quantprobe 1.5.1__tar.gz → 1.5.2__tar.gz

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (27) hide show
  1. {quantprobe-1.5.1/quantprobe.egg-info → quantprobe-1.5.2}/PKG-INFO +9 -6
  2. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/README.md +8 -5
  3. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/pyproject.toml +1 -1
  4. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/__init__.py +1 -1
  5. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/optimize.py +1 -0
  6. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/plan.py +18 -0
  7. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/target.py +2 -0
  8. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2/quantprobe.egg-info}/PKG-INFO +9 -6
  9. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/LICENSE +0 -0
  10. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/auto.py +0 -0
  11. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/cli.py +0 -0
  12. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/dashboard.py +0 -0
  13. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/detect.py +0 -0
  14. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/fetch.py +0 -0
  15. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/probe.py +0 -0
  16. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/runtime.py +0 -0
  17. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe/spec.py +0 -0
  18. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe.egg-info/SOURCES.txt +0 -0
  19. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe.egg-info/dependency_links.txt +0 -0
  20. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe.egg-info/entry_points.txt +0 -0
  21. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe.egg-info/requires.txt +0 -0
  22. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/quantprobe.egg-info/top_level.txt +0 -0
  23. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/setup.cfg +0 -0
  24. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/tests/test_engine.py +0 -0
  25. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/tests/test_evaluator.py +0 -0
  26. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/tests/test_pipeline.py +0 -0
  27. {quantprobe-1.5.1 → quantprobe-1.5.2}/tests/test_transforms.py +0 -0
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  Metadata-Version: 2.4
2
2
  Name: quantprobe
3
- Version: 1.5.1
3
+ Version: 1.5.2
4
4
  Summary: Probe-then-quantize for LLMs: measure a model's fragility curve, plan bit/tier placement by the tiered decode law, and emit ready-to-run llama.cpp recipes.
5
5
  Author: Federico Sciuca
6
6
  License: MIT
@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ Dynamic: license-file
30
30
  > Pick any model + your machine → predicted tok/s, memory fit, quality cost, and your cheapest next upgrade — from the law below, with your config plotted against every validated measurement.
31
31
 
32
32
 
33
- **New here? → [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) gets you running in 60 seconds.** Two tiers: `plan`/`target` and the web calculator need *nothing* installed; `quantize`/`probe`/`run`/`bench`/`dashboard` drive [llama.cpp](https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/releases) (point quantprobe at it with `--llama-dir`, `QUANTPROBE_LLAMA_DIR`, or `PATH`). Preview any command without llama.cpp using `--dry`. 16 machine presets ship in (`--machine`): GTX 1060 → RTX 5090, Apple `mac-m2/m3/m4-*`, DGX Spark, Epyc — or pass raw specs. Multi-GPU / RAID? Comma lists aggregate: `--vram 24,24 --disk-bw 14,14`. Big-VRAM + disk-streaming rigs get the three-tier expert-cache row (v1.3).
33
+ **New here? → [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) gets you running in 60 seconds or just `pip install quantprobe && quantprobe auto qwen3-coder --run`.** The calculators (`hw`/`plan`/`target`/`optimize`) need nothing installed; the weight-touching commands drive [llama.cpp](https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/releases) (point quantprobe at it with `--llama-dir`, `QUANTPROBE_LLAMA_DIR`, or `PATH`; preview anything with `--dry`). 16 machine presets ship in (`--machine`): GTX 1060 → RTX 5090, Apple `mac-m2/m3/m4-*`, DGX Spark, Epyc — or pass raw specs. Multi-GPU / RAID? Comma lists aggregate: `--vram 24,24 --disk-bw 14,14`. Big-VRAM + disk-streaming rigs get the three-tier expert-cache row (v1.3).
34
34
 
