trueskill 0.9.2 → 1.0.0
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- data/HISTORY.md +6 -0
- data/lib/saulabs/gauss.rb +5 -2
- data/lib/saulabs/gauss/distribution.rb +20 -1
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill.rb +37 -3
- data/lib/saulabs/trueskill/factor_graph.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/gauss/distribution_spec.rb +32 -4
- data/spec/saulabs/gauss/truncated_correction_spec.rb +3 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factor_graph_spec.rb +73 -21
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/greater_than_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/likelihood_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/prior_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/weighted_sum_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/factors/within_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/layers/prior_to_skills_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/saulabs/trueskill/schedules_spec.rb +1 -1
- data/spec/spec_helper.rb +3 -2
- data/spec/true_skill_matchers.rb +39 -0
- metadata +7 -5
data/HISTORY.md
CHANGED
data/lib/saulabs/gauss.rb
CHANGED
@@ -74,10 +74,29 @@ module Saulabs
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|
74
74
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|
75
75
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# The inverse of the cummulative Gaussian distribution function
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76
76
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def quantile_function(x)
|
77
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-
-@@sqrt2 *
|
77
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+
-@@sqrt2 * inv_erf(2.0 * x)
|
78
78
|
end
|
79
79
|
alias_method :inv_cdf, :quantile_function
|
80
80
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|
81
|
+
def inv_erf(p)
|
82
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+
return -100 if p >= 2.0
|
83
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+
return 100 if p <= 0.0
|
84
|
+
|
85
|
+
pp = p < 1.0 ? p : 2 - p
|
86
|
+
t = Math.sqrt(-2*Math.log(pp/2.0)) # Initial guess
|
87
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+
x = -0.70711*((2.30753 + t*0.27061)/(1.0 + t*(0.99229 + t*0.04481)) - t)
|
88
|
+
|
89
|
+
[0,1].each do |j|
|
90
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+
err = erf(x) - pp
|
91
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+
x += err/(1.12837916709551257*Math.exp(-(x*x)) - x*err) # Halley
|
92
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+
end
|
93
|
+
p < 1.0 ? x : -x
|
94
|
+
end
|
95
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+
|
96
|
+
def erf(x)
|
97
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+
Math.erfc(x)
|
98
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+
end
|
99
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+
|
81
100
|
end
|
82
101
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|
83
102
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def value_at(x)
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data/lib/saulabs/trueskill.rb
CHANGED
@@ -1,8 +1,42 @@
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1
1
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# -*- encoding : utf-8 -*-
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2
2
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require 'pp'
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3
3
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4
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-
require
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4
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+
require File.expand_path(File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "gauss.rb"))
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5
5
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6
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-
|
7
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-
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6
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+
%w(
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7
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+
base greater_than
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8
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+
likelihood
|
9
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+
prior
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10
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+
weighted_sum
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11
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+
within
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12
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+
).each do |name|
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13
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+
require File.expand_path(File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "trueskill", "factors", "#{name}.rb"))
|
14
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+
end
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15
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+
|
16
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+
%w(
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17
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+
base
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18
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+
iterated_team_performances
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+
performances_to_team_performances
|
20
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+
prior_to_skills
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21
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+
skills_to_performances
|
22
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+
team_difference_comparision
|
23
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+
team_performance_differences
|
24
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+
).each do |name|
|
25
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+
require File.expand_path(File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "trueskill", "layers", "#{name}.rb"))
|
26
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+
end
|
27
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+
|
28
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+
%w(
|
29
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+
base
|
30
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+
loop
|
31
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+
sequence
|
32
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+
step
|
33
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+
).each do |name|
|
34
|
+
require File.expand_path(File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "trueskill", "schedules", "#{name}.rb"))
|
35
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+
end
|
36
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+
|
37
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+
%w(
|
38
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+
rating
|
39
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+
factor_graph
|
40
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+
).each do |name|
|
41
|
+
require File.expand_path(File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "trueskill", "#{name}.rb"))
|
8
42
|
end
|
@@ -46,7 +46,7 @@ module Saulabs
|
|
46
46
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# include Saulabs::TrueSkill
|
47
47
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#
|
48
48
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# # team 1 has just one player with a mean skill of 27.1, a skill-deviation of 2.13
|
49
|
-
# # and
|
49
|
+
# # and a play activity of 100 %
|
50
50
|
# team1 = [Rating.new(27.1, 2.13, 1.0)]
|
51
51
|
#
|
52
52
|
# # team 2 has two players
|
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
|
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1
1
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# -*- encoding : utf-8 -*-
|
2
|
-
require File.
