finmodeling 0.1

data/.gitignore

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+*swp
+pkg/
+Gemfile.lock

data/Gemfile

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+source 'https://rubygems.org'
+
+gem "xbrlware-ruby19", :git => "git://github.com/jimlindstrom/xbrlware-ruby19.git"
+#gem "xbrlware-ruby19", :path => "/home/lindstro/code/xbrlware-ruby19/"
+
+gem "xbrlware-extras", :git => "git://github.com/jimlindstrom/xbrlware-extras.git"
+#gem "xbrlware-extras", :path => "/home/lindstro/code/xbrlware-extras/"
+
+# Specify your gem's dependencies in finmodeling.gemspec
+gemspec

data/README.md

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+## Overview
+
+FinModeling is a set of tools for manipulating financial data from SEC Edgar (in [XBRL](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XBRL) format).
+
+## Features
+
+- Pulls annual (10-k) and quarterly (10-q) financial reports from SEC
+- Uses Naive Bayes Classifiers to classify financial statement items
+  - trained on medium-to-large NASDAQ tech companies
+- Reformulates GAAP statements to better highlight enterprise value
+- Generates forecasts based on analysis of historical performance
+
+## Example 1: Forecasting Oracle's Financials Based
+
+After running "rake install" (to build and install the 'finmodeling' gem), you can run:
+
+    lindstro@lindstro-laptop:~/code/finmodels$ ./examples/show_reports.rb --num-forecasts 2 orcl 2011-02-01
+    Forecasting 2 periods
+    company name: ORACLE CORP
+
+	                      2011-02-28    2011-05-31    2011-08-31    2011-11-30   2012-02-29E   2012-05-29E
+	NOA ($MM)               28,172.0      28,282.0      25,235.0      27,055.0      27,342.0      29,107.0
+	NFA ($MM)                8,445.0      11,494.0      15,657.0      14,865.0      16,899.0      17,593.0
+	CSE ($MM)               36,617.0      39,776.0      40,892.0      41,920.0      44,241.0      46,700.0
+	Composition Ratio         3.3359        2.4605        1.6117        1.8200        1.6179        1.6545
+	NOA Growth                              0.0155       -0.3638        0.3222        0.0431        0.2888
+	CSE Growth                              0.3886        0.1160        0.1047        0.2412        0.2452
+
+		NOA growth: a:-0.1619, b:0.1533, r:0.4461, var:0.0787
+
+	                      2011-02-28    2011-05-31    2011-08-31    2011-11-30   2012-02-29E   2012-05-29E
+	Revenue ($MM)            8,764.0      10,775.0       8,374.0       8,792.0       9,360.0       9,964.0
+	Core OI ($MM)            2,318.0       3,413.0       2,056.0       2,327.0       2,483.0       2,644.0
+	OI ($MM)                 2,238.0       3,332.0       1,978.0       2,290.0                            
+	FI ($MM)                  -122.0        -123.0        -138.0         -98.0        -163.0        -185.0
+	NI ($MM)                 2,116.0       3,209.0       1,840.0       2,192.0       2,321.0       2,459.0
+	Gross Margin              0.5858        0.6040        0.5679        0.5845                            
+	Sales PM                  0.2644        0.3167        0.2454        0.2646        0.2653        0.2653
+	Operating PM              0.2553        0.3092        0.2361        0.2604                            
+	FI / Sales               -0.0139       -0.0114       -0.0164       -0.0111       -0.0173       -0.0185
+	NI / Sales                0.2414        0.2978        0.2197        0.2493        0.2479        0.2467
+	Sales / NOA                             1.5298        1.1843        1.3936        1.3837        1.4576
+	FI / NFA                               -0.0581       -0.0479       -0.0250       -0.0437       -0.0437
+	Revenue Growth                          1.2695       -0.6321        0.2157        0.2852        0.2888
+	Core OI Growth                          3.6455       -0.8661        0.6443        0.2974        0.2888
+	OI Growth                               3.8474       -0.8737        0.8006                            
+	ReOI ($MM)                             2,647.0       1,290.0       1,683.0       1,833.0       1,993.0
+
+		operating pm: a:0.2739, b:-0.0057, r:-0.2398, var:0.0007
+		asset turnover: a:1.4374, b:-0.0681, r:-0.3914, var:0.0201
+		revenue growth: a:0.8112, b:-0.5268, r:-0.5530, var:0.6050
+		fi / nfa: a:-0.0602, b:0.0165, r:0.9765, var:0.0001