35
35
 
36
36
  ---
@@ -67,7 +67,9 @@ Add to that: a **byte-identical control** (two GGUFs the same size, 2.25 ppl apa
67
67
  <p align="center"><img src="weights/data/validation_19tok/live_run_20tps.png" width="880" alt="One frame: Task Manager showing 16 GB DDR4-3000 and the GTX 1060 6GB beside llama.cpp chatting Qwen3-30B-A3B live at 20.4 tok/s generation"></p>
68
68
  <p align="center"><em>One frame, no cuts: Task Manager (16 GB @ 3000 MT/s, GTX 1060 6 GB, RAM at 91% — the hybrid placement using the whole machine) beside llama.cpp chatting Qwen3-30B-A3B at <b>20.4 tok/s generation</b> — above the pre-registered 19. Raw logs, hardware attestation + GGUF SHA256: <a href="weights/data/validation_19tok/EVIDENCE.txt">EVIDENCE.txt</a>. Third bench run: 19.26 ± 0.45 (series 19.30 → 19.55 → 19.26).</em></p>
69
69
 
70
- **Open pre-registrations** — predictions staked publicly *before* measurement: [colibri v1.1, five falsifiable predictions (2026-07-23)](preregistrations/2026-07-23-colibri-v1.1.md) — dual-SSD scaling, int3 speedup, lattice-vs-scalar, AVX-512 tier-scoping, MTP×MoE antagonism.
70
+ **Open pre-registrations** — predictions staked publicly *before* measurement: [colibri v1.1, five falsifiable predictions (2026-07-23)](preregistrations/2026-07-23-colibri-v1.1.md) — dual-SSD scaling, int3 speedup, lattice-vs-scalar, AVX-512 tier-scoping, MTP×MoE antagonism — plus open bands on the CPU-only context slope and expert-pruning decode ([all verdicts](preregistrations/)).
71
+
72
+ **Live research track — Law 5 (prefill):** protocol-first and scored same-day in [weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md](weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md) — 6 staked hits, 4 published misses, and one self-caught retraction corrected in public within the hour, including the measured recipe that cuts an agent's 8k-context turn cost from ~75 s to ~0.5 s. Next up, staked before launch: [Law 6 — speculation economics](preregistrations/2026-07-24-law6-speculation-economics.md), scoring in public the week of 2026-07-27.
71
73
 
72
74
 
73
75
  ## The four placement laws
@@ -96,7 +98,7 @@ quantprobe auto qwen3-coder --tps 15 --run # empty machine -> optimal quant ch
96
98
 
