sapor 0.3.0
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- checksums.yaml +7 -0
- data/Area Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
- data/Area Class Diagram.png +0 -0
- data/Class Diagram.dia +0 -0
- data/Class Diagram.png +0 -0
- data/Example-Catalonia.md +361 -0
- data/Example-Flanders.md +486 -0
- data/Example-Greece.md +25 -0
- data/Example-Oslo.md +678 -0
- data/Example-UnitedKingdom-Referendum.md +132 -0
- data/Examples.md +15 -0
- data/LICENSE +674 -0
- data/README.md +103 -0
- data/Rakefile +18 -0
- data/Technical Documentation.md +14 -0
- data/bin/create_installation_package.sh +49 -0
- data/bin/install.sh +45 -0
- data/bin/sapor.rb +24 -0
- data/bin/sapor.sh +106 -0
- data/data/hu/hungary-2014.txt +1680 -0
- data/data/hu/hungary_2014_screen_scraper.rb +48 -0
- data/data/hu/hungary_2014_to_psv.rb +80 -0
- data/data/hu/index-2014.txt +106 -0
- data/data/pl/2015-gl-lis-okr.csv +42 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv.rb +79 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_and_rsw.rb +94 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp.rb +100 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_ko_sld_and_wi.rb +92 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld.rb +84 -0
- data/data/pl/poland_2015_to_psv_with_sld_and_wi.rb +85 -0
- data/data/uk/inject_ukip_2015_as_brexit_2019_in_2017.rb +54 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015.txt +651 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2015_to_psv.rb +104 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017.txt +651 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv.rb +104 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +113 -0
- data/data/uk/united_kingdom_2017_to_psv_with_tig.rb +111 -0
- data/lib/sapor.rb +150 -0
- data/lib/sapor/binomials_cache.rb +45 -0
- data/lib/sapor/combinations_distribution.rb +222 -0
- data/lib/sapor/denominators.rb +67 -0
- data/lib/sapor/dichotomies.rb +138 -0
- data/lib/sapor/dichotomy.rb +164 -0
- data/lib/sapor/first_past_the_post.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/largest_remainder.rb +118 -0
- data/lib/sapor/log4r_logger.rb +49 -0
- data/lib/sapor/log_facade.rb +40 -0
- data/lib/sapor/multi_district_leveled_proportional.rb +64 -0
- data/lib/sapor/multi_district_proportional.rb +123 -0
- data/lib/sapor/multi_district_variable_threshold_proportional.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/number_formatter.rb +45 -0
- data/lib/sapor/options.rb +73 -0
- data/lib/sapor/poll.rb +286 -0
- data/lib/sapor/polychotomy.rb +200 -0
- data/lib/sapor/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator.rb +87 -0
- data/lib/sapor/referendum_polychotomy.rb +165 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/area.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/austria.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-2014.psv +46 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-brussels-20190526.psv +33 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-2014.psv +80 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-flanders-20190526.psv +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-2014.psv +114 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium-wallonia-20190526.psv +93 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_brussels.rb +62 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_flanders.rb +64 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/belgium_wallonia.rb +63 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012-2015.psv +100 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2012.psv +87 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-jxcat.psv +68 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015-no-jxsi.psv +68 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-2015.psv +63 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-jxcat.rb +109 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia-no-jxsi.rb +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/catalonia.rb +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e-and-p.psv +164 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-e.psv +153 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618-with-p.psv +153 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark-20150618.psv +142 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_e_and_p.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/denmark_with_p.rb +128 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/estonia.rb +88 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522-brexit-chuk.psv +172 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20140522.psv +146 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-great-britain-20190523.psv +141 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-ri-sd.psv +64 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia-sd.psv +60 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-ia.psv +56 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014-sd.psv +56 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-2014.psv +50 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524-ia.psv +58 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european-union-ireland-20190524.psv +52 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_austria.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_croatia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_denmark.rb +77 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_estonia.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_finland.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland.rb +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_italy.rb +83 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_netherlands.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_poland.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_romania.rb +78 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_slovakia.rb +80 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_spain.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_27_sweden.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_austria.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_bulgaria.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_croatia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_cyprus.rb +72 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_czech_republic.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_denmark.rb +77 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_estonia.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_finland.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_flanders.rb +74 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_france_2019.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_french_community_of_belgium.rb +73 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_germany.rb +86 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_great_britain.rb +98 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_greece.rb +77 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_hungary.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland.rb +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_ireland_with_ia.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_italy.rb +83 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_latvia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_lithuania.rb +80 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_luxembourg.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_malta.rb +71 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_netherlands.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_northern_ireland.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_poland.rb +84 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_portugal.rb +75 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_romania.rb +78 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovakia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_slovenia.rb +85 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_spain.