+
+	                      Unknown...    2011-05-31    2011-08-31    2011-11-30
+	C ($MM)                                  -17.0       5,421.0       1,255.0
+	I ($MM)                               -8,380.0     -13,091.0      -9,191.0
+	d ($MM)                                8,688.0       8,568.0       8,956.0
+	F ($MM)                                 -291.0        -898.0      -1,020.0
+	FCF ($MM)                             -8,397.0      -7,670.0      -7,936.0
+	NI / C                               -188.7647        0.3394        1.7466
+
+## Example 2: A Summary of Adobe's Filings Since 2010-11-01
+
+    lindstro@lindstro-laptop:~/code/finmodels$ ./examples/show_reports.rb adbe 2010-11-01
+    company name: ADOBE SYSTEMS INC
+
+	                      2010-12-03    2011-03-04    2011-06-03    2011-09-02    2011-12-02
+	NOA (000's)          4,269,074.0   4,374,531.0   4,334,056.0   4,428,947.0   4,458,509.0
+	NFA (000's)            923,313.0   1,050,876.0   1,055,359.0   1,135,011.0   1,324,604.0
+	CSE (000's)          5,192,387.0   5,425,407.0   5,389,415.0   5,563,958.0   5,783,113.0
+	Composition Ratio         4.6236        4.1627        4.1067        3.9021        3.3659
+	NOA Growth                              0.1028       -0.0365        0.0907        0.0270
+	CSE Growth                              0.1925       -0.0263        0.1363        0.1676
+
+		NOA growth: a:0.0610, b:-0.0100, r:-0.2006, var:0.0031
+
+	                      Unknown...    2011-03-04    2011-06-03    2011-09-02    2011-12-02
+	Revenue (000's)                    1,027,706.0   1,023,179.0   1,013,212.0   1,152,161.0
+	Core OI (000's)                      251,831.0     247,172.0     215,630.0     251,253.0
+	OI (000's)                           245,152.0     240,798.0     206,405.0     182,137.0
+	FI (000's)                           -10,561.0     -11,362.0     -11,304.0      -8,418.0
+	NI (000's)                           234,591.0     229,436.0     195,101.0     173,719.0
+	Gross Margin                            0.8952        0.8932        0.8967        0.8989
+	Sales PM                                0.2450        0.2415        0.2128        0.2180
+	Operating PM                            0.2385        0.2353        0.2037        0.1580
+	FI / Sales                             -0.0102       -0.0111       -0.0111       -0.0073
+	NI / Sales                              0.2282        0.2242        0.1925        0.1507
+	Sales / NOA                                           0.2338        0.2337        0.2601
+	FI / NFA                                             -0.0108       -0.0107       -0.0074
+	Revenue Growth                                       -0.0175       -0.0385        0.6744
+	Core OI Growth                                       -0.0721       -0.4216        0.8464
+	OI Growth                                            -0.0693       -0.4610       -0.3944
+	ReOI (000's)                                       135,604.0     102,185.0      75,635.0
+
+		operating pm: a:0.2498, b:-0.0273, r:-0.9434, var:0.0010
+		asset turnover: a:0.2294, b:0.0131, r:0.8641, var:0.0001
+		revenue growth: a:-0.1398, b:0.3459, r:0.8528, var:0.1097
+
+	                      Unknown...    2011-03-04    2011-06-03    2011-09-02    2011-12-02
+	C (000's)                            332,102.0     397,743.0     320,434.0     334,399.0
+	I (000's)                           -226,787.0    -229,749.0    -391,441.0    -385,261.0
+	d (000's)                            -20,966.0     196,511.0     164,509.0      48,818.0
+	F (000's)                            -84,349.0    -364,505.0     -93,502.0       2,044.0
+	FCF (000's)                          105,315.0     167,994.0     -71,007.0     -50,862.0
+	NI / C                                  0.7063        0.5768        0.6088        0.5194
+
+## Example 3: A Detailed View of Adobe's Second-to-Last 10-Q
+
+    lindstro@lindstro-laptop:~/code/finmodels$ ./examples/show_report.rb adbe 10-q -2
+    company name: ADOBE SYSTEMS INC
+    url:          http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/796343/000079634311000006/0000796343-11-000006-index.htm
+    Balance Sheet (2011-03-04)
+    Assets (loc_Assets_1)
+	[fa] Cash And Cash Equivalents At Carrying Value                     900,156,000.0