97
99
  ```bash
98
100
  quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --tps 15 # ONE command: optimizer picks bits, closest quant fetched, run command printed
99
- quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --custom # THE PRODUCT: probe YOUR model, build its personalized depth-aware GGUF
101
+ quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --custom --run # THE PRODUCT: probe YOUR model, build its personalized depth-aware GGUF, launch it
100
102
  quantprobe hw # what the law sees on THIS machine (every value source-tagged)
101
103
  quantprobe plan --gguf model.gguf # zero-config prediction: placement + tok/s + the launch command
102
104
  quantprobe optimize --tps 20 # CHEAPEST PATH to a target: bits x placement x hardware, Pareto-ranked
@@ -119,14 +121,15 @@ The loop is self-validating: `plan` predicted 17.5 for a file we then measured a
119
121
 
120
122
  | | |
121
123
  |---|---|
122
- | [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) | 60-second start, three levels; Ollama interop; llama.cpp version notes |
124
+ | [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) | 60-second start, three levels; recipes (own fine-tune, coding agents, hardware buying); Ollama interop |
123
125
  | [LAWS.md](LAWS.md) | the four laws — statements, measurements, falsifiable predictions, the general form |
124
126
  | [docs/EXAMPLES.md](docs/EXAMPLES.md) | worked examples with real outputs: zero-config, the ×5.4 optimizer A/B, probe walkthrough, troubleshooting |
125
127
  | [docs/HARDWARE.md](docs/HARDWARE.md) | the 2016 box: exact specs, measured bandwidths, what the next euro buys |
126
128
  | [docs/DEEP-DIVE.md](docs/DEEP-DIVE.md) | what's new vs. what's built-on, parity tables, the 744B-at-home projection, repository map |
127
129
  | [preregistrations/](preregistrations/) | every staked prediction with its verdict — hits, the near-miss, and the honest miss |
130
+ | [weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md](weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md) | the live Law-5 research ledger — conventions, stakes, scores, and the retraction |
128
131
  | [papers/arxiv/](papers/arxiv/) | the paper (submission-ready LaTeX) |
129
- | [CHANGELOG.md](CHANGELOG.md) | v1.0 → v1.4, every release |
132
+ | [CHANGELOG.md](CHANGELOG.md) | v1.0 → v1.5, every release |
130
133
 
131
134
  ## Honest limitations
132
135
 
@@ -12,7 +12,7 @@
12
12
  > Pick any model + your machine → predicted tok/s, memory fit, quality cost, and your cheapest next upgrade — from the law below, with your config plotted against every validated measurement.
13
13
 
14
14
 
15
- **New here? → [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) gets you running in 60 seconds.** Two tiers: `plan`/`target` and the web calculator need *nothing* installed; `quantize`/`probe`/`run`/`bench`/`dashboard` drive [llama.cpp](https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/releases) (point quantprobe at it with `--llama-dir`, `QUANTPROBE_LLAMA_DIR`, or `PATH`). Preview any command without llama.cpp using `--dry`. 16 machine presets ship in (`--machine`): GTX 1060 → RTX 5090, Apple `mac-m2/m3/m4-*`, DGX Spark, Epyc — or pass raw specs. Multi-GPU / RAID? Comma lists aggregate: `--vram 24,24 --disk-bw 14,14`. Big-VRAM + disk-streaming rigs get the three-tier expert-cache row (v1.3).
15
+ **New here? → [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) gets you running in 60 seconds or just `pip install quantprobe && quantprobe auto qwen3-coder --run`.** The calculators (`hw`/`plan`/`target`/`optimize`) need nothing installed; the weight-touching commands drive [llama.cpp](https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/releases) (point quantprobe at it with `--llama-dir`, `QUANTPROBE_LLAMA_DIR`, or `PATH`; preview anything with `--dry`). 16 machine presets ship in (`--machine`): GTX 1060 → RTX 5090, Apple `mac-m2/m3/m4-*`, DGX Spark, Epyc — or pass raw specs. Multi-GPU / RAID? Comma lists aggregate: `--vram 24,24 --disk-bw 14,14`. Big-VRAM + disk-streaming rigs get the three-tier expert-cache row (v1.3).
16
16
 
17
17
 
18
18
  ---
@@ -49,7 +49,9 @@ Add to that: a **byte-identical control** (two GGUFs the same size, 2.25 ppl apa
49
49
  <p align="center"><img src="weights/data/validation_19tok/live_run_20tps.png" width="880" alt="One frame: Task Manager showing 16 GB DDR4-3000 and the GTX 1060 6GB beside llama.cpp chatting Qwen3-30B-A3B live at 20.4 tok/s generation"></p>
50
50
  <p align="center"><em>One frame, no cuts: Task Manager (16 GB @ 3000 MT/s, GTX 1060 6 GB, RAM at 91% — the hybrid placement using the whole machine) beside llama.cpp chatting Qwen3-30B-A3B at <b>20.4 tok/s generation</b> — above the pre-registered 19. Raw logs, hardware attestation + GGUF SHA256: <a href="weights/data/validation_19tok/EVIDENCE.txt">EVIDENCE.txt</a>. Third bench run: 19.26 ± 0.45 (series 19.30 → 19.55 → 19.26).</em></p>
51
51
 
52
- **Open pre-registrations** — predictions staked publicly *before* measurement: [colibri v1.1, five falsifiable predictions (2026-07-23)](preregistrations/2026-07-23-colibri-v1.1.md) — dual-SSD scaling, int3 speedup, lattice-vs-scalar, AVX-512 tier-scoping, MTP×MoE antagonism.
52
+ **Open pre-registrations** — predictions staked publicly *before* measurement: [colibri v1.1, five falsifiable predictions (2026-07-23)](preregistrations/2026-07-23-colibri-v1.1.md) — dual-SSD scaling, int3 speedup, lattice-vs-scalar, AVX-512 tier-scoping, MTP×MoE antagonism — plus open bands on the CPU-only context slope and expert-pruning decode ([all verdicts](preregistrations/)).
53
+
54
+ **Live research track — Law 5 (prefill):** protocol-first and scored same-day in [weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md](weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md) — 6 staked hits, 4 published misses, and one self-caught retraction corrected in public within the hour, including the measured recipe that cuts an agent's 8k-context turn cost from ~75 s to ~0.5 s. Next up, staked before launch: [Law 6 — speculation economics](preregistrations/2026-07-24-law6-speculation-economics.md), scoring in public the week of 2026-07-27.
53
55
 
54
56
 
55
57
  ## The four placement laws
@@ -78,7 +80,7 @@ quantprobe auto qwen3-coder --tps 15 --run # empty machine -> optimal quant ch
78
80
 
79
81
  ```bash
80
82
  quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --tps 15 # ONE command: optimizer picks bits, closest quant fetched, run command printed
81
- quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --custom # THE PRODUCT: probe YOUR model, build its personalized depth-aware GGUF
83
+ quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --custom --run # THE PRODUCT: probe YOUR model, build its personalized depth-aware GGUF, launch it
82
84
  quantprobe hw # what the law sees on THIS machine (every value source-tagged)
83
85
  quantprobe plan --gguf model.gguf # zero-config prediction: placement + tok/s + the launch command
84
86
  quantprobe optimize --tps 20 # CHEAPEST PATH to a target: bits x placement x hardware, Pareto-ranked
@@ -101,14 +103,15 @@ The loop is self-validating: `plan` predicted 17.5 for a file we then measured a
101
103
 