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/european_union_sweden.rb +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419-with-sin.psv +224 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland-20150419.psv +212 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland.rb +107 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/finland_with_sin.rb +107 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-2014.psv +96 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders-20190526.psv +87 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/flanders.rb +115 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/france.rb +38 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/greece.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary-2014.psv +2104 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/hungary.rb +116 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029-midflokkurinn.psv +94 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20161029.psv +88 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland-20171028.psv +85 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/iceland.rb +133 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-p-par.psv +109 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv-par.psv +103 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004-kpv.psv +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia-20141004.psv +89 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_p_par.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/latvia_kpv_par.rb +112 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg-20131020.psv +76 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/luxembourg.rb +82 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/netherlands.rb +108 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norway.rb +425 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/norwegian_municipality.rb +68 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-and-l-without-n-po-r-and-zl.psv +321 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-konf-kp-l-and-zp-without-k-k15-n-pis-po-psl-r-and-zl.psv +280 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-ko-sld-and-wi-without-n-po-and-zl.psv +403 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-and-wi-without-zl.psv +444 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025-with-sld-without-zl.psv +403 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland-20151025.psv +403 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland.rb +125 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl.rb +122 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl.rb +123 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl.rb +125 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl.rb +126 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/poland_with_sld_without_zl.rb +126 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-ch-without-paf.psv +438 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +461 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-a-without-paf.psv +415 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-with-ch-and-il-without-paf.psv +438 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004-without-paf.psv +392 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal-20151004.psv +370 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal.rb +101 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_a_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/portugal_without_paf.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovakia.rb +81 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/slovenia.rb +114 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain-20160626.psv +619 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/spain.rb +136 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden.rb +92 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/sweden_20140914.rb +89 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-2015.psv +4358 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit-chuk.psv +5154 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-brexit.psv +4521 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608-tig.psv +4529 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom-20170608.psv +3894 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom.rb +94 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit.rb +110 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk.rb +111 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/united_kingdom_with_tig.rb +111 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/utopia.rb +66 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia-2014.psv +101 -0
- data/lib/sapor/regional_data/wallonia.rb +97 -0
- data/lib/sapor/representatives_polychotomy.rb +338 -0
- data/lib/sapor/single_district_proportional.rb +75 -0
- data/sapor.gemspec +35 -0
- data/spec/integration/area_spec.rb +28 -0
- data/spec/integration/poll_spec.rb +112 -0
- data/spec/integration/sample.poll +8 -0
- data/spec/spec_helper.rb +31 -0
- data/spec/unit/area_spec.rb +115 -0
- data/spec/unit/austria_spec.rb +76 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_brussels_spec.rb +58 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_flanders_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_spec.rb +26 -0
- data/spec/unit/belgium_wallonia_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/binomials_cache_spec.rb +34 -0
- data/spec/unit/catalonia_spec.rb +74 -0
- data/spec/unit/combinations_distribution_spec.rb +241 -0
- data/spec/unit/denmark_spec.rb +56 -0
- data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_and_p_spec.rb +58 -0
- data/spec/unit/denmark_with_e_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/denmark_with_p_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/denominators_spec.rb +40 -0
- data/spec/unit/dichotomies_spec.rb +154 -0
- data/spec/unit/dichotomy_spec.rb +320 -0
- data/spec/unit/estonia_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_croatia_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_denmark_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_estonia_spec.rb +94 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_spain_spec.rb +130 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_27_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_austria_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_bulgaria_spec.rb +97 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_croatia_spec.rb +59 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_cyprus_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_czech_republic_spec.rb +125 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_denmark_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_estonia_spec.rb +93 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_finland_spec.rb +75 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_flanders_spec.rb +56 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_france_2019_spec.rb +73 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_france_spec.rb +73 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_french_community_of_belgium_spec.rb +61 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_germany_spec.rb +90 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_great_britain_spec.rb +87 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_greece_spec.rb +148 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_hungary_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_spec.rb +72 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_ireland_with_ia_spec.rb +74 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_italy_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_latvia_spec.rb +76 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_lithuania_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_luxembourg_spec.rb +63 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_malta_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_netherlands_spec.rb +81 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_northern_ireland_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_poland_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_portugal_spec.rb +77 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_romania_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_slovakia_spec.rb +111 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_slovenia_spec.rb +77 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_spain_spec.rb +129 -0
- data/spec/unit/european_union_sweden_spec.rb +89 -0
- data/spec/unit/finland_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/finland_with_sin_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/first_past_the_post_spec.rb +54 -0
