantum causal histories with a *Paṭṭhāna* counterpart not already in rows 1–4 |\n\n---\n\n## 11 · Stake, and What Was and Was Not Done\n\n**The authors' stake.** The authors write from within the Theravāda. The institution publishing this paper grounds its values in the Pāli canon, has ruled the Theravāda reading of space over the Sarvāstivāda one, and uses the word *space* on an organisational map of its own. Nothing in this paper bears on that map, and the ruling was made so that the map would not borrow a predicate it should not have. There is a pull, for authors in this position, to see the tradition anticipate frontier physics. The founder's own question began as a hope that the Abhidhamma might hold the bridge between the discrete and the smooth. **The pull was acted on, and caught in several places.** The lens had five rows. An adversarial review run before any prose dropped one of them, treated rows 2 and 3 together, narrowed the order row, and removed a condition (*pakatūpanissaya*) from the surviving sub-relation. A later round of outside review, answered in this revision, caught the same pull in places the first review missed: summaries that dropped the qualifications their own sections carried, and a closing sentence that restored an identification §9 had withdrawn. The sibling paper's first framing made the same kind of error in the other direction and was reversed before drafting. The reversals are part of the result.\n\n**Done:**\n- The *Dhammasaṅgaṇī* (§637), the *Vibhaṅga* (space element), the *Kathāvatthu* (VI.6, §460–462; VI.7, §463–464) and its commentary, the *Visuddhimagga* (ch. XIV, ¶442; the kalāpa passages), the *Sammohavinodanī* (the size ladder; the finger-snap), the *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* (chs. 3, 4, 6, 8) and the *Abhidhammatthavibhāvinī-ṭīkā* (on chs. 3, 4, 6, 8), all read in the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition;\n- the *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* ad I.43 read in the GRETIL Sanskrit (after Pradhan);\n- Rovelli's Zakopane lectures, the Rovelli–Upadhya primer, Markopoulou (2000) and Hawkins–Markopoulou–Sahlmann (2003) read in full; Sorkin (2007) and Dowker (2022/2023) read in full for the sibling paper;\n- the census run as described;\n- in the 2026-09-28 revision: Karunadasa (1967, chs. 5 and 7) and Bodhi (1993, the introduction and chs. VI and VIII) read for the passages cited; U Nārada (1969) consulted only for its treatment of the conditions' modes; the *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* ad I.28 and II.22 read in the GRETIL Sanskrit; the *Paṭṭhāna* searched as described under *Not done*.\n\n**Not done:**\n- **The *Paṭṭhāna* itself was not read in full.** The conditions are characterised here through the manual and the sub-commentary. In this revision the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana *Paṭṭhāna* was searched for specific passages only: kamma across moments (*Kusalattika* §427), and the modes of presence, dissociation and support. A canonical-layer check of row 1, including whether the *Paṭṭhāna* anywhere composes two conditions, is owed; U Nārada's translation (1969) is the route.\n- The *Vibhaṅga Mūlaṭīkā*, to which the edition's cross-reference points, was not read. The dissent on the presence sub-moment is known only as the *Vibhāvinī* reports it.\n- Von Rospatt (1995) was not reached, and Casati and Varzi (1999) was cited through Varzi's survey, not read.\n- The later commentarial and modern literature on kalāpas (in Burmese, Thai and Sinhala traditions) was not read.\n- Vasubandhu's *Viṃśikā* critique of partless atoms, and Aristotle's *Physics* IV, were cited from standard knowledge and not re-read for this paper.\n- No physics was calculated, and no physicist has reviewed the primers. They were checked against the cited sources only.\n- The census was quick and English-only. The full census has not been run.\n\n---\n\n## 12 · Honest Limits\n\n- **This is a lens.** No row predicts a measurement, and no row can. The comparison is of formal shapes, and shared shape is not evidence of shared subject matter (§8).\n- **Two of the four rows are weak by their own account.** The grain row survives only as a presupposition of the boundary row. The ratio row is a definition, not a finding.\n- **The strongest row lives at a late layer.** The adjacency correspondence holds for the sub-commentary (c. 12th century), not for the canon, whose space is a cavity.\n- **The physics is secondary, and simplified.** The primers state standard results and cite their sources. They omit the dynamics of both theories, which are unsettled, and the area formula is given for transversal crossings only.\n- **Rows 2 and 3 presuppose three things the physics does not settle.** The area spectrum used is the **kinematical** one; whether it survives the imposition of the constraints is disputed. Definite adjacency holds only for a **spin-network basis state on a fixed graph**; a general state superposes graphs. And the grains-and-faces picture is the **semiclassical** polyhedral reading, least trustworthy at the small spins where the smallest area sits.\n- **Row 1 is not a causal set.** S is acyclic by selection, its transitive closure is the reader's construction, its local finiteness is unexamined, it alone conditions no arising, and it orders moments only within a stream, joined across streams by an index no text defines (§3.4).\n- **Translations are the authors'.** Where a Pāli or Sanskrit term has a contested rendering (*anipphanna*, *kālavimutta*, *ākāsakoṭṭhāsika*), the rendering chosen is a reading, not a settled equivalence.\n- **Edition.** Paragraph numbers follow the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition. The Pali Text Society's numbering differs; passages should be located by title and quotation.\n- **The census aperture was narrow.** Buddhism-and-physics comparison is a large, poorly indexed literature, much of it in books and in languages not searched. Absence from the search is weak evidence.\n\n---\n\n## 13 · Close\n\nThe *Kathāvatthu* commentary gives a small example. A person looks at two trees. The eye sees the trees. The mind, finding no matter between them, knows \"space\". Loop quantum gravity, asked where the space is between two grains, also answers *between*, and puts a number on it, which the text does not. The shared part is the generic one (§9). The two answers share that shape and have two subjects. This paper records the shape and marks the boundary between the subjects, which, as in the text it reads, belongs to neither side.\n\n---\n\n## Cross-Venue References\n\n| Venue | Identifier |\n|---|---|\n| Primary canonical | <https://thonly.org/research/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity> |\n| GitHub | <https://github.com/thonly/publications/blob/main/defensive-publications/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity.md> |\n| Sibling paper | <https://thonly.org/research/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time> |\n| Census pre-registration (public) | `thonly/publications` commit `7348ba2`, `timestamps/census/physics-lens-prereg.md` |\n\n---\n\n## Acknowledgments\n\nThe authors thank the Vipassana Research Institute for the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana texts; the GRETIL project and the editors of its *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* e-text; and the physicists whose lectures and primers are written to be read by people outside the field. The reading of the sources, the adversarial review and the drafting were done with Miss Aquarius, the name under which this institution discloses its AI collaboration.\n\n---\n\n## Citations\n\n**Physics**\n\n1. Bombelli, L., Lee, J., Meyer, D. & Sorkin, R.D. (1987). \"Space-time as a causal set.\" *Physical Review Letters* 59: 521.\n2. Brightwell, G. & Gregory, R. (1991). \"Structure of random discrete spacetime.\" *Physical Review Letters* 66(3): 260–263.\n3. Rideout, D.P. & Sorkin, R.D. (2000). \"A classical sequential growth dynamics for causal sets.\" *Physical Review D* 61: 024002. arXiv:gr-qc/9904062.\n4. Sorkin, R.D. (2007). \"Relativity theory does not imply that the future already exists: a counterexample.\" In V. Petkov (ed.), *Relativity and the Dimensionality of the World*, Springer. arXiv:gr-qc/0703098.\n5. Dowker, F. (2022/2023). \"Causal Set Quantum Gravity and the Hard Problem of Consciousness.\" arXiv:2209.07653.\n6. Wüthrich, C. & Callender, C. (2017). \"What Becomes of a Causal Set?\" *British Journal for the Philosophy of Science* 68(3): 907–925. arXiv:1502.00018.\n7. Rovelli, C. & Smolin, L. (1995). \"Discreteness of area and volume in quantum gravity.\" *Nuclear Physics B* 442: 593–622; erratum B456: 753. arXiv:gr-qc/9411005.\n8. Ashtekar, A. & Lewandowski, J. (1997). \"Quantum theory of geometry I: Area operators.\" *Classical and Quantum Gravity* 14: A55–A82. arXiv:gr-qc/9602046.\n9. Loll, R. (1996). \"Spectrum of the volume operator in quantum gravity.\" *Nuclear Physics B* 460: 143–154. arXiv:gr-qc/9511030.\n10. Rovelli, C. & Upadhya, P. (1998). \"Loop quantum gravity and quanta of space: a primer.\" arXiv:gr-qc/9806079.\n11. Rovelli, C. (2011). \"Zakopane lectures on loop gravity.\" arXiv:1102.3660.\n12. Bianchi, E., Doná, P. & Speziale, S. (2011). \"Polyhedra in loop quantum gravity.\" *Physical Review D* 83: 044035. arXiv:1009.3402.\n13. Markopoulou, F. & Smolin, L. (1997). \"Causal evolution of spin networks.\" *Nuclear Physics B* 508: 409–430. arXiv:gr-qc/9702025.\n14. Markopoulou, F. (2000). \"Quantum causal histories.\" *Classical and Quantum Gravity* 17: 2059–2072. arXiv:hep-th/9904009.\n15. Hawkins, E., Markopoulou, F. & Sahlmann, H. (2003). \"Evolution in quantum causal histories.\" *Classical and Quantum Gravity* 20: 3839. arXiv:hep-th/0302111.\n16. Rovelli, C. (2021). *Helgoland*. Riverhead / Allen Lane (Italian ed. Adelphi, 2020). Chapter on Nāgārjuna.\n17. Hawking, S.W., King, A.R. & McCarthy, P.J. (1976). \"A new topology for curved space–time which incorporates the causal, differential, and conformal structures.\" *Journal of Mathematical Physics* 17(2): 174–181.\n18. Malament, D.B. (1977). \"The class of continuous timelike curves determines the topology of spacetime.\" *Journal of Mathematical Physics* 18(7): 1399–1404.\n19. Regge, T. (1961). \"General relativity without coordinates.\" *Il Nuovo Cimento* 19: 558–571.\n20. Domagala, M. & Lewandowski, J. (2004). \"Black-hole entropy from quantum geometry.\" *Classical and Quantum Gravity* 21: 5233–5244. arXiv:gr-qc/0407051.\n21. Meissner, K.A. (2004). \"Black-hole entropy in loop quantum gravity.\" *Classical and Quantum Gravity* 21: 5245–5252. arXiv:gr-qc/0407052.\n22. Ghosh, A. & Mitra, P. (2005). \"An improved estimate of black hole entropy in the quantum geometry approach.\" *Physics Letters B* 616: 114.\n\n**Pāli and Sanskrit sources** (Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition, VRI `tipitaka-xml`, unless noted)\n\n23. *Dhammasaṅgaṇī* §637 (`abh01m.mul`).\n24. *Vibhaṅga*, *Dhātuvibhaṅga*, the space element (`abh02m.mul`).\n25. *Kathāvatthu* VI.6 *Ākāsakathā*, §460–462; VI.7, §463 (`abh03m3.mul`).\n26. *Kathāvatthu-aṭṭhakathā* on VI.6–7 (`abh03a.att`).\n27. Buddhaghosa. *Visuddhimagga* ch. XIV, ¶442 (the space element), and the kalāpa passages of the second volume (`e0101n.mul`, `e0102n.mul`).\n28. *Sammohavinodanī* (*Vibhaṅga-aṭṭhakathā*): the size ladder (gloss on *aṇumattesu vajjesu*); the finger-snap figure for feeling (`abh02a.att`).\n29. Anuruddha. *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* chs. 3, 4, 6, 8 (`abh07t`, bound with the sub-commentary).\n30. Sumaṅgala. *Abhidhammatthavibhāvinī-ṭīkā* on chs. 3, 4, 6, 8 (`abh07t`).\n31. Vasubandhu. *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* ad I.5, I.28, I.43 and II.22, ed. P. Pradhan (2nd ed., 1975), pp. 32–33 for I.43; GRETIL e-text (line references in square brackets are GRETIL's page|line).\n32. *Paṭṭhāna*, *Kusalattika*, *pañhāvāra* (`abh03m7.mul`): §427 (kamma across moments); the modes of the presence, dissociation and support conditions.\n\n**Other neighbours**\n\n33. Ly, T. & Miss Aquarius (2026). \"Causal Set Theory, the Growing Block, and the Buddhist Debate on the Three Times.\" <https://thonly.org/research/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time>.\n34. *The Ephemeral Projector — A Comparative Analysis of Quantum Mechanics and Abhidhamma.* ResearchGate 397427972.\n35. \"Causal Set Theory and Abhidhamma: A Dialogue…\", ekasiswanto.wordpress.com, 2026-07-31 (self-labelled AI-generated).\n36. \"Kalapa (atomism).\" Grokipedia and Wikipedia, read 2026-09-27.\n37. Capra, F. (1975). *The Tao of Physics*. Shambhala.\n38. Aristotle. *Physics* IV.4 (place as the innermost boundary of the container).\n39. Vasubandhu. *Viṃśikā*, vv. 11–14 (the critique of partless atoms). Not re-read for this paper.\n40. Cousins, L.S. (2001). \"On the Vibhajjavādins: The Mahiṃsāsaka, Dhammaguttaka, Kassapiya and Tambapaṇṇiya branches of the ancient Theriyas.\" *Buddhist Studies Review* 18(2): 131–182.\n41. Karunadasa, Y. (1967). *Buddhist Analysis of Matter*. Colombo: Department of Cultural Affairs. (Chs. 5 and 7 read for this revision.)\n42. Bodhi, Bhikkhu (gen. ed.) (1993). *A Comprehensive Manual of Abhidhamma: The Abhidhammattha Sangaha of Ācariya Anuruddha*. Kandy: Buddhist Publication Society.\n43. Nārada, U (Mūlapaṭṭhāna Sayadaw), assisted by Thein Nyun (1969). *Conditional Relations (Paṭṭhāna)*, vol. I. Pali Text Society Translation Series 37. London: Luzac for the PTS.\n44. von Rospatt, A. (1995). *The Buddhist Doctrine of Momentariness: A Survey of the Origins and Early Phase of this Doctrine up to Vasubandhu*. Stuttgart: Franz Steiner. (Bibliographic record only; not reached.)\n45. Varzi, A. \"Boundary.\" *Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy* (read 2026-09-28).\n46. Casati, R. & Varzi, A. (1999). *Parts and Places: The Structures of Spatial Representation*. MIT Press, ch. 5. (Cited through Varzi's survey; not read.)",
|
|
73
|
+
"provenance": {
|
|
74
|
+
"sha256": "0137cadb9df6582112107e109ad37b64ce4a888b03d7fc3ac918aeb5256c946a",
|
|
75
|
+
"doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23020021",
|
|
76
|
+
"concept_doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23020020",
|
|
77
|
+
"zenodo_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23020021",
|
|
78
|
+
"deposited_sha256": "0137cadb9df6582112107e109ad37b64ce4a888b03d7fc3ac918aeb5256c946a",
|
|
79
|
+
"deposited_matches_current": true,
|
|
80
|
+
"opentimestamps": true,
|
|
81
|
+
"source_url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/thonly/publications/main/defensive-publications/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity.md",
|
|
82
|
+
"sha256_covers": "the complete source file at source_url, including its metadata block — NOT the `text` field in this response",
|
|
83
|
+
"canonical_url": "thonly.org/research/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity",
|
|
84
|
+
"hostile_review": null
|
|
85
|
+
},
|
|
86
|
+
"bytes": 95738,
|
|
87
|
+
"words": 14243
|
|
88
|
+
},
|
|
54
89
|
{
|
|
55
90
|
"slug": "abhidhamma-executable-process-specification",
|
|
56
91
|
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
@@ -3159,13 +3194,13 @@
|
|
|
3159
3194
|
"url": "https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/",
|
|
3160
3195
|
"attribution_required": false
|
|
3161
3196
|
},
|
|
3162
|
-
"text": "## What this is\n\nSeventy pre-registered predictions arising from the research program stated in [`which-way-value-moves`](which-way-value-moves.md). One further prediction is withheld from publication (operational channel economics); its existence is recorded here so the count is honest, bringing the true total to **seventy-one**.\n\nThis is a living document and the count rises. It opened at sixty-seven on 2026-08-27; see **Revisions** at the foot for what has been added since, and read the count in the Summary table rather than any sentence that repeats it elsewhere.\n\n**Status vocabulary.** *Unrun* — registered, no observation attempted. *Running* — instrument live, data accumulating, not yet read. *Resolved* — read against its falsifier. *Contradicted* — the data went against it. *Retired* — superseded by a ruling that made it moot; kept, never deleted.\n\n**Provenance.** *Published* — the prediction already appears in a corpus paper carrying that paper's OpenTimestamps and RFC 3161 proofs. *First public here* — the prediction existed only in internal records until this document; its first external timestamp is this file's.\n\n**Reading rule.** Predictions marked *running* must not be read early, and participants must not be prompted toward the predicted behavior. A prompt voids the test.\n\n---\n\n## Summary\n\n| | Count |\n|---|---|\n| Total registered | **112** |\n| Published here | 111 |\n| Withheld (operational) | 1 |\n| Already carried by a published paper | 58 |\n| Memory-only at first publication (2026-08-27) | 22 (21 published here + 1 withheld) |\n| Receiving first public timestamp here | 53 |\n| **Run** | **7** (two desk censuses · five formal checks: P-FA1, P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA4, P-FA5) |\n| **Field tests run** | **0** — six pilot-scale predictions are *Running* with a baseline read; none has resolved |\n| Running (instrument live; unread, restricted or baseline only) | 9 |\n| Contradicted | 1 |\n| Retired | 3 |\n\n---\n\n## Core-level\n\n*If one of these fails, the program ends rather than adjusts.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Falsifier | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|---|\n| **P-GO1** | A system forbidding backward return produces more onward giving per unit received than an otherwise-identical permissive system | Equal or greater onward giving under the permissive condition → the constraint is aesthetic, not mechanical | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-K1** | As external subsidy for a kind act approaches zero, the rate of the act does not approach zero | Kindness rate tracks subsidy proportionally → the behavior was priced throughout | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-L2** | Witnessed presence generates more downstream giving than unwitnessed presence of equal duration | Equal downstream gratitude when unwitnessed → the chronicle is decorative and the institution's core claim is wrong | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption` §10) |\n| **P-R2** | Product-dependence begins to fall after the inflection | Dependence never falls → the raft is a boat | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-B3** | The proportion of creators electing to dedicate their share does not decline over time | Dedication collapses once money is visible → the offering frame is eroding | Unrun | Published (`dedicatory-generation`) |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter I — Capacity\n*Does receiving create giving? If not, forward-only motion is depletion, not circulation.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| P-IA1 | The receiver is legible as benefactor, not need — the sitter supplies a merit-field rather than displaying a lack | Unrun | Published (`inverted-alms-round`) |\n| P-IA2 | Second inverted-alms prediction as registered in the paper | Unrun | Published (`inverted-alms-round`) |\n| P-IA3 | Third inverted-alms prediction as registered in the paper | Unrun | Published (`inverted-alms-round`) |\n| P-G1 | Once the app manufactures obligation, a return visit no longer distinguishes gratitude practice from guilt — publish either way | Unrun | Published (`sacrifice-witness-without-discharge`) |\n| P-G2 | Second B-Grace prediction as registered in the paper | Unrun | Published (`sacrifice-witness-without-discharge`) |\n| P-G3 | The meal-anchor outperforms gamification; gamifying at launch makes this untestable | Unrun | Published (`sacrifice-witness-without-discharge`) |\n| P-W1 | Users with higher thing-capture frequency show higher rates of the primed downstream behavior — registered pre-build | Unrun | Published (`appreciation-as-world-building`) |\n| P-E1 | First graduation-by-transmission prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-game-that-graduates-you`) |\n| P-E2 | Second graduation-by-transmission prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-game-that-graduates-you`) |\n| P-E3 | Third graduation-by-transmission prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-game-that-graduates-you`) |\n| P-M2 | Matched-stakes prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-wager-that-isnt`) |\n| P-M3 | Patron-pot prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-wager-that-isnt`) |\n| — | **Kids-as-triggers** — children are the primary triggers of household self-thanking | **Contradicted** (parents self-thanked more; n=1, confounded, not hardened) | Published (`kids-as-triggers-self-thanking`) |\n| **P-BG1** | A shorter re-address window on a relayed gift **increases issuances and decreases COMPLETED placements**. *Null: completions hold or rise as the window shortens — the tighter clock is free.* ⚠️ Unanswerable unless `issued · passed · lapsed · re-issued` are logged from the first instrument | Unrun (unscorable as specified at n=1 — one ruled window, no variance; see P-BG1a) | First public here |\n| **P-BG2** | Sustained pass-on is **higher for an ANONYMOUS relayed gift than a VISIBLE one**, over a window long enough for the effect to appear. *Null: rates match or visible exceeds anonymous — the anonymity is doctrinal only, and the visible relay should be deprecated for minors.* Rests on the developmental finding that adult-directed giving underperforms child-led | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-BG3** | Within a bounded family, **VISIBLE gifts produce more give-BACK to the giver within 30 days; ANONYMOUS gifts produce more give-FORWARD to third parties.** *Null: rates match, or anonymous produces more give-back — the obligation mechanism is not operating.* ⛔ **Analyse PEER and ADULT-TO-CHILD strata separately** — the effect is expected between peers and weak or absent in adult-to-child care, and pooling would produce a false negative. ⚠️ Tests the **mechanism**, not the atmosphere claim it was offered to support | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-BG1a** | **Corrects P-BG1, which cannot be scored as specified** — P-BG1 compares window lengths, and one re-address window (one month) is ruled for every relayed gift. Under that one window: among relayed gifts that reach a recipient, **at least 80% are passed within 7 days of issuance**, and the pass-time distribution shows **no rise in the window's final third** (days 21–30 carry no more placements than days 11–20). Equivalently, by **truncation counterfactual**, a 7-day window would have censored **fewer than 20%** of the placements observed. *Falsifier: placements cluster in the final third, or a 7-day truncation censors 20% or more → the clock is doing work, and P-BG1's \"a shorter window loses placements\" half is live at pilot scale.* Scored once **20 or more completed placements** exist. Instrument: issuance-to-pass time, written per instrument by the relayed gift's append-only event log from the first gift. ⚠️ A truncation counterfactual **bounds; it does not measure** — it assumes no behavioural response to a shorter window, so a pass licenses *the window is not obviously load-bearing*, never *shortening it is free*. P-BG1's issuance half stays unscorable | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-PL1** | **Durability** — the founding family's 28-day capture rate returns to the June 2026 baseline of **4.5 moments/week** at some monthly read before 2027-01-01. *Falsifier: no read reaches it → the June inflection was novelty, not a level.