noshot 0.4.1__tar.gz → 0.9.0__tar.gz

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (26) hide show
  1. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/PKG-INFO +1 -1
  2. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/noshot.egg-info/PKG-INFO +1 -1
  3. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/setup.py +1 -1
  4. noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/10. Seasonal ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb +246 -0
  5. noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/11. Multivariate ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb +228 -0
  6. noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/6. ACF PACF.ipynb +77 -0
  7. noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/7. Differencing.ipynb +167 -0
  8. noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/8. ARMA Forecasting.ipynb +197 -0
  9. noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/9. ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb +220 -0
  10. noshot-0.4.1/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/10. Seasonal ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb +0 -928
  11. noshot-0.4.1/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/11. Multivariate ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb +0 -1270
  12. noshot-0.4.1/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/6. ACF PACF.ipynb +0 -175
  13. noshot-0.4.1/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/7. Differencing.ipynb +0 -303
  14. noshot-0.4.1/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/8. ARMA Forecasting.ipynb +0 -746
  15. noshot-0.4.1/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/9. ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb +0 -579
  16. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/LICENSE.txt +0 -0
  17. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/README.md +0 -0
  18. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/noshot.egg-info/SOURCES.txt +0 -0
  19. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/noshot.egg-info/dependency_links.txt +0 -0
  20. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/noshot.egg-info/not-zip-safe +0 -0
  21. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/noshot.egg-info/top_level.txt +0 -0
  22. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/setup.cfg +0 -0
  23. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/src/noshot/__init__.py +0 -0
  24. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/src/noshot/main.py +0 -0
  25. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/src/noshot/utils/__init__.py +0 -0
  26. {noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/src/noshot/utils/shell_utils.py +0 -0
{noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/PKG-INFO RENAMED
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
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  Metadata-Version: 2.4
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  Name: noshot
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- Version: 0.4.1
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+ Version: 0.9.0
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  Summary: Support library for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and Data Science tools
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  Author: Tim Stan S
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  License: MIT
{noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/noshot.egg-info/PKG-INFO RENAMED
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
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  Metadata-Version: 2.4
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  Name: noshot
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- Version: 0.4.1
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+ Version: 0.9.0
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  Summary: Support library for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and Data Science tools
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  Author: Tim Stan S
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  License: MIT
{noshot-0.4.1 → noshot-0.9.0}/setup.py RENAMED
@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ with open("README.md", "r", encoding="utf-8") as f:
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  setup(
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  name="noshot",
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- version="0.4.1",
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+ version="0.9.0",
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  author="Tim Stan S",
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  description="Support library for Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and Data Science tools",
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  long_description=long_description,
noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/10. Seasonal ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,246 @@
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+ {
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+ "cells": [
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "142adfce-1c93-475a-a465-0f344cbc6b93",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "import numpy as np\n",
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+ "import pandas as pd\n",
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+ "import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
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+ "from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error\n",
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+ "from pandas.plotting import autocorrelation_plot\n",
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+ "from statsmodels.graphics.tsaplots import plot_acf, plot_pacf\n",
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+ "import statsmodels.api as sm\n",
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+ "from statsmodels.tsa.arima_model import ARIMA\n",
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+ "import warnings\n",
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+ "warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "b10b8b58-6c78-442e-b712-67b16f228f15",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "df = pd.read_csv('monthly-sunspots.csv', parse_dates=[0])\n",
