ogeth 0.0.0__tar.gz

ogeth-0.0.0/LICENSE

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ogeth-0.0.0/MANIFEST.in

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+include ogeth/ogeth_default_parameters.json

ogeth-0.0.0/PKG-INFO

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+Metadata-Version: 2.4
+Name: ogeth
+Version: 0.0.0
+Summary: Ethiopia Calibration for OG-Core
+Home-page: https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/
+Download-URL: https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/
+Author: Marcelo LaFleur, Richard W. Evans, and Jason DeBacker
+License: CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) Public Domain Dedication
+Project-URL: Issue Tracker, https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/issues
+Keywords: ETH Ethiopia calibration of large scale overlapping generations model of fiscal policy
+Classifier: Development Status :: 5 - Production/Stable
+Classifier: Intended Audience :: Developers
+Classifier: Natural Language :: English
+Classifier: License :: OSI Approved :: Common Public License
+Classifier: Operating System :: POSIX
+Classifier: Programming Language :: Python
+Classifier: Programming Language :: Python :: 3.12
+Classifier: Programming Language :: Python :: 3.13
+Classifier: Topic :: Scientific/Engineering :: Information Analysis
+Classifier: Topic :: Software Development :: Libraries :: Python Modules
+Requires-Python: >3.11, <3.14
+Description-Content-Type: text/markdown
+License-File: LICENSE
+Requires-Dist: numpy
+Requires-Dist: psutil
+Requires-Dist: scipy>=1.7.1
+Requires-Dist: pandas>=1.2.5
+Requires-Dist: matplotlib
+Requires-Dist: dask>=2.30.0
+Requires-Dist: distributed>=2.30.1
+Requires-Dist: paramtools>=0.20.0
+Requires-Dist: requests
+Requires-Dist: pandas-datareader
+Requires-Dist: xlwt
+Requires-Dist: openpyxl>=3.1.2
+Requires-Dist: statsmodels
+Requires-Dist: linearmodels
+Requires-Dist: wheel
+Requires-Dist: black
+Requires-Dist: linecheck
+Requires-Dist: ogcore
+Dynamic: author
+Dynamic: classifier
+Dynamic: description
+Dynamic: description-content-type
+Dynamic: download-url
+Dynamic: home-page
+Dynamic: keywords
+Dynamic: license
+Dynamic: license-file
+Dynamic: project-url
+Dynamic: requires-dist
+Dynamic: requires-python
+Dynamic: summary
+
+# OG-ETH
+
+| | |
+| --- | --- |
+| Org | [![United Nations DESA](https://img.shields.io/badge/United%20Nations%20DESA-blue)](https://www.un.org/en/desa) [![PSL cataloged](https://img.shields.io/badge/PSL-cataloged-a0a0a0.svg)](https://www.PSLmodels.org) [![OS License: CC0-1.0](https://img.shields.io/badge/OS%20License-CC0%201.0-yellow)](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/blob/main/LICENSE) [![Jupyter Book Badge](https://raw.githubusercontent.com/jupyter-book/jupyter-book/next/docs/media/images/badge.svg)](https://eapd-drb.github.io/OG-ETH) |
+| Package | [![Python 3.12](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.12-blue.svg)](https://www.python.org/downloads/release/python-3129/) [![Python 3.13](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.13-blue.svg)](https://www.python.org/downloads/release/python-3137/) [![PyPI Latest Release](https://img.shields.io/pypi/v/ogeth.svg)](https://pypi.org/project/ogeth/) [![PyPI Downloads](https://img.shields.io/pypi/dm/ogeth.svg?label=PyPI%20downloads)](https://pypi.org/project/ogeth/) |
+| Testing | ![example event parameter](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/actions/workflows/build_and_test.yml/badge.svg?branch=main) ![example event parameter](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/actions/workflows/deploy_docs.yml/badge.svg?branch=main) ![example event parameter](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/actions/workflows/check_format.yml/badge.svg?branch=main) [![Codecov](https://codecov.io/gh/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/branch/main/graph/badge.svg)](https://codecov.io/gh/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH) |
+
+OG-ETH is an overlapping-generations (OG) model that allows for dynamic general equilibrium analysis of fiscal policy for Ethiopia. OG-ETH is built on the OG-Core framework. The model output includes changes in macroeconomic aggregates (GDP, investment, consumption), wages, interest rates, and the stream of tax revenues over time. Regularly updated documentation of the model theory--its output, and solution method--and the Python API is available at https://pslmodels.github.io/OG-Core and documentation of the specific Ethiopian calibration of the model is available at https://eapd-drb.github.io/OG-ETH.