+	[fa] Short Term Investments                                        1,736,679,000.0
+	[oa] Accounts Receivable Net Current                                 533,353,000.0
+	[fa] Deferred Tax Assets Net Current                                  66,928,000.0
+	[oa] Prepaid Expenses Other Assets                                   113,682,000.0
+	[oa] Property Plant And Equipment Net                                453,497,000.0
+	[oa] Goodwill                                                      3,686,073,000.0
+	[oa] Finite Lived Intangible Assets Net                              447,616,000.0
+	[fa] Investment In Lease Receivable                                  207,239,000.0
+	[oa] Other Assets Noncurrent                                         164,801,000.0
+	Total                                                              8,310,024,000.0
+
+    Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity (loc_LiabilitiesAndStockholdersEquity_1)
+	[ol] Accrued Restructuring Current                                     6,759,000.0
+	[fl] Accrued Income Taxes Current                                     57,096,000.0
+	[ol] Capital Lease Obligations Current                                 8,900,000.0
+	[ol] Accrued Liabilities Current                                     458,463,000.0
+	[ol] Accounts Payable Current                                         54,742,000.0
+	[ol] Deferred Revenue Current                                        399,572,000.0
+	[fl] Long Term Debt And Capital Lease Obligations                  1,511,553,000.0
+	[ol] Deferred Revenue Noncurrent                                      43,826,000.0
+	[ol] Accrued Restructuring Noncurrent                                  7,307,000.0
+	[fl] Liability For Uncertain Tax Positions Noncurrent                170,721,000.0
+	[fl] Deferred Tax Liabilities Noncurrent                             120,756,000.0
+	[ol] Other Liabilities Noncurrent                                     44,922,000.0
+	[cse] Treasury Stock Value                                        -3,178,769,000.0
+	[cse] Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income Loss Net Of Tax          28,695,000.0
+	[cse] Retained Earnings Accumulated Deficit                        6,045,631,000.0
+	[cse] Additional Paid In Capital                                   2,529,789,000.0
+	[cse] Common Stock Value                                                  61,000.0
+	[fl] Preferred Stock Value                                                     0.0
+	Total                                                              8,310,024,000.0
+
+    Net Operational Assets
+	OA                                                                 5,399,022,000.0
+	OL                                                                -1,024,491,000.0
+	Total                                                              4,374,531,000.0
+
+    Net Financial Assets
+	FA                                                                 2,911,002,000.0
+	FL                                                                -1,860,126,000.0
+	Total                                                              1,050,876,000.0
+
+    Common Shareholders' Equity
+	NOA                                                                4,374,531,000.0
+	NFA                                                                1,050,876,000.0
+	Total                                                              5,425,407,000.0
+
+    Income Statement (2010-12-04 to 2011-03-04)
+    Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Parent (loc_NetIncomeLoss_0)
+	[or] Sales Revenue Goods Net                                         842,689,000.0
+	[or] Sales Revenue Services Net                                       78,846,000.0
+	[or] Subscription Revenue                                            106,171,000.0
+	[cogs] Cost Of Goods Sold                                            -30,717,000.0
+	[cogs] Cost Of Services                                              -29,044,000.0
+	[cogs] Cost Of Goods Sold Subscription                               -47,878,000.0
+	[oe] Research And Development Expense Software Excluding ...        -178,400,000.0
+	[oe] Selling And Marketing Expense                                  -328,078,000.0
+	[oe] General And Administrative Expense                             -100,979,000.0