102
104
  | | |
103
105
  |---|---|
104
- | [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) | 60-second start, three levels; Ollama interop; llama.cpp version notes |
106
+ | [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) | 60-second start, three levels; recipes (own fine-tune, coding agents, hardware buying); Ollama interop |
105
107
  | [LAWS.md](LAWS.md) | the four laws — statements, measurements, falsifiable predictions, the general form |
106
108
  | [docs/EXAMPLES.md](docs/EXAMPLES.md) | worked examples with real outputs: zero-config, the ×5.4 optimizer A/B, probe walkthrough, troubleshooting |
107
109
  | [docs/HARDWARE.md](docs/HARDWARE.md) | the 2016 box: exact specs, measured bandwidths, what the next euro buys |
108
110
  | [docs/DEEP-DIVE.md](docs/DEEP-DIVE.md) | what's new vs. what's built-on, parity tables, the 744B-at-home projection, repository map |
109
111
  | [preregistrations/](preregistrations/) | every staked prediction with its verdict — hits, the near-miss, and the honest miss |
112
+ | [weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md](weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md) | the live Law-5 research ledger — conventions, stakes, scores, and the retraction |
110
113
  | [papers/arxiv/](papers/arxiv/) | the paper (submission-ready LaTeX) |
111
- | [CHANGELOG.md](CHANGELOG.md) | v1.0 → v1.4, every release |
114
+ | [CHANGELOG.md](CHANGELOG.md) | v1.0 → v1.5, every release |
112
115
 
113
116
  ## Honest limitations
114
117
 
@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ build-backend = "setuptools.build_meta"
4
4
 
5
5
  [project]
6
6
  name = "quantprobe"
7
- version = "1.5.1"
7
+ version = "1.5.2"
8
8
  description = "Probe-then-quantize for LLMs: measure a model's fragility curve, plan bit/tier placement by the tiered decode law, and emit ready-to-run llama.cpp recipes."
9
9
  readme = "README.md"
10
10
  license = { text = "MIT" }
@@ -8,4 +8,4 @@ Three commands, all grounded in measured laws (see LAWS.md in the repo):
8
8
  Every constant in `plan` is fitted from measurements published in the repo, including two
9
9
  pre-registered hardware predictions confirmed within 8%.
10
10
  """
11
- __version__ = "1.5.1"
11
+ __version__ = "1.5.2"
@@ -35,6 +35,7 @@ HW_DELTAS = [
35
35
 
36
36
 
37
37
  def resolve(a):
38
+ planmod.check_presets(a)
38
39
  """Model + machine resolution, same semantics as plan.run (autospec + autodetect included)."""
39
40
  from . import spec as specmod
40
41
  specmod.apply(a, quiet=True)
@@ -144,9 +144,27 @@ def qual_of(moe, bits):
144
144
  return QUAL[moe][min(keys, key=lambda k: abs(k - bits))]
145
145
 