|
2
|
+
require File.expand_path('spec/spec_helper.rb')
|
3
3
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|
4
4
|
describe Gauss::Distribution, "#initialize" do
|
5
5
|
|
@@ -130,7 +130,7 @@ describe Gauss::Distribution, "functions" do
|
|
130
130
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|
131
131
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describe 'value = 0.27' do
|
132
132
|
|
133
|
-
it "#cumulative_distribution_function should return 0.6064198" do
|
133
|
+
it "#cumulative_distribution_function should return 0.6064198 for 0.27" do
|
134
134
|
Gauss::Distribution.cumulative_distribution_function(0.27).should be_close(0.6064198, 0.00001)
|
135
135
|
Gauss::Distribution.cdf(2.0).should be_close(0.9772498, 0.00001)
|
136
136
|
end
|
@@ -139,8 +139,36 @@ describe Gauss::Distribution, "functions" do
|
|
139
139
|
Gauss::Distribution.probability_density_function(0.27).should be_close(0.384662, 0.0001)
|
140
140
|
end
|
141
141
|
|
142
|
-
it "#quantile_function should return -0.
|
143
|
-
Gauss::Distribution.quantile_function(0.27).should be_close(-0.
|
142
|
+
it "#quantile_function should return ~ -0.6128123 at 0.27" do
|
143
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.quantile_function(0.27).should be_close(-0.6128123, 0.00001)
|
144
|
+
end
|
145
|
+
|
146
|
+
it "#quantile_function should return ~ 1.281551 at 0.9" do
|
147
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.quantile_function(0.9).should be_close(1.281551, 0.00001)
|
148
|
+
end
|
149
|
+
|
150
|
+
it "#erf_inv should return 0.0888559 at 0.9" do
|
151
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.inv_erf(0.9).should be_close(0.0888559, 0.00001)
|
152
|
+
end
|
153
|
+
|
154
|
+
it "#erf_inv should return 0.779983 at 0.27" do
|
155
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.inv_erf(0.27).should be_close(0.779983, 0.00001)
|
156
|
+
end
|
157
|
+
|
158
|
+
it "#erf_inv should return 100 at -0.5" do
|
159
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.inv_erf(-0.5).should be_close(100, 0.00001)
|
160
|
+
end
|
161
|
+
|
162
|
+
it "#erf should return 0.203091 at 0.9" do
|
163
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.erf(0.9).should be_close(0.203091, 0.00001)
|
164
|
+
end
|
165
|
+
|
166
|
+
it "#erf should return 0.702581 at 0.27" do
|
167
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.erf(0.27).should be_close(0.702581, 0.00001)
|
168
|
+
end
|
169
|
+
|
170
|
+
it "#erf should return 1.520499 at -0.5" do
|
171
|
+
Gauss::Distribution.erf(-0.5).should be_close(1.520499, 0.00001)
|
144
172
|
end
|
145
173
|
|
146
174
|
end
|
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
|
|
1
1
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# -*- encoding : utf-8 -*-
|
2
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-
require File.