+	[oibt] Restructuring Charges                                             -41,000.0
+	[oibt] Amortization Of Intangible Assets                             -10,235,000.0
+	[fibt] Other Nonoperating Income                                        -817,000.0
+	[fibt] Interest Expense                                              -17,020,000.0
+	[fibt] Gain Loss On Investments                                        1,590,000.0
+	[tax] Income Tax Expense Benefit                                     -51,496,000.0
+	Total                                                                234,591,000.0
+
+    Gross Revenue
+	Operating Revenues (OR)                                            1,027,706,000.0
+	Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)                                           -107,639,000.0
+	Total                                                                920,067,000.0
+
+    Operating Income from sales, before tax (OISBT)
+	Gross Margin (GM)                                                    920,067,000.0
+	Operating Expense (OE)                                              -607,457,000.0
+	Total                                                                312,610,000.0
+
+    Operating Income from sales, after tax (OISAT)
+	Operating income from sales (before tax)                             312,610,000.0
+	Reported taxes                                                       -51,496,000.0
+	Taxes on net financing income                                         -5,686,450.0
+	Taxes on other operating income                                       -3,596,600.0
+	Total                                                                251,830,950.0
+
+    Operating income, after tax (OI)
+	Operating income after sales, after tax (OISAT)                      251,830,950.0
+	Other operating income, before tax (OIBT)                            -10,276,000.0
+	Tax on other operating income                                          3,596,600.0
+	Other operating income, after tax (OOIAT)                                      0.0
+	Total                                                                245,151,550.0
+
+    Net financing income, after tax (NFI)
+	Financing income, before tax (FIBT)                                  -16,247,000.0
+	Tax effect (FIBT_TAX_EFFECT)                                           5,686,450.0
+	Financing income, after tax (FIAT)                                             0.0
+	Total                                                                -10,560,550.0
+
+    Comprehensive (CI)
+	Operating income, after tax (OI)                                     245,151,550.0
+	Net financing income, after tax (NFI)                                -10,560,550.0
+	Total                                                                234,591,000.0
+
+    Cash Flow Statement (2010-12-04 to 2011-03-04)
+    Cash and Cash Equivalents, Period Increase (Decrease) (loc_CashAndCashEquivalentsPeriodIncreaseDecrease_2)
+	[c] Adjustments Noncash Items To Reconcile Net Income Los...           2,703,000.0
+	[c] Net Income Loss                                                  234,591,000.0
+	[c] Depreciation And Amortization                                     66,286,000.0
+	[c] Share Based Compensation                                          70,992,000.0
+	[c] Deferred Income Taxes And Tax Credits                             28,645,000.0
+	[c] Unrealized Gain Loss On Investments                               -1,330,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Receivables                                  20,605,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Prepaid Deferred Expense And Oth...          -2,716,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Accounts Payable                              2,310,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Accrued Liabilities                        -110,084,000.0
+	[c] Other Increase Decrease In Provision For Restructuring            -2,526,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Accrued Income Taxes Payable                  8,905,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Deferred Revenue                             13,721,000.0
+	[d] Purchases Long Term Investments Other Assets                      -5,389,000.0