+
+
+## Using and contributing to OG-ETH
+
+* If you are installing on a Mac computer, install XCode Tools. In Terminal: `xcode-select —install`
+* Download and install the appropriate [Anaconda distribution](https://www.anaconda.com/products/distribution#Downloads) of Python. Select the correct version for you platform (Windows, Intel Mac, or M1 Mac).
+* In Terminal:
+  * Make sure the `conda` package manager is up-to-date: `conda update conda`.
+  * Make sure the Anaconda distribution of Python is up-to-date: `conda update anaconda`.
+* Fork this repository and clone your fork of this repository to a directory on your computer.
+* From the terminal (or Anaconda command prompt), navigate to the directory to which you cloned this repository and run `conda env create -f environment.yml`. The process of creating the `ogeth-dev` conda environment should not take more than five minutes.
+* Then, `conda activate ogeth-dev`
+* Then install by `pip install -e .`
+### Run an example of the model
+* Navigate to `./examples`
+* Run the model with an example reform from terminal/command prompt by typing `python run_og_eth.py`
+* You can adjust the `./examples/run_og_eth.py` by modifying model parameters specified in the dictionary passed to the `p.update_specifications()` calls.
+* Model outputs will be saved in the following files:
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH_example_plots`
+    * This folder will contain a number of plots generated from OG-Core to help you visualize the output from your run
+  * `./examples/ogeth_example_output.csv`
+    * This is a summary of the percentage changes in macro variables over the first ten years and in the steady-state.
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH-Example/OUTPUT_BASELINE/model_params.pkl`
+    * Model parameters used in the baseline run
+    * See [`ogcore.execute.py`](https://github.com/PSLmodels/OG-Core/blob/master/ogcore/execute.py) for items in the dictionary object in this pickle file
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH-Example/OUTPUT_BASELINE/SS/SS_vars.pkl`
+    * Outputs from the model steady state solution under the baseline policy
+    * See [`ogcore.SS.py`](https://github.com/PSLmodels/OG-Core/blob/master/ogcore/SS.py) for what is in the dictionary object in this pickle file
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH-Example/OUTPUT_BASELINE/TPI/TPI_vars.pkl`
+    * Outputs from the model timepath solution under the baseline policy
+    * See [`ogcore.TPI.py`](https://github.com/PSLmodels/OG-Core/blob/master/ogcore/TPI.py) for what is in the dictionary object in this pickle file
+  * An analogous set of files in the `./examples/OUTPUT_REFORM` directory, which represent objects from the simulation of the reform policy
+
+Note that, depending on your machine, a full model run (solving for the full time path equilibrium for the baseline and reform policies) can take from 35 minutes to more than two hours of compute time.
+
+If you run into errors running the example script, please open a new issue in the OG-ETH repo with a description of the issue and any relevant tracebacks you receive.
+
+Once the package is installed, one can adjust parameters in the OG-Core `Specifications` object using the `Calibration` class as follows:
+
+```
+from ogcore.parameters import Specifications
+from ogeth.calibrate import Calibration
+p = Specifications()
+c = Calibration(p)
+updated_params = c.get_dict()
+p.update_specifications({'initial_debt_ratio': updated_params['initial_debt_ratio']})
+```
+
+## Disclaimer
+The organization of this repository will be changing rapidly, but the `OG-ETH/examples/run_og_eth.py` script will be kept up to date to run with the master branch of this repo.
+
+## Core Maintainers
+
+The core maintainers of the OG-ETH repository are:
+
+* Marcelo LaFleur (GitHub handle: [@SeaCelo](https://github.com/SeaCelo)), Senior Economist, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), United Nations
+* [Richard W. Evans](https://sites.google.com/site/rickecon/) (GitHub handle: [@rickecon](https://github.com/rickecon)), Senior Economist, Abundance Institute; President, Open Research Group, Inc.
+* [Jason DeBacker](https://jasondebacker.com) (GitHub handle: [@jdebacker](https://github.com/jdebacker)), Associate Professor, University of South Carolina; Vice President of Research, Open Research Group, Inc.
+
+## Citing OG-ETH
+
+OG-ETH (Version #.#.#)[Source code], https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH.