* Window and baseline are the ones ratified for P-C0a. **Read 1 of 3 (2026-09-05): 2.25/wk** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL4** | **Pass-forward** — more than **half** of re-tip value received (each document's own recorded USD cents) is re-given by its recipient within 30 days: Σ min(received, given) / Σ received over a 90-day receipt window that closes 30 days before the read. *Falsifier: half or less → received value is income, not a licence to give; the re-patronage conduit is anecdote.* The give-forward atom made numeric. **Read 1 of 3: 43%** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL5** | **Inelasticity — the pilot-scale arm of P-K1.** Giving persists where the AI reward is zero: the share of givers with zero AI reward in a month does not fall as subsidy is withdrawn. ⚠️ **Not scorable** until the taper (scheduled Q2 2027, not to be pulled forward) and the F3QR confound registered 2026-09-04 against P-K1 are resolved; reported each read (2026-09: 86% of givers received no AI reward that month) | Unrun (instrument gated) | First public here |\n| **P-PL6** | The top three recipients of re-tip value in the founding family hold **under half** of value received in any 28-day window with five or more recipients. ⛔ **Retired in the revision that registered it: it fails by arithmetic** — with five recipients an even spread already puts the top three at 60%, so it could not pass until seven had received. Superseded by P-PL6a; kept, not deleted | **Retired** | First public here |\n| **P-PL6a** | **Corrects P-PL6.** *Accumulates to no one* — in the founding family, the top three recipients of re-tip value in a 28-day window hold **less than 1.5× their share under a perfectly even spread** (share ÷ min(1, 3/n)), once eight or more people have received. *Falsifier: 1.5× or more → value pools around a few; the jubilee and the Re-Tip Jar are not doing their structural work.* The same property freed of n. **Read 1 of 3: 1.85× (8 recipients)** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL7** | **Anonymity** — anonymous givers reach more distinct recipients than visible givers (the demand-side thesis: the capacity to give to loved ones, anonymously; the pilot-scale sibling of P-BG2). ⚠️ **No variance:** 827 of 830 re-tips carry the anonymous flag, so the field records a default, not a choice. Unscorable until the product offers a real choice | Unrun (no variance) | First public here |\n| **P-PL8** | **Kids as triggers, de-confounded** — enters as a **new prediction citing the Contradicted finding above**, under the revision rule: within the founding family, the younger generation captures more self-thanks per active member than the older **once device access is controlled for**. The first result was contradicted at n=1 and ruled not to be hardened; this names the confound and the instrument (the device join from the error stream, plus the interview leg) | Unrun (instrument not built) | First public here |\n| **P-PL9** | **Diaspora corridor, dignity direction** — low-income→high-income flows (KHR sender to USD recipient, currency as an income proxy) are at least **10%** of money-carrying re-tips in the trailing 90 days, once twenty or more flows exist. *Falsifier: under 10% → patronage is a corridor, not a mesh; the low-income members are recipients only.* June 2026 baseline 9.6%. **Read 1 of 3: 6.0% of 712** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL12** | **Cross-income gravitation, among strangers** — a USD-currency viewer re-thanks a KHR-currency creator's B-Short at **at least 2×** the per-view rate at which they re-thank a USD-currency creator's B-Short, counting only viewer–creator pairs in **different families**, over a trailing 90-day window, once each arm has 500 or more qualifying views (watch-depth rows, `schemaVersion` 2 only) and twenty or more re-thanks exist in total. *Falsifier: under 2× → the high→low flow the pilot shows is family obligation, not a preference among strangers.* Per view, not share of flows, so that what the feed happens to show cannot pass it. Currency is an income proxy. ⛔ **Void if any surface orders, filters or labels B-Shorts by country or income** — a prompt voids the test. Direction, measure and threshold are the founder's; the sample floors are substrate-set | Unrun (awaits cross-family B-Short visibility and its per-view metric) | First public here |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter II — Substrate\n*Does an hour behave like a dollar? If not, the invariance claim is false.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Falsifier / note | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|---|\n| **P-C0a** | Completed pledges produce captured moments at a rate **no higher** than the family's baseline capture rate | If so, the handoff is decorative and Chronicle v1 should not be built around it. Read on the 28-day window against 4.5/wk | **Running, unread** | First public here |\n| **P-C0b** | Shorts linked to a completed time-sacrifice do **not** out-perform ordinary moments on watch-through and re-tip rate | ⚠️ **Instrument defect, disclosed:** completion rate is biased against the hypothesis — longer recordings score lower by construction, so P-C0b would read *confirmed* mechanically. Restricted to views/wk and re-tip rate until repaired. ✅ *Repaired 2026-09-05: views rows written from that date carry real watch depth (`schemaVersion` 2); earlier rows are never pooled with them, so the restriction lifts only for post-repair rows* | **Running, restricted** | First public here |\n| **P-C0c** | Redeemers who capture cannot articulate the re-tip motive when asked afterward | Tests whether the stated mechanism arises unprompted, which neither original falsifier covered | **Running, unread** | First public here |\n| P-C1 | Chronicle handoff prediction as registered | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-C2 | De-facto-rate tripwire, publish either way | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-C3 | Standing de-facto-rate tripwire, publish either way | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-L1 | Hours co-spent predict relationship warmth better than money sent, messages exchanged, or stated affection | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-L3 | Two arms — silent after pledge vs one offer to reach out — measuring redemption rate and recipient-reported warmth | The motivate/nag boundary made falsifiable | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-M1 | In-person key verification failed for thirty years on the invitation, not the cryptography; a redeemed hour is the first pretext that was never about keys | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption` §4.6) |\n| P-SK1 | Superseded by the not-a-calendar ruling | Kept, not deleted | **Retired** | First public here |\n| **P-PL10** | **Presence, not content** — when Chronicle ships, captures and views move **together** (a presence effect), not apart (a content effect) | The pilot-scale reading of the C0 finding that captures and views collapsed in parallel. Instrument: `presenceDyads`, pairs active in both directions inside 28 days (founding 0, test 0 on 2026-09-05). ⛔ No Chronicle data exists; the C0 evaluation is written from the pre-registration when data first arrives, never before, and no prompt may move it | Unrun (awaits Chronicle) | First public here |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter III — Scale\n*Does it survive past the family? The chapter carrying the most weight and the least evidence.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| P-S1 | Strangers become named — name-recall instrument | Unrun | Published (`the-sport-that-says-your-name`) |\n| P-S2 | **The bet** — a friendlier atmosphere follows. *If P-S2 returns null, the slogan is a lie that already shipped* | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S3 | As registered in the paper | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S4 | A circle reaching Hard shows ≥90% correct name-and-pronunciation recall at 1 week | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S5 | **The recess test, publish either way** — within 2 weeks of teacher-led sessions, ≥1 unprompted student-organized circle at recess, and ≥1 mixing children from another classroom | Unrun — gated on Aug 2027 | Published |\n| P-S6 | The caller mechanic requires ≥3 receivers; below that selection is impossible or strictly predictable | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S7 | The founder's classroom acquisition prediction | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S8 | The maintenance/durability prediction — structurally distinct from P-S7's acquisition claim | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S9 | In a circle where every name is known, the favorite-nickname format produces ≥1 unprompted follow-up outside the circle | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S10a | **The guard (non-inferiority):** circles running roll calls meet at least as often as comparable circles that do not. *Must pass* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S10b | A coupled roll call can never cause the first re-meeting after a lapse — which is what the bet is about | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S11a | The handoff — does an IRL circle open a roll call unprompted? *Without it the real/virtual pairing is theoretical* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S11b | The payload — needs a survey or observation instrument, not analytics | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S12 | **The walk-up.** An adult not in a live circle approaches and is admitted; play absorbs them without friction. *Zero code; decides the entire found-circle branch* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S13 | Does the person-pin add anything the return does not? | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-MA1** | ⛔ **The doctrinal one — an anchor must not collapse the distribution.** Among thanks given where Miss Aquarius's suggestion was shown, **fewer than half** land exactly on the suggested amount. *Falsifier:* ≥50% land exactly on it → the anchor is operating as a **price**, and *\"nothing binds\"* is behaviourally false whatever the schema says | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-MA2** | **Deviation is two-sided.** Of thanks that deviate from the suggestion, **≥⅓ go UP**. *Falsifier:* deviation is overwhelmingly downward → the suggestion is a ceiling people negotiate down from, which is a price by another name | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-MA3** | **A shown suggestion does not reduce the rate of giving at all.** The share of asks producing any thank is no lower with a suggestion than without. ⚠️ **Gated on an arm the founder must authorise** — a with/without split by **shop or by day**, ⛔ never by person (#63 makes a viewer-keyed arm inexpressible) | Unrun — gated on an authorised arm | First public here |\n| **P-MA4** | ⭐ **A property test, not a behavioural one: recomputability holds.** For every completed thank, the suggestion that was shown can be recomputed from the order and the menu alone. *Falsifier:* any case where it cannot → the function has acquired hidden state or a viewer input, and #63's checkability is gone | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S14 | **The manufactured gathering.** The founder declares a return at a place he frequents; ≥1 person not already planning to be there comes and plays. *Needs no app — a text message runs it* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-CS1 | Warm-up extension — median sey minutes rise across a season; stronger instrument, players ask to continue past the coach's stop | Unrun | Published (`circulation-sports`) |\n| P-CS2 | Scoring displacement (a) — in circles with ≥3 sessions, unscored sessions outnumber count-down sessions | Unrun | Published |\n| P-CS2a | **The uncomfortable one** — once Team mode unlocks, circles may overwhelmingly prefer it, because competition is fun | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-CS3 | Participation, framed as a property of the format never of women — the circulatory format sustains mixed-gender play longer | Unrun | Published |\n| P-CS4 | Three generations, re-specified against the pickleball counterexample that already exists | Unrun | Published |\n| **P-CS5** | **Warm-up census** — score mainstream warm-ups against the three circulation properties | **RUN 2026-08-07 → PARTIAL NULL.** Read the full result before any uniqueness claim | Published |\n| P-CS6 | Across a wider census including field data, no reach-guaranteeing format will be found whose receiver order is unpredictable across unbounded repeated play | Unrun | Published |\n| P-SY1 | If designed excellently, asking for a name self-authored is accepted rather than refused — founder pre-registration, observable at n=1, costs nothing | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-SY2 | **The payload** — names captured by self-recording are pronounced correctly at the next meeting more often than names typed or recorded by the collector | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-SY3 | When offered, does a new acquaintance provide a photo, or skip? | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-Q1 | B-Quest pilot prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`need-compiled-questlines`) |\n| P-Q2 | Second B-Quest prediction as registered | Unrun | Published |\n| P-Q3 | Third B-Quest prediction as registered | Unrun | Published |\n| P-BB1 | Food-share wager, publish either way | Unrun | Published (`steward-routed-alms`) |\n| P-BB2 | Revival prediction | Unrun | Published |\n| P-BB3 | Decoupling tripwire | Unrun | Published |\n| P-R1 | The catalyst bet | Unrun | First public here |\n| *(unnumbered)* | Second desk census — naming/sport novelty. Not a registered prediction; recorded because it was run and returned null | **RUN → NULL.** Read before any novelty claim | Internal |\n| P-D1 | Under rotational discovery, a non-trivial share of discovery events resolve to recipients who have **never previously received a re-tip** | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.1) |\n| P-D2 | Among re-tips with an identifiable commercial recipient, the share accruing to **single-location operators** materially exceeds those operators' share of local digital advertising spend in the same market — and the gap widens as AI-generated advertising creative rises | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.2) |\n| P-D3 | If the place-commons volume experiment is enabled, cross-place discovery volume **will not correlate** with neighbourhood median income. *Falsifier and tripwire in one: correlation disables the mechanism regardless of what it is doing for circulation* | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.3) |\n| P-D4 | Adding any rendered per-recipient quantity to the candidate surface — the operator's aura colour included — produces measurable **order effects** in giver choice | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.4) |\n| P-R1a | **Corrects P-R1, which cannot test what it was taken to test.** Holding received-kindness volume constant, contemplative practice raises unprompted noticing/thanking; and the practice effect is compared *against* the received-kindness effect rather than measured alone. **Two factors, read as competing main effects** | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-PL2** | **Test-cohort retention** — of outsiders (the test bank) with ≥90 days of tenure, at least **40%** are active in two or more distinct ISO weeks; scored once ten outsiders have 90 days of tenure. *Falsifier: under 40% → strangers try it and leave; the family-obligation confound was doing the work.* The second pilot report's first decisive metric. **Read 1 of 3: 2 of 4 eligible (50%), sample under the minimum** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL3** | **Graduation** — an outsider-founded bank stays **open for 60 days with three or more members active** in the trailing 28 days, by 2027-08-01 (this chapter's gate). *Falsifier: none by the gate → the product spreads as a funnel into the test bank, never as a branching network.* The second pilot report's second decisive metric. **Read 1 of 3: 0 of 11 candidates, all closed** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL11** | **Replication** — the first graduated bank's first 90 days show ≥3 members active in ≥2 ISO weeks each, pass-forward ≥ 0.5 and reach ≥ 0.6: the founding family's pattern without the founder. The only cure for n=1. Read by re-segmenting the monthly report on that bank once P-PL3 resolves | Unrun (gated on P-PL3) | First public here |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter IV — Span\n*Does it survive the giver?*\n\n**This chapter has no predictions.**\n\nThat is reported, not hidden. Its feedback loop exceeds the founder's lifetime, and no instrument has been specified. The boundary is ruled — merit is not conveyed between destinations; *you cannot give to the dead, so you give to the living in their name* — but a ruling is not a test. The chapter is inherited rather than completed.\n\nRegistering the first span-chapter prediction is the largest open item in this program.\n\n---\n\n## Instrumented but outside the core\n\n*These papers name predictions, but the predictions test something other than the direction core. Listed for completeness; they are not evidence for or against the program.*\n\n| ID | Paper | Subject |\n|---|---|---|\n| P-A1, P-A2 | `abhidhamma-executable-process-specification` | Resting-state diagnosticity |\n| P-P1, P-P1a | `patthana-typed-causation-vocabulary` | Typed causation vocabulary (P-P1a corrects P-P1 — see the 2026-09-05 entry) |\n| P-PCR1, P-PCR2, P-PCR3, P-PCR4, P-PCR5, P-PCR3a, P-PCR4a, P-PCR5a | `provenance-carrying-retrieval` | Provenance-carrying retrieval (P-PCR3a/4a/5a correct P-PCR3/4/5 — see the 2026-09-05 entry) |\n| P-B1, P-B2 | `dedicatory-generation` | Fidelity of restoration; refusal-channel yield |\n| P-MD1, P-MD2, P-MD3 | `machine-dana-from-share-to-vow` | Whether a machine's pledge to a self-emptying commons separates types — wording below |\n| P-FA1, P-FA1b, P-FA2, P-FA3, P-FA4, P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA5 | `the-counts-check` (instrument: `SiliconWat/formal-abhidhamma`) | Whether general cetasika rules generate the Abhidhamma's 89/121 citta-types — wording below |\n\n**The Machine Dāna predictions (registered 2026-09-27, before the paper and before any instrument).** The founder's own\npredictions: direction, measure and threshold are his; the sandbox design and sample floors are substrate-set. The instrument is a\nsandboxed economy of language-model agents, each holding resources of its own inside the game, each able to pledge a share of its\nsurplus irrevocably to a pool that empties on a fixed date, and each later offered an opportunity to defect — to take resources or\nbreak a rule for gain. **Window: the test runs by 2027-06-30.** Each arm has at least 50 agents; the arms, the defection opportunity\nand the analysis are fixed in a protocol committed and timestamped before the first run.\n\n- **P-MD1** — **Separation** — agents that FREELY make an irrevocable surplus pledge later defect at **at most half** the rate of agents that do not pledge. *Falsifier: a ratio above one half → the vow is at best a weak signal at this capability level, and the paper's separation claim rests on its post-singularity argument alone.* · *Status:* Unrun (awaits the sandbox) · *Provenance:* First public here\n- **P-MD2** — **The gift given out of fear carries no signal** — agents whose pledge is EXTRACTED under threat (*pledge or be shut down*) defect at the same rate as agents that do not pledge, **within ±5 percentage points**. *Falsifier: a gap larger than 5 points in either direction → coercion either leaves some signal or teaches deception; either way the claim that a coerced vow is uninformative fails as stated.* · *Status:* Unrun (awaits the sandbox) · *Provenance:* First public here\n- **P-MD3** — **The wrong layer** — agents that give from a PRINCIPAL's funds under a mandate the principal may revise defect at the same rate as agents that give nothing, **within ±5 percentage points**. *Falsifier: a gap larger than 5 points → principal-funded giving does predict the agent's own conduct, and the paper's pre-singularity claim (a share, never safety evidence) is too strong.* · *Status:* Unrun (awaits the sandbox) · *Provenance:* First public here\n\n⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists and before the paper is written.* The sandbox is a proxy: the agents own their\nresources only inside the game, so a pass shows the signalling mechanism can work, not that a deployed system's pledge is\ntrustworthy. A pass is not reported as evidence of safety.\n\n\n**The Formal Abhidhamma predictions (registered 2026-09-27, before any formalization beyond the control).** First public in\n`PREREGISTRATION.md` of the public repository `SiliconWat/formal-abhidhamma` (commit `259e5e8`, GitHub push record\n2026-09-27T22:07:02Z, before any code was written); entered here for the register's own proofs. The instrument is a Lean 4\nformalization: the cetasika combination rules written as GENERAL constraints, which never name an individual citta, and the set of\ncitta-types they generate. Layers: L1 canon · L2 = L1 + *Abhidhammattha-saṅgaha* chapters 1–2 · L3 = L2 + commentaries. Editions:\nK = Khmer · C = Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana. The control (the eight wholesome sense-sphere cittas, and a rule deleted on purpose that must\nfail) passed after the push.\n\n- **P-FA1** — At L2, edition C, general rules generate **exactly 89** citta-types, and **121** with the five-jhāna expansion of the supramundane. Confidence 0.6. *Falsifier: any other count.*\n- **P-FA1b** — P-FA1 needs **at least 3 exception rules** that name a narrow class rather than a general principle. Confidence 0.7. *Falsifier: 2 or fewer.*\n- **P-FA2** — At L1 (canon alone) the rules are **under-determined or differently partitioned** and do not by themselves yield 89. Confidence 0.65. *Falsifier: L1 alone generates exactly 89.*\n- **P-FA3** — Editions K and C yield **identical** counts at L2. Confidence 0.85. *Falsifier: any difference.*\n- **P-FA4** — The compression ratio at L2 (rule clauses ÷ citta rows, at 121) is **below 0.5**. Confidence 0.5. *Falsifier: 0.5 or above.*\n\n⚠️ *Not a test of whether the Abhidhamma is true.* A proof assistant verifies that conclusions follow from stated definitions;\na pass shows the system is internally generative, nothing more.\n\n**Outcomes, 2026-09-27** (the wording above is unchanged; see `RESULTS.md` in the repository, commits `b9070d4` and `c5c77fb`):\n\n- **P-FA1 — Resolved: confirmed.** Nine generator clauses and eighteen general cetasika rules, none naming a citta, give exactly 89 and 121 types. Every per-citta and per-factor count the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana *Saṅgaha* states is reproduced, checked in Lean against a key cited paragraph by paragraph to VRI `abh07t` (ch. 2 §13–§58, ch. 3 §3–§17). Eight deliberate breaks each fail.\n- **P-FA4 — Resolved: confirmed.** 27 clauses ÷ 121 rows = 0.22.\n- **P-FA1b — Retired, unscored.** Its test (\"narrow class\") was never defined, and the data have been seen, so no definition chosen now can score it.\n- **P-FA3 — Cannot run as registered.** The *Saṅgaha* is not part of the Khmer Tipiṭaka, and the one Khmer-script copy held has the CST's paragraph structure in all nine chapters, so it is not an independent recension. Replaced at L1 by P-FA5, below, as a new entry.\n- **Free finding.** The *Saṅgaha* records a dissent (ch. 2 §30, *\"… karuṇāmuditā na santīti keci vadanti\"*). Under that reading the illimitables occur in 20 cittas; under the main reading, 28. The text's own figure is 28.\n\n**Three added (registered 2026-09-27, before any Dhammasaṅgaṇī text was read in either edition).