|
2
|
+
require File.expand_path('spec/spec_helper.rb')
|
3
3
|
|
4
4
|
describe Gauss::TruncatedCorrection do
|
5
5
|
|
@@ -24,6 +24,7 @@ describe Gauss::TruncatedCorrection do
|
|
24
24
|
describe "#w_exceeds_margin" do
|
25
25
|
|
26
26
|
it "should return 0.657847 for (0.2, 0.3)" do
|
27
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.w_exceeds_margin(0.0, 0.740466).should be_close(0.76774506, tolerance)
|
27
28
|
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.w_exceeds_margin(0.2, 0.3).should be_close(0.657847, tolerance)
|
28
29
|
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.w_exceeds_margin(0.1, 0.03).should be_close(0.621078, tolerance)
|
29
30
|
end
|
@@ -33,6 +34,7 @@ describe Gauss::TruncatedCorrection do
|
|
33
34
|
describe "#v_exceeds_margin" do
|
34
35
|
|
35
36
|
it "should return 0.8626174 for (0.2, 0.3)" do
|
37
|
+
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.v_exceeds_margin(0.0, 0.740466).should be_close(1.32145197, tolerance)
|
36
38
|
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.v_exceeds_margin(0.2, 0.3).should be_close(0.8626174, tolerance)
|
37
39
|
Gauss::TruncatedCorrection.v_exceeds_margin(0.1, 0.03).should be_close(0.753861, tolerance)
|
38
40
|
end
|
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
|
|
1
1
|
# -*- encoding : utf-8 -*-
|
2
|
-
require File.
|
2
|
+
require File.expand_path('spec/spec_helper.rb')
|
3
3
|
|
4
4
|
describe Saulabs::TrueSkill::FactorGraph do
|
5
5
|
|
@@ -11,48 +11,100 @@ describe Saulabs::TrueSkill::FactorGraph do
|
|
11
11
|
|
12
12
|
describe "#update_skills" do
|
13
13
|
|
14
|
-
it "should update the mean of the first player in team1 to
|
14
|
+
it "should update the mean of the first player in team1 to 30.38345" do
|
15
15
|
@graph.update_skills
|
16
|
-
@skill.mean.should be_close(
|
16
|
+
@skill.mean.should be_close(30.38345, tolerance)
|
17
17
|
end
|
18
18
|
|
19
|
-
it "should update the deviation of the first player in team1 to 3.
|
19
|
+
it "should update the deviation of the first player in team1 to 3.46421" do
|
20
20
|
@graph.update_skills
|
21
|
-
@skill.deviation.should be_close(3.
|
21
|
+
@skill.deviation.should be_close(3.46421, tolerance)
|
22
22
|
end
|
23
23
|
|
24
24
|
end
|
25
25
|
|
26
26
|
describe "#draw_margin" do
|
27
27
|
|
28
|
-
it "should be -0.998291" do
|
29
|
-
@graph.draw_margin.should be_close(
|
28
|
+
it "should be -0.998291 for diff 0.740466" do
|
29
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+
@graph.draw_margin.should be_close(0.740466, tolerance)
|
30
30
|
end
|
31
31
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|
32
32
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end
|
33
33
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|
34
34
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end
|
35
35
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|
36
|
-
describe Saulabs::TrueSkill::FactorGraph do
|
36
|
+
describe Saulabs::TrueSkill::FactorGraph, "two players" do
|