ogeth-0.0.0/README.md

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+# OG-ETH
+
+| | |
+| --- | --- |
+| Org | [![United Nations DESA](https://img.shields.io/badge/United%20Nations%20DESA-blue)](https://www.un.org/en/desa) [![PSL cataloged](https://img.shields.io/badge/PSL-cataloged-a0a0a0.svg)](https://www.PSLmodels.org) [![OS License: CC0-1.0](https://img.shields.io/badge/OS%20License-CC0%201.0-yellow)](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/blob/main/LICENSE) [![Jupyter Book Badge](https://raw.githubusercontent.com/jupyter-book/jupyter-book/next/docs/media/images/badge.svg)](https://eapd-drb.github.io/OG-ETH) |
+| Package | [![Python 3.12](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.12-blue.svg)](https://www.python.org/downloads/release/python-3129/) [![Python 3.13](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.13-blue.svg)](https://www.python.org/downloads/release/python-3137/) [![PyPI Latest Release](https://img.shields.io/pypi/v/ogeth.svg)](https://pypi.org/project/ogeth/) [![PyPI Downloads](https://img.shields.io/pypi/dm/ogeth.svg?label=PyPI%20downloads)](https://pypi.org/project/ogeth/) |
+| Testing | ![example event parameter](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/actions/workflows/build_and_test.yml/badge.svg?branch=main) ![example event parameter](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/actions/workflows/deploy_docs.yml/badge.svg?branch=main) ![example event parameter](https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/actions/workflows/check_format.yml/badge.svg?branch=main) [![Codecov](https://codecov.io/gh/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH/branch/main/graph/badge.svg)](https://codecov.io/gh/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH) |
+
+OG-ETH is an overlapping-generations (OG) model that allows for dynamic general equilibrium analysis of fiscal policy for Ethiopia. OG-ETH is built on the OG-Core framework. The model output includes changes in macroeconomic aggregates (GDP, investment, consumption), wages, interest rates, and the stream of tax revenues over time. Regularly updated documentation of the model theory--its output, and solution method--and the Python API is available at https://pslmodels.github.io/OG-Core and documentation of the specific Ethiopian calibration of the model is available at https://eapd-drb.github.io/OG-ETH.
+
+
+## Using and contributing to OG-ETH
+
+* If you are installing on a Mac computer, install XCode Tools. In Terminal: `xcode-select —install`
+* Download and install the appropriate [Anaconda distribution](https://www.anaconda.com/products/distribution#Downloads) of Python. Select the correct version for you platform (Windows, Intel Mac, or M1 Mac).
+* In Terminal:
+  * Make sure the `conda` package manager is up-to-date: `conda update conda`.
+  * Make sure the Anaconda distribution of Python is up-to-date: `conda update anaconda`.
+* Fork this repository and clone your fork of this repository to a directory on your computer.
+* From the terminal (or Anaconda command prompt), navigate to the directory to which you cloned this repository and run `conda env create -f environment.yml`. The process of creating the `ogeth-dev` conda environment should not take more than five minutes.
+* Then, `conda activate ogeth-dev`
+* Then install by `pip install -e .`
+### Run an example of the model
+* Navigate to `./examples`
+* Run the model with an example reform from terminal/command prompt by typing `python run_og_eth.py`
+* You can adjust the `./examples/run_og_eth.py` by modifying model parameters specified in the dictionary passed to the `p.update_specifications()` calls.
+* Model outputs will be saved in the following files:
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH_example_plots`
+    * This folder will contain a number of plots generated from OG-Core to help you visualize the output from your run
+  * `./examples/ogeth_example_output.csv`
+    * This is a summary of the percentage changes in macro variables over the first ten years and in the steady-state.
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH-Example/OUTPUT_BASELINE/model_params.pkl`
+    * Model parameters used in the baseline run
+    * See [`ogcore.execute.py`](https://github.com/PSLmodels/OG-Core/blob/master/ogcore/execute.py) for items in the dictionary object in this pickle file
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH-Example/OUTPUT_BASELINE/SS/SS_vars.pkl`
+    * Outputs from the model steady state solution under the baseline policy
+    * See [`ogcore.SS.py`](https://github.com/PSLmodels/OG-Core/blob/master/ogcore/SS.py) for what is in the dictionary object in this pickle file
+  * `./examples/OG-ETH-Example/OUTPUT_BASELINE/TPI/TPI_vars.pkl`
+    * Outputs from the model timepath solution under the baseline policy
+    * See [`ogcore.TPI.py`](https://github.com/PSLmodels/OG-Core/blob/master/ogcore/TPI.py) for what is in the dictionary object in this pickle file
+  * An analogous set of files in the `./examples/OUTPUT_REFORM` directory, which represent objects from the simulation of the reform policy
+
+Note that, depending on your machine, a full model run (solving for the full time path equilibrium for the baseline and reform policies) can take from 35 minutes to more than two hours of compute time.
+
+If you run into errors running the example script, please open a new issue in the OG-ETH repo with a description of the issue and any relevant tracebacks you receive.
+
+Once the package is installed, one can adjust parameters in the OG-Core `Specifications` object using the `Calibration` class as follows:
+
+```
+from ogcore.parameters import Specifications
+from ogeth.calibrate import Calibration
+p = Specifications()
+c = Calibration(p)
+updated_params = c.get_dict()
+p.update_specifications({'initial_debt_ratio': updated_params['initial_debt_ratio']})
+```
+
+## Disclaimer
+The organization of this repository will be changing rapidly, but the `OG-ETH/examples/run_og_eth.py` script will be kept up to date to run with the master branch of this repo.
+
+## Core Maintainers
+
+The core maintainers of the OG-ETH repository are:
+
+* Marcelo LaFleur (GitHub handle: [@SeaCelo](https://github.com/SeaCelo)), Senior Economist, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), United Nations
+* [Richard W. Evans](https://sites.google.com/site/rickecon/) (GitHub handle: [@rickecon](https://github.com/rickecon)), Senior Economist, Abundance Institute; President, Open Research Group, Inc.
+* [Jason DeBacker](https://jasondebacker.com) (GitHub handle: [@jdebacker](https://github.com/jdebacker)), Associate Professor, University of South Carolina; Vice President of Research, Open Research Group, Inc.
+
+## Citing OG-ETH
+
+OG-ETH (Version #.#.#)[Source code], https://github.com/EAPD-DRB/OG-ETH.