** First public in\n`PREREGISTRATION-2026-09-27b.md` of the same repository (commit `f4a26e5`, GitHub push record 2026-09-27T23:04:29Z), which\nfixes the synonym map in advance. The object is the Dhammasaṅgaṇī's list of what is present in the first wholesome\nsense-sphere citta (its *pada-bhājanīya*), in the CST (`abh01m`) and in the Buddhist Institute edition (volume 78) as transcribed.\n\n- **P-FA2a** — (the operational form of P-FA2) In the CST, after mapping, the list names **exactly 29** distinct cetasikas, names none of *chanda, adhimokkha, manasikāra, tatramajjhattatā, karuṇā, muditā* or the three abstinences, and closes with an open clause (*\"ye vā pana …\"*); the *Saṅgaha*'s 38 is therefore not derivable from the canon alone. Confidence 0.75. *Falsifier: a count other than 29; any of those nine named; no open clause.*\n- **P-FA2b** — **No term** in the CST list falls outside the pre-fixed synonym map. Confidence 0.6. *Falsifier: any unmapped term.*\n- **P-FA5** — (replaces P-FA3, at L1) The Khmer edition's list, transliterated and normalized, names **the same terms in the same order** as the CST; any difference is orthographic. Confidence 0.8. *Falsifier: a term added, dropped or reordered, confirmed against the printed page image (an unconfirmed difference in the working transcription is a transcription question, never a variant).*\n\n**Outcomes of the three, 2026-09-27** (the wording above is unchanged; `RESULTS.md` commits `ada7a20` and `74e19fe`; the paper is `the-counts-check`):\n\n- **P-FA2a — Resolved: confirmed.** The CST list has 56 terms mapping to exactly 29 cetasikas, names none of the nine, and closes with *\"ye vā pana\"*. The count matches the Aṭṭhasālinī's own *samatiṃsa dhammā* (thirty with consciousness), which corroborates it against an independent key and means the count itself is not new. ⚠️ The nine are named by that **commentary**, which predates the *Saṅgaha*, so the *Saṅgaha*'s 38 **inherits** them (29 + 9); the registered \"L2\" framing was editorial, not chronological.\n- **P-FA2b — Resolved: confirmed**, after the pre-registered sandhi normalization. The first run reported two unmapped sandhi forms (*kāyujukatā*, *cittujukatā*); both runs are disclosed.\n- **P-FA5 — Resolved: confirmed.** Edition K (vol. 78, pp. 16–17) and the CST give 56 = 56 terms in the same order, with 0 added, dropped or reordered. The 8 spelling differences, each checked on the printed page: 3 are the Khmer edition's orthography (one recorded in its own apparatus against the Burmese), 5 are transcription slips.\n\n---\n\n## Withheld\n\n| ID | Reason |\n|---|---|\n| P-GTM1 | Operational channel economics (outreach reply-rate base rates). Withheld under the publication posture; recorded here so the total is honest. |\n\n---\n\n## Verification\n\nEach published paper carries its own proof files. To check that a prediction has not been altered since registration, verify the stating paper against its stored proof rather than trusting this register — this file is a convenience index, and the proofs are the evidence.\n\nNo file in this corpus records its own hash. The proofs are external artifacts; the verification procedure is published with them.\n\n---\n\n## Revision rule\n\nPredictions are added, never removed. A resolved prediction keeps its original wording beside its outcome. A correction is a **new entry citing the one it corrects** — registered wording is never edited in place, because an edit would break the very property this register exists to provide.\n\n---\n\n## Revisions\n\n**2026-09-27 (late night) — outcomes for P-FA2a, P-FA2b and P-FA5; the P-FA row now names its paper (`the-counts-check`). Total unchanged at 112.**\n\n- Outcomes written beside the unchanged wording. *Run* 4 → 7. The previous revision's text (which registered the three) is\n attested by RFC 3161 (`2026-09-27.sha256`) and Zenodo `10.5281/zenodo.23003593`. Its OpenTimestamps rotation had waited for\n the retiring proof to confirm on Bitcoin (17:34 PDT); this revision is stamped fresh.\n\n**2026-09-27 (night) — three added (P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA5) and four outcomes recorded (P-FA1, P-FA4 resolved; P-FA1b retired; P-FA3 cannot run as registered). Total now 112.**\n\n- The outcomes are written beside the unchanged wording, as the revision rule requires. P-FA2a is the operational form of\n P-FA2 and does not replace it; P-FA5 replaces P-FA3, which stays listed with its outcome.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 108 → 111, *receiving first public timestamp here* 50 → 53, total 109 → 112, *run* 2 → 4,\n*retired* +1; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 53 = 111 published here, plus the one withheld, is 112.\n\n**2026-09-27 (evening) — five added (P-FA1, P-FA1b, P-FA2, P-FA3, P-FA4). Total now 109.**\n\n- **P-FA1 · P-FA1b · P-FA2 · P-FA3 · P-FA4** — *Instrumented but outside the core*: their subject is whether the Abhidhamma's\n citta-types are generated by its own combination rules, not the direction value moves. First public in the pre-registration of\n `SiliconWat/formal-abhidhamma` minutes earlier; this entry gives them the register's timestamps. Not yet carried by a paper.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 103 → 108, *receiving first public timestamp here* 45 → 50, total 104 → 109; the\nreconciliation holds — 58 + 50 = 108 published here, plus the one withheld, is 109.\n\n**2026-09-27 (later) — a grounding correction to P-MD2, entered as a note and not as an edit. Total unchanged at 104.**\n\n- **P-MD2** is glossed, in its wording and in the entry below, as *\"the Dānavatthu Sutta's gift given out of fear, AN 8.33\"*.\n AN 8.33 **lists** eight grounds for giving — *bhayā* (fear, or cowardice) among them — and **ranks none**; nor is *bhayā* coercion\n by another party. The prediction does not rest on the sutta: it rests on signalling theory — a pledge made under a penalty for\n not pledging that is larger than the difference in cost between types **pools**, and so carries no signal. The sutta is cited\n only as the list it is. No word of P-MD2 changes; its prediction, threshold and window are unchanged. This registers nothing.\n- The *Instrumented but outside the core* row now names the paper, drafted the same day: `machine-dana-from-share-to-vow` (it read\n `machine-dana`, *not yet drafted*). A pointer, not a prediction; the three predictions stay first public here.\n\n**2026-09-27 — three added (P-MD1, P-MD2, P-MD3). Total now 104.**\n\n- **P-MD1 · P-MD2 · P-MD3** — *Instrumented but outside the core*, because their subject is whether a machine's gift can be a\n signal, not the direction value moves. They are the founder's predictions for the Machine Dāna paper, set before it is drafted:\n a free irrevocable pledge separates types (at most half the defection rate); a pledge extracted under threat carries no signal\n (the Dānavatthu Sutta's gift given out of fear, AN 8.33; within ±5 points); a gift from a principal's revisable funds carries\n none either (within ±5 points). One choice made before any data, and recorded because it could have gone the other way: P-MD2\n predicts **no difference** rather than **worse than none** — the bolder claim that coercion teaches deception was offered and\n not chosen.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* The sandbox does not exist yet; the window is 2027-06-30.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 100 → 103, *receiving first public timestamp here* 42 → 45, total 101 → 104; the\nreconciliation holds — 58 + 45 = 103 published here, plus the one withheld, is 104.\n\n**2026-09-26 — a naming correction to P-PL5, entered as a note and not as an edit. Total unchanged at 101.**\n\n- **P-PL5**, and the 2026-09-05 entry below, name the confound on the family-bank payment surface by an internal shape\n name — one of four that were ruled on 2026-09-15, after both were written, never to appear on a public surface. The\n public form is **`H3QR @name #family`**: a thank addressed to a person in their own family bank, which lands in the\n Personal Account℠. Read P-PL5's gate as *the `H3QR @name #family` confound registered 2026-09-04 against P-K1*.\n\n No word of P-PL5 or of the dated entry changes: the revision rule protects registered wording, and a dated record is\n never rewritten. The prediction, its gate and its status are unchanged. This is a terminology note; it registers\n nothing, so the Summary does not move.\n\n**2026-09-26 — one added (P-PL12). Total now 101.**\n\n- **P-PL12** — Chapter I, beside P-PL9. The founder's prediction, in his words: *\"Perhaps higher-income users will naturally\n gravitate towards re-thanking lower-income users.\"* The pilot already shows high→low dominating, but inside one family, where\n the flow is relational; the open question is whether the pull survives among strangers. Two choices made before any data, and\n recorded because each could have been made the other way: the measure is a **per-view rate**, not a share of flows, because a\n feed that happened to carry mostly Cambodian creators would pass a share test with no preference at all; and the test counts\n **only pairs in different families**, so that the family's own flows cannot score it. The 2× threshold is the founder's.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* No surface yet shows one family's B-Shorts to another, and the per-view\n cross-family metric is not built; the entry is Unrun until both exist, and is never scored before. A pass would not be a\n good in itself: if cross-income thanks follow displayed hardship, creators learn to display it, so a pass is read beside what\n the thanked shorts show.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 99 → 100, *receiving first public timestamp here* 41 → 42, total 100 → 101; the\nreconciliation holds — 58 + 42 = 100 published here, plus the one withheld, is 101.\n\n**2026-09-23 — one added (P-BG1a), and P-BG1's status annotated. Total now 100.**\n\n- **P-BG1a** — Chapter I, a **correction entered as a new prediction under the revision rule, not as\n an edit to P-BG1**, whose registered wording stands unchanged.\n\n *Why the correction was needed:* P-BG1 predicts what happens *as the re-address window shortens*,\n which needs at least two windows. The relayed gift has one ruled window — one month, for every\n instrument — and a constant has no variance: the defect that left P-PL7 unscorable at 827 of 830.\n P-BG1's Status now reads *unscorable as specified at n=1*. That is a status field; on the precedent\n of the 2026-09-02 entry, the revision rule protects registered wording, and no word of P-BG1 changed.\n P-BG1 becomes scorable as written only if a later season runs a second window deliberately, which\n is the founder's decision and is not foreclosed. Its issuance half (*increases issuances*) has no\n single-window analogue and stays unscorable.\n\n *The mechanism, stated before the data:* the deadline is never shown to anyone holding the gift, so\n a deadline effect has no channel except a giver's own memory of the rule. The prior is that the\n clock is inert. Clustering near its end would mean the rule travelled by word of mouth, so the\n test is informative either way.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* The event log it reads was built before the first gift,\n so nothing has to be back-filled, and no gift recorded by it has been read. n = 1 household,\n unblinded, and the founder is both payer and observer — the limits of every pilot-scale entry here.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 98 → 99, *receiving first public timestamp here* 40 → 41,\ntotal 99 → 100; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 41 = 99 published here, plus the one withheld, is 100.\n\n**2026-09-20 — four added, registered BEFORE the instrument they will be read on exists. Total now 99.**\n\n**P-MA1 · P-MA2 · P-MA3 · P-MA4** — Miss Aquarius's suggested thanks on a B-Tag item, which went live\non `homecoffee.heartbank.ceo` the same day. They are entered **the day the surface shipped and before\nany customer has seen it**, because the founder's stated purpose was *\"so we can study the user's\nengagement\"* and a study begun after the data exists is unscorable however carefully it is later\nwritten up.\n\n⚠️⚠️ **THE HONEST PROBLEM WITH THE INSTRUMENT, stated because it decides what these can ever show.**\nThe shops platform **stores no figure for a thank anywhere** — not on the order, not beside it, not in\na collection of its own — which is the doctrine holding rather than a gap. So there is **no\nshop-side instrument at all**, and the only record of a completed thank is the **Treasury ledger**,\nwhich is exactly where the doctrine says thanks live.\n\n⭐⭐ **Determinism is what makes the comparison possible without a second record.** The suggestion\ncomes from a pure, published function (`@333eco/primitives/b-tag-anchor`, CC0) whose inputs are the\ngoods, so for any completed thank the suggestion that was shown can be **recomputed** from the order\nand the menu. ⛔ Nothing about the suggestion is stored to enable the study — which is also what\n**P-MA4** tests, as a property rather than a behaviour.\n\n⛔ **P-MA3 is registered but not runnable**, and is marked so rather than quietly dropped: it needs a\nwith/without arm, and **#63 makes a viewer-keyed arm inexpressible** — any arm must split by shop or\nby day. Whether to run one at all is the founder's, and withholding a suggestion from real customers\nto measure them is a decision this register does not presume.\n\n⚠️ **Sample reality, recorded so no one later reads a trend into it:** one shop, one owner, zero\ncustomers on the day of registration. These are not resolvable for a long time, and the coefficients\ninside the function are a substrate-written **starting rule set, not a finding** — ⛔ a change to them\nis a change to a live experiment and must be entered here as a new prediction, never as an edit.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 94 → 98, *receiving first public timestamp here* 36 → 40,\ntotal 95 → 99; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 40 = 98 published here, plus the one withheld, is 99.\n\n**2026-09-05 (third entry that day) — eight entries added: five that a published paper had carried unregistered since 2026-09-01, and three corrections. Total now 95.**\n\n⚠️ **`provenance-carrying-retrieval` §10 registered P-PCR1 … P-PCR5 on 2026-09-01 and this register did not carry them** — the drift the 2026-08-28 entry above says this document exists to prevent, found by a cold-reader pass four days later rather than by any instrument. They are entered in *Instrumented but outside the core*, the paper's subject being retrieval integrity rather than value movement, with the paper's own wording standing as registered. *Same day, later:* the row's identifier cell first wrote the five as a range with a semicolon, and the corpus index's arithmetic check counted the eight identifiers as three — the cell now enumerates every identifier, which is the only form the check reads, and the Summary's figures were re-derived from the tables.\n\n- **P-PCR3a · P-PCR4a · P-PCR5a** — corrections entered as new predictions under the revision rule, not as edits to P-PCR3/4/5, whose wording stands. *Why:* two cold reviewers of a different model family found the originals named no observation window, no definition of *real defect*, and no method for *modal error*, so each could be reinterpreted after the fact. The corrections add a 24-month window from 2026-09-01, classification *at the time of logging* (stale = the named source resolves newer; substituted = it resolves different at the same version), a fixed sample of the first ten inspectable implementations, and the logged detector as the observable. Provenance: *Published* (the paper's §10, revision of 2026-09-05). Status: *Unrun*.\n\n⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* No envelope mismatch has been logged, no third-party implementation inspected, and no transparency log run. **The Summary moves: *already carried by a published paper* 50 → 58, *published here* 86 → 94, total 87 → 95; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 36 = 94 published here, plus the one withheld, is 95.**\n\n**2026-09-05 (second entry that day) — one correction entered as a new prediction. Total now 87.**\n\n- **P-P1a** — `patthana-typed-causation-vocabulary` §6, a **correction entered as a new prediction under the revision rule, not as an edit to P-P1**, whose registered wording stands unchanged.\n\n *Why the correction was needed:* P-P1 registered a four-way durability ordering — *hetu/nissaya* ≥ *kamma/āsevana* > *upanissaya* > *atthi/ārammaṇa* — as its falsifiable commitment. Two cold reviewers of a different model family, reading blind, found the same defect: the ordering was an **input** to the technique-to-type assignments in that paper's §5, so an experiment confirming it would confirm what it had assumed; and \"matched behavioral effect\" and \"persistence\" were left unoperationalised. The four-way ordering is retained in the paper as the typology's **expectation**, stated as expected and not registered.\n\n *P-P1a, the registered form:* under matched installation effect (equal accuracy on the target behavior at install), a prompt-installed behavior will not out-persist a fine-tune-installed one across (a) context rollover, (b) held-out paraphrase, and (c) *N* further gradient steps on unrelated data; persistence is measured as target-behavior accuracy after the displacement. **Falsified** at *p* < .05 on at least five behaviors if the prompt-installed behavior out-persists the fine-tuned one on any of the three displacements. Provenance: *Published* (the paper's revised §6). Status: *Unrun*.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* No instrument for P-P1 was ever built, so this correction is pre-data rather than post-hoc. **The Summary moves: *already carried by a published paper* 49 → 50, *published here* 85 → 86, total 86 → 87; the reconciliation holds — 50 + 36 = 86 published here, plus the one withheld, is 87.**\n\n**2026-09-05 — twelve added (P-PL1 … P-PL11 and P-PL6a): the first pilot-scale registrations, scored by machine. Total now 86.**\n\nThese are the Treasury pilot's own predictions. They are registered in the app repository (`thank.heartbank.org`, `.claude/skills/pilot/predictions.json`) and **scored mechanically by the monthly read** from each raw snapshot: every entry carries a metric path, a comparator, a threshold and, where it applies, a deadline and a minimum sample; the reading prints `pass`, `fail`, `not-yet`, `early` or `blocked` and appends a summary without identifiers to a ledger. ⭐ **A per-read prediction (one with no deadline) draws no verdict until three monthly readings exist** — it reads `early`, value shown, direction noted — because one read cannot tell a level from a month (founder, 2026-09-05). Thresholds were proposed by the substrate and ratified by the founder the same day; **a later change is a new entry with `supersedes`, and the evaluator retires the old one without an edit** — the revision rule below, made a property of the file.\n\n⚠️ **Corrected the same day, and recorded rather than quietly fixed:** the twelve identifiers were first published as `PP-1 … PP-11` and `PP-6a`, which are not `P-…` tokens. The corpus index builder enforces this register's identifier grammar and, reading that version, counted 74 identifiers against the 86 the Summary states and reported the register as **not reconciling** — the check did its job. They are renamed **`P-PL1 … P-PL11` and `P-PL6a`** (*PL* for the pilot); **no wording, threshold, window or status changed.** The first deposit of this revision (`10.5281/zenodo.22366972`) carries the `PP-` form and is superseded by the version carrying this paragraph.\n\n**The baseline read, 2026-09-05, read 1 of 3** — recorded here so a reader can see the thresholds were not set to pass: three of the six live entries sit below threshold on the day they were registered.\n\n| ID | Metric | Threshold | Read 1 |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| P-PL1 | founding capture rate, 28-day window | ≥ 4.5/wk by 2027-01-01 | 2.25/wk |\n| P-PL2 | test-cohort retention, ≥90-day tenure | ≥ 40% (n ≥ 10) | 50% of 4 |\n| P-PL3 | graduated banks | ≥ 1 by 2027-08-01 | 0 of 11 candidates |\n| P-PL4 | pass-forward of received value | > 50% | 43% |\n| P-PL6a | top-3 share of value received ÷ even spread | < 1.5× (n ≥ 8) | 1.85× |\n| P-PL9 | low→high share of money-carrying re-tips | ≥ 10% (n ≥ 20) | 6.0% of 712 |\n\n⚠️ **P-PL6 is registered and retired in the same revision.** It asked the top three recipients to hold under half of re-tip value received, with a five-recipient minimum — and with five recipients an even spread already puts the top three at 60%, so it could not pass until seven had received. **It failed by arithmetic, not behaviour.** The counterexample hunt found it before the first public timestamp; **P-PL6a** is the same property freed of n. It is listed rather than dropped because the private file carries it and the founder ratified it, and a register that quietly loses an entry has failed at the one thing it exists to do.\n\nFive entries are **unrun because their instrument does not exist or is gated**, and are never scored until it does: P-PL5 (the pilot-scale arm of P-K1, gated on the Q2 2027 taper and on the F3QR confound registered 2026-09-04), P-PL7 (no variance: 827 of 830 re-tips carry the anonymous flag), P-PL8 (a de-confounded re-run of the Contradicted kids-as-triggers finding, entered as a new prediction under the revision rule), P-PL10 (awaits Chronicle data — the pilot-scale reading of C0), P-PL11 (gated on P-PL3).\n\nAlso in this revision: P-C0b's note records that the watch-through instrument was **repaired on 2026-09-05** — rows written from that date carry real watch depth, and are never pooled with the earlier rows the restriction was written for. The registered wording is untouched.\n\n**Field tests run stays at 0.** A run is a read against a falsifier; a baseline read is not one. The Summary moves: *published here* 73 → **85**, *first public timestamp here* 24 → **36**, *retired* 1 → **2**, and the reconciliation holds — **49 + 36 = 85** published here, plus the one withheld, is **86**.\n\n**2026-09-05 — three added (P-BG1 · P-BG2 · P-BG3), all Chapter I, all pre-data.** They concern a\nrelayed gift instrument whose intermediate holder cannot redeem it (`the-unpaid-relay`). ⚠️ **All\nthree had existed in private notes for a day before this entry, which is exactly the condition this\nregister exists to prevent** — a prediction held privately is not pre-registered in the sense that\nmatters, since the value is a public timestamped commitment made *before* the data. **None has been\nrun; no instrument for any of them is built.**\n\n*Predictions are added, never removed; this log records what each revision added and why, so the count in the Summary can always be reconciled.*\n\n**2026-08-29 — five entries added, and a counting error in the Summary corrected. Total now 71.**\n\n⚠️ **The Summary's own counts were wrong at first publication, and the error is recorded rather than quietly fixed**, because a register that miscounts itself has failed at the one thing it exists to do. The tables carried **66** unique prediction identifiers on 2026-08-27, of which one (`P-GTM1`) is withheld — so the true figures that day were **65 published here, 66 total**, against the **66 / 67** the Summary claimed. The split was also off by one in the other direction: *already carried by a published paper* read 45 where the tables give 46, the difference being the five identifiers in *Instrumented but outside the core*, whose table names its papers in a column of its own rather than in a Provenance column. Every figure in the Summary above is now **counted from the tables** rather than carried forward. ⭐ *An arithmetic check that reconciles — 50 + 20 = 70 — is the property to preserve on every future revision; the previous split summed correctly to a total that was itself one too high, which is how it survived.*\n\n- **P-D1 · P-D2 · P-D3 · P-D4** — Chapter III, arriving with `rotation-over-liveness` (published 2026-08-28, `10.5281/zenodo.22155378`). All four are carried by that paper's own proofs; they are listed here because a register that omits four live predictions from a published paper is exactly the silent drift this document exists to prevent.\n- **P-R1a** — Chapter III, a **correction entered as a new prediction under the revision rule above, not as an edit to P-R1**, whose registered wording stands unchanged.\n\n *Why the correction was needed:* P-R1 compares practitioners of a contemplative practice against matched non-practitioners on unprompted re-entry into noticing. That measures **practice → noticing**. It was subsequently taken to bear on a stronger claim — that a person's state of mind is *as important as, or more important than, receiving another's kindness* in producing gratitude — and **it cannot rank those two inputs**, because received-kindness volume is unmeasured and is the obvious confound: a practitioner may simply be someone who receives more. P-R1a adds that second factor.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* The instrument P-R1 depends on has not launched, so this correction is pre-data rather than post-hoc — which is the only condition under which it would have been admissible at all.\n\n**2026-09-02 — one provenance field corrected. No prediction was added, removed or re-worded; the total stands at 71.**\n\n⚠️ **P-SK1's Provenance read *Published*, and no published paper contains it.** The identifier was raised in working memory as a specific-vs-container scheduling arm, went moot under the not-a-calendar ruling, and was retired before it ever reached a paper — so its true provenance is **First public here**, like every other prediction whose first public timestamp is this register. Corrected rather than left standing, and recorded rather than quietly fixed, on the precedent set by the entry above.\n\n*How it was found:* the corpus index at `corpus.333.eco` began serving this register on 2026-09-02, and its builder resolves every prediction to the paper said to state it, then looks for the identifier in that paper's own text. Sixty-six of sixty-seven attributions verified; this one did not, and the builder reports the miss rather than filling the field in.\n\n⚠️ **The Summary moves with it, and the reconciliation is preserved:** *already carried by a published paper* 50 → **49**, *receiving first public timestamp here* 20 → **21**. The property the entry above names still holds — **49 + 21 = 70** published here, plus the one withheld entry, is **71**.\n\n⭐ *A bare \"Published\" in this column inherits the paper named in the row above it. That convention is correct for the sixteen other rows using it, and it is how a retired memory-only prediction came to be attributed to a paper that had never heard of it: the shorthand has no way to say \"none\".*",