37
|
+
|
38
|
+
before :each do
|
39
|
+
@teams = [
|
40
|
+
[TrueSkill::Rating.new(25.0, 25.0/3.0, 1.0, 25.0/300.0)],
|
41
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+
[TrueSkill::Rating.new(25.0, 25.0/3.0, 1.0, 25.0/300.0)]
|
42
|
+
]
|
43
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+
end
|
44
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+
|
45
|
+
describe 'win with standard rating' do
|
46
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+
|
47
|
+
before :each do
|
48
|
+
TrueSkill::FactorGraph.new(@teams, [1,2]).update_skills
|
49
|
+
end
|
50
|
+
|
51
|
+
it "should change first players rating to [29.395832, 7.1714755]" do
|
52
|
+
@teams[0][0].should eql_rating(29.395832, 7.1714755)
|
53
|
+
end
|
54
|
+
|
55
|
+
it "should change second players rating to [20.6041679, 7.1714755]" do
|
56
|
+
@teams[1][0].should eql_rating(20.6041679, 7.1714755)
|
57
|
+
end
|
58
|
+
|
59
|
+
end
|
60
|
+
|
61
|
+
describe 'draw with standard rating' do
|
62
|
+
|
63
|
+
before :each do
|
64
|
+
TrueSkill::FactorGraph.new(@teams, [1,1]).update_skills
|
65
|
+
end
|
66
|
+
|
67
|
+
it "should change first players rating to [25.0, 6.4575196]" do
|
68
|
+
@teams[0][0].should eql_rating(25.0, 6.4575196)
|
69
|
+
end
|
70
|
+
|
71
|
+
it "should change second players rating to [25.0, 6.4575196]" do
|
72
|
+
@teams[1][0].should eql_rating(25.0, 6.4575196)
|
73
|
+
end
|
74
|
+
|
75
|
+
end
|
76
|
+
|
77
|
+
describe 'draw with different ratings' do
|
78
|
+
|
79
|
+
before :each do
|
80
|
+
@teams[1][0] = TrueSkill::Rating.new(50.0, 12.5, 1.0, 25.0/300.0)
|
81
|
+
TrueSkill::FactorGraph.new(@teams, [1,1]).update_skills
|
82
|
+
end
|
83
|
+
|
84
|
+
it "should change first players rating to [31.6623, 7.1374]" do
|
85
|
+
@teams[0][0].should eql_rating(31.662301, 7.1374459)
|
86
|
+
end
|
87
|
+
|
88
|
+
it "should change second players mean to [35.0107, 7.9101]" do
|
89
|
+
@teams[1][0].should eql_rating(35.010653, 7.910077)
|
90
|
+
end
|
91
|
+
|
92
|
+
end
|
93
|
+
|
94
|
+
end
|
95
|
+
|
96
|
+
describe Saulabs::TrueSkill::FactorGraph, "two on two" do
|
37
97
|
|
38
98
|
before :each do
|
39
99
|
@teams = [
|
40
|
-
[
|
41
|
-
|
42
|
-
TrueSkill::Rating.new(3.0, 3.1, 0.8, 0.02),
|
43
|
-
TrueSkill::Rating.new(2.2, 3.2, 0.8, 0.02)
|
44
|
-
],
|
45
|
-
[
|
46
|
-
TrueSkill::Rating.new(25.0, 8.3333, 0.8, 0.02)
|
47
|
-
]
|
100
|
+
[TrueSkill::Rating.new(25.0, 25.0/3.0, 1.0, 25.0/300.0),TrueSkill::Rating.new(25.0, 25.0/3.0, 1.0, 25.0/300.0)],
|
101
|
+
[TrueSkill::Rating.new(25.0, 25.0/3.0, 1.0, 25.0/300.0),TrueSkill::Rating.new(25.0, 25.0/3.0, 1.0, 25.0/300.0)]
|
48
102
|
]
|
49
|
-
@skill = @teams.last.first
|
50
|
-
@graph = TrueSkill::FactorGraph.new(@teams, [1,2], :beta => 25.0, :draw_probability => 0.0)
|
51
103
|
end
|
52
104
|
|
53
|
-
|
54
|
-
|
55
|
-
|
105
|
+
describe 'win with standard rating' do
|
106
|
+
|
107
|
+
|
56
108
|
end
|
57
109
|
|
58
110
|
end
|
data/spec/spec_helper.rb
CHANGED
@@ -2,12 +2,13 @@
|
|
2
2
|