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+ "df.head(10)"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "3b123997-e868-4998-bbb6-9031ea8ab39f",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "plt.figure(figsize=(10,8))\n",
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+ "plt.plot(df['Month'], df['Sunspots'], color = 'green', label = 'Sunspot Numbers')\n",
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+ "plt.xlabel('Date')\n",
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+ "plt.ylabel('Sunspot Numbers')\n",
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+ "plt.grid()\n",
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+ "plt.title('Monthly Mean Sunspot Numbers')\n",
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+ "plt.show()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "9c56e5d1-a019-457b-8313-c5f71b378a5a",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "df.describe().T"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "94752ac3-fb85-41c1-94dc-f1a05b0baf75",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "df['Month'] = pd.to_datetime(df['Month'])\n",
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+ "data_new = df.set_index(df['Month'])\n",
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+ "data_new = data_new.drop(labels = ['Month'], axis = 1)\n",
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+ "data_new.head()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "b02c91b4-f7ee-4ce5-b707-6bf2604bed55",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "fig = plt.figure(figsize=(10,8))\n",
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+ "data_new['Sunspots'].plot(style = 'k.')"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "dca190cd-41b8-44d5-8ed2-190c87b04fb9",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "data_q = data_new.resample('q').mean()\n",
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+ "data_q.head()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "1f944805-6b99-4854-a7c2-53bf2a6de1c2",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "def adfuller_test(data):\n",
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+ " result = adfuller(data)\n",
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+ " labels = ['ADF Test Statistic' 'P-value', 'Lags Used', 'Number of Observation Used']\n",
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+ " for value, label in zip(result, labels):\n",
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+ " print(label+\": \"+str(value))\n",
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+ " if result[1] <= 0.05:\n",
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+ " print(\"Strong evidencew against the null hypothesis(h0), reject the null hypothesis. Data has no unit root and is stationary\")\n",
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+ " else:\n",
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+ " print(\"Weak evidence against null hypothesis, time series has a unit root, indicating it is non-stationary\")"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "1e2740f4-ba2b-4fc4-a310-131b15ae20cb",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "data_q.plot(figsize=(10,8))"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "8062e59f-4149-45fc-b2ca-3f586c6ed078",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "base_data = data_q.copy()\n",
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+ "base_data['Monthly Mean Total Sunspot Number'] = base_data['Sunspots']\n",
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+ "base_data['Shifter Monthly Mean Total Sunspot Number'] = base_data['Monthly Mean Total Sunspot Number'].shift(1)"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "8232f405-2560-4b9a-870e-8af209ef0f87",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "base_data.head()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "9cb81777-9f8d-4c64-ad4f-7c245454085e",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "base_data[['Monthly Mean Total Sunspot Number', 'Shifter Monthly Mean Total Sunspot Number']].plot()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "1e27fde3-cef9-4366-a972-52a974226d91",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "base_data = base_data.dropna()\n",
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+ "print(\"Mean Squared Error:\", mean_squared_error(base_data['Monthly Mean Total Sunspot Number'], \n",
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+ " base_data['Shifter Monthly Mean Total Sunspot Number']))"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "cd01e7eb-5e88-41e8-9ddd-1ea35f054b4b",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "fig = plt.figure(figsize=(10,8))\n",
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+ "autocorrelation_plot(data_q)\n",
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+ "plt.show()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "2d127256-a9cc-431d-95ae-6f8323aa21b7",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "fig = plt.figure(figsize=(10,8))\n",
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+ "ax1 = fig.add_subplot(211)\n",
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+ "fig = sm.graphics.tsa.plot_acf(data_q, lags = 40, ax = ax1)\n",
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+ "ax2 = fig.add_subplot(212)\n",
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+ "fig = sm.graphics.tsa.plot_pacf(data_q, lags = 40, ax = ax2)"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "03258c9e-a3b6-465b-98ca-d5cc6a481626",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "model = sm.tsa.statespace.SARIMAX(data_q['Sunspots'], order=(2,0,2), seasonal_order=(2,0,2,6))\n",
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+ "results = model.fit()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "4eb643eb-59ae-475c-9096-87e536da8e62",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "results.summary()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "c2350c09-4c80-4c24-88d8-3b645981ce21",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "data_q['forecast'] = results.predict(start = 1000, end = 1084, dynamic = True)\n",
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+ "data_q[['Sunspots', 'forecast']].plot(figsize = (10,8))"
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+ ]
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+ }
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+ ],
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+ "metadata": {
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+ "kernelspec": {