+	[i] Payments To Acquire Short Term Investments                      -375,077,000.0
+	[d] Proceeds From Maturities Of Short Term Investments               134,296,000.0
+	[i] Proceeds From Sale Of Short Term Investments                     217,407,000.0
+	[i] Payments To Acquire Property Plant And Equipment                 -32,421,000.0
+	[i] Payments To Acquire Businesses Net Of Cash Acquired              -36,572,000.0
+	[d] Proceeds From Sale Of Available For Sale Securities E...           2,755,000.0
+	[i] Payments For Proceeds From Other Investing Activities               -124,000.0
+	[f] Payments For Repurchase Of Common Stock                         -125,000,000.0
+	[f] Proceeds From Sale Of Treasury Stock                              40,651,000.0
+	[d] Repayments Of Long Term Debt And Capital Securities               -2,169,000.0
+	[d] Effect Of Exchange Rate On Cash And Cash Equivalents                -194,000.0
+	Total                                                                150,265,000.0
+
+    Cash from operations
+	[c] Adjustments Noncash Items To Reconcile Net Income Los...           2,703,000.0
+	[c] Net Income Loss                                                  234,591,000.0
+	[c] Depreciation And Amortization                                     66,286,000.0
+	[c] Share Based Compensation                                          70,992,000.0
+	[c] Deferred Income Taxes And Tax Credits                             28,645,000.0
+	[c] Unrealized Gain Loss On Investments                               -1,330,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Receivables                                  20,605,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Prepaid Deferred Expense And Oth...          -2,716,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Accounts Payable                              2,310,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Accrued Liabilities                        -110,084,000.0
+	[c] Other Increase Decrease In Provision For Restructuring            -2,526,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Accrued Income Taxes Payable                  8,905,000.0
+	[c] Increase Decrease In Deferred Revenue                             13,721,000.0
+	Total                                                                332,102,000.0
+
+    Cash investments in operations
+	[i] Payments To Acquire Short Term Investments                      -375,077,000.0
+	[i] Proceeds From Sale Of Short Term Investments                     217,407,000.0
+	[i] Payments To Acquire Property Plant And Equipment                 -32,421,000.0
+	[i] Payments To Acquire Businesses Net Of Cash Acquired              -36,572,000.0
+	[i] Payments For Proceeds From Other Investing Activities               -124,000.0
+	Total                                                               -226,787,000.0
+
+    Payments to debtholders
+	[d] Purchases Long Term Investments Other Assets                      -5,389,000.0
+	[d] Proceeds From Maturities Of Short Term Investments               134,296,000.0
+	[d] Proceeds From Sale Of Available For Sale Securities E...           2,755,000.0
+	[d] Repayments Of Long Term Debt And Capital Securities               -2,169,000.0
+	[d] Effect Of Exchange Rate On Cash And Cash Equivalents                -194,000.0
+	[d] Investment in Cash and Equivalents                              -150,265,000.0
+	Total                                                                -20,966,000.0
+
+    Payments to stockholders
+	[f] Payments For Repurchase Of Common Stock                         -125,000,000.0
+	[f] Proceeds From Sale Of Treasury Stock                              40,651,000.0
+	Total                                                                -84,349,000.0
+
+    Free Cash Flow
+	Cash from Operations (C)                                             332,102,000.0
+	Cash Investment in Operations (I)                                   -226,787,000.0
+	Total                                                                105,315,000.0
+
+    Financing Flows
+	Payments to debtholders (d)                                          -20,966,000.0
+	Payments to stockholders (F)                                         -84,349,000.0
+	Total                                                               -105,315,000.0
+