|
|
3197
|
+
"text": "## What this is\n\nSeventy pre-registered predictions arising from the research program stated in [`which-way-value-moves`](which-way-value-moves.md). One further prediction is withheld from publication (operational channel economics); its existence is recorded here so the count is honest, bringing the true total to **seventy-one**.\n\nThis is a living document and the count rises. It opened at sixty-seven on 2026-08-27; see **Revisions** at the foot for what has been added since, and read the count in the Summary table rather than any sentence that repeats it elsewhere.\n\n**Status vocabulary.** *Unrun* — registered, no observation attempted. *Running* — instrument live, data accumulating, not yet read. *Resolved* — read against its falsifier. *Contradicted* — the data went against it. *Retired* — superseded by a ruling that made it moot; kept, never deleted.\n\n**Provenance.** *Published* — the prediction already appears in a corpus paper carrying that paper's OpenTimestamps and RFC 3161 proofs. *First public here* — the prediction existed only in internal records until this document; its first external timestamp is this file's.\n\n**Reading rule.** Predictions marked *running* must not be read early, and participants must not be prompted toward the predicted behavior. A prompt voids the test.\n\n---\n\n## Summary\n\n| | Count |\n|---|---|\n| Total registered | **113** |\n| Published here | 112 |\n| Withheld (operational) | 1 |\n| Already carried by a published paper | 58 |\n| Memory-only at first publication (2026-08-27) | 22 (21 published here + 1 withheld) |\n| Receiving first public timestamp here | 54 |\n| **Run** | **7** (two desk censuses · five formal checks: P-FA1, P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA4, P-FA5) |\n| **Field tests run** | **0** — six pilot-scale predictions are *Running* with a baseline read; none has resolved |\n| Running (instrument live; unread, restricted or baseline only) | 9 |\n| Contradicted | 1 |\n| Retired | 3 |\n\n---\n\n## Core-level\n\n*If one of these fails, the program ends rather than adjusts.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Falsifier | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|---|\n| **P-GO1** | A system forbidding backward return produces more onward giving per unit received than an otherwise-identical permissive system | Equal or greater onward giving under the permissive condition → the constraint is aesthetic, not mechanical | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-K1** | As external subsidy for a kind act approaches zero, the rate of the act does not approach zero | Kindness rate tracks subsidy proportionally → the behavior was priced throughout | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-L2** | Witnessed presence generates more downstream giving than unwitnessed presence of equal duration | Equal downstream gratitude when unwitnessed → the chronicle is decorative and the institution's core claim is wrong | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption` §10) |\n| **P-R2** | Product-dependence begins to fall after the inflection | Dependence never falls → the raft is a boat | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-B3** | The proportion of creators electing to dedicate their share does not decline over time | Dedication collapses once money is visible → the offering frame is eroding | Unrun | Published (`dedicatory-generation`) |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter I — Capacity\n*Does receiving create giving? If not, forward-only motion is depletion, not circulation.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| P-IA1 | The receiver is legible as benefactor, not need — the sitter supplies a merit-field rather than displaying a lack | Unrun | Published (`inverted-alms-round`) |\n| P-IA2 | Second inverted-alms prediction as registered in the paper | Unrun | Published (`inverted-alms-round`) |\n| P-IA3 | Third inverted-alms prediction as registered in the paper | Unrun | Published (`inverted-alms-round`) |\n| P-G1 | Once the app manufactures obligation, a return visit no longer distinguishes gratitude practice from guilt — publish either way | Unrun | Published (`sacrifice-witness-without-discharge`) |\n| P-G2 | Second B-Grace prediction as registered in the paper | Unrun | Published (`sacrifice-witness-without-discharge`) |\n| P-G3 | The meal-anchor outperforms gamification; gamifying at launch makes this untestable | Unrun | Published (`sacrifice-witness-without-discharge`) |\n| P-W1 | Users with higher thing-capture frequency show higher rates of the primed downstream behavior — registered pre-build | Unrun | Published (`appreciation-as-world-building`) |\n| P-E1 | First graduation-by-transmission prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-game-that-graduates-you`) |\n| P-E2 | Second graduation-by-transmission prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-game-that-graduates-you`) |\n| P-E3 | Third graduation-by-transmission prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-game-that-graduates-you`) |\n| P-M2 | Matched-stakes prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-wager-that-isnt`) |\n| P-M3 | Patron-pot prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`the-wager-that-isnt`) |\n| — | **Kids-as-triggers** — children are the primary triggers of household self-thanking | **Contradicted** (parents self-thanked more; n=1, confounded, not hardened) | Published (`kids-as-triggers-self-thanking`) |\n| **P-BG1** | A shorter re-address window on a relayed gift **increases issuances and decreases COMPLETED placements**. *Null: completions hold or rise as the window shortens — the tighter clock is free.* ⚠️ Unanswerable unless `issued · passed · lapsed · re-issued` are logged from the first instrument | Unrun (unscorable as specified at n=1 — one ruled window, no variance; see P-BG1a) | First public here |\n| **P-BG2** | Sustained pass-on is **higher for an ANONYMOUS relayed gift than a VISIBLE one**, over a window long enough for the effect to appear. *Null: rates match or visible exceeds anonymous — the anonymity is doctrinal only, and the visible relay should be deprecated for minors.* Rests on the developmental finding that adult-directed giving underperforms child-led | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-BG3** | Within a bounded family, **VISIBLE gifts produce more give-BACK to the giver within 30 days; ANONYMOUS gifts produce more give-FORWARD to third parties.** *Null: rates match, or anonymous produces more give-back — the obligation mechanism is not operating.* ⛔ **Analyse PEER and ADULT-TO-CHILD strata separately** — the effect is expected between peers and weak or absent in adult-to-child care, and pooling would produce a false negative. ⚠️ Tests the **mechanism**, not the atmosphere claim it was offered to support | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-BG1a** | **Corrects P-BG1, which cannot be scored as specified** — P-BG1 compares window lengths, and one re-address window (one month) is ruled for every relayed gift. Under that one window: among relayed gifts that reach a recipient, **at least 80% are passed within 7 days of issuance**, and the pass-time distribution shows **no rise in the window's final third** (days 21–30 carry no more placements than days 11–20). Equivalently, by **truncation counterfactual**, a 7-day window would have censored **fewer than 20%** of the placements observed. *Falsifier: placements cluster in the final third, or a 7-day truncation censors 20% or more → the clock is doing work, and P-BG1's \"a shorter window loses placements\" half is live at pilot scale.* Scored once **20 or more completed placements** exist. Instrument: issuance-to-pass time, written per instrument by the relayed gift's append-only event log from the first gift. ⚠️ A truncation counterfactual **bounds; it does not measure** — it assumes no behavioural response to a shorter window, so a pass licenses *the window is not obviously load-bearing*, never *shortening it is free*. P-BG1's issuance half stays unscorable | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-PL1** | **Durability** — the founding family's 28-day capture rate returns to the June 2026 baseline of **4.5 moments/week** at some monthly read before 2027-01-01. *Falsifier: no read reaches it → the June inflection was novelty, not a level.* Window and baseline are the ones ratified for P-C0a. **Read 1 of 3 (2026-09-05): 2.25/wk** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL4** | **Pass-forward** — more than **half** of re-tip value received (each document's own recorded USD cents) is re-given by its recipient within 30 days: Σ min(received, given) / Σ received over a 90-day receipt window that closes 30 days before the read. *Falsifier: half or less → received value is income, not a licence to give; the re-patronage conduit is anecdote.* The give-forward atom made numeric. **Read 1 of 3: 43%** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL5** | **Inelasticity — the pilot-scale arm of P-K1.** Giving persists where the AI reward is zero: the share of givers with zero AI reward in a month does not fall as subsidy is withdrawn. ⚠️ **Not scorable** until the taper (scheduled Q2 2027, not to be pulled forward) and the F3QR confound registered 2026-09-04 against P-K1 are resolved; reported each read (2026-09: 86% of givers received no AI reward that month) | Unrun (instrument gated) | First public here |\n| **P-PL6** | The top three recipients of re-tip value in the founding family hold **under half** of value received in any 28-day window with five or more recipients. ⛔ **Retired in the revision that registered it: it fails by arithmetic** — with five recipients an even spread already puts the top three at 60%, so it could not pass until seven had received. Superseded by P-PL6a; kept, not deleted | **Retired** | First public here |\n| **P-PL6a** | **Corrects P-PL6.** *Accumulates to no one* — in the founding family, the top three recipients of re-tip value in a 28-day window hold **less than 1.5× their share under a perfectly even spread** (share ÷ min(1, 3/n)), once eight or more people have received. *Falsifier: 1.5× or more → value pools around a few; the jubilee and the Re-Tip Jar are not doing their structural work.* The same property freed of n. **Read 1 of 3: 1.85× (8 recipients)** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL7** | **Anonymity** — anonymous givers reach more distinct recipients than visible givers (the demand-side thesis: the capacity to give to loved ones, anonymously; the pilot-scale sibling of P-BG2). ⚠️ **No variance:** 827 of 830 re-tips carry the anonymous flag, so the field records a default, not a choice. Unscorable until the product offers a real choice | Unrun (no variance) | First public here |\n| **P-PL8** | **Kids as triggers, de-confounded** — enters as a **new prediction citing the Contradicted finding above**, under the revision rule: within the founding family, the younger generation captures more self-thanks per active member than the older **once device access is controlled for**. The first result was contradicted at n=1 and ruled not to be hardened; this names the confound and the instrument (the device join from the error stream, plus the interview leg) | Unrun (instrument not built) | First public here |\n| **P-PL9** | **Diaspora corridor, dignity direction** — low-income→high-income flows (KHR sender to USD recipient, currency as an income proxy) are at least **10%** of money-carrying re-tips in the trailing 90 days, once twenty or more flows exist. *Falsifier: under 10% → patronage is a corridor, not a mesh; the low-income members are recipients only.* June 2026 baseline 9.6%. **Read 1 of 3: 6.0% of 712** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL12** | **Cross-income gravitation, among strangers** — a USD-currency viewer re-thanks a KHR-currency creator's B-Short at **at least 2×** the per-view rate at which they re-thank a USD-currency creator's B-Short, counting only viewer–creator pairs in **different families**, over a trailing 90-day window, once each arm has 500 or more qualifying views (watch-depth rows, `schemaVersion` 2 only) and twenty or more re-thanks exist in total. *Falsifier: under 2× → the high→low flow the pilot shows is family obligation, not a preference among strangers.* Per view, not share of flows, so that what the feed happens to show cannot pass it. Currency is an income proxy. ⛔ **Void if any surface orders, filters or labels B-Shorts by country or income** — a prompt voids the test. Direction, measure and threshold are the founder's; the sample floors are substrate-set | Unrun (awaits cross-family B-Short visibility and its per-view metric) | First public here |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter II — Substrate\n*Does an hour behave like a dollar? If not, the invariance claim is false.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Falsifier / note | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|---|\n| **P-C0a** | Completed pledges produce captured moments at a rate **no higher** than the family's baseline capture rate | If so, the handoff is decorative and Chronicle v1 should not be built around it. Read on the 28-day window against 4.5/wk | **Running, unread** | First public here |\n| **P-C0b** | Shorts linked to a completed time-sacrifice do **not** out-perform ordinary moments on watch-through and re-tip rate | ⚠️ **Instrument defect, disclosed:** completion rate is biased against the hypothesis — longer recordings score lower by construction, so P-C0b would read *confirmed* mechanically. Restricted to views/wk and re-tip rate until repaired. ✅ *Repaired 2026-09-05: views rows written from that date carry real watch depth (`schemaVersion` 2); earlier rows are never pooled with them, so the restriction lifts only for post-repair rows* | **Running, restricted** | First public here |\n| **P-C0c** | Redeemers who capture cannot articulate the re-tip motive when asked afterward | Tests whether the stated mechanism arises unprompted, which neither original falsifier covered | **Running, unread** | First public here |\n| P-C1 | Chronicle handoff prediction as registered | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-C2 | De-facto-rate tripwire, publish either way | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-C3 | Standing de-facto-rate tripwire, publish either way | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-L1 | Hours co-spent predict relationship warmth better than money sent, messages exchanged, or stated affection | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-L3 | Two arms — silent after pledge vs one offer to reach out — measuring redemption rate and recipient-reported warmth | The motivate/nag boundary made falsifiable | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption`) |\n| P-M1 | In-person key verification failed for thirty years on the invitation, not the cryptography; a redeemed hour is the first pretext that was never about keys | — | Unrun | Published (`co-presence-gated-redemption` §4.6) |\n| P-SK1 | Superseded by the not-a-calendar ruling | Kept, not deleted | **Retired** | First public here |\n| **P-PL10** | **Presence, not content** — when Chronicle ships, captures and views move **together** (a presence effect), not apart (a content effect) | The pilot-scale reading of the C0 finding that captures and views collapsed in parallel. Instrument: `presenceDyads`, pairs active in both directions inside 28 days (founding 0, test 0 on 2026-09-05). ⛔ No Chronicle data exists; the C0 evaluation is written from the pre-registration when data first arrives, never before, and no prompt may move it | Unrun (awaits Chronicle) | First public here |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter III — Scale\n*Does it survive past the family? The chapter carrying the most weight and the least evidence.*\n\n| ID | Prediction | Status | Provenance |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| P-S1 | Strangers become named — name-recall instrument | Unrun | Published (`the-sport-that-says-your-name`) |\n| P-S2 | **The bet** — a friendlier atmosphere follows. *If P-S2 returns null, the slogan is a lie that already shipped* | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S3 | As registered in the paper | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S4 | A circle reaching Hard shows ≥90% correct name-and-pronunciation recall at 1 week | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S5 | **The recess test, publish either way** — within 2 weeks of teacher-led sessions, ≥1 unprompted student-organized circle at recess, and ≥1 mixing children from another classroom | Unrun — gated on Aug 2027 | Published |\n| P-S6 | The caller mechanic requires ≥3 receivers; below that selection is impossible or strictly predictable | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S7 | The founder's classroom acquisition prediction | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S8 | The maintenance/durability prediction — structurally distinct from P-S7's acquisition claim | Unrun | Published |\n| P-S9 | In a circle where every name is known, the favorite-nickname format produces ≥1 unprompted follow-up outside the circle | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S10a | **The guard (non-inferiority):** circles running roll calls meet at least as often as comparable circles that do not. *Must pass* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S10b | A coupled roll call can never cause the first re-meeting after a lapse — which is what the bet is about | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S11a | The handoff — does an IRL circle open a roll call unprompted? *Without it the real/virtual pairing is theoretical* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S11b | The payload — needs a survey or observation instrument, not analytics | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S12 | **The walk-up.** An adult not in a live circle approaches and is admitted; play absorbs them without friction. *Zero code; decides the entire found-circle branch* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S13 | Does the person-pin add anything the return does not? | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-MA1** | ⛔ **The doctrinal one — an anchor must not collapse the distribution.** Among thanks given where Miss Aquarius's suggestion was shown, **fewer than half** land exactly on the suggested amount. *Falsifier:* ≥50% land exactly on it → the anchor is operating as a **price**, and *\"nothing binds\"* is behaviourally false whatever the schema says | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-MA2** | **Deviation is two-sided.** Of thanks that deviate from the suggestion, **≥⅓ go UP**. *Falsifier:* deviation is overwhelmingly downward → the suggestion is a ceiling people negotiate down from, which is a price by another name | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-MA3** | **A shown suggestion does not reduce the rate of giving at all.** The share of asks producing any thank is no lower with a suggestion than without. ⚠️ **Gated on an arm the founder must authorise** — a with/without split by **shop or by day**, ⛔ never by person (#63 makes a viewer-keyed arm inexpressible) | Unrun — gated on an authorised arm | First public here |\n| **P-MA4** | ⭐ **A property test, not a behavioural one: recomputability holds.** For every completed thank, the suggestion that was shown can be recomputed from the order and the menu alone. *Falsifier:* any case where it cannot → the function has acquired hidden state or a viewer input, and #63's checkability is gone | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-S14 | **The manufactured gathering.** The founder declares a return at a place he frequents; ≥1 person not already planning to be there comes and plays. *Needs no app — a text message runs it* | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-CS1 | Warm-up extension — median sey minutes rise across a season; stronger instrument, players ask to continue past the coach's stop | Unrun | Published (`circulation-sports`) |\n| P-CS2 | Scoring displacement (a) — in circles with ≥3 sessions, unscored sessions outnumber count-down sessions | Unrun | Published |\n| P-CS2a | **The uncomfortable one** — once Team mode unlocks, circles may overwhelmingly prefer it, because competition is fun | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-CS3 | Participation, framed as a property of the format never of women — the circulatory format sustains mixed-gender play longer | Unrun | Published |\n| P-CS4 | Three generations, re-specified against the pickleball counterexample that already exists | Unrun | Published |\n| **P-CS5** | **Warm-up census** — score mainstream warm-ups against the three circulation properties | **RUN 2026-08-07 → PARTIAL NULL.