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+ "display_name": "Python 3 (ipykernel)",
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+ "language": "python",
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+ "name": "python3"
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+ },
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+ "language_info": {
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+ "codemirror_mode": {
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+ "name": "ipython",
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+ "version": 3
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+ },
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+ "file_extension": ".py",
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+ "mimetype": "text/x-python",
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+ "name": "python",
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+ "nbconvert_exporter": "python",
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+ "pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
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+ "version": "3.12.4"
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+ }
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+ },
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+ "nbformat": 4,
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+ "nbformat_minor": 5
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+ }
noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/11. Multivariate ARIMA Forecasting.ipynb ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,228 @@
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+ {
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+ "cells": [
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "8f9faf6e",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "import numpy as np\n",
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+ "import pandas as pd\n",
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+ "import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
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+ "from statsmodels.tsa.stattools import adfuller\n",
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+ "from statsmodels.tsa.stattools import grangercausalitytests\n",
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+ "from statsmodels.tsa.statespace.varmax import VARMAX\n",
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+ "from statsmodels.tsa.api import VAR\n",
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+ "import warnings\n",
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+ "warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "da824655",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "custom_column_names = ['WSR0','WSR1']\n",
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+ "df = pd.read_csv('eighthr.csv', parse_dates=[0], na_values=['?'],\n",
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+ " index_col=0, names = (['WSR0', 'WSR1']+list(range(3, 74))))\n",
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+ "df = df.dropna()\n",
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+ "df.head()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "92bf562d",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "df['WSR0'] = df['WSR0'].astype(float)\n",
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+ "df['WSR1'] = df['WSR1'].astype(float)"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "f578482e",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "fig,axes = plt.subplots(2,1,figsize=(14,8))\n",
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+ "df['WSR1'].plot(ax=axes[0],title='WSR0')\n",
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+ "df['WSR0'].plot(ax=axes[1],title='WSR1')\n",
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+ "plt.show()"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "daac380f",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "result = adfuller(df['WSR0'])\n",
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+ "print(result)\n",
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+ "if result[1]<0.05:\n",
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+ " print(\"It is Stationary\")\n",
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+ "else:\n",
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+ " print(\"It is not stationary\")"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "e18f51f2",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "result = adfuller(df['WSR1'])\n",
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+ "print(result)\n",
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+ "if result[1]<0.05:\n",
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+ " print(\"It is Stationary\")\n",
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+ "else:\n",
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+ " print(\"It is not stationary\")"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "0b6419c1",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "print('WSR0 causes WSR1')\n",
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+ "print('---------------------')\n",
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+ "granger1=grangercausalitytests(df[['WSR0','WSR1']],2)\n",
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+ "print('WSR1 causes WSR0')\n",
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+ "print('---------------------')\n",
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+ "granger1=grangercausalitytests(df[['WSR1','WSR0']],2)"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "b37f4f93",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "train = df[['WSR0','WSR1']]\n",
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+ "model = VAR(train)\n",
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+ "sortedmodel = model.select_order(maxlags=20)\n",
114
+ "sortedmodel.summary()"
115
+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "3da00920",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "model = VARMAX(df[['WSR0', 'WSR1']], order=(10,0),enforce_stationarity=True)\n",
125
+ "model_fit = model.fit()\n",
126
+ "model_fit.summary()"
127
+ ]
128
+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "0b0cf16d",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "n_forecast = 12\n",
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+ "pred = model_fit.get_prediction()\n",
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+ "preds = pred.predicted_mean"