data/Rakefile

@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env rake
+require "bundler/gem_tasks"
+
+task :test do
+  sh "rspec -c -fd -I. -Ispec spec/*spec.rb"
+end

data/TODO.txt

@@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
+Statement of Shareholder Equity
+	- Parse this one to get at comprehensive income
+
+Forecasts
+	- Choosing of policies should probably be bumped to a higher-level package.
+	- Need more sophisticated forecasting policies
+	- Need to have more sophisticated policies fall back on simpler ones (or none) when there's
+	  too much chaos
+
+Bugs
+	- Not all disclosures *begin* with disclosure.  See CRM's most recent 10-K, for instance.
+	- The "valid vals" thing should hides gaps in data, which silently&crappily affect the regressions.
+	- show_reports doesn't check filing validity
+
+Income Statement
+	- Dig into the disclosures. They've got lots more interesting goodness.
+	- It'd be interesting to try to correct for cyclicality.
+	- The classifier that had been classifying unknown credits/debits is disabled. Replace it?
+	- net income != comprehensive income.  pull in items from SSE
+	- certain things are being misclassified as FIBT instead of OOIBT. (hedging, 
+	  currency exchg, etc)
+	- naming consistency (e.g., rename OIBT as OOIBT?)
+	- consistency between operating/financing vs. operational/financial?
+	- need to better understand minority interest, noncontrollable blah-blah,
+	  etc.
+
+Balance Sheet
+	- Dig into the disclosures. They've got lots more interesting goodness.
+	- The classifier that had been classifying unknown credits/debits is disabled. Replace it?
+
+Cash Flow Statement
+	- Dig into the disclosures. They've got lots more interesting goodness.
+	- not taking into account: net cash interest, tax on net interest, or non-cash
+	  transactions.  All 3 of these items are listed in supplementary disclosures.
+	- the classifier's success rate isn't that high.
+	- "I" is defined inversely.

data/examples/dump_report.rb

@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env ruby
+
+require 'finmodeling'
+
+if ARGV.length != 1
+  puts "usage #{__FILE__} <stock symbol>"
+  exit
+end
+
+filing_url = nil 
+if !(ARGV[0] =~ /http/)
+  company = FinModeling::Company.find(stock_symbol = ARGV[0])
+  if company.nil?
+    puts "couldn't find company"
+    exit
+  elsif company.annual_reports.length == 0
+    puts "no annual reports"
+    exit
+  end
+  puts "company name: #{company.name}"
+  
+  filing_url = company.annual_reports.last.link
+  puts "url: #{filing_url}"
+else
+  filing_url = ARGV[0]
+end
+
+FinModeling::Config::disable_caching
+filing = FinModeling::AnnualReportFiling.download(filing_url)
+
+filing.print_presentations
+
+filing.print_calculations

data/examples/lists/nasdaq-mid-to-mega-tech-symbols.txt

@@ -0,0 +1,226 @@
+ACCL
+ACIW
+ACOM          
+ACXM
+ADBE
+ADP
+ADSK
+ADVS
+ALTR
+AMAT
+AMCC
+AMKR
+ANSS
+APKT
+ARBA
+ARRS
+ARUN
+ASGN
+ATML
+ATVI
+AWAY
+AZPN
+BBOX
+BCOV
+BIRT
+BLKB
+BMC
+BRCD
+BRCM
+BRKS
+BSFT
+CA
+CAVM
+CCMP
+CCOI
+CDNS
+CERN
+CEVA
+CMTL
+CNQR
+CPSI
+CPWR
+CREE
+CRUS
+CSCO
+CSGS
+CSOD
+CTCT
+CTSH
+CTXS
+CVLT
+CY
+CYMI
+DELL
+DGII
+DIOD
+DRIV
+DSGX
+EA
+EBIX
+EFII
+ELNK
+ELRC
+ENTR
+EPAY
+EPIQ
+EXAR
+EXTR
+FFIV
+FIRE
+FISV
+FNSR
+FSLR
+FTNT
+GCOM
+GOOG
+GRPN
+GTAT
+HITT
+HLIT
+HSII
+HSTM
+IDTI
+IGTE
+INAP
+INFA
+ININ
+INSP
+INTC
+INTU
+IPGP
+ISIL
+IXYS
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