146
146
 
147
+ def check_presets(args):
148
+ """Refuse unknown preset names LOUDLY instead of silently falling back to defaults."""
149
+ mdl = getattr(args, "model", None)
150
+ if mdl and mdl not in MODELS and not getattr(args, "total", None):
151
+ raise SystemExit(
152
+ "unknown --model '%s' (and no --total to describe it).\n"
153
+ " presets: %s\n"
154
+ " or describe it: --total <B> --active <B> [--always-active <B>]\n"
155
+ " or point at a file: --gguf model.gguf (exact spec read from the GGUF)" % (mdl, ", ".join(sorted(MODELS))))
156
+ mac = getattr(args, "machine", None)
157
+ if mac and mac not in MACHINES:
158
+ raise SystemExit(
159
+ "unknown --machine '%s'.\n"
160
+ " presets: %s\n"
161
+ " or pass flags: --vram/--vram-bw/--ram/--ram-bw/--disk-bw (no flags = auto-detect this box)" % (mac, ", ".join(sorted(MACHINES))))
162
+
163
+
147
164
  def run(args):
148
165
  from . import spec as specmod
149
166
  specmod.apply(args)
167
+ check_presets(args)
150
168
  if getattr(args, "bits", None) is None:
151
169
  args.bits = 2.5
152
170
  m = dict(MODELS[args.model]) if args.model in MODELS else {}
@@ -52,6 +52,8 @@ def feasible(a, tps_target):
52
52
 
53
53
 
54
54
  def run(a):
55
+ from . import plan as planmod
56
+ planmod.check_presets(a)
55
57
  hw, vc, vb, rc, rb, db, geta, gl = hw_of(a)
56
58
  rows = feasible(a, a.tps)
57
59
  print(f"\nquantprobe target - smartest model meeting >= {a.tps:g} tok/s "
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
1
  Metadata-Version: 2.4
2
2
  Name: quantprobe
3
- Version: 1.5.1
3
+ Version: 1.5.2
4
4
  Summary: Probe-then-quantize for LLMs: measure a model's fragility curve, plan bit/tier placement by the tiered decode law, and emit ready-to-run llama.cpp recipes.
5
5
  Author: Federico Sciuca
6
6
  License: MIT
@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ Dynamic: license-file
30
30
  > Pick any model + your machine → predicted tok/s, memory fit, quality cost, and your cheapest next upgrade — from the law below, with your config plotted against every validated measurement.
31
31
 
32
32
 
33
- **New here? → [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) gets you running in 60 seconds.** Two tiers: `plan`/`target` and the web calculator need *nothing* installed; `quantize`/`probe`/`run`/`bench`/`dashboard` drive [llama.cpp](https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/releases) (point quantprobe at it with `--llama-dir`, `QUANTPROBE_LLAMA_DIR`, or `PATH`). Preview any command without llama.cpp using `--dry`. 16 machine presets ship in (`--machine`): GTX 1060 → RTX 5090, Apple `mac-m2/m3/m4-*`, DGX Spark, Epyc — or pass raw specs. Multi-GPU / RAID? Comma lists aggregate: `--vram 24,24 --disk-bw 14,14`. Big-VRAM + disk-streaming rigs get the three-tier expert-cache row (v1.3).
33
+ **New here? → [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) gets you running in 60 seconds or just `pip install quantprobe && quantprobe auto qwen3-coder --run`.** The calculators (`hw`/`plan`/`target`/`optimize`) need nothing installed; the weight-touching commands drive [llama.cpp](https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.cpp/releases) (point quantprobe at it with `--llama-dir`, `QUANTPROBE_LLAMA_DIR`, or `PATH`; preview anything with `--dry`). 16 machine presets ship in (`--machine`): GTX 1060 → RTX 5090, Apple `mac-m2/m3/m4-*`, DGX Spark, Epyc — or pass raw specs. Multi-GPU / RAID? Comma lists aggregate: `--vram 24,24 --disk-bw 14,14`. Big-VRAM + disk-streaming rigs get the three-tier expert-cache row (v1.3).
34
34
 
35
35
 
36
36
  ---
@@ -67,7 +67,9 @@ Add to that: a **byte-identical control** (two GGUFs the same size, 2.25 ppl apa
67
67
  <p align="center"><img src="weights/data/validation_19tok/live_run_20tps.png" width="880" alt="One frame: Task Manager showing 16 GB DDR4-3000 and the GTX 1060 6GB beside llama.cpp chatting Qwen3-30B-A3B live at 20.4 tok/s generation"></p>
68
68
  <p align="center"><em>One frame, no cuts: Task Manager (16 GB @ 3000 MT/s, GTX 1060 6 GB, RAM at 91% — the hybrid placement using the whole machine) beside llama.cpp chatting Qwen3-30B-A3B at <b>20.4 tok/s generation</b> — above the pre-registered 19. Raw logs, hardware attestation + GGUF SHA256: <a href="weights/data/validation_19tok/EVIDENCE.txt">EVIDENCE.txt</a>. Third bench run: 19.26 ± 0.45 (series 19.30 → 19.55 → 19.26).</em></p>
69
69
 