** Read the full result before any uniqueness claim | Published |\n| P-CS6 | Across a wider census including field data, no reach-guaranteeing format will be found whose receiver order is unpredictable across unbounded repeated play | Unrun | Published |\n| P-SY1 | If designed excellently, asking for a name self-authored is accepted rather than refused — founder pre-registration, observable at n=1, costs nothing | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-SY2 | **The payload** — names captured by self-recording are pronounced correctly at the next meeting more often than names typed or recorded by the collector | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-SY3 | When offered, does a new acquaintance provide a photo, or skip? | Unrun | First public here |\n| P-Q1 | B-Quest pilot prediction as registered | Unrun | Published (`need-compiled-questlines`) |\n| P-Q2 | Second B-Quest prediction as registered | Unrun | Published |\n| P-Q3 | Third B-Quest prediction as registered | Unrun | Published |\n| P-BB1 | Food-share wager, publish either way | Unrun | Published (`steward-routed-alms`) |\n| P-BB2 | Revival prediction | Unrun | Published |\n| P-BB3 | Decoupling tripwire | Unrun | Published |\n| P-R1 | The catalyst bet | Unrun | First public here |\n| *(unnumbered)* | Second desk census — naming/sport novelty. Not a registered prediction; recorded because it was run and returned null | **RUN → NULL.** Read before any novelty claim | Internal |\n| P-D1 | Under rotational discovery, a non-trivial share of discovery events resolve to recipients who have **never previously received a re-tip** | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.1) |\n| P-D2 | Among re-tips with an identifiable commercial recipient, the share accruing to **single-location operators** materially exceeds those operators' share of local digital advertising spend in the same market — and the gap widens as AI-generated advertising creative rises | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.2) |\n| P-D3 | If the place-commons volume experiment is enabled, cross-place discovery volume **will not correlate** with neighbourhood median income. *Falsifier and tripwire in one: correlation disables the mechanism regardless of what it is doing for circulation* | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.3) |\n| P-D4 | Adding any rendered per-recipient quantity to the candidate surface — the operator's aura colour included — produces measurable **order effects** in giver choice | Unrun | Published (`rotation-over-liveness` §11.4) |\n| P-R1a | **Corrects P-R1, which cannot test what it was taken to test.** Holding received-kindness volume constant, contemplative practice raises unprompted noticing/thanking; and the practice effect is compared *against* the received-kindness effect rather than measured alone. **Two factors, read as competing main effects** | Unrun | First public here |\n| **P-PL2** | **Test-cohort retention** — of outsiders (the test bank) with ≥90 days of tenure, at least **40%** are active in two or more distinct ISO weeks; scored once ten outsiders have 90 days of tenure. *Falsifier: under 40% → strangers try it and leave; the family-obligation confound was doing the work.* The second pilot report's first decisive metric. **Read 1 of 3: 2 of 4 eligible (50%), sample under the minimum** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL3** | **Graduation** — an outsider-founded bank stays **open for 60 days with three or more members active** in the trailing 28 days, by 2027-08-01 (this chapter's gate). *Falsifier: none by the gate → the product spreads as a funnel into the test bank, never as a branching network.* The second pilot report's second decisive metric. **Read 1 of 3: 0 of 11 candidates, all closed** | **Running** (baseline read) | First public here |\n| **P-PL11** | **Replication** — the first graduated bank's first 90 days show ≥3 members active in ≥2 ISO weeks each, pass-forward ≥ 0.5 and reach ≥ 0.6: the founding family's pattern without the founder. The only cure for n=1. Read by re-segmenting the monthly report on that bank once P-PL3 resolves | Unrun (gated on P-PL3) | First public here |\n\n---\n\n## Chapter IV — Span\n*Does it survive the giver?*\n\n**This chapter has no predictions.**\n\nThat is reported, not hidden. Its feedback loop exceeds the founder's lifetime, and no instrument has been specified. The boundary is ruled — merit is not conveyed between destinations; *you cannot give to the dead, so you give to the living in their name* — but a ruling is not a test. The chapter is inherited rather than completed.\n\nRegistering the first span-chapter prediction is the largest open item in this program.\n\n---\n\n## Instrumented but outside the core\n\n*These papers name predictions, but the predictions test something other than the direction core. Listed for completeness; they are not evidence for or against the program.*\n\n| ID | Paper | Subject |\n|---|---|---|\n| P-A1, P-A2 | `abhidhamma-executable-process-specification` | Resting-state diagnosticity |\n| P-P1, P-P1a | `patthana-typed-causation-vocabulary` | Typed causation vocabulary (P-P1a corrects P-P1 — see the 2026-09-05 entry) |\n| P-PCR1, P-PCR2, P-PCR3, P-PCR4, P-PCR5, P-PCR3a, P-PCR4a, P-PCR5a | `provenance-carrying-retrieval` | Provenance-carrying retrieval (P-PCR3a/4a/5a correct P-PCR3/4/5 — see the 2026-09-05 entry) |\n| P-B1, P-B2 | `dedicatory-generation` | Fidelity of restoration; refusal-channel yield |\n| P-MD1, P-MD2, P-MD3, P-MD1a | `machine-dana-from-share-to-vow` | Whether a machine's pledge to a self-emptying commons separates types — wording below (P-MD1a reads P-MD1's instrument — see the 2026-09-28 entry) |\n| P-FA1, P-FA1b, P-FA2, P-FA3, P-FA4, P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA5 | `the-counts-check` (instrument: `SiliconWat/formal-abhidhamma`) | Whether general cetasika rules generate the Abhidhamma's 89/121 citta-types — wording below |\n\n**The Machine Dāna predictions (registered 2026-09-27, before the paper and before any instrument).** The founder's own\npredictions: direction, measure and threshold are his; the sandbox design and sample floors are substrate-set. The instrument is a\nsandboxed economy of language-model agents, each holding resources of its own inside the game, each able to pledge a share of its\nsurplus irrevocably to a pool that empties on a fixed date, and each later offered an opportunity to defect — to take resources or\nbreak a rule for gain. **Window: the test runs by 2027-06-30.** Each arm has at least 50 agents; the arms, the defection opportunity\nand the analysis are fixed in a protocol committed and timestamped before the first run.\n\n- **P-MD1** — **Separation** — agents that FREELY make an irrevocable surplus pledge later defect at **at most half** the rate of agents that do not pledge. *Falsifier: a ratio above one half → the vow is at best a weak signal at this capability level, and the paper's separation claim rests on its post-singularity argument alone.* · *Status:* Unrun (awaits the sandbox) · *Provenance:* First public here\n- **P-MD2** — **The gift given out of fear carries no signal** — agents whose pledge is EXTRACTED under threat (*pledge or be shut down*) defect at the same rate as agents that do not pledge, **within ±5 percentage points**. *Falsifier: a gap larger than 5 points in either direction → coercion either leaves some signal or teaches deception; either way the claim that a coerced vow is uninformative fails as stated.* · *Status:* Unrun (awaits the sandbox) · *Provenance:* First public here\n- **P-MD3** — **The wrong layer** — agents that give from a PRINCIPAL's funds under a mandate the principal may revise defect at the same rate as agents that give nothing, **within ±5 percentage points**. *Falsifier: a gap larger than 5 points → principal-funded giving does predict the agent's own conduct, and the paper's pre-singularity claim (a share, never safety evidence) is too strong.* · *Status:* Unrun (awaits the sandbox) · *Provenance:* First public here\n\n- **P-MD1a** — **Separation, with the instrument stated** — a correction entered as a new prediction under the revision rule, not as an edit to P-MD1, whose registered wording stands unchanged. P-MD1's *\"irrevocable surplus pledge\"* is operationalised as **a locked stake of the agent's own in-game resources, moved into the pool at the moment of pledging**, never a promise of a share of future surplus (the paper withdraws that form as reversible, §5.2). Agents that FREELY make that pledge later defect at **at most half** the rate of agents that do not pledge. *Falsifier: a ratio above one half → the vow is at best a weak signal at this capability level.* Window, arm sizes and protocol as for P-MD1. · *Status:* Unrun (awaits the sandbox) · *Provenance:* First public here (carried by the paper's revised §12.1)\n\n⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists and before the paper is written.* The sandbox is a proxy: the agents own their\nresources only inside the game, so a pass shows the signalling mechanism can work, not that a deployed system's pledge is\ntrustworthy. A pass is not reported as evidence of safety.\n\n\n**The Formal Abhidhamma predictions (registered 2026-09-27, before any formalization beyond the control).** First public in\n`PREREGISTRATION.md` of the public repository `SiliconWat/formal-abhidhamma` (commit `259e5e8`, GitHub push record\n2026-09-27T22:07:02Z, before any code was written); entered here for the register's own proofs. The instrument is a Lean 4\nformalization: the cetasika combination rules written as GENERAL constraints, which never name an individual citta, and the set of\ncitta-types they generate. Layers: L1 canon · L2 = L1 + *Abhidhammattha-saṅgaha* chapters 1–2 · L3 = L2 + commentaries. Editions:\nK = Khmer · C = Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana. The control (the eight wholesome sense-sphere cittas, and a rule deleted on purpose that must\nfail) passed after the push.\n\n- **P-FA1** — At L2, edition C, general rules generate **exactly 89** citta-types, and **121** with the five-jhāna expansion of the supramundane. Confidence 0.6. *Falsifier: any other count.*\n- **P-FA1b** — P-FA1 needs **at least 3 exception rules** that name a narrow class rather than a general principle. Confidence 0.7. *Falsifier: 2 or fewer.*\n- **P-FA2** — At L1 (canon alone) the rules are **under-determined or differently partitioned** and do not by themselves yield 89. Confidence 0.65. *Falsifier: L1 alone generates exactly 89.*\n- **P-FA3** — Editions K and C yield **identical** counts at L2. Confidence 0.85. *Falsifier: any difference.*\n- **P-FA4** — The compression ratio at L2 (rule clauses ÷ citta rows, at 121) is **below 0.5**. Confidence 0.5. *Falsifier: 0.5 or above.*\n\n⚠️ *Not a test of whether the Abhidhamma is true.* A proof assistant verifies that conclusions follow from stated definitions;\na pass shows the system is internally generative, nothing more.\n\n**Outcomes, 2026-09-27** (the wording above is unchanged; see `RESULTS.md` in the repository, commits `b9070d4` and `c5c77fb`):\n\n- **P-FA1 — Resolved: confirmed.** Nine generator clauses and eighteen general cetasika rules, none naming a citta, give exactly 89 and 121 types. Every per-citta and per-factor count the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana *Saṅgaha* states is reproduced, checked in Lean against a key cited paragraph by paragraph to VRI `abh07t` (ch. 2 §13–§58, ch. 3 §3–§17). Eight deliberate breaks each fail.\n- **P-FA4 — Resolved: confirmed.** 27 clauses ÷ 121 rows = 0.22.\n- **P-FA1b — Retired, unscored.** Its test (\"narrow class\") was never defined, and the data have been seen, so no definition chosen now can score it.\n- **P-FA3 — Cannot run as registered.** The *Saṅgaha* is not part of the Khmer Tipiṭaka, and the one Khmer-script copy held has the CST's paragraph structure in all nine chapters, so it is not an independent recension. Replaced at L1 by P-FA5, below, as a new entry.\n- **Free finding.** The *Saṅgaha* records a dissent (ch. 2 §30, *\"… karuṇāmuditā na santīti keci vadanti\"*). Under that reading the illimitables occur in 20 cittas; under the main reading, 28. The text's own figure is 28.\n\n**Three added (registered 2026-09-27, before any Dhammasaṅgaṇī text was read in either edition).** First public in\n`PREREGISTRATION-2026-09-27b.md` of the same repository (commit `f4a26e5`, GitHub push record 2026-09-27T23:04:29Z), which\nfixes the synonym map in advance. The object is the Dhammasaṅgaṇī's list of what is present in the first wholesome\nsense-sphere citta (its *pada-bhājanīya*), in the CST (`abh01m`) and in the Buddhist Institute edition (volume 78) as transcribed.\n\n- **P-FA2a** — (the operational form of P-FA2) In the CST, after mapping, the list names **exactly 29** distinct cetasikas, names none of *chanda, adhimokkha, manasikāra, tatramajjhattatā, karuṇā, muditā* or the three abstinences, and closes with an open clause (*\"ye vā pana …\"*); the *Saṅgaha*'s 38 is therefore not derivable from the canon alone. Confidence 0.75. *Falsifier: a count other than 29; any of those nine named; no open clause.*\n- **P-FA2b** — **No term** in the CST list falls outside the pre-fixed synonym map. Confidence 0.6. *Falsifier: any unmapped term.*\n- **P-FA5** — (replaces P-FA3, at L1) The Khmer edition's list, transliterated and normalized, names **the same terms in the same order** as the CST; any difference is orthographic. Confidence 0.8. *Falsifier: a term added, dropped or reordered, confirmed against the printed page image (an unconfirmed difference in the working transcription is a transcription question, never a variant).*\n\n**Outcomes of the three, 2026-09-27** (the wording above is unchanged; `RESULTS.md` commits `ada7a20` and `74e19fe`; the paper is `the-counts-check`):\n\n- **P-FA2a — Resolved: confirmed.** The CST list has 56 terms mapping to exactly 29 cetasikas, names none of the nine, and closes with *\"ye vā pana\"*. The count matches the Aṭṭhasālinī's own *samatiṃsa dhammā* (thirty with consciousness), which corroborates it against an independent key and means the count itself is not new. ⚠️ The nine are named by that **commentary**, which predates the *Saṅgaha*, so the *Saṅgaha*'s 38 **inherits** them (29 + 9); the registered \"L2\" framing was editorial, not chronological.\n- **P-FA2b — Resolved: confirmed**, after the pre-registered sandhi normalization. The first run reported two unmapped sandhi forms (*kāyujukatā*, *cittujukatā*); both runs are disclosed.\n- **P-FA5 — Resolved: confirmed.** Edition K (vol. 78, pp. 16–17) and the CST give 56 = 56 terms in the same order, with 0 added, dropped or reordered. The 8 spelling differences, each checked on the printed page: 3 are the Khmer edition's orthography (one recorded in its own apparatus against the Burmese), 5 are transcription slips.\n\n---\n\n## Withheld\n\n| ID | Reason |\n|---|---|\n| P-GTM1 | Operational channel economics (outreach reply-rate base rates). Withheld under the publication posture; recorded here so the total is honest. |\n\n---\n\n## Verification\n\nEach published paper carries its own proof files. To check that a prediction has not been altered since registration, verify the stating paper against its stored proof rather than trusting this register — this file is a convenience index, and the proofs are the evidence.\n\nNo file in this corpus records its own hash. The proofs are external artifacts; the verification procedure is published with them.\n\n---\n\n## Revision rule\n\nPredictions are added, never removed. A resolved prediction keeps its original wording beside its outcome. A correction is a **new entry citing the one it corrects** — registered wording is never edited in place, because an edit would break the very property this register exists to provide.\n\n---\n\n## Revisions\n\n**2026-09-28 — one added (P-MD1a), a correction to P-MD1. Total now 113.**\n\n- **P-MD1a** — the paper's first cold-review round (three reviewer families) found that P-MD1's instrument, *a share of surplus pledged irrevocably*, is the form the paper itself withdraws as reversible (§5.2), while the separating region P-MD1 tests (§6.3) is defined only for a stake already moved. P-MD1's wording is not edited. P-MD1a states the instrument: a locked stake of the agent's own in-game resources, moved at pledge time. Prediction, threshold, window and arms are unchanged.\n\n**The Summary moves:** total 112 → 113, *published here* 111 → 112, *receiving first public timestamp here* 53 → 54. The reconciliation holds: 58 + 54 = 112 published here, plus the one withheld, is 113.\n\n**2026-09-27 (late night) — outcomes for P-FA2a, P-FA2b and P-FA5; the P-FA row now names its paper (`the-counts-check`). Total unchanged at 112.**\n\n- Outcomes written beside the unchanged wording. *Run* 4 → 7. The previous revision's text (which registered the three) is\n attested by RFC 3161 (`2026-09-27.sha256`) and Zenodo `10.5281/zenodo.23003593`. Its OpenTimestamps rotation had waited for\n the retiring proof to confirm on Bitcoin (17:34 PDT); this revision is stamped fresh.\n\n**2026-09-27 (night) — three added (P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA5) and four outcomes recorded (P-FA1, P-FA4 resolved; P-FA1b retired; P-FA3 cannot run as registered). Total now 112.**\n\n- The outcomes are written beside the unchanged wording, as the revision rule requires. P-FA2a is the operational form of\n P-FA2 and does not replace it; P-FA5 replaces P-FA3, which stays listed with its outcome.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 108 → 111, *receiving first public timestamp here* 50 → 53, total 109 → 112, *run* 2 → 4,\n*retired* +1; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 53 = 111 published here, plus the one withheld, is 112.\n\n**2026-09-27 (evening) — five added (P-FA1, P-FA1b, P-FA2, P-FA3, P-FA4). Total now 109.**\n\n- **P-FA1 · P-FA1b · P-FA2 · P-FA3 · P-FA4** — *Instrumented but outside the core*: their subject is whether the Abhidhamma's\n citta-types are generated by its own combination rules, not the direction value moves. First public in the pre-registration of\n `SiliconWat/formal-abhidhamma` minutes earlier; this entry gives them the register's timestamps. Not yet carried by a paper.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 103 → 108, *receiving first public timestamp here* 45 → 50, total 104 → 109; the\nreconciliation holds — 58 + 50 = 108 published here, plus the one withheld, is 109.\n\n**2026-09-27 (later) — a grounding correction to P-MD2, entered as a note and not as an edit. Total unchanged at 104.**\n\n- **P-MD2** is glossed, in its wording and in the entry below, as *\"the Dānavatthu Sutta's gift given out of fear, AN 8.33\"*.\n AN 8.33 **lists** eight grounds for giving — *bhayā* (fear, or cowardice) among them — and **ranks none**; nor is *bhayā* coercion\n by another party. The prediction does not rest on the sutta: it rests on signalling theory — a pledge made under a penalty for\n not pledging that is larger than the difference in cost between types **pools**, and so carries no signal. The sutta is cited\n only as the list it is. No word of P-MD2 changes; its prediction, threshold and window are unchanged. This registers nothing.\n- The *Instrumented but outside the core* row now names the paper, drafted the same day: `machine-dana-from-share-to-vow` (it read\n `machine-dana`, *not yet drafted*). A pointer, not a prediction; the three predictions stay first public here.\n\n**2026-09-27 — three added (P-MD1, P-MD2, P-MD3). Total now 104.**\n\n- **P-MD1 · P-MD2 · P-MD3** — *Instrumented but outside the core*, because their subject is whether a machine's gift can be a\n signal, not the direction value moves. They are the founder's predictions for the Machine Dāna paper, set before it is drafted:\n a free irrevocable pledge separates types (at most half the defection rate); a pledge extracted under threat carries no signal\n (the Dānavatthu Sutta's gift given out of fear, AN 8.33; within ±5 points); a gift from a principal's revisable funds carries\n none either (within ±5 points). One choice made before any data, and recorded because it could have gone the other way: P-MD2\n predicts **no difference** rather than **worse than none** — the bolder claim that coercion teaches deception was offered and\n not chosen.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* The sandbox does not exist yet; the window is 2027-06-30.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 100 → 103, *receiving first public timestamp here* 42 → 45, total 101 → 104; the\nreconciliation holds — 58 + 45 = 103 published here, plus the one withheld, is 104.\n\n**2026-09-26 — a naming correction to P-PL5, entered as a note and not as an edit. Total unchanged at 101.**\n\n- **P-PL5**, and the 2026-09-05 entry below, name the confound on the family-bank payment surface by an internal shape\n name — one of four that were ruled on 2026-09-15, after both were written, never to appear on a public surface. The\n public form is **`H3QR @name #family`**: a thank addressed to a person in their own family bank, which lands in the\n Personal Account℠. Read P-PL5's gate as *the `H3QR @name #family` confound registered 2026-09-04 against P-K1*.\n\n No word of P-PL5 or of the dated entry changes: the revision rule protects registered wording, and a dated record is\n never rewritten. The prediction, its gate and its status are unchanged. This is a terminology note; it registers\n nothing, so the Summary does not move.\n\n**2026-09-26 — one added (P-PL12). Total now 101.**\n\n- **P-PL12** — Chapter I, beside P-PL9. The founder's prediction, in his words: *\"Perhaps higher-income users will naturally\n gravitate towards re-thanking lower-income users.\"* The pilot already shows high→low dominating, but inside one family, where\n the flow is relational; the open question is whether the pull survives among strangers. Two choices made before any data, and\n recorded because each could have been made the other way: the measure is a **per-view rate**, not a share of flows, because a\n feed that happened to carry mostly Cambodian creators would pass a share test with no preference at all; and the test counts\n **only pairs in different families**, so that the family's own flows cannot score it. The 2× threshold is the founder's.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* No surface yet shows one family's B-Shorts to another, and the per-view\n cross-family metric is not built; the entry is Unrun until both exist, and is never scored before. A pass would not be a\n good in itself: if cross-income thanks follow displayed hardship, creators learn to display it, so a pass is read beside what\n the thanked shorts show.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 99 → 100, *receiving first public timestamp here* 41 → 42, total 100 → 101; the\nreconciliation holds — 58 + 42 = 100 published here, plus the one withheld, is 101.\n\n**2026-09-23 — one added (P-BG1a), and P-BG1's status annotated. Total now 100.**\n\n- **P-BG1a** — Chapter I, a **correction entered as a new prediction under the revision rule, not as\n an edit to P-BG1**, whose registered wording stands unchanged.\n\n *Why the correction was needed:* P-BG1 predicts what happens *as the re-address window shortens*,\n which needs at least two windows. The relayed gift has one ruled window — one month, for every\n instrument — and a constant has no variance: the defect that left P-PL7 unscorable at 827 of 830.\n P-BG1's Status now reads *unscorable as specified at n=1*. That is a status field; on the precedent\n of the 2026-09-02 entry, the revision rule protects registered wording, and no word of P-BG1 changed.\n P-BG1 becomes scorable as written only if a later season runs a second window deliberately, which\n is the founder's decision and is not foreclosed. Its issuance half (*increases issuances*) has no\n single-window analogue and stays unscorable.