- data/spec/unit/flanders_spec.rb +70 -0
- data/spec/unit/france_spec.rb +32 -0
- data/spec/unit/greece_spec.rb +118 -0
- data/spec/unit/hungary_spec.rb +132 -0
- data/spec/unit/iceland_spec.rb +57 -0
- data/spec/unit/largest_remainder_spec.rb +79 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_p_par_spec.rb +38 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_par_spec.rb +38 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_kpv_spec.rb +38 -0
- data/spec/unit/latvia_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/luxembourg_spec.rb +54 -0
- data/spec/unit/multi_district_leveled_proportional_spec.rb +49 -0
- data/spec/unit/multi_district_proportional_spec.rb +81 -0
- data/spec/unit/netherlands_spec.rb +107 -0
- data/spec/unit/norway_spec.rb +64 -0
- data/spec/unit/norwegian_municipality_spec.rb +89 -0
- data/spec/unit/number_formatter_spec.rb +173 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_and_l_without_n_po_r_and_zl_spec.rb +60 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_konf_kp_l_and_zp_without_k_k15_n_pis_po_psl_r_and_zl_spec.rb +59 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_ko_sld_and_wi_without_n_po_and_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_and_wi_without_zl_spec.rb +63 -0
- data/spec/unit/poland_with_sld_without_zl_spec.rb +62 -0
- data/spec/unit/poll_spec.rb +110 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_ch_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +69 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_a_without_paf_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_with_ch_and_il_without_paf_spec.rb +68 -0
- data/spec/unit/portugal_without_paf_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/pseudorandom_multirange_enumerator_spec.rb +82 -0
- data/spec/unit/referendum_polychotomy_spec.rb +289 -0
- data/spec/unit/representatives_polychotomy_spec.rb +332 -0
- data/spec/unit/slovakia_spec.rb +99 -0
- data/spec/unit/slovenia_spec.rb +80 -0
- data/spec/unit/spain_spec.rb +101 -0
- data/spec/unit/sweden_20140914_spec.rb +112 -0
- data/spec/unit/sweden_spec.rb +113 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_spec.rb +65 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_and_chuk_spec.rb +67 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_brexit_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/united_kingdom_with_tig_spec.rb +66 -0
- data/spec/unit/wallonia_spec.rb +130 -0
- metadata +489 -0
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# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
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#
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# This file is part of SAPoR.
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#
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# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
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# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
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# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
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# version.
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#
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# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
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# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
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#
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# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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#
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# Source: Official results by IBZ,
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# downloaded on 21 July 2017,
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# URL: http://elections2014.belgium.be/fr/wal/results/results_start.html
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Brabant Wallon | MR | 97,349
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Brabant Wallon | PS | 45,723
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Brabant Wallon | cdH | 28,314
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Brabant Wallon | Ecolo | 27,555
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Brabant Wallon | DéFI | 10,945
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Brabant Wallon | Parti Populaire | 9,563
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Brabant Wallon | PTB | 6,592
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Brabant Wallon | La Droite | 2,539
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Brabant Wallon | PIRATE | 3,612
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Brabant Wallon | R.W.F. | 1,277
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Brabant Wallon | NATION | 867
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Brabant Wallon | NWA | 453
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Hainaut | MR | 162,607
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Hainaut | DéFI | 16,843
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Hainaut | Ecolo | 48,789
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Hainaut | PS | 279,646
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Hainaut | cdH | 93,321
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Hainaut | Parti Populaire | 35,228
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Hainaut | PTB | 42,629
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Hainaut | MG | 2,419
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Hainaut | La Droite | 11,076
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Hainaut | Debout les Belges | 16,618
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Hainaut | R.W.F. | 2,759
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Hainaut | R | 789
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Hainaut | Rassemblement Wallon | 3,298
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Hainaut | P+ | 2,280
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Hainaut | NATION | 6,923
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Hainaut | NWA | 1,804
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Hainaut | FW | 1,466
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Hainaut | Wallonie d’Abord | 2,789
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Hainaut | Atomique | 892
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Liège | PS | 185,907
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Liège | MR | 158,527
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Liège | cdH | 81,364
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Liège | Ecolo | 57,654
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Liège | PTB | 51,064
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Liège | Parti Populaire | 33,993
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Liège | DéFI | 13,383
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Liège | La Droite | 9,764
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Liège | Wallonie d’Abord | 6,293
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Liège | PP PARTIPENSIONNES | 4,811
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Liège | VEGA | 3,501
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Liège | ISLAM | 3,169
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Liège | R.W.F. | 2,426
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Liège | VLC | 1,927
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Liège | NATION | 1,234
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Liège | MG | 1,050
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Liège | FW | 596
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Liège | NWA | 420
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Liège | R | 390
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Luxembourg | cdH | 49,460
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Luxembourg | MR | 46,546
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Luxembourg | PS | 38,295
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Luxembourg | Ecolo | 14,034
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Luxembourg | Parti Populaire | 7,771
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Luxembourg | DéFI | 3,270