ogeth-0.0.0/ogeth/__init__.py

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+"""
+Specify what is available to import from the ogeth package.
+"""
+
+from ogeth.calibrate import *
+from ogeth.income import *
+from ogeth.input_output import *
+from ogeth.macro_params import *
+from ogeth.utils import *
+
+__version__ = "0.0.0"

ogeth-0.0.0/ogeth/calibrate.py

@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
+from ogeth import macro_params, income
+from ogeth import input_output as io
+import os
+import numpy as np
+import datetime
+from ogcore import demographics
+
+
+class Calibration:
+    """OG-ETH calibration class"""
+
+    def __init__(
+        self,
+        p,
+        macro_data_start_year=datetime.datetime(1947, 1, 1),
+        macro_data_end_year=datetime.datetime(2024, 12, 31),
+        demographic_data_path=None,
+        output_path=None,
+        update_from_api=False,  # Set True to update from World Bank and UN APIs
+    ):
+        """
+        Constructor for the Calibration class.
+
+        Args:
+            p (OG-Core Specifications object): model parameters
+            demographic_data_path (str): path to save demographic data
+            output_path (str): path to save output to
+            update_from_api (bool): Set True if you want to pull updated macro data
+                from World Bank and UN APIs
+
+        Returns:
+            None
+
+        """
+        # Create output_path if it doesn't exist
+        if output_path is not None:
+            if not os.path.exists(output_path):
+                os.makedirs(output_path)
+
+        # Macro estimation
+        self.macro_params = macro_params.get_macro_params(
+            macro_data_start_year,
+            macro_data_end_year,
+            update_from_api=update_from_api,
+        )
+
+        # io matrix and alpha_c
+        if p.I > 1:  # no need if just one consumption good
+            alpha_c_dict = io.get_alpha_c()
+            # check that model dimensions are consistent with alpha_c
+            assert p.I == len(list(alpha_c_dict.keys()))
+            self.alpha_c = np.array(list(alpha_c_dict.values()))
+        else:
+            self.alpha_c = np.array([1.0])
+        if p.M > 1:  # no need if just one production good
+            io_df = io.get_io_matrix()
+            # check that model dimensions are consistent with io_matrix
+            assert p.M == len(list(io_df.keys()))
+            self.io_matrix = io_df.values
+        else:
+            self.io_matrix = np.array([[1.0]])
+
+        # demographics
+        self.demographic_params = demographics.get_pop_objs(
+            p.E,
+            p.S,
+            p.T,
+            0,
+            99,
+            country_id="710",
+            initial_data_year=p.start_year - 1,
+            final_data_year=p.start_year + 1,
+            GraphDiag=False,
+            download_path=demographic_data_path,
+        )
+
+        # demographics for 80 period lives (needed for getting e below)
+        demog80 = demographics.get_pop_objs(
+            20,
+            80,
+            p.T,
+            0,
+            99,
+            country_id="710",
+            initial_data_year=p.start_year - 1,
+            final_data_year=p.start_year + 1,
+            GraphDiag=False,
+        )
+
+        # earnings profiles
+        self.e = income.get_e_interp(
+            p.S,
+            self.demographic_params["omega_SS"],
+            demog80["omega_SS"],
+            p.lambdas,
+            plot_path=output_path,
+        )
+
+    # method to return all newly calibrated parameters in a dictionary
+    def get_dict(self):
+        dict = {}
+        dict.update(self.macro_params)
+        dict["e"] = self.e
+        dict["alpha_c"] = self.alpha_c
+        dict["io_matrix"] = self.io_matrix
+        dict.update(self.demographic_params)
+
+        return dict