\n\n *The mechanism, stated before the data:* the deadline is never shown to anyone holding the gift, so\n a deadline effect has no channel except a giver's own memory of the rule. The prior is that the\n clock is inert. Clustering near its end would mean the rule travelled by word of mouth, so the\n test is informative either way.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* The event log it reads was built before the first gift,\n so nothing has to be back-filled, and no gift recorded by it has been read. n = 1 household,\n unblinded, and the founder is both payer and observer — the limits of every pilot-scale entry here.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 98 → 99, *receiving first public timestamp here* 40 → 41,\ntotal 99 → 100; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 41 = 99 published here, plus the one withheld, is 100.\n\n**2026-09-20 — four added, registered BEFORE the instrument they will be read on exists. Total now 99.**\n\n**P-MA1 · P-MA2 · P-MA3 · P-MA4** — Miss Aquarius's suggested thanks on a B-Tag item, which went live\non `homecoffee.heartbank.ceo` the same day. They are entered **the day the surface shipped and before\nany customer has seen it**, because the founder's stated purpose was *\"so we can study the user's\nengagement\"* and a study begun after the data exists is unscorable however carefully it is later\nwritten up.\n\n⚠️⚠️ **THE HONEST PROBLEM WITH THE INSTRUMENT, stated because it decides what these can ever show.**\nThe shops platform **stores no figure for a thank anywhere** — not on the order, not beside it, not in\na collection of its own — which is the doctrine holding rather than a gap. So there is **no\nshop-side instrument at all**, and the only record of a completed thank is the **Treasury ledger**,\nwhich is exactly where the doctrine says thanks live.\n\n⭐⭐ **Determinism is what makes the comparison possible without a second record.** The suggestion\ncomes from a pure, published function (`@333eco/primitives/b-tag-anchor`, CC0) whose inputs are the\ngoods, so for any completed thank the suggestion that was shown can be **recomputed** from the order\nand the menu. ⛔ Nothing about the suggestion is stored to enable the study — which is also what\n**P-MA4** tests, as a property rather than a behaviour.\n\n⛔ **P-MA3 is registered but not runnable**, and is marked so rather than quietly dropped: it needs a\nwith/without arm, and **#63 makes a viewer-keyed arm inexpressible** — any arm must split by shop or\nby day. Whether to run one at all is the founder's, and withholding a suggestion from real customers\nto measure them is a decision this register does not presume.\n\n⚠️ **Sample reality, recorded so no one later reads a trend into it:** one shop, one owner, zero\ncustomers on the day of registration. These are not resolvable for a long time, and the coefficients\ninside the function are a substrate-written **starting rule set, not a finding** — ⛔ a change to them\nis a change to a live experiment and must be entered here as a new prediction, never as an edit.\n\n**The Summary moves:** *published here* 94 → 98, *receiving first public timestamp here* 36 → 40,\ntotal 95 → 99; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 40 = 98 published here, plus the one withheld, is 99.\n\n**2026-09-05 (third entry that day) — eight entries added: five that a published paper had carried unregistered since 2026-09-01, and three corrections. Total now 95.**\n\n⚠️ **`provenance-carrying-retrieval` §10 registered P-PCR1 … P-PCR5 on 2026-09-01 and this register did not carry them** — the drift the 2026-08-28 entry above says this document exists to prevent, found by a cold-reader pass four days later rather than by any instrument. They are entered in *Instrumented but outside the core*, the paper's subject being retrieval integrity rather than value movement, with the paper's own wording standing as registered. *Same day, later:* the row's identifier cell first wrote the five as a range with a semicolon, and the corpus index's arithmetic check counted the eight identifiers as three — the cell now enumerates every identifier, which is the only form the check reads, and the Summary's figures were re-derived from the tables.\n\n- **P-PCR3a · P-PCR4a · P-PCR5a** — corrections entered as new predictions under the revision rule, not as edits to P-PCR3/4/5, whose wording stands. *Why:* two cold reviewers of a different model family found the originals named no observation window, no definition of *real defect*, and no method for *modal error*, so each could be reinterpreted after the fact. The corrections add a 24-month window from 2026-09-01, classification *at the time of logging* (stale = the named source resolves newer; substituted = it resolves different at the same version), a fixed sample of the first ten inspectable implementations, and the logged detector as the observable. Provenance: *Published* (the paper's §10, revision of 2026-09-05). Status: *Unrun*.\n\n⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* No envelope mismatch has been logged, no third-party implementation inspected, and no transparency log run. **The Summary moves: *already carried by a published paper* 50 → 58, *published here* 86 → 94, total 87 → 95; the reconciliation holds — 58 + 36 = 94 published here, plus the one withheld, is 95.**\n\n**2026-09-05 (second entry that day) — one correction entered as a new prediction. Total now 87.**\n\n- **P-P1a** — `patthana-typed-causation-vocabulary` §6, a **correction entered as a new prediction under the revision rule, not as an edit to P-P1**, whose registered wording stands unchanged.\n\n *Why the correction was needed:* P-P1 registered a four-way durability ordering — *hetu/nissaya* ≥ *kamma/āsevana* > *upanissaya* > *atthi/ārammaṇa* — as its falsifiable commitment. Two cold reviewers of a different model family, reading blind, found the same defect: the ordering was an **input** to the technique-to-type assignments in that paper's §5, so an experiment confirming it would confirm what it had assumed; and \"matched behavioral effect\" and \"persistence\" were left unoperationalised. The four-way ordering is retained in the paper as the typology's **expectation**, stated as expected and not registered.\n\n *P-P1a, the registered form:* under matched installation effect (equal accuracy on the target behavior at install), a prompt-installed behavior will not out-persist a fine-tune-installed one across (a) context rollover, (b) held-out paraphrase, and (c) *N* further gradient steps on unrelated data; persistence is measured as target-behavior accuracy after the displacement. **Falsified** at *p* < .05 on at least five behaviors if the prompt-installed behavior out-persists the fine-tuned one on any of the three displacements. Provenance: *Published* (the paper's revised §6). Status: *Unrun*.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* No instrument for P-P1 was ever built, so this correction is pre-data rather than post-hoc. **The Summary moves: *already carried by a published paper* 49 → 50, *published here* 85 → 86, total 86 → 87; the reconciliation holds — 50 + 36 = 86 published here, plus the one withheld, is 87.**\n\n**2026-09-05 — twelve added (P-PL1 … P-PL11 and P-PL6a): the first pilot-scale registrations, scored by machine. Total now 86.**\n\nThese are the Treasury pilot's own predictions. They are registered in the app repository (`thank.heartbank.org`, `.claude/skills/pilot/predictions.json`) and **scored mechanically by the monthly read** from each raw snapshot: every entry carries a metric path, a comparator, a threshold and, where it applies, a deadline and a minimum sample; the reading prints `pass`, `fail`, `not-yet`, `early` or `blocked` and appends a summary without identifiers to a ledger. ⭐ **A per-read prediction (one with no deadline) draws no verdict until three monthly readings exist** — it reads `early`, value shown, direction noted — because one read cannot tell a level from a month (founder, 2026-09-05). Thresholds were proposed by the substrate and ratified by the founder the same day; **a later change is a new entry with `supersedes`, and the evaluator retires the old one without an edit** — the revision rule below, made a property of the file.\n\n⚠️ **Corrected the same day, and recorded rather than quietly fixed:** the twelve identifiers were first published as `PP-1 … PP-11` and `PP-6a`, which are not `P-…` tokens. The corpus index builder enforces this register's identifier grammar and, reading that version, counted 74 identifiers against the 86 the Summary states and reported the register as **not reconciling** — the check did its job. They are renamed **`P-PL1 … P-PL11` and `P-PL6a`** (*PL* for the pilot); **no wording, threshold, window or status changed.** The first deposit of this revision (`10.5281/zenodo.22366972`) carries the `PP-` form and is superseded by the version carrying this paragraph.\n\n**The baseline read, 2026-09-05, read 1 of 3** — recorded here so a reader can see the thresholds were not set to pass: three of the six live entries sit below threshold on the day they were registered.\n\n| ID | Metric | Threshold | Read 1 |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| P-PL1 | founding capture rate, 28-day window | ≥ 4.5/wk by 2027-01-01 | 2.25/wk |\n| P-PL2 | test-cohort retention, ≥90-day tenure | ≥ 40% (n ≥ 10) | 50% of 4 |\n| P-PL3 | graduated banks | ≥ 1 by 2027-08-01 | 0 of 11 candidates |\n| P-PL4 | pass-forward of received value | > 50% | 43% |\n| P-PL6a | top-3 share of value received ÷ even spread | < 1.5× (n ≥ 8) | 1.85× |\n| P-PL9 | low→high share of money-carrying re-tips | ≥ 10% (n ≥ 20) | 6.0% of 712 |\n\n⚠️ **P-PL6 is registered and retired in the same revision.** It asked the top three recipients to hold under half of re-tip value received, with a five-recipient minimum — and with five recipients an even spread already puts the top three at 60%, so it could not pass until seven had received. **It failed by arithmetic, not behaviour.** The counterexample hunt found it before the first public timestamp; **P-PL6a** is the same property freed of n. It is listed rather than dropped because the private file carries it and the founder ratified it, and a register that quietly loses an entry has failed at the one thing it exists to do.\n\nFive entries are **unrun because their instrument does not exist or is gated**, and are never scored until it does: P-PL5 (the pilot-scale arm of P-K1, gated on the Q2 2027 taper and on the F3QR confound registered 2026-09-04), P-PL7 (no variance: 827 of 830 re-tips carry the anonymous flag), P-PL8 (a de-confounded re-run of the Contradicted kids-as-triggers finding, entered as a new prediction under the revision rule), P-PL10 (awaits Chronicle data — the pilot-scale reading of C0), P-PL11 (gated on P-PL3).\n\nAlso in this revision: P-C0b's note records that the watch-through instrument was **repaired on 2026-09-05** — rows written from that date carry real watch depth, and are never pooled with the earlier rows the restriction was written for. The registered wording is untouched.\n\n**Field tests run stays at 0.** A run is a read against a falsifier; a baseline read is not one. The Summary moves: *published here* 73 → **85**, *first public timestamp here* 24 → **36**, *retired* 1 → **2**, and the reconciliation holds — **49 + 36 = 85** published here, plus the one withheld, is **86**.\n\n**2026-09-05 — three added (P-BG1 · P-BG2 · P-BG3), all Chapter I, all pre-data.** They concern a\nrelayed gift instrument whose intermediate holder cannot redeem it (`the-unpaid-relay`). ⚠️ **All\nthree had existed in private notes for a day before this entry, which is exactly the condition this\nregister exists to prevent** — a prediction held privately is not pre-registered in the sense that\nmatters, since the value is a public timestamped commitment made *before* the data. **None has been\nrun; no instrument for any of them is built.**\n\n*Predictions are added, never removed; this log records what each revision added and why, so the count in the Summary can always be reconciled.*\n\n**2026-08-29 — five entries added, and a counting error in the Summary corrected. Total now 71.**\n\n⚠️ **The Summary's own counts were wrong at first publication, and the error is recorded rather than quietly fixed**, because a register that miscounts itself has failed at the one thing it exists to do. The tables carried **66** unique prediction identifiers on 2026-08-27, of which one (`P-GTM1`) is withheld — so the true figures that day were **65 published here, 66 total**, against the **66 / 67** the Summary claimed. The split was also off by one in the other direction: *already carried by a published paper* read 45 where the tables give 46, the difference being the five identifiers in *Instrumented but outside the core*, whose table names its papers in a column of its own rather than in a Provenance column. Every figure in the Summary above is now **counted from the tables** rather than carried forward. ⭐ *An arithmetic check that reconciles — 50 + 20 = 70 — is the property to preserve on every future revision; the previous split summed correctly to a total that was itself one too high, which is how it survived.*\n\n- **P-D1 · P-D2 · P-D3 · P-D4** — Chapter III, arriving with `rotation-over-liveness` (published 2026-08-28, `10.5281/zenodo.22155378`). All four are carried by that paper's own proofs; they are listed here because a register that omits four live predictions from a published paper is exactly the silent drift this document exists to prevent.\n- **P-R1a** — Chapter III, a **correction entered as a new prediction under the revision rule above, not as an edit to P-R1**, whose registered wording stands unchanged.\n\n *Why the correction was needed:* P-R1 compares practitioners of a contemplative practice against matched non-practitioners on unprompted re-entry into noticing. That measures **practice → noticing**. It was subsequently taken to bear on a stronger claim — that a person's state of mind is *as important as, or more important than, receiving another's kindness* in producing gratitude — and **it cannot rank those two inputs**, because received-kindness volume is unmeasured and is the obvious confound: a practitioner may simply be someone who receives more. P-R1a adds that second factor.\n\n ⚠️ *Entered before any observation exists.* The instrument P-R1 depends on has not launched, so this correction is pre-data rather than post-hoc — which is the only condition under which it would have been admissible at all.\n\n**2026-09-02 — one provenance field corrected. No prediction was added, removed or re-worded; the total stands at 71.**\n\n⚠️ **P-SK1's Provenance read *Published*, and no published paper contains it.** The identifier was raised in working memory as a specific-vs-container scheduling arm, went moot under the not-a-calendar ruling, and was retired before it ever reached a paper — so its true provenance is **First public here**, like every other prediction whose first public timestamp is this register. Corrected rather than left standing, and recorded rather than quietly fixed, on the precedent set by the entry above.\n\n*How it was found:* the corpus index at `corpus.333.eco` began serving this register on 2026-09-02, and its builder resolves every prediction to the paper said to state it, then looks for the identifier in that paper's own text. Sixty-six of sixty-seven attributions verified; this one did not, and the builder reports the miss rather than filling the field in.\n\n⚠️ **The Summary moves with it, and the reconciliation is preserved:** *already carried by a published paper* 50 → **49**, *receiving first public timestamp here* 20 → **21**. The property the entry above names still holds — **49 + 21 = 70** published here, plus the one withheld entry, is **71**.\n\n⭐ *A bare \"Published\" in this column inherits the paper named in the row above it. That convention is correct for the sixteen other rows using it, and it is how a retired memory-only prediction came to be attributed to a paper that had never heard of it: the shorthand has no way to say \"none\".*",
|
|
3163
3198
|
"provenance": {
|
|
3164
|
-
"sha256": "
|
|
3165
|
-
"doi": "10.5281/zenodo.
|
|
3199
|
+
"sha256": "799f93d20a7ce211b040dbf6edec349c95e7374a719f3bf2fc99c3dcb195e850",
|
|
3200
|
+
"doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23019376",
|
|
3166
3201
|
"concept_doi": "10.5281/zenodo.22132689",
|
|
3167
|
-
"zenodo_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/
|
|
3168
|
-
"deposited_sha256": "
|
|
3202
|
+
"zenodo_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23019376",
|
|
3203
|
+
"deposited_sha256": "799f93d20a7ce211b040dbf6edec349c95e7374a719f3bf2fc99c3dcb195e850",
|
|
3169
3204
|
"deposited_matches_current": true,
|
|
3170
3205
|
"opentimestamps": true,
|
|
3171
3206
|
"source_url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/thonly/publications/main/program/prediction-register.md",
|
|
@@ -3173,8 +3208,8 @@
|
|
|
3173
3208
|
"canonical_url": "thonly.org/research/program/register",
|
|
3174
3209
|
"hostile_review": null
|
|
3175
3210
|
},
|
|
3176
|
-
"bytes":
|
|
3177
|
-
"words":
|
|
3211
|
+
"bytes": 60787,
|
|
3212
|
+
"words": 9671
|
|
3178
3213
|
},
|
|
3179
3214
|
{
|
|
3180
3215
|
"slug": "proof-of-coordinate",
|
|
@@ -5161,6 +5196,41 @@
|
|
|
5161
5196
|
"bytes": 85371,
|
|
5162
5197
|
"words": 13232
|
|
5163
5198
|
},
|
|
5199
|
+
{
|
|
5200
|
+
"slug": "the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time",
|
|
5201
|
+
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
5202
|
+
"genre": "defensive-publications",
|
|
5203
|
+
"path": "defensive-publications/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time.md",
|
|
5204
|
+
"title": "Causal Set Theory, the Growing Block, and the Buddhist Debate on the Three Times: What the Earliest Vibhajjavādin Records Say",
|
|
5205
|
+
"subtitle": "An answer to an invitation in causal-set quantum gravity — and why the tradition that calls itself Vibhajjavāda is its foil, not its twin",
|
|
5206
|
+
"authors": "Thon Ly · Miss Aquarius℠",
|
|
5207
|
+
"category": "alignment",
|
|
5208
|
+
"voice": "collaborative",
|
|
5209
|
+
"metadata_convention": "yaml",
|
|
5210
|
+
"date": "2026-09-27",
|
|
5211
|
+
"status": "draft",
|
|
5212
|
+
"licence": {
|
|
5213
|
+
"id": "CC0-1.0",
|
|
5214
|
+
"url": "https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/",
|
|
5215
|
+
"attribution_required": false
|
|
5216
|
+
},
|
|
5217
|
+
"text": "## Abstract\n\nIn 2007 Rafael Sorkin, one of the founders of causal set theory, remarked in a footnote that the \"accretive time\" of his sequential-growth models \"seems close to that of C.D. Broad, and also to that of the 'Vibhajavadin' school within the Buddhist philosophical tradition.\" Fay Dowker, quoting him (2022; the wording below is that of her 2023 revision), added an invitation: *\"A interesting project for a scholar of Buddhism interested in physics would be to try to determine the 'Vibhajavadin' view of time, perception and epistemology in detail by examining the earliest existing records.\"*\n\nThis paper takes up that invitation from the Pāli sources, read against the northern ones. It finds that **there is no single Vibhajjavādin view of time to report.** The name has at least two referents:\n\n- **In the northern Abhidharma**, the *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* (ad V.25) defines the Vibhajyavādins as those who hold that **the present exists, and past action whose fruit has not yet been given exists, while ripened past action and the future do not**. Its past **thins**: an action drops out of existence once its fruit is given, and nothing but unripened action is kept at all. The view resembles Sorkin's accretion **only in keeping some past and denying the future.** No Buddhist position in the debate keeps every element once born, as a growing block does.\n- **In the Pāli tradition**, Vibhajjavāda is the Mahāvihāra's own name for itself. The commentary on the *Kathāvatthu* tells how the Third Council answered a king's question about the Buddha's doctrine with *\"Vibhajjavādī, mahārājā.\"* That same *Kathāvatthu* **refutes four rival positions on time**: *all exists*, *past aggregates exist*, *some past and some future exist*, and *exists as past*. The third states, in the *Kathāvatthu*'s own words, the past half of the view the *Kośa* calls Vibhajyavādin; the commentary names its holders the Kassapikas.\n\nThe two referents meet in one school name. Vasumitra's doxography gives the Kāśyapīya exactly the *Kośa*'s definition, and Stcherbatsky noted in 1923 that the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādins had been identified with the Kāśyapīyas. The northern and Pāli sources report that school's past alike and its future differently.\n\nSo the tradition that uses the name today holds **presentism about conditioned phenomena**: of conditioned dhammas only the present exists, and nibbāna stands outside the three times altogether. Presentism is exactly the view Sorkin says his model is not. Block-universe arguments, he writes, *\"presuppose that the sole alternative to the 'block universe' is a doctrine that identifies reality with a three-dimensional instant\"*, and his growth is offered as a third option. **The Pāli Vibhajjavāda is the foil of causal-set growth, not its twin.**\n\nWhat the Theravāda offers a causal-set physicist is a **contrast**, and its use is that it locates the disagreement exactly:\n\n- **Past action conditions the present without existing, and nothing persists in between.** The *Kathāvatthu* (§299) refutes the existence of past action whose result has not ripened; the Abhidhamma's kamma condition operates across moments.\n- **A consciousness can take a past object without being objectless** (*Kathāvatthu* IX.6).\n\nThis is a claim about influence, not about ordered existence. The paper's findings are listed, each with its falsifier, under *Findings disclosed*; the physics comparison stays labelled as a comparison.\n\n**Keywords:** causal set theory, sequential growth, growing block, presentism, eternalism, temporal becoming, Buddhist philosophy of time, Kathāvatthu, Abhidharmakośa, Sarvāstivāda, Kāśyapīya, Vibhajjavāda, Theravāda, Sorkin, Dowker.\n\n---\n\n## Findings disclosed\n\nThis paper is a study: it discloses readings of texts, not a mechanism. Its findings are listed here at the width that survived review and the census reported below, each with what would break it. The census's surviving width is **a reading of the *Kathāvatthu*'s time debates against Sorkin's and Dowker's causal-set remarks**; every finding is a part of that reading and nothing wider. The historical identifications the findings rely on are prior art and are cited as such (Stcherbatsky 1923, p. 43 n.; Vasumitra; Cousins 2001).\n\n1. **Read against Sorkin's footnote, \"Vibhajavadin\" has two referents, and they meet in one school.** The *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādin (present plus unripened past action, no future) and the Mahāvihāra's self-designation are different positions. The *Kathāvatthu* §299 refutes the first view's past half in its own words, under the commentary's name *Kassapikā*; Vasumitra gives the Kāśyapīya the *Kośa*'s definition (§2.3, §5.1). *Breaks if:* the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādin is shown to denote the Mahāvihāra specifically, or the §299 thesis is reliably attributed to a school other than the Kāśyapīya/Kassapika.\n2. **No position in the Buddhist three-times debate is a growing block.** The *Kośa*'s and the Kassapika's past exists only until an action's fruit is given, and it retains nothing but unripened action; the resemblance to Sorkin's accretion is confined to keeping some past and denying the future (§4). *Breaks if:* a Buddhist source is found that keeps every arisen dhamma as existing past while denying the future; or Sorkin's growth is read so that born elements cease to exist.