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Luxembourg | PTB | 2,848
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Luxembourg | MG | 960
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Luxembourg | R.W.F. | 721
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Luxembourg | Rassemblement R | 487
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Luxembourg | Union des Liberaux | 483
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Namur | PS | 83,082
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Namur | MR | 81,334
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Namur | cdH | 58,036
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Namur | Ecolo | 28,454
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Namur | PTB | 14,749
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Namur | Parti Populaire | 13,025
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Namur | DéFI | 7,389
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Namur | La Droite | 5,059
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Namur | R.W.F. | 2,548
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Namur | NATION | 1,815
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Namur | R | 710
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Namur | Rassemblement R | 595
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Namur | FW | 557
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Namur | MG | 529
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Namur | UdL | 192
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# encoding: utf-8
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#
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# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
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#
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# This file is part of SAPoR.
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#
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# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
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# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
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# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
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# version.
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#
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# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
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# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
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#
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# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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#
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module Sapor
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#
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# The regional data for Wallonia.
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#
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class Wallonia < Area
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include Singleton
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def area_code
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'BE-WAL'
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end
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def coalitions
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[%w(cdH Ecolo MR), %w(cdH Ecolo PS), %w(cdH MR), %w(cdH PS),
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%w(cdH PS PTB), %w(Ecolo MR), %w(Ecolo MR PS), %w(Ecolo PS),
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%w(Ecolo PS PTB), %w(Ecolo PTB), %w(MR PS), %w(PS PTB)]
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end
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def no_of_seats
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SEAT_DISTRIBUTION.values.inject(:+)
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end
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def overall_election_results_of_2014
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if @overall_election_results_of_2014.nil?
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@overall_election_results_of_2014 = \
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summarize_election_results(election_results_of_2014)
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end
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@overall_election_results_of_2014
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end
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def population_size
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# Voter turnout on 25 May 2014
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# Source: http://elections2014.belgium.be/fr/wal/results/results_tab_WLR00000.html
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# Retrieved on 21 July 2017
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2_047_387
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end
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def seats(simulation)
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electoral_system.project(simulation)
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end
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def threshold
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THRESHOLD
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end
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private
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# Source: https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waals_Parlement
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# Retrieved on 21 July 2017
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SEAT_DISTRIBUTION = { 'Brabant Wallon' => 8,
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'Hainaut' => 28,
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'Liège' => 23,
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'Luxembourg' => 5,
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'Namur' => 11 }.freeze
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THRESHOLD = 0.05
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def election_results_of_2014
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if @election_results_of_2014.nil?
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@election_results_of_2014 = load_election_results( \
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'wallonia-2014.psv'
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)
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end
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@election_results_of_2014
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end
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def electoral_system
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if @electoral_system.nil?
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@electoral_system = MultiDistrictProportional.new( \
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overall_election_results_of_2014,
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election_results_of_2014,
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SEAT_DISTRIBUTION,
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DhondtDenominators,
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THRESHOLD
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)
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end
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@electoral_system
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end
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end
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end
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# encoding: utf-8
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#
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# Statistical Analysis of Polling Results (SAPoR)
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# Copyright (C) 2016 Filip van Laenen <f.a.vanlaenen@ieee.org>
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#
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# This file is part of SAPoR.