require 'rubygems'
|
3
3
|
require 'spec'
|
4
4
|
require 'spec/autorun'
|
5
|
-
require
|
5
|
+
require File.expand_path(File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "..", "lib", "saulabs", "trueskill.rb"))
|
6
|
+
require File.expand_path(File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "true_skill_matchers.rb"))
|
6
7
|
|
7
8
|
include Saulabs
|
8
9
|
|
9
10
|
Spec::Runner.configure do |config|
|
10
|
-
|
11
|
+
config.include(TrueSkillMatchers)
|
11
12
|
end
|
12
13
|
|
13
14
|
def tolerance
|
@@ -0,0 +1,39 @@
|
|
1
|
+
# -*- encoding : utf-8 -*-
|
2
|
+
module TrueSkillMatchers
|
3
|
+
|
4
|
+
class EqualRating
|
5
|
+
|
6
|
+
def initialize(mean, deviation, precision)
|
7
|
+
@expected = TrueSkill::Rating.new(mean, deviation)
|
8
|
+
@precision = 10**precision
|
9
|
+
end
|
10
|
+
|
11
|
+
def matches?(target)
|
12
|
+
@target = target
|
13
|
+
@mean_diff = @expected.mean - @target.mean
|
14
|
+
@deviation_diff = @expected.deviation - @target.deviation
|
15
|
+
(@mean_diff*@precision).to_i + (@deviation_diff*@precision).to_i == 0
|
16
|
+
end
|
17
|
+
|
18
|
+
def failure_message
|
19
|
+
"expected rating #{@target.to_s} to be equal to #{@expected.to_s} #{failure_info}"
|
20
|
+
end
|
21
|
+
|
22
|
+
def negative_failure_message
|
23
|
+
"expected rating #{@target.to_s} not to be equal to #{@expected.to_s} #{failure_info}"
|
24
|
+
end
|
25
|
+
|
26
|
+
def failure_info
|
27
|
+
msg = []
|
28
|
+
msg << "mean differs by #{@mean_diff}" if @mean_diff != 0.0
|
29
|
+
msg << "deviation differs by #{@deviation_diff}" if @deviation_diff != 0.0
|
30
|
+
" (#{msg.join(', ')})"
|
31
|
+
end
|
32
|
+
|
33
|
+
end
|
34
|
+
|
35
|
+
def eql_rating(target_mean, target_deviation, precision = 5)
|
36
|
+
EqualRating.new(target_mean, target_deviation, precision)
|
37
|
+
end
|
38
|
+
|
39
|
+
end
|
metadata
CHANGED
@@ -3,10 +3,10 @@ name: trueskill
|
|
3
3
|
version: !ruby/object:Gem::Version
|
4
4
|
prerelease: false
|
5
5
|
segments:
|
6
|
+
- 1
|
6
7
|
- 0
|
7
|
-
-
|
8
|
-
|
9
|
-
version: 0.9.2
|
8
|
+
- 0
|
9
|
+
version: 1.0.0
|
10
10
|
platform: ruby
|
11
11
|
authors:
|
12
12
|
- Lars Kuhnt
|
@@ -14,7 +14,7 @@ autorequire:
|
|
14
14
|
bindir: bin
|
15
15
|
cert_chain: []
|
16
16
|
|
17
|
-
date:
|
17
|
+
date: 2011-01-19 00:00:00 +01:00
|
18
18
|
default_executable:
|
19
19
|
dependencies: []
|
20
20
|
|
@@ -65,8 +65,9 @@ files:
|
|
65
65
|
- spec/saulabs/trueskill/layers/prior_to_skills_spec.rb
|
66
66
|
- spec/saulabs/trueskill/schedules_spec.rb
|
67
67
|
- spec/spec_helper.rb
|
68
|
+
- spec/true_skill_matchers.rb
|
68
69
|
- spec/spec.opts
|
69
|
-
has_rdoc:
|
70
|
+
has_rdoc: false
|
70
71
|
homepage: http://github.com/saulabs/trueskill
|
71
72
|
licenses: []
|
72
73
|
|
@@ -110,4 +111,5 @@ test_files:
|
|
110
111
|
- spec/saulabs/trueskill/layers/prior_to_skills_spec.rb
|
111
112
|
- spec/saulabs/trueskill/schedules_spec.rb
|
112
113
|
- spec/spec_helper.rb
|
114
|
+
- spec/true_skill_matchers.rb
|
113
115
|
- spec/spec.opts
|