139
+ ]
140
+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "56954749",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "preds.columns = ['WSR0 Predictions','WSR1 Predictions']\n",
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+ "preds"
150
+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "704c6372",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "train = df[['WSR0','WSR1']]\n",
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+ "testvspread = pd.concat([train,preds],axis=1)\n",
161
+ "testvspread"
162
+ ]
163
+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "d60e3508",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "testvspread[['WSR0','WSR0 Predictions']].plot()"
172
+ ]
173
+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "28fb2660",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "testvspread[['WSR1','WSR1 Predictions']].plot()"
182
+ ]
183
+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "35888acd",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
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+ "from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error\n",
192
+ "mean_squared_error(testvspread['WSR1'],testvspread['WSR1 Predictions'])"
193
+ ]
194
+ },
195
+ {
196
+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "41748e7e",
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+ "metadata": {},
200
+ "outputs": [],
201
+ "source": [
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+ "from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error\n",
203
+ "mean_squared_error(testvspread['WSR0'],testvspread['WSR0 Predictions'])"
204
+ ]
205
+ }
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+ ],
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+ "metadata": {
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+ "kernelspec": {
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+ "display_name": "Python 3 (ipykernel)",
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+ "language": "python",
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+ "name": "python3"
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+ },
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+ "language_info": {
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+ "codemirror_mode": {
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+ "name": "ipython",
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+ "version": 3
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+ },
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+ "file_extension": ".py",
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+ "mimetype": "text/x-python",
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+ "name": "python",
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+ "nbconvert_exporter": "python",
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+ "pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
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+ "version": "3.12.4"
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+ }
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+ },
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+ "nbformat": 4,
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+ "nbformat_minor": 5
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+ }
noshot-0.9.0/src/noshot/data/ML TS XAI/TS/6. ACF PACF.ipynb ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,77 @@
1
+ {
2
+ "cells": [
3
+ {
4
+ "cell_type": "code",
5
+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "97b25ae4-1eb7-4599-bad4-e959bbb9a275",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
10
+ "import pandas as pd\n",
11
+ "import numpy as np\n",
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+ "import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
13
+ "from statsmodels.graphics.tsaplots import plot_acf, plot_pacf"
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+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "f70584ab-aa4d-4957-9315-3e884f66c559",
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+ "metadata": {},
21
+ "outputs": [],
22
+ "source": [
23
+ "df = pd.read_csv('daily-min-temperatures.csv')\n",
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+ "print(df.shape)\n",
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+ "df.head()"
26
+ ]
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+ },
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+ {
29
+ "cell_type": "code",
30
+ "execution_count": null,
31
+ "id": "b6574dd0-e010-423b-bb26-ba2ca142e848",
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+ "metadata": {},
33
+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
35
+ "df.plot(title = \"daily Minimum Temperature\" ,figsize = (14, 8), legend = None, color = 'green')\n",
36
+ "plt.xlabel('Date')\n",
37
+ "plt.ylabel('Temperature (°C)')\n",
38
+ "plt.show()"
39
+ ]
40
+ },
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+ {
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+ "cell_type": "code",
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+ "execution_count": null,
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+ "id": "3ba0f2ea-069c-4aa2-aa4b-0d90a54ee21f",
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+ "metadata": {},
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+ "outputs": [],
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+ "source": [
48
+ "fig, axs = plt.subplots(2, 1, figsize = (10,8))\n",
49
+ "plot_acf(df['Temp'], lags = 30, ax = axs[0], title = 'Autocorrelation (ACF)', color = 'green')\n",
50
+ "plot_pacf(df['Temp'], lags = 30, ax = axs[1], title = 'Partial Autocorrelation (PACF)', color = 'red')\n",
51
+ "plt.tight_layout()\n",
52
+ "plt.show()"
53
+ ]
54
+ }
55
+ ],
56
+ "metadata": {
57
+ "kernelspec": {
58
+ "display_name": "Python 3 (ipykernel)",
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+ "language": "python",
60
+ "name": "python3"
61
+ },
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+ "language_info": {
63
+ "codemirror_mode": {
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+ "name": "ipython",
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+ "version": 3
66
+ },
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+ "file_extension": ".py",
68
+ "mimetype": "text/x-python",
69
+ "name": "python",
70
+ "nbconvert_exporter": "python",
71
+ "pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
72
+ "version": "3.12.4"
73
+ }
74
+ },
75
+ "nbformat": 4,
76
+ "nbformat_minor": 5
77
+ }