mws-lab 1.0.0__tar.gz

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+ # Morocco_Water_Scarcity — Authors and Contributors
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+
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+ ## Principal Investigator
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+
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+ **Samir Baladi**
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+
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+ *Role:* Interdisciplinary AI Researcher — Conceptual architecture, study
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+ design, data curation, formal analysis, methodology, software, validation,
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+ and manuscript preparation.
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+
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+ *Contact:* gitdeeper@gmail.com
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+
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+ *ORCID:* [0009-0003-8903-0029](https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8903-0029)
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+
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+ *Affiliation:* Ronin Institute / Rite of Renaissance
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Manuscript Status
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+
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+ This project is a **completed research release** (`1.0.0`).
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+
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+ The manuscript, seven figures, the World Bank data extract, the analysis
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+ pipeline, the Python build artifacts, and the project website are all
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+ included in this release. An external review was completed on 2026-11-02.
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+
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+ The analysis is **exploratory and associational**; no causal claims are made.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Conceptual and Methodological Foundations
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+
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+ The research draws on five intersecting domains:
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+
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+ ### 1. Environmental and Earth Sciences
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+ - Freshwater resource assessment.
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+ - Water scarcity indicators (Falkenmark, water-stress index).
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+ - Climate and rainfall variability.
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+ - Groundwater depletion and dam storage dynamics.
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+
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+ ### 2. Agricultural and Water Policy
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+ - Agricultural water demand.
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+ - Irrigation efficiency.
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+ - Water reuse and desalination capacity.
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+ - National water strategy (Morocco's 2025 State of the Environment Report).
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+
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+ ### 3. Statistics and Econometrics
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+ - Ordinary least squares regression.
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+ - Multicollinearity diagnostics (VIF, condition number).
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+ - Confidence intervals and hypothesis testing.
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+ - Correlation analysis (Pearson matrix).
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+
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+ ### 4. Data Science and Reproducibility
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+ - World Bank WDI data extraction.
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+ - Reproducible analysis pipeline (Python 3.9+).
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+ - Versioned datasets and fixed seeds.
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+
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+ ### 5. Science Communication and Open Research
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+ - Open data licensing (CC-BY-4.0 for World Bank data).
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+ - Open manuscript (CC-BY-4.0).
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+ - Open code (MIT).
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+ - Zenodo DOI deposit for permanent citation.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## CRediT Contributor Roles
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+
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+ Per the [Contributor Roles Taxonomy (CRediT)](https://credit.niso.org/):
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+
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+ | Role | Contributor |
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+ |------|-------------|
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+ | Conceptualization | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Data curation | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Formal Analysis | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Funding acquisition | — (none) |
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+ | Investigation | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Methodology | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Project administration | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Resources | — (none) |
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+ | Software | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Supervision | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Validation | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Visualization | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Writing — original draft | Samir Baladi |
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+ | Writing — review & editing | Samir Baladi |
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Institutional Support
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+
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+ - **Status:** None confirmed.
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+ - **Pending:** Institutional review board (not required — public data only).
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+ - **Pending:** Compute resources (analysis runs on commodity hardware).
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Funding
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+
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+ **Status:** No external funding confirmed.
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+
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+ **Future funding targets:**
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+ - Extended analysis across additional MENA countries.
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+ - Confirmatory study with causal identification.
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+ - Replication dataset.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## How to Contribute
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+
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+ This is a completed research release. Contributions at this stage are limited to:
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+
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+ - Corrections (typos, metadata, references).
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+ - Reproducibility fixes (dependency issues, script bugs).
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+ - Packaging improvements.
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+ - Documentation clarity.
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+
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+ See [`CONTRIBUTING.md`](CONTRIBUTING.md) for guidelines.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Contact
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+
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+ - Scientific inquiries: gitdeeper@gmail.com
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+ - ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8903-0029
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+ - Zenodo DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23884236
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+ - PyPI: https://pypi.org/project/mws-lab/
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+ - Figshare: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34884417
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+ - Figshare: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34884417
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+ - Repository issues: TBD (GitHub repository pending)
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ **Last Updated:** 2026-11-02
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+ **Current Version:** 1.0.0
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+ # Morocco_Water_Scarcity — Changelog
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+
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+ All notable changes to this research project will be documented in this file.
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+
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+ The format is based on [Keep a Changelog](https://keepachangelog.com/en/1.0.0/),
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+ and this project adheres to [Semantic Versioning](https://semver.org/spec/v2.0.0.html).
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## [1.0.0] — 2026-11-02
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+
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+ ### Initial Research Release
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+
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+ First public research release of **Water Scarcity in Morocco: A Multivariate
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+ Analysis of Climatic, Agricultural, and Socioeconomic Drivers**.
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+
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+ This release includes the full manuscript, seven figures, the World Bank data
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+ extract, the analysis pipeline, the Python build artifacts, and the project
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+ website. The analysis is **exploratory and associational**; no causal claims
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+ are made.
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+
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+ ### Added — Research Manuscript
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+
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+ - `PUBLICATION/water_scarcity_morocco.pdf` — full manuscript (1.3 MB).
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+ - `PUBLICATION/credit_table.md` — CRediT contributor roles.
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+ - Abstract, methodology, results, limitations, and policy implications
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+ covering Morocco's freshwater trajectory from 2000 to 2025.