70
- **Open pre-registrations** — predictions staked publicly *before* measurement: [colibri v1.1, five falsifiable predictions (2026-07-23)](preregistrations/2026-07-23-colibri-v1.1.md) — dual-SSD scaling, int3 speedup, lattice-vs-scalar, AVX-512 tier-scoping, MTP×MoE antagonism.
70
+ **Open pre-registrations** — predictions staked publicly *before* measurement: [colibri v1.1, five falsifiable predictions (2026-07-23)](preregistrations/2026-07-23-colibri-v1.1.md) — dual-SSD scaling, int3 speedup, lattice-vs-scalar, AVX-512 tier-scoping, MTP×MoE antagonism — plus open bands on the CPU-only context slope and expert-pruning decode ([all verdicts](preregistrations/)).
71
+
72
+ **Live research track — Law 5 (prefill):** protocol-first and scored same-day in [weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md](weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md) — 6 staked hits, 4 published misses, and one self-caught retraction corrected in public within the hour, including the measured recipe that cuts an agent's 8k-context turn cost from ~75 s to ~0.5 s. Next up, staked before launch: [Law 6 — speculation economics](preregistrations/2026-07-24-law6-speculation-economics.md), scoring in public the week of 2026-07-27.
71
73
 
72
74
 
73
75
  ## The four placement laws
@@ -96,7 +98,7 @@ quantprobe auto qwen3-coder --tps 15 --run # empty machine -> optimal quant ch
96
98
 
97
99
  ```bash
98
100
  quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --tps 15 # ONE command: optimizer picks bits, closest quant fetched, run command printed
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- quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --custom # THE PRODUCT: probe YOUR model, build its personalized depth-aware GGUF
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+ quantprobe auto qwen3-30b --custom --run # THE PRODUCT: probe YOUR model, build its personalized depth-aware GGUF, launch it
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  quantprobe hw # what the law sees on THIS machine (every value source-tagged)
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  quantprobe plan --gguf model.gguf # zero-config prediction: placement + tok/s + the launch command
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  quantprobe optimize --tps 20 # CHEAPEST PATH to a target: bits x placement x hardware, Pareto-ranked
@@ -119,14 +121,15 @@ The loop is self-validating: `plan` predicted 17.5 for a file we then measured a
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  | | |
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  |---|---|
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- | [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) | 60-second start, three levels; Ollama interop; llama.cpp version notes |
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+ | [QUICKSTART.md](QUICKSTART.md) | 60-second start, three levels; recipes (own fine-tune, coding agents, hardware buying); Ollama interop |
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  | [LAWS.md](LAWS.md) | the four laws — statements, measurements, falsifiable predictions, the general form |
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  | [docs/EXAMPLES.md](docs/EXAMPLES.md) | worked examples with real outputs: zero-config, the ×5.4 optimizer A/B, probe walkthrough, troubleshooting |
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  | [docs/HARDWARE.md](docs/HARDWARE.md) | the 2016 box: exact specs, measured bandwidths, what the next euro buys |
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  | [docs/DEEP-DIVE.md](docs/DEEP-DIVE.md) | what's new vs. what's built-on, parity tables, the 744B-at-home projection, repository map |
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  | [preregistrations/](preregistrations/) | every staked prediction with its verdict — hits, the near-miss, and the honest miss |
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+ | [weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md](weights/LAW5_PROTOCOL.md) | the live Law-5 research ledger — conventions, stakes, scores, and the retraction |
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  | [papers/arxiv/](papers/arxiv/) | the paper (submission-ready LaTeX) |
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- | [CHANGELOG.md](CHANGELOG.md) | v1.0 → v1.4, every release |
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+ | [CHANGELOG.md](CHANGELOG.md) | v1.0 → v1.5, every release |
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  ## Honest limitations
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