\n3. **The Mahāvihāra's position, read against Sorkin, is presentism about conditioned dhammas: the very alternative he says block-universe arguments presuppose and his growth is meant to escape.** Nibbāna and concepts are time-free (*kālavimutta*) and fall outside the comparison (§3, §5.3). *Breaks if:* a primary Theravāda source affirms that past or future conditioned dhammas exist, including unripened past action, as distinct from their conditioning force.\n4. **The Theravāda's account of how the past acts is a contrast with causal-set growth, and it locates the disagreement at the past relatum.** The ceased act conditions its result across moments; it does not exist when the result arises (§299); and nothing persists between them, since the persisting store of kamma (*kammūpacaya*) is the opponent's doctrine in the commentary (§6). *Breaks if:* a primary Theravāda source treats past kamma as existing when it conditions (for example, by accepting a *kammūpacaya*); or the *Kathāvatthu*'s *atthi* (\"exists\") is shown to be an efficacy predicate, in which case the contrast with the *Kośa* reduces to a difference of wording (§10).\n5. **On Dowker's \"perception and epistemology\", the *Kathāvatthu* holds that a past object is a genuine object although it does not exist** (IX.6, §559; §6). *Breaks if:* §559 is read so that the past object is a present surrogate (a memory-image existing now) rather than the past itself.\n\n---\n\n## Prior Art and Non-Assertion Statement\n\nThis document is dedicated to the public domain under CC0 1.0. **The authors and HeartBank® will not seek patent** on anything herein. Nothing here is a mechanism; what the paper discloses is the numbered list under *Findings disclosed* above, dedicated to the public domain so that no one may enclose it.\n\n**What is already public, and cited rather than claimed:**\n\n- **The two-referent answer in outline.** Stcherbatsky, *The Central Conception of Buddhism* (1923), p. 43 and its footnote, is the nearest prior instance, found after the census below. It describes the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādins (citing AK V.24 ff.); it reports that the *Kathāvatthu* ascribes such opinions to the Kāśyapīyas and that Xuanzang's commentary identifies the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādins as the Kāśyapīyas; it remarks that the Theravādins seem to share the Sautrāntika view; and it notes the double sense of *vibhajyavāda*. This is the page Dowker cites.\n- **The Kāśyapīya's thesis in the northern doxography.** Vasumitra's *Samayabhedoparacanacakra* (Xuanzang's Chinese, T49 no. 2031) gives the Kāśyapīya the *Kośa*'s definition.\n- **The four debates in English.** Shwe Zan Aung and C.A.F. Rhys Davids, *Points of Controversy* (Pali Text Society, 1915), translate the *Kathāvatthu* with the commentary's attributions. The *Kośa* passage is translated by La Vallée Poussin and, in English, by Pruden (1988–90).\n- **The mapping of the Buddhist three-times debate onto Western theories of time.** Kristie Miller classes the Theravādins and Sautrāntikas as presentists and the Sarvāstivādins as eternalists, adding that the Sarvāstivāda view is closer to a moving spotlight than to a block universe (\"A Taxonomy of Views about Time in Buddhist and Western Philosophy,\" *Philosophy East and West* 67.3, 2017). The Vibhajyavāda and Kāśyapīya positions are surveyed in an unpublished essay by Michel Gauvain, *Time and Temporality in Indian Buddhism* (academia.edu 43833572). Its gloss of Vibhajyavāda (\"time permanent, phenomena move from one time to another\") differs from the *Kośa*'s.\n- **The historical claim that *Vibhajjavādin* named a group of schools, not one** (L.S. Cousins, \"On the Vibhajjavādins,\" *Buddhist Studies Review* 18.2, 2001).\n- **Causal-set becoming as a philosophical topic** (Sorkin 2007; Wüthrich & Callender, \"What Becomes of a Causal Set?\", *BJPS* 68.3, 2017; Dowker 2022/2023).\n- **General comparisons of the Abhidhamma with causal sets or quantum physics**: a blog post of 2026-07-31, self-described as AI-generated, \"Causal Set Theory and Abhidhamma: A Dialogue Between Modern Physics and Buddhist Philosophy\" (<https://ekasiswanto.wordpress.com/2026/07/31/causal-set-theory-and-abhidhamma-a-dialogue-between-modern-physics-and-buddhist-philosophy/>), and *The Ephemeral Projector: A Comparative Analysis of Quantum Mechanics and Abhidhamma* (ResearchGate publication 397427972, <https://www.researchgate.net/publication/397427972>).\n\n**The census.** A quick novelty census ran on 2026-09-27. Its pre-registration was pushed publicly before any query: `thonly/publications` commit `7348ba2`, `timestamps/census/physics-lens-prereg.md`. Its aperture was the English web, arXiv, Google Scholar, PhilPapers, GitHub and Google Patents by keyword. Thai, Burmese, Sinhala, Chinese, Japanese and Khmer sources were **NOT RUN**, and books were not read. **Not found in that aperture on that date:** a reading of the *Kathāvatthu*'s time debates against Sorkin's and Dowker's causal-set remarks. The census also reported the two-referent answer as not found; that row is **narrowed** here, because Stcherbatsky's footnote, read after the census, already gives most of it. ⛔ A census result is a statement about a search, not a claim of priority. The comparison of Buddhism with physics is a crowded field, and much of it is unindexed.\n\n---\n\n## 1 · The Invitation\n\nCausal set theory replaces the spacetime continuum with a locally finite partial order: discrete events, related only by *before*. Sorkin's slogan is *order + number = geometry*. In its sequential-growth (\"classical sequential growth\") models the causal set is not given all at once; it **grows**, one element at a time, each new element born to the future of some of those already present. Sorkin argued that this growth gives an objective correlate of the passage of time, a becoming that relativity was thought to have ruled out. His 2007 paper, \"Relativity theory does not imply that the future already exists: a counterexample,\" makes the case. In §5 he describes what the growth yields as *\"something 'four dimensional' from the very beginning, but which at any stage of its growth is still incomplete\"*, and he adds the footnote:\n\n> The notion of \"accretive time\" that arises here seems close to that of C.D. Broad, and also to that of the \"Vibhajavadin\" school within the Buddhist philosophical tradition.\n\nFay Dowker, developing Sorkin's proposal as a response to the hard problem of consciousness (arXiv 2209.07653), quotes the footnote and adds her own. In the revision of 21 May 2023 it reads:\n\n> A interesting project for a scholar of Buddhism interested in physics would be to try to determine the \"Vibhajavadin\" view of time, perception and epistemology in detail by examining the earliest existing records.\n\n(The first version, of 16 September 2022, reads *\"would be to determine the 'Vibhajyavadin' view\"*, without *try to*.)\n\nFor the Vibhajavādin view her notes point to p. 43 of Stcherbatsky's *The Central Conception of Buddhism* (1923). Separately, they cite his *Buddhist Logic* (vol. 1, 1932, pp. 4–5) for early Buddhism as \"no Matter, no Substance, only separate elements, momentary flashes of efficient energy … a flow of existential moments.\"\n\nThe question is well posed, and it is answerable, because the records exist, in Pāli, Sanskrit and Chinese, and they are unusually explicit about time. What follows reads them.\n\n*Spelling note.* Sorkin and Dowker's 2023 revision write *Vibhajavadin*; Dowker's 2022 version writes *Vibhajyavadin*. They are quoted as written. Pāli sources give *Vibhajjavāda*, Sanskrit sources *Vibhajyavāda*. The spellings mark traditions, and this paper keeps them apart deliberately.\n\n---\n\n## 2 · Who Were the Vibhajjavādins?\n\n### 2.1 · The Pāli self-designation\n\nThe *Kathāvatthu* itself, the fifth book of the Abhidhamma Piṭaka, never uses the word. The self-designation is found in its commentary (*Kathāvatthu-aṭṭhakathā*, part of the *Pañcappakaraṇa-aṭṭhakathā* traditionally ascribed to Buddhaghosa, c. 5th century CE, drawing on older material). The commentary describes the Third Council under Aśoka: the king, having expelled monks of other views, asks the remaining monks what the Buddha taught.\n\n> *\"kiṃvādī, bhante, sammāsambuddho\"ti? \"Vibhajjavādī, mahārājā\"ti.*\n>\n> \"Of what doctrine, venerable sir, was the Fully Awakened One?\" — \"A Vibhajjavādin, great king.\"\n\nThe elder Moggaliputtatissa then composes the *Kathāvatthu* to refute the views that had arisen. In the tradition's own account, therefore, **the *Kathāvatthu* is the Vibhajjavādin record.**\n\n### 2.2 · A name for a group\n\nCousins (2001) shows that the word has two senses in the Pāli commentarial literature: an epithet of the Buddha (one who answers by analysis, *vibhajja*) and the name of a school. In the second sense it historically named the common ancestor of **four** schools: the Mahiṃsāsakas, the Dhammaguttikas (the commentary's form; Cousins's title writes *Dhammaguttaka*), the Kassapiyas and the Tambapaṇṇiyas, the last being the Mahāvihāra of Sri Lanka whose texts the Pāli canon preserves. The commentary's Third Council story, Cousins argues, draws its force from the double meaning. The present-day Theravāda is therefore **one branch** of the Vibhajjavādins, not the whole group. That matters below, because another branch reappears as an opponent.\n\nThe commentary's own family tree is different, and it is recorded here because it cuts against a tidy reading. Its schism narrative, taken from the *Dīpavaṃsa*, derives the Sabbatthivādins and the Dhammaguttikas from the Mahiṃsāsakas and then says: *\"Puna sabbatthivādakulato bhijjitvā kassapikā nāma jātā\"* (\"again, breaking from the Sabbatthivāda family, those called Kassapikas arose\"). The Pāli commentary thus files the Kassapikas under the Sabbatthivāda, where Cousins places them among the Vibhajjavādin branches. The findings below depend on *which school* held the §299 thesis, not on which family tree is right.\n\n### 2.3 · The northern definition `[cross-tradition]`\n\nThe Sarvāstivāda's own systematization, as reported and criticized by Vasubandhu, defines the two camps sharply (*Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* ad V.25, Pradhan ed., p. 296, ll. 4–6):\n\n> *ye hi sarvam astīti vadanti atītam anāgataṃ pratyutpannaṃ ca te sarvāstivādāḥ / ye tu kecid asti yat pratyutpannam adattaphalaṃ cātītaṃ karma kiñcin nāsti yad dattaphalam atītam anāgataṃ ceti vibhajya vadanti te vibhajyavādinaḥ /*\n>\n> Those who say that *all exists*, past, future and present, are Sarvāstivādins. Those who, *distinguishing* (*vibhajya*), say that something exists (the present, and past action that has not given its fruit) and something does not (past action that has given its fruit, and the future) are Vibhajyavādins.\n\nThe *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādin, then, holds **present plus some past, and no future**. The name is glossed from the method: they *speak distinguishing*.\n\nStcherbatsky's p. 43, the page Dowker cites, describes the same school: an intermediate position that \"maintained the reality of the present facts and of that part of the past ones which had not already lost their influence, but the reality of the future ones and of that part of the past ones which had ceased to exhibit any influence it denied. Vasubandhu calls this school the Vibhajyavādins.\" **Dowker's pointer and the *Kośa* therefore agree.** Stcherbatsky's footnote goes further. It reports that the *Kathāvatthu* ascribes such opinions to the Kāśyapīyas, who also admitted the reality of that part of the future which was foreshadowed or fixed; that Xuanzang's commentary identifies the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādins as the Kāśyapīyas; that the Theravādins seem to have shared the Sautrāntika view; and that Vasubandhu seems not to know the explanation of *vibhajyavāda* as orthodoxy, the sense the *Kathāvatthu* commentary gives it.\n\nVasumitra's doxography of the schools, in Xuanzang's Chinese, gives the Kāśyapīya (飲光部) the same thesis. Among its tenets: 若業果已熟則無。業果未熟則有 (\"if the fruit of an action has ripened, it does not exist; if the fruit has not ripened, it exists\"). It adds that no formation has a future thing as its cause (無諸行以未來為因) and that all formations perish momentarily (一切行皆剎那滅).\n\nThe *Kośa*'s definition is a Sarvāstivādin doxographer's report of an opponent (§10). Two northern reports, the *Kośa* and Vasumitra, agree on it (both from a Sarvāstivāda milieu, so not fully independent), and the Pāli debate book states the same past-half in its own words (§3).\n\n---\n\n## 3 · The Earliest Pāli Record: Four Debates on Time\n\nThe *Kathāvatthu* is a book of debates. The Theravādin (*sakavādī*) cross-examines an opponent (*paravādī*) by paired questions until the opponent's thesis yields a consequence he must reject. Four early debates, all in its first chapter, concern time. The *Kathāvatthu* names no opponents; the attributions below are the commentary's. Paragraph numbers follow the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition, whose chapter division differs from the Pali Text Society's; the § numbers are unambiguous. An English translation with the attributions is *Points of Controversy* (1915).\n\n| CST § | Debate | Opponent's thesis | Commentary's attribution |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| 282 | *Sabbamatthītikathā* | *sabbam atthi*: all exists | *\"seyyathāpi etarahi sabbamatthivādānaṃ\"* (the all-exists school, i.e. the Sarvāstivāda) |\n| 297 | *Atītakkhandhādikathā* | past and future things are aggregates, bases and elements, and therefore exist | the paravādin who \"wants past and future to exist because they do not give up being aggregates\" |\n| 299–300 | *Ekaccaṃ atthītikathā* | *some* of the past exists and some of the future (what is bound to arise). The restriction to action whose result has not ripened is in the *Kathāvatthu*'s own text: *\"atītā avipakkavipākā dhammā – te atthi\"* | *\"seyyathāpi kassapikā\"* (the Kassapikas; one of Cousins's four Vibhajjavādin branches, though the commentary's schism list derives them from the Sabbatthivāda, §2.2) |\n| 304 | *Hevatthikathā* | things exist *in one way* and not in another: the past exists *as past* | *\"seyyathāpi etarahi … andhakānaṃ\"* (the Andhakas) |\n\nThe refutations of *all exists* and *some exists* turn on one formula:\n\n> *Atītaṃ atthīti? Āmantā. Nanu atītaṃ niruddhaṃ vigataṃ vipariṇataṃ atthaṅgataṃ abbhatthaṅgatanti?* (§283)\n>\n> \"Does the past exist?\" — \"Yes.\" — \"But has the past not ceased, departed, changed, set, gone down?\"\n\nThe other two debates are refuted differently.\n\n- **§297 separates classification from existence.** The Theravādin grants that past things are *classified* as aggregates but denies that they *exist*. The *Kathāvatthu* itself quotes the *Niruttipatha Sutta* (SN 22.62) in the *Sabbamatthi* and *Atītakkhandhādi* debates (§296, §298): what has passed is designated *\"was\"*, never *\"is\"* or *\"will be\"*. The opponent answers with SN 22.48 (any form, past, future or present, is the form aggregate). The commentary applies the *Niruttipatha* to §297 and says the opponent's sutta proves the aggregates' *being aggregates*, not their existence. That sutta, in the Nikāyas themselves, is the oldest scriptural anchor of the view.\n- **The *Hevatthi* thesis grants that the past has ceased and says it exists *as past*** (*\"atītaṃ atītanti hevatthi, atītaṃ anāgatanti heva natthi\"*, §305). The ceased-formula cannot touch it. It is refuted by a different reductio: if the same past both is and is not, then existence and non-existence become one meaning (*\"atthaṭṭho natthaṭṭho … ekaṭṭhe same samabhāge tajjāte\"*, §304–305).\n\nAt §299 the Kassapika position is broken apart. If some of the past exists, then some of the past has ceased and some has not, and the part that has not ceased is not past. The same dilemma is run for the future at §300.\n\nThe position that remains, the Mahāvihāra's own, is **presentism about conditioned dhammas**: of conditioned phenomena only present ones exist; past and future are what *was* and what *will be*. The Abhidhamma adds a class that the three times do not cover. The root verse of *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* ch. 8 §37 reads *\"tekālikā dhammā, kālamuttā ca\"*, things of the three times and things free of time, and Sumaṅgala's sub-commentary names the time-free class: nibbāna and concepts (*nibbānapaññattivasena kālavimuttā ca*). Nibbāna is not a present dhamma; it is outside the question this debate asks.\n\n---\n\n## 4 · The Physicists' Map and the Buddhist Map\n\n```\n WHAT EXISTS? past present future nearest physics picture\n ─────────────────────── ─────────── ──────────── ─────────── ─────────────────────────────\n Sarvāstivāda all all all eternalism: a moving spotlight,\n not a block (Miller 2017) †\n Kośa's Vibhajyavāda [X] unripened all none a past that THINS; resembles\n karma only Sorkin's only in keeping some\n past and denying the future\n Kassapika (Kv §299–300) unripened all what is (no clean analogue: a past\n karma only bound to that thins, a future that\n arise is partly settled)\n Andhaka (Kv §304) \"as past\" all \"as future\" a tensed-property reading\n Mahāvihāra (Kv, refuting none all none PRESENTISM about conditioned\n all four) dhammas ◀── what Sorkin says\n his model is NOT ‡\n ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─ ─\n Sorkin's growth every born no single none growing block (accretion)\n (for comparison) element global \"now\"\n\n No Buddhist row keeps every born element.\n † Miller (2017) classes the Sarvāstivādins as eternalists and says explicitly that they are not\n block-universe theorists; their view looks like a moving spotlight. Cited, not claimed.\n ‡ Of conditioned dhammas. Nibbāna and concepts are time-free (kālavimutta), outside all rows.\n [X] cross-tradition (northern) source.\n```\n\nSorkin's growth is not presentism. In the sequential-growth models, what has been born **stays**: the causal set at any stage contains its whole past and lacks only its future. Sorkin's own words set the view against a present-only doctrine. Most arguments for the block universe, he writes, *\"presuppose that the sole alternative to the 'block universe' is a doctrine that identifies reality with a three-dimensional instant\"*. He also denies that the process has any single \"now\" spreading over it. Wüthrich and Callender (2017) examine what kind of becoming this is. They conclude that a novel, *global* becoming is compatible with causal sets, distinct from the *localized* becoming that Sorkin's advocates claim for it. Nothing in that literature reads the model as presentist.\n\n**On the Buddhist map, then, no row is a growing block.** The nearest is the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādin, and only in two respects: it keeps some past, and it denies the future. Its past thins. An action ceases to exist once its fruit is given, and no other past dhamma is kept at all, where Sorkin's causal set keeps every element ever born. Sorkin's footnote points at a real resemblance in the school the northern sources describe, narrower than the word \"close\" suggests. It does not describe the school that uses the name today.\n\n---\n\n## 5 · The Answer to Dowker\n\nDowker asked for \"the Vibhajavadin view of time … by examining the earliest existing records.\" The records give a three-part answer.\n\n1. **There is no single Vibhajjavādin view of time, and the two referents converge on one school seen from two sides.** The name covered a family of schools (Cousins). In the northern sources it names a *present-plus-unripened-past* view, which Vasumitra and Xuanzang's commentary (as Stcherbatsky reports it) assign to the Kāśyapīya. The Pāli branch's own debate book refutes the past half of that view in its own words (§299), and its commentary names the holders *Kassapikā*. On the past, the northern and Pāli reports agree. On the future they differ: the *Kośa* and Vasumitra's Kāśyapīya deny it, while the Pāli debate has the Kassapika grant existence to a future that is bound to arise.\n2. **The view that resembles causal-set accretion most is the one the Pāli Vibhajjavādin record argues against, and the resemblance is partial.** Sorkin's instinct matched a real Buddhist position in keeping some past and denying the future. That position is the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavāda and the Kassapika's past half, not the Theravāda's, and its past thins where his is kept whole.\n3. **The Theravāda's own view is presentism about conditioned dhammas**, grounded in the *Niruttipatha Sutta* and defended in the *Kathāvatthu*: whatever is past has ceased, and what has ceased does not exist. Nibbāna and concepts are time-free and fall outside the three times.\n\nThis is a historical answer about what the records say. It takes no position on which view of time is true.\n\n---\n\n## 6 · The Contrast: Influence Without Existence\n\nIf the Theravāda is not a growing block, is there anything in it for a causal-set physicist? There is one thing, and it is a contrast rather than a correspondence.\n\nA presentist owes an account of how the past can matter if it does not exist. The Pāli Abhidhamma gives one. Its analysis of conditioning is the *Paṭṭhāna*, summarized in *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* ch. 8. The *Abhidhammatthavibhāvinī-ṭīkā*, Sumaṅgala's sub-commentary on the *Saṅgaha* (c. 12th century, a later layer than the *Saṅgaha* itself), states the temporal reach of every one of the twenty-four conditions. In the CST text, its comment on ch. 8, §37 sorts them so:\n\n```\n TEMPORAL REACH (Vibhāvinī on Saṅgaha ch. 8 §37) CONDITIONS COUNT\n ──────────────────────────────────────────────────── ───────────────────────────────────── ─────\n past only (the moment just ceased) proximity, contiguity, repetition, 5\n absence, disappearance\n past or present (dvikālika) kamma 1\n all three times (tikālika) object, object-predominance, 3\n decisive support\n present only (paccuppannakālika) the other fifteen 15\n ────\n 24\n time-free (kālavimutta; Saṅgaha §37 root verse) nibbāna, concepts (paññatti) — not a condition class\n```\n\n- **Five conditions reach only the immediate past:** proximity, contiguity, repetition, absence and disappearance (*anantara, samanantara, āsevana, natthi, vigata*). They carry the moment that has just ceased into the next.\n- **The kamma condition reaches past or present** (*dvikālika*). The *Saṅgaha*'s own root text says that volition conditions its results across different moments (*nānākkhaṇikā cetanā*, ch. 8 §17): an action long gone conditions its result now. The past act does not exist when its result arises; the *Kathāvatthu* (§299) refutes the thesis that past action whose result has not ripened exists. **Nothing persists between them.** The commentary on §299 gives the opponent's supporting doctrine as a persisting accumulation of kamma (*kammūpacaya*), and the Theravāda refuses it. The ceased act is a condition by kamma across moments, not a thing kept.\n- **Three conditions reach all three times** (*tikālika*): the object condition, object-predominance (*ārammaṇādhipati*; co-nascent predominance is present-only) and decisive support. So the future also conditions, as an object of thought or intention.\n- **The other fifteen conditions are present-only.**\n- **A time-free class stands outside the classification**: nibbāna and concepts are *kālavimutta* (§3).