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#
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# SAPoR is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the
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# terms of the GNU General Public License as published by the Free Software
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# Foundation, either version 3 of the License, or (at your option) any later
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# version.
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#
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# SAPoR is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT ANY
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# WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR
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# A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU General Public License for more details.
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#
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# You can find a copy of the GNU General Public License in /doc/gpl.txt
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#
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module Sapor
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#
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# Represents a polychotomy for the election of representatives.
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#
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class RepresentativesPolychotomy < Polychotomy
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include NumberFormatter
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def initialize(results, area, dichotomies, max_error, logger = nil)
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@logger = logger
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@coalitions = area.coalitions
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super(results, area, dichotomies, max_error)
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@seats = create_new_seats_distributions
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end
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def refine
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no_of_new_simulations = 0
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new_votes = create_new_votes_distributions
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new_seats = create_new_seats_distributions
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last_logger_info = 0
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while @no_of_data_points == 0 || no_of_new_simulations == 0 ||
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no_of_new_simulations < @no_of_simulations
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no_of_new_simulations += try_next_data_point(new_votes, new_seats)
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if @logger != nil && no_of_new_simulations > 0 && no_of_new_simulations % 131_072 == 0 && last_logger_info < no_of_new_simulations
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@logger.info("#{with_thousands_separator(@no_of_simulations + no_of_new_simulations)} simulations done so far.")
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last_logger_info = no_of_new_simulations
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end
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end
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unless @no_of_simulations == 0
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@error_estimate = calculate_error_estimate(new_votes)
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end
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@votes = merge_distributions(@votes, new_votes)
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@seats = merge_distributions(@seats, new_seats)
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@no_of_simulations += no_of_new_simulations
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end
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def try_next_data_point(new_votes, new_seats)
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data_point = next_data_point
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if data_point[OTHER] >= 0
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simulate(new_votes, new_seats, data_point)
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new_simulation = 1
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else
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new_simulation = 0
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end
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@no_of_data_points += 1
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new_simulation
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end
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def report
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choice_lengths = @choices.map(&:length)
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choice_lengths << 6
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max_choice_width = choice_lengths.max
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max_seats_width = @area.no_of_seats.to_s.size
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sorted_choices = sort_choices_by_result
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choice_lines = sorted_choices.map.with_index do |choice, i|
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next_choice = sorted_choices[i + 1]
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create_choice_report_line(choice, next_choice, max_choice_width, max_seats_width)
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end
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coalition_lengths = @coalitions.map { |coalition| coalition_label(coalition).length }
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coalition_lengths << 6
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max_coalition_width = coalition_lengths.max
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sorted_coalitions = sort_coalitions_by_result
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coalition_lines = sorted_coalitions.map do |coalition|
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create_coalition_report_line(coalition, max_coalition_width, max_seats_width)
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end
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'Most probable rounded fractions, fractions and 95% confidence' \
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" intervals:\n" + 'Choice'.ljust(max_choice_width) +
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" Result MPRF MPF CI(95%) P(>↓) Seats\n" +
|
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choice_lines.join("\n") + "\n" +
|
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'Coalition'.ljust(max_coalition_width) + ' Result MPRF MPF' \
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" CI(95%) P(>50%) Seats P(>50%)\n" +
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coalition_lines.join("\n")
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end
|
92
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|
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def progress_report
|
94
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space_size_ratio = space_size.to_f / @no_of_data_points
|
95
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if space_size_ratio > 10
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space_size_ratio = with_thousands_separator(space_size_ratio.round)
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else
|
98
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space_size_ratio = space_size_ratio.round(1)
|
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end
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"#{with_thousands_separator(@no_of_simulations)} simulations out of " \
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"#{with_thousands_separator(@no_of_data_points)} data" \
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" points, 1 / #{space_size_ratio} of search space size" \
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" (#{with_thousands_separator(space_size)})."