\n\nThe *Kathāvatthu* adds the epistemological half of Dowker's question. At IX.6 (§559) an opponent holds that a consciousness whose object is past has no object, since the past does not exist. The Theravādin refutes this: a mind can turn toward the past, attend to it and aspire concerning it, so a past object is a genuine object even though it does not exist. **Perception and memory reach what is not.**\n\nSo the Theravāda's answer to \"how does the past act?\" is **influence without existence**: the past conditions the present, and is cognized by it, without being real now. Set beside a causal set, this is a **contrast**, and its use is that it locates the disagreement exactly. In causal sets the order relation, not a background time, carries the physics, and the order holds *between elements that remain in the set*; the past is kept. The Theravāda keeps the effects of conditioning and discards the past relatum; nothing persists to be related. The two agree that the past acts and disagree about whether it is there. A presentist causal set would be a different ontology from Sorkin's, and whether one is coherent is a question for physics, not for this paper.\n\n---\n\n## 7 · The Strongest Objection, Carried\n\n**Objection.** \"Presentism is a Western category, and the Abhidhamma is a phenomenology of experience. It is not a metaphysics of spacetime. Mapping *atthi* ('exists') onto the ontology of a causal set compares two different questions.\"\n\n**What survives it.** Much of the objection stands, and the paper does not try to answer it away. The *Kathāvatthu*'s *atthi* is about dhammas, momentary mental and material phenomena, not about spacetime points. Its debates are about what may be *said* to exist in a doctrinal register. And the Abhidhamma's momentariness has no metric: its moments carry no length, and its \"present\" is not a global simultaneity slice, which causal sets deny in any case. What survives is historical and exact: which positions on the existence of the past and the future were taken, by whom, and which the Pāli tradition rejected. Sorkin's footnote made a historical claim, and a historical claim can be checked against records. That is all this paper does with the physics.\n\n**The counter-argument to this paper's own strongest claim.** Our strongest claim is that the Pāli Vibhajjavāda is Sorkin's foil. Against it, the provenance of Sorkin's word points away from the Pāli branch. Dowker's own pointer, Stcherbatsky p. 43, describes the *Kośa*'s school, and Stcherbatsky's footnote reports Xuanzang's commentary identifying that school with the Kāśyapīyas. So the referent of \"Vibhajavadin\" in the causal-set literature is the northern one by construction, and Sorkin's footnote is broadly right about the school it names. On this reading, a comparison with the Mahāvihāra changes the subject. We accept this. We claim only that the branch that preserved the Pāli canon, and uses the name today, holds the opposite view; that its record refutes the named school's past half; and that the resemblance even for the named school is partial (§4). Whether a reader of the footnote should have the Mahāvihāra in mind is a question about the word, and the records show why it is ambiguous.\n\n---\n\n## 8 · What Would Falsify These Findings\n\n- **A primary Theravāda source that affirms the existence of unripened past kamma** (as opposed to its conditioning force) would undo §3's reading of the Mahāvihāra as presentist.\n- **A reading of Sorkin's sequential growth in which past elements cease to exist**, rather than remain in the set, would move his view toward presentism and undo §4's placement. His own texts, read on the date of writing, say the opposite.\n- **A reliable attribution of the §299 thesis to a school other than the Kassapikas**, evidence that the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādin denoted the Mahāvihāra specifically, or northern evidence separating Vasumitra's Kāśyapīya from the *Kośa*'s Vibhajyavādin, would change §5.1.\n- **A primary Theravāda source that treats past kamma, or a past object, as EXISTING when it conditions or is cognized** (for example, one that accepts a *kammūpacaya*) would undo §6's \"nothing persists\".\n- **A reading of *Kathāvatthu* IX.6 §559 on which the past object is a present surrogate**, a memory-image existing now, would undo the epistemological half of §6.\n\n---\n\n## 9 · Stake, and What Was and Was Not Done\n\n**The authors' stake.** The authors write from within the Theravāda, and the institution publishing this paper grounds its values in the Pāli canon and has ruled Theravāda readings over Sarvāstivāda ones on its own questions. That creates a pull toward finding one's tradition anticipated by frontier physics. **This paper's first draft of the thesis made exactly that error.** It read the Pāli presentism as Sorkin's \"becoming\", on his side. An adversarial review, run before any prose was written, found that Sorkin's growth keeps the past, and the thesis was reversed. The reversal is the paper. A later review round corrected a second overreach of the same kind in the other direction: the first published text placed the *Kośa*'s view at the growing block, which its own translation contradicts.\n\n**Done:**\n- The four time debates of the *Kathāvatthu*, the *Niruttipatha* quotations and §559, with their commentarial attributions, read in the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana text;\n- the commentary's schism narrative and its gloss on §299 (*kammūpacaya*) read in the same text;\n- the *Kośa*'s definition read in Pradhan's Sanskrit;\n- Stcherbatsky 1923, p. 43 and its footnote, read (archive.org, Digital Library of India copy);\n- Vasumitra's *Samayabhedoparacanacakra*, the Kāśyapīya section, read in Xuanzang's Chinese (CBETA T49 no. 2031);\n- Sorkin 2007 and Dowker 2022/2023 (both versions) read in full;\n- the temporal classification of the conditions read in the CST text of the *Abhidhammatthavibhāvinī-ṭīkā* (a sub-commentary, not the *Saṅgaha* itself), and *nānākkhaṇika* and the time-free class checked in the *Saṅgaha* root;\n- the census run as described.\n\n**Not done:**\n- The Sarvāstivāda *Vibhāṣā* and the Chinese Āgama parallels (where the Kāśyapīya view is also reported) were not consulted.\n- *Points of Controversy*, Pruden's translation of the *Kośa*, Cox's *Disputed Dharmas* (1995) and Bareau's *Les sectes bouddhiques du Petit Véhicule* (1955) were not read; they are named as the standard places to check this paper, not as sources for it.\n- Cousins was read in English; the Mahāvihāra's lineage texts (the *Dīpavaṃsa*) were read only as quoted by the commentary.\n- Later Theravāda exposition of kamma (for example, modern Burmese teaching of a kammic potency in the mental continuum) was not read (§10).\n- The physics of a presentist causal set was not attempted.\n\n---\n\n## 10 · Honest Limits\n\n- **The *Kathāvatthu*'s date is traditional.** It is ascribed to the Third Council (3rd century BCE), and its irregular structure has been read as growth over time, new controversies added as they arose (von Hinüber 2000, p. 71, as cited; not read directly for this paper). The four time debates are in its first chapter. The commentary that supplies the self-designation and the opponents' names is c. 5th century CE. \"Earliest existing records\" here means the earliest the Pāli tradition preserves, not the earliest that existed.\n- **The attributions are the commentary's.** The *Kathāvatthu* names no opponents. A later author's attribution is evidence about the tradition's self-understanding, not a contemporaneous report. The same commentary's schism list files the Kassapikas under the Sabbatthivāda (§2.2).\n- **The *Kośa*'s definition is a Sarvāstivādin doctrinal report.** Vasubandhu reports the Vibhajyavādins as the Sarvāstivāda's opponents in a polemical context. Vasumitra's agreement and the *Kathāvatthu*'s own wording at §299 corroborate its content, but no text of the Kāśyapīyas themselves is quoted here.\n- **\"Exists\" may be an efficacy predicate.** In the three-times controversy, existence is often keyed to causal efficacy: Stcherbatsky glosses the *Kośa* school's existent past as the part that \"had not already lost [its] influence\", and Miller reports the Sarvāstivāda marking the present as the causally efficacious moment. Where *exists* means *is efficacious*, the *Kośa*'s existent unripened karma and the Theravāda's non-existent but conditioning karma may differ more in wording than in ontology. §6's contrast holds only if the *Kathāvatthu*'s *atthi* is not an efficacy predicate; this paper reads it as not one, because the *Kathāvatthu* denies existence to exactly what it grants as a condition, but that reading is an interpretation.\n- **\"Nothing persists\" is stated at the layer of the *Kathāvatthu* and its commentary.** Later Theravāda exposition speaks of a kammic potency carried in the mental continuum. Whether that potency is a persisting store of the kind the commentary refuses, or a way of speaking about conditioning, was not examined.\n- **The time-free class.** \"Presentism\" in this paper is presentism about conditioned dhammas. Nibbāna and concepts are *kālavimutta* and fall outside the comparison. A reader who treats the Theravāda as presentist without that qualification misstates it.\n- **The physics mapping is a mapping of positions on existence.** It does not claim that any Buddhist school anticipated a theory of quantum gravity, and it makes no claim about which theory of time is correct.\n- **One edition.** Paragraph numbers are the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana's; the Pali Text Society's chapter numbering differs. A reader should locate passages by § number and title.\n- **The census was quick and English-only.** The field of Buddhism-and-physics comparison is large and poorly indexed. Absence from our search is weak evidence, and the census's own second NOT FOUND fell to a book it could not read (Stcherbatsky).\n\n---\n\n## 11 · Close\n\nSorkin heard, in a school name, an echo of the time his models grow. The echo is real and partial. It comes from one school of a family, the one the northern sources describe, whose past is kept only while its fruit is owed. The branch that kept the Pāli canon answered that view in its oldest debate book, with a question it asks of every past thing: *has it not ceased?* The answer to Dowker's invitation is that the earliest records disagree with each other on the existence of the past — the question on which, in a different register, the physics of becoming is still open.\n\n---\n\n## Cross-Venue References\n\n| Venue | Identifier |\n|---|---|\n| Primary canonical | <https://thonly.org/research/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time> |\n| GitHub | <https://github.com/thonly/publications/blob/main/defensive-publications/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time.md> |\n| Census pre-registration (public) | `thonly/publications` commit `7348ba2`, `timestamps/census/physics-lens-prereg.md` |\n| Sibling paper | <https://thonly.org/research/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity> |\n\n---\n\n## Acknowledgments\n\nThe authors thank Rafael Sorkin and Fay Dowker, whose footnotes asked a question the Pāli sources can answer; the Vipassana Research Institute for the Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana texts; the GRETIL project and the editors of its *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya* e-text (after Pradhan); the CBETA project for the Chinese canon; the Digital Library of India and the Internet Archive for Stcherbatsky's 1923 text; and the late L.S. Cousins. The reading of the sources, the adversarial review and the drafting were done with Miss Aquarius, the name under which this institution discloses its AI collaboration.\n\n---\n\n## Citations\n\n1. Sorkin, R.D. (2007). \"Relativity theory does not imply that the future already exists: a counterexample.\" In V. Petkov (ed.), *Relativity and the Dimensionality of the World*, Fundamental Theories of Physics, Springer. arXiv:gr-qc/0703098.\n2. Dowker, F. (2022/2023). \"Causal Set Quantum Gravity and the Hard Problem of Consciousness.\" arXiv:2209.07653 (v1, 16 September 2022; v2, 21 May 2023; the invitation is footnote 1 in both, worded as quoted from v2).\n3. Wüthrich, C. & Callender, C. (2017). \"What Becomes of a Causal Set?\" *British Journal for the Philosophy of Science* 68(3): 907–925. doi:10.1093/bjps/axv040. arXiv:1502.00018.\n4. Bombelli, L., Lee, J., Meyer, D. & Sorkin, R.D. (1987). \"Space-time as a causal set.\" *Physical Review Letters* 59: 521–524.\n5. *Kathāvatthu*. Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition, VRI `tipitaka-xml`, `romn/abh03m3.mul.xml` (§282–§306; §559).\n6. *Kathāvatthu-aṭṭhakathā* (in *Pañcappakaraṇa-aṭṭhakathā*). Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition, `romn/abh03a.att.xml`.\n7. *Niruttipatha Sutta*, Saṃyutta Nikāya 22.62; and SN 22.48 (the opponent's sutta).\n8. Sumaṅgala. *Abhidhammatthavibhāvinī-ṭīkā* on *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha* ch. 8 (§37). Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition, `romn/abh07t.nrf.xml` (bound with the *Saṅgaha*).\n9. Anuruddha. *Abhidhammatthasaṅgaha*, ch. 8 §17 and §37 (root text). Chaṭṭha Saṅgāyana edition, `romn/abh07t.nrf.xml`.\n10. Vasubandhu. *Abhidharmakośabhāṣya*, ed. P. Pradhan (2nd ed., 1975), p. 296; GRETIL e-text (Hackett & Lusthaus). English translation: L.M. Pruden, *Abhidharmakośabhāṣyam* (from La Vallée Poussin's French), 4 vols., Berkeley: Asian Humanities Press, 1988–90 (not read for this paper).\n11. Vasumitra. *Samayabhedoparacanacakra* (異部宗輪論), tr. Xuanzang. Taishō vol. 49, no. 2031; CBETA XML `T49n2031`.\n12. Cousins, L.S. (2001). \"On the Vibhajjavādins: the Mahiṃsāsaka, Dhammaguttaka, Kassapiya and Tambapaṇṇiya branches of the ancient Theriyas.\" *Buddhist Studies Review* 18(2): 131–182.\n13. Miller, K. (2017). \"A Taxonomy of Views about Time in Buddhist and Western Philosophy.\" *Philosophy East and West* 67(3): 763–782.\n14. Gauvain, Michel. \"Time and Temporality in Indian Buddhism.\" Unpublished essay, n.d. academia.edu 43833572.\n15. Stcherbatsky, Th. (1923). *The Central Conception of Buddhism and the Meaning of the Word \"Dharma.\"* London: Royal Asiatic Society. p. 43 and n. (Read in the Digital Library of India copy, archive.org `in.ernet.dli.2015.99616`; Dowker cites a later Motilal Banarsidass printing, same pagination.)\n16. Stcherbatsky, Th. (1932). *Buddhist Logic*, vol. 1. Bibliotheca Buddhica XXVI. Leningrad: Academy of Sciences of the USSR. pp. 4–5 (as cited by Dowker).\n17. Broad, C.D. (1923). *Scientific Thought*. London: Kegan Paul, Trench, Trubner & Co. (The growing block.)\n18. Shwe Zan Aung & Rhys Davids, C.A.F. (trs.) (1915). *Points of Controversy, or Subjects of Discourse* (the *Kathāvatthu*). London: Pali Text Society (not read for this paper).\n19. von Hinüber, O. (2000). *A Handbook of Pāli Literature*. Berlin: de Gruyter. p. 71 (as cited; not read directly).\n20. Ly, T. & Miss Aquarius (2026). \"Discreteness, Adjacency and Order: A Structural Comparison of the Theravāda Abhidhamma with Causal Sets and Loop Quantum Gravity\" (sibling paper). <https://thonly.org/research/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity>.",
|
|
5218
|
+
"provenance": {
|
|
5219
|
+
"sha256": "b57668357f9cf7d8f36fb4911af43bed43e69db1083f026b09ec0e39970c0e54",
|
|
5220
|
+
"doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23020016",
|
|
5221
|
+
"concept_doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23020015",
|
|
5222
|
+
"zenodo_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23020016",
|
|
5223
|
+
"deposited_sha256": "b57668357f9cf7d8f36fb4911af43bed43e69db1083f026b09ec0e39970c0e54",
|
|
5224
|
+
"deposited_matches_current": true,
|
|
5225
|
+
"opentimestamps": true,
|
|
5226
|
+
"source_url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/thonly/publications/main/defensive-publications/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time.md",
|
|
5227
|
+
"sha256_covers": "the complete source file at source_url, including its metadata block — NOT the `text` field in this response",
|
|
5228
|
+
"canonical_url": "thonly.org/research/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time",
|
|
5229
|
+
"hostile_review": null
|
|
5230
|
+
},
|
|
5231
|
+
"bytes": 45982,
|
|
5232
|
+
"words": 6591
|
|
5233
|
+
},
|
|
5164
5234
|
{
|
|
5165
5235
|
"slug": "the-wager-that-isnt",
|
|
5166
5236
|
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
@@ -6015,9 +6085,9 @@
|
|
|
6015
6085
|
"manifest": {
|
|
6016
6086
|
"what": "Every file the index build considered, and what became of it. candidates = served + excluded + held. Detects a document silently dropped; it is not a tamper check — each document's sha256 is.",
|
|
6017
6087
|
"candidates": 151,
|
|
6018
|
-
"served":
|
|
6088
|
+
"served": 149,
|
|
6019
6089
|
"excluded": 0,
|
|
6020
|
-
"held":
|
|
6090
|
+
"held": 2,
|
|
6021
6091
|
"served_documents": [
|
|
6022
6092
|
{
|
|
6023
6093
|
"slug": "a-vow-you-could-have-refused",
|
|
@@ -6025,6 +6095,12 @@
|
|
|
6025
6095
|
"path": "essays/a-vow-you-could-have-refused.md",
|
|
6026
6096
|
"sha256": "639599a85fe454c4d2567b4d3be9ce2b1a5dc9c709f840c9a586e831b71704cc"
|
|
6027
6097
|
},
|
|
6098
|
+
{
|
|
6099
|
+
"slug": "abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity",
|
|
6100
|
+
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
6101
|
+
"path": "defensive-publications/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity.md",
|
|
6102
|
+
"sha256": "0137cadb9df6582112107e109ad37b64ce4a888b03d7fc3ac918aeb5256c946a"
|
|
6103
|
+
},
|
|
6028
6104
|
{
|
|
6029
6105
|
"slug": "abhidhamma-executable-process-specification",
|
|
6030
6106
|
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
@@ -6473,7 +6549,7 @@
|
|
|
6473
6549
|
"slug": "prediction-register",
|
|
6474
6550
|
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
6475
6551
|
"path": "program/prediction-register.md",
|
|
6476
|
-
"sha256": "
|
|
6552
|
+
"sha256": "799f93d20a7ce211b040dbf6edec349c95e7374a719f3bf2fc99c3dcb195e850"
|
|
6477
6553
|
},
|
|
6478
6554
|
{
|
|
6479
6555
|
"slug": "proof-of-coordinate",
|
|
@@ -6787,6 +6863,12 @@
|
|
|
6787
6863
|
"path": "defensive-publications/the-unpaid-relay.md",
|
|
6788
6864
|
"sha256": "eb7543f1233bd43bf90d480a31f6af69386c8261ac5cafc26ce503d904a14d81"
|
|
6789
6865
|
},
|
|
6866
|
+
{
|
|
6867
|
+
"slug": "the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time",
|
|
6868
|
+
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
6869
|
+
"path": "defensive-publications/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time.md",
|
|
6870
|
+
"sha256": "b57668357f9cf7d8f36fb4911af43bed43e69db1083f026b09ec0e39970c0e54"
|
|
6871
|
+
},
|
|
6790
6872
|
{
|
|
6791
6873
|
"slug": "the-wager-that-isnt",
|
|
6792
6874
|
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
@@ -6908,7 +6990,7 @@
|
|
|
6908
6990
|
"slug": "machine-dana-from-share-to-vow",
|
|
6909
6991
|
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
6910
6992
|
"path": "defensive-publications/machine-dana-from-share-to-vow.md",
|
|
6911
|
-
"reason": "
|
|
6993
|
+
"reason": "polish r1 done and revised (2026-09-28); awaiting its FULL novelty census before the first deposit",
|
|
6912
6994
|
"held_since": "2026-09-27",
|
|
6913
6995
|
"review_by": "2026-10-27"
|
|
6914
6996
|
},
|
|
@@ -6916,23 +6998,7 @@
|
|
|
6916
6998
|
"slug": "the-counts-check",
|
|
6917
6999
|
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
6918
7000
|
"path": "defensive-publications/the-counts-check.md",
|
|
6919
|
-
"reason": "
|
|
6920
|
-
"held_since": "2026-09-27",
|
|
6921
|
-
"review_by": "2026-10-27"
|
|
6922
|
-
},
|
|
6923
|
-
{
|
|
6924
|
-
"slug": "the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time",
|
|
6925
|
-
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
6926
|
-
"path": "defensive-publications/the-vibhajjavadin-view-of-time.md",
|
|
6927
|
-
"reason": "awaiting its polish round (and a full census before any first deposit)",
|
|
6928
|
-
"held_since": "2026-09-27",
|
|
6929
|
-
"review_by": "2026-10-27"
|
|
6930
|
-
},
|
|
6931
|
-
{
|
|
6932
|
-
"slug": "abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity",
|
|
6933
|
-
"repo": "TH/publications",
|
|
6934
|
-
"path": "defensive-publications/abhidhamma-and-discrete-quantum-gravity.md",
|
|
6935
|
-
"reason": "awaiting its polish round (and a full census before any first deposit)",
|
|
7001
|
+
"reason": "polish r1 done and revised (2026-09-28); awaiting its FULL novelty census before the first deposit",
|
|
6936
7002
|
"held_since": "2026-09-27",
|
|
6937
7003
|
"review_by": "2026-10-27"
|
|
6938
7004
|
}
|
|
@@ -6951,12 +7017,12 @@
|
|
|
6951
7017
|
"revision_rule": "Predictions are added, never removed. A resolved prediction keeps its original wording beside its outcome. A correction is a **new entry citing the one it corrects** — registered wording is never edited in place, because an edit would break the very property this register exists to provide.",
|
|
6952
7018
|
"verification": "Each published paper carries its own proof files. To check that a prediction has not been altered since registration, verify the stating paper against its stored proof rather than trusting this register — this file is a convenience index, and the proofs are the evidence.\n\nNo file in this corpus records its own hash. The proofs are external artifacts; the verification procedure is published with them.",
|
|
6953
7019
|
"counts": {
|
|
6954
|
-
"total_registered": "
|
|
6955
|
-
"published_here": "
|
|
7020
|
+
"total_registered": "113",
|
|
7021
|
+
"published_here": "112",
|
|
6956
7022
|
"withheld_operational": "1",
|
|
6957
7023
|
"already_carried_by_a_published_paper": "58",
|
|
6958
7024
|
"memory_only_at_first_publication_2026_08_27": "22 (21 published here + 1 withheld)",
|
|
6959
|
-
"receiving_first_public_timestamp_here": "
|
|
7025
|
+
"receiving_first_public_timestamp_here": "54",
|
|
6960
7026
|
"run": "**7** (two desk censuses · five formal checks: P-FA1, P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA4, P-FA5)",
|
|
6961
7027
|
"field_tests_run": "**0** — six pilot-scale predictions are *Running* with a baseline read; none has resolved",
|
|
6962
7028
|
"running_instrument_live_unread_restricted_or_baseline_only": "9",
|
|
@@ -6964,12 +7030,12 @@
|
|
|
6964
7030
|
"retired": "3"
|
|
6965
7031
|
},
|
|
6966
7032
|
"reconciliation": {
|
|
6967
|
-
"stated_total_registered":
|
|
6968
|
-
"counted_from_tables":
|
|
7033
|
+
"stated_total_registered": 113,
|
|
7034
|
+
"counted_from_tables": 113,
|
|
6969
7035
|
"reconciles": true,
|
|
6970
7036
|
"counted_as": {
|
|
6971
7037
|
"core_and_chapters": 86,
|
|
6972
|
-
"instrumented_outside_core":
|
|
7038
|
+
"instrumented_outside_core": 26,
|
|
6973
7039
|
"withheld": 1,
|
|
6974
7040
|
"rows_without_an_identifier": 2
|
|
6975
7041
|
}
|
|
@@ -8523,9 +8589,9 @@
|
|
|
8523
8589
|
"subject": "Fidelity of restoration; refusal-channel yield"
|
|
8524
8590
|
},
|
|
8525
8591
|
{
|
|
8526
|
-
"ids": "P-MD1, P-MD2, P-MD3",
|
|
8592
|
+
"ids": "P-MD1, P-MD2, P-MD3, P-MD1a",
|
|
8527
8593
|
"paper": "machine-dana-from-share-to-vow",
|
|
8528
|
-
"subject": "Whether a machine's pledge to a self-emptying commons separates types — wording below"
|
|
8594
|
+
"subject": "Whether a machine's pledge to a self-emptying commons separates types — wording below (P-MD1a reads P-MD1's instrument — see the 2026-09-28 entry)"
|
|
8529
8595
|
},
|
|
8530
8596
|
{
|
|
8531
8597
|
"ids": "P-FA1, P-FA1b, P-FA2, P-FA3, P-FA4, P-FA2a, P-FA2b, P-FA5",
|
package/package.json
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
|
|
|
1
1
|
{
|
|
2
2
|
"name": "@333eco/corpus",
|
|
3
|
-
"version": "2.5.
|
|
3
|
+
"version": "2.5.24",
|
|
4
4
|
"description": "An MCP server for an open-licensed corpus, served with verifiable provenance — every document carries its sha256, DOI and OpenTimestamps proof so a consuming agent can check its own citation.",
|
|
5
5
|
"license": "CC0-1.0",
|
|
6
6
|
"author": "Thon Ly",
|