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end
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def write_outputs(filename)
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write_rankings(filename)
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write_seats_confidence_intervals(filename)
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write_seats_probabilities(filename)
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write_coalitions_seats_confidence_intervals(filename)
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write_coalitions_seats_probabilities(filename)
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write_state_summary(filename)
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end
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private
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+
|
117
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+
def create_new_seats_distributions
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118
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+
seats = {}
|
119
|
+
@choices.each do |choice|
|
120
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+
seats[choice] = CombinationsDistribution.new
|
121
|
+
Range.new(0, @area.no_of_seats).each do |value|
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122
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+
seats[choice][value] = 0.to_lf
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123
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+
end
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124
|
+
end
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125
|
+
@coalitions.each do |coalition|
|
126
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+
seats[coalition] = CombinationsDistribution.new
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127
|
+
Range.new(0, @area.no_of_seats).each do |value|
|
128
|
+
seats[coalition][value] = 0.to_lf
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129
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+
end
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130
|
+
end
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131
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+
seats
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132
|
+
end
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133
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+
|
134
|
+
def create_new_votes_distributions
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135
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+
votes = {}
|
136
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+
@choices.each do |choice|
|
137
|
+
unless choice == OTHER
|
138
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+
votes[choice] = CombinationsDistribution.new
|
139
|
+
@ranges[choice].each do |value|
|
140
|
+
votes[choice][value] = 0.to_lf
|
141
|
+
end
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142
|
+
end
|
143
|
+
end
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144
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+
@coalitions.each do |coalition|
|
145
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+
votes[coalition] = CombinationsDistribution.new
|
146
|
+
end
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147
|
+
votes
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148
|
+
end
|
149
|
+
|
150
|
+
def simulate(votes, seats, data_point)
|
151
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+
combinations = 1.to_lf
|
152
|
+
data_point.each do |choice, value|
|
153
|
+
combinations *= BinomialsCache.binomial(value, @results[choice])
|
154
|
+
end
|
155
|
+
@combinations_sum += combinations
|
156
|
+
data_point.each do |choice, value|
|
157
|
+
votes[choice][value] += combinations unless choice == OTHER
|
158
|
+
end
|
159
|
+
@choices.each do |a|
|
160
|
+
@choices.each do |b|
|
161
|
+
if data_point[a] > data_point[b]
|
162
|
+
@comparisons[a + '>' + b] += combinations
|
163
|
+
end
|
164
|
+
end
|
165
|
+
end
|
166
|
+
@choices.sort { |a, b| data_point[b] <=> data_point[a] }.each_with_index do |choice, i|
|
167
|
+
@rankings[choice + '@' + i.to_s] += combinations
|
168
|
+
end
|
169
|
+
@coalitions.each do |coalition|
|
170
|
+
coalition_value = coalition.map { |choice| data_point.key?(choice) ? data_point[choice] : 0 }.inject(:+)
|
171
|
+
if votes[coalition][coalition_value].nil?
|
172
|
+
votes[coalition][coalition_value] = combinations
|
173
|
+
else
|
174
|
+
votes[coalition][coalition_value] += combinations
|
175
|
+
end
|
176
|
+
end
|
177
|
+
projection = @area.seats(data_point)
|
178
|
+
@choices.each do |choice|
|
179
|
+
if projection.key?(choice)
|
180
|
+
seats[choice][projection[choice]] += combinations
|
181
|
+
else
|
182
|
+
seats[choice][0] += combinations
|
183
|
+
end
|
184
|
+
end
|
185
|
+
@coalitions.each do |coalition|
|
186
|
+
coalition_value = coalition.map { |choice| projection.key?(choice) ? projection[choice] : 0 }.inject(:+)
|
187
|
+
if seats[coalition][coalition_value].nil?
|
188
|
+
seats[coalition][coalition_value] = combinations
|
189
|
+
else
|
190
|
+
seats[coalition][coalition_value] += combinations
|
191
|
+
end
|
192
|
+
end
|
193
|
+
end
|
194
|
+
|
195
|
+
def calculate_error_estimate(new_simulations)
|
196
|
+
error_estimate = 0
|
197
|
+
@choices.each do |choice|
|
198
|
+
unless choice == OTHER
|
199
|
+
mpv_new = calculate_most_probable_fraction(choice, new_simulations)
|
200
|
+
mpv_old = calculate_most_probable_fraction(choice, @votes)
|
201
|
+
delta = (mpv_new - mpv_old).abs
|
202
|
+
error_estimate = [error_estimate, delta].max
|
203
|
+
end
|
204
|
+
end
|
205
|
+
error_estimate
|
206
|
+
end
|
207
|
+
|
208
|
+
def merge_distributions(distributions1, distributions2)
|
209
|
+
merged_distributions = {}
|
210
|
+
@choices.each do |choice|
|
211
|
+
unless choice == OTHER
|
212
|
+
merged_distributions[choice] = distributions1[choice] + \
|
213
|
+
distributions2[choice]
|
214
|
+
end
|
215
|
+
end
|
216
|
+
@coalitions.each do |coalition|
|
217
|
+
merged_distributions[coalition] = distributions1[coalition] + \
|
218
|
+
distributions2[coalition]
|
219
|
+
end
|
220
|
+
merged_distributions
|
221
|
+
end
|
222
|
+
|
223
|
+
def coalition_label(coalition)
|
224
|
+
coalition.sort.join(' + ')
|
225
|
+
end
|
226
|
+
|
227
|
+
def sort_coalitions_by_result
|
228
|
+
@coalitions.sort do |a, b|
|
229
|
+
comparison = result(b) <=> result(a)
|
230
|
+
if comparison == 0
|
231
|
+
coalition_label(a) <=> coalition_label(b)
|
232
|
+
else
|
233
|
+
comparison
|
234
|
+
end
|
235
|
+
end
|
236
|
+
end
|
237
|
+
|
238
|
+
def coalition_result(coalition)
|
239
|
+
coalition.map { |choice| @results[choice].to_f }.inject(:+) / @results.values.inject(:+)
|
240
|
+
end
|
241
|
+
|
242
|
+
def create_choice_report_line(choice, next_choice, max_choice_width, max_seats_width)
|
243
|
+
ci_values = @votes[choice].confidence_interval(0.95)
|
244
|
+
confidence_interval = ci_values.map { |x| x.to_f / @area.population_size }
|
245
|
+
ci_seats = @seats[choice].confidence_interval(0.95)
|
246
|
+
choice.ljust(max_choice_width) + ' ' + \
|
247
|
+
six_char_percentage(result(choice)) + ' ' + \
|
248
|
+
six_char_percentage(most_probable_rounded_fraction(choice)) + ' ' + \
|
249
|
+
six_char_percentage(most_probable_fraction(choice)) + ' ' + \
|
250
|
+
six_char_percentage(confidence_interval.first) + '–' + \
|
251
|
+
six_char_percentage(confidence_interval.last) + ' ' + \
|
252
|
+
(next_choice.nil? ? ' ' : six_char_percentage(larger_than(choice, next_choice))) + ' ' + \
|
253
|
+
(max_seats_width == 1 ? ' ' : '') + \
|
254
|
+
ci_seats.first.to_s.rjust(max_seats_width) + '–' + \
|
255
|
+
ci_seats.last.to_s.rjust(max_seats_width)
|
256
|
+
end
|
257
|
+
|
258
|
+
def create_coalition_report_line(coalition, max_coalition_width, max_seats_width)
|
259
|
+
ci_values = @votes[coalition].confidence_interval(0.95)
|
260
|
+
majority_votes_probability = @votes[coalition].threshold_probability(0.5, @area.population_size)
|
261
|
+
confidence_interval = ci_values.map { |x| x.to_f / @area.population_size }
|
262
|
+
ci_seats = @seats[coalition].confidence_interval(0.95)
|
263
|
+
seats_majority = 1 + @area.no_of_seats / 2
|
264
|
+
majority_seats_probability = @seats[coalition].value_threshold_probability(seats_majority)
|
265
|
+
coalition_label(coalition).ljust(max_coalition_width) + ' ' + \
|
266
|
+
six_char_percentage(coalition_result(coalition)) + ' ' + \
|
267
|
+
six_char_percentage(most_probable_rounded_fraction(coalition)) + ' ' + \
|
268
|
+
six_char_percentage(most_probable_fraction(coalition)) + ' ' + \
|
269
|
+
six_char_percentage(confidence_interval.first) + '–' + \
|
270
|
+
six_char_percentage(confidence_interval.last) + ' ' + \
|
271
|
+
six_char_percentage(majority_votes_probability) + ' ' + \
|
272
|
+
(max_seats_width == 1 ? ' ' : '') + \
|
273
|
+
ci_seats.first.to_s.rjust(max_seats_width) + '–' + \
|
274
|
+
ci_seats.last.to_s.rjust(max_seats_width) + ' ' + \
|
275
|
+
six_char_percentage(majority_seats_probability)
|
276
|
+
end
|
277
|
+
|
278
|
+
def write_seats_confidence_intervals(filename)
|
279
|
+
ci_filename = filename.gsub('.poll', '-polychotomy-seats-confidence-intervals.psv')
|
280
|
+
File.open(ci_filename, 'w') do |file|
|
281
|
+
file.puts('Choice | CI(80%) Bottom | CI(80%) Top | CI(90%) Bottom | CI(90%) Top | CI(95%) Bottom | CI(95%) Top | CI(99%) Bottom | CI(99%) Top')
|
282
|
+
@choices.each do | choice |
|
283
|
+
unless choice == OTHER
|
284
|
+
ci80 = @seats[choice].confidence_interval(0.8)
|
285
|
+
ci90 = @seats[choice].confidence_interval(0.9)
|
286
|
+
ci95 = @seats[choice].confidence_interval(0.95)
|
287
|
+
ci99 = @seats[choice].confidence_interval(0.99)
|
288
|
+
file.puts(choice + ' | ' + ci80.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
289
|
+
ci80.last.to_s + ' | ' + ci90.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
290
|
+
ci90.last.to_s + ' | ' + ci95.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
291
|
+
ci95.last.to_s + ' | ' + ci99.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
292
|
+
ci99.last.to_s)
|
293
|
+
end
|
294
|
+
end
|
295
|
+
end
|
296
|
+
end
|
297
|
+
|
298
|
+
def write_seats_probabilities(filename)
|
299
|
+
ci_filename = filename.gsub('.poll', '-polychotomy-seats-probabilities.psv')
|
300
|
+
File.open(ci_filename, 'w') do |file|
|
301
|
+
file.puts('Choice | ' + Range.new(0, @area.no_of_seats).to_a.join(' | '))
|
302
|
+
@choices.each do | choice |
|
303
|
+
unless choice == OTHER
|
304
|
+
file.puts(choice + ' | ' + @seats[choice].probabilities(Range.new(0, @area.no_of_seats).to_a).join(' | '))
|
305
|
+
end
|
306
|
+
end
|
307
|
+
end
|
308
|
+
end
|
309
|
+
|
310
|
+
def write_coalitions_seats_confidence_intervals(filename)
|
311
|
+
ci_filename = filename.gsub('.poll', '-polychotomy-coalitions-seats-confidence-intervals.psv')
|
312
|
+
File.open(ci_filename, 'w') do |file|
|
313
|
+
file.puts('Coalition | CI(80%) Bottom | CI(80%) Top | CI(90%) Bottom | CI(90%) Top | CI(95%) Bottom | CI(95%) Top | CI(99%) Bottom | CI(99%) Top')
|
314
|
+
@coalitions.each do | coalition |
|
315
|
+
ci80 = @seats[coalition].confidence_interval(0.8)
|
316
|
+
ci90 = @seats[coalition].confidence_interval(0.9)
|
317
|
+
ci95 = @seats[coalition].confidence_interval(0.95)
|
318
|
+
ci99 = @seats[coalition].confidence_interval(0.99)
|
319
|
+
file.puts(coalition_label(coalition) + ' | ' + ci80.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
320
|
+
ci80.last.to_s + ' | ' + ci90.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
321
|
+
ci90.last.to_s + ' | ' + ci95.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
322
|
+
ci95.last.to_s + ' | ' + ci99.first.to_s + ' | ' + \
|
323
|
+
ci99.last.to_s)
|
324
|
+
end
|
325
|
+
end
|
326
|
+
end
|
327
|
+
|
328
|
+
def write_coalitions_seats_probabilities(filename)
|
329
|
+
ci_filename = filename.gsub('.poll', '-polychotomy-coalitions-seats-probabilities.psv')
|
330
|
+
File.open(ci_filename, 'w') do |file|
|
331
|
+
file.puts('Coalition | ' + Range.new(0, @area.no_of_seats).to_a.join(' | '))
|
332
|
+
@coalitions.each do | coalition |
|
333
|
+
file.puts(coalition_label(coalition) + ' | ' + @seats[coalition].probabilities(Range.new(0, @area.no_of_seats).to_a).join(' | '))
|
334
|
+
end
|
335
|
+
end
|
336
|
+
end
|
337
|
+
end
|
338
|
+
end
|