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+
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+ ### Added — Figures (7)
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+
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/Figure_1_Conceptual_Framework.png`
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/Figure_2_Methodology_Flowchart.png`
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/Figure_3_Selected_Water_Indicators.png`
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/Figure_4_Water_Allocation.png`
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/Figure_5_Rainfall_and_Reservoir_Indicators.png`
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/Figure_6_Correlation_Matrix.png`
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/Figure_7_OLS_Regression_Results.png`
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+
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+ ### Added — Data
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+
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+ - `DATA/raw/worldbank_data.csv` — World Bank WDI extract (16 KB).
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+ - `DATA/raw/fetch_worldbank_data.py` — reproducible data-fetch script.
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+ - `DATA/raw/input.json` — indicator configuration.
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+
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+ ### Added — Analysis
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+
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+ - `ANALYSIS/ANALYSIS_REPORT.md` — analysis summary.
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+ - `ANALYSIS/analysis_insights.json` — structured insights.
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+ - OLS regression with full diagnostics (VIF, condition number, CIs).
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+ - Pairwise Pearson correlation matrix.
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+ - Descriptive statistics and trend summaries.
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+
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+ ### Added — Publication Artifacts
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+
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+ - `PUBLICATION/Netlify/` — project website
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+ (`index.html`, `dashboard.html`, `documentation.html`, `reports.html`,
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+ `assets/style.css`, `project.json`).
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+ - `PUBLICATION/dist/` — Python package artifacts
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+ (`morocco-water-scarcity-1.0.0-py3-none-any.whl`,
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+ `morocco-water-scarcity-1.0.0.tar.gz`).
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+ - `PUBLICATION/manifest.json`, `PUBLICATION/output_summary.txt`.
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+ - `PUBLICATION/ste_website_steering.json`, `PUBLICATION/netlify.toml`.
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+
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+ ### Added — Governance and Audit
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+
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+ - `EXTERNAL_REVIEW/` — external review record (2026-11-02).
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+ - `REPORTS/dpia_report.md`, `REPORTS/dpia_report.json` — data protection
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+ impact assessment.
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+ - `REPORTS/compliance_audit_report.json`.
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+ - `REPORTS/citation_report.md`, `REPORTS/reference_alignment_report.json`,
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+ `REPORTS/reference_audit_report.json`, `REPORTS/reference_resolver_report.json`.
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+ - `REPORTS/evaluation_report.json`, `REPORTS/feedback_report.json`.
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+ - `REPORTS/results_consistency_report.json`, `REPORTS/review_sync_report.json`.
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+ - `VALIDATION/.lock/language_lock_report.json`.
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+
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+ ### Added — Documentation
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+
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+ - `README.md` — full project overview (460 lines, 8 badges).
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+ - `AUTHORS.md` — author and contributor record.
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+ - `CITATION.cff` — citation metadata with Zenodo DOI and ORCID.
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+ - `CHANGELOG.md` — this file.
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+ - `CONTRIBUTING.md` — contribution guidelines.
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+ - `LICENSE` — MIT (code) and CC-BY-4.0 (manuscript, figures, documentation).
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+ - `docs/ITERATION_LOG.md` — iteration history.
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+ - `docs/comprehensive_audit_report.json` — consolidated audit.
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+
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+ ### Added — Project Infrastructure
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+
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+ - `VERSION` — `1.0.0`.
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+ - `requirements.txt` — Python dependencies.
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+ - `pyproject.toml` — project metadata.
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+ - `MANIFEST.in` — distribution manifest.
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+ - `.gitignore` — standard Python/OS/IDE ignores.
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+ - `FINAL_REPORT.json` — pipeline execution record (70 agents).
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+ - `scientific_state.json` — internal scientific state record.
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+
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+ ### Status
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+
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+ | Dimension | Status |
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+ |-----------|--------|
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+ | Manuscript | Complete (PDF) |
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+ | Figures | 7 included |
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+ | Data | World Bank WDI (5 indicators) |
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+ | Analysis | OLS with diagnostics |
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+ | Sample | n = 16 (model sample) |
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+ | Model R² | 0.812 |
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+ | Package | Built (`dist/`) |
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+ | Website | Built (Netlify) |
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+ | Quality gate | PASSED |
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+ | Causal claims | None (associational) |
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+ | External review | Completed (2026-11-02) |
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Roadmap
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+
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+ ### 1.0.1 — Maintenance
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+
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+ - Fix any packaging issues discovered post-release.
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+ - Correct typos or metadata inconsistencies.
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+ - Update DOI if re-published on Zenodo.
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+
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+ ### 1.1.0 — Extended Analysis (planned)
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+
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+ - Extend the sample beyond 2000–2025 if new data becomes available.
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+ - Sensitivity analysis across alternative indicator definitions.
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+ - Supplementary figures for policy scenarios.
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+
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+ ### 2.0.0 — Confirmatory Study (planned)
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+
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+ - Pre-registered design.
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+ - Causal identification strategy (e.g., panel methods or natural experiments).
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+ - External replication dataset.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Notes on the Changelog
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+
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+ - Substantive changes only.
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+ - Any change to the analysis protocol after release is recorded as an
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+ amendment with explicit rationale.
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+ - Numeric thresholds and diagnostic cutoffs follow standard practice
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+ (e.g., VIF, condition number) and are not tuned to results.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ **Last Updated:** 2026-11-02
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+ **Current Version:** 1.0.0
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+ cff-version: 1.2.0
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+ title: "Water Scarcity in Morocco: A Multivariate Analysis of Climatic, Agricultural, and Socioeconomic Drivers"
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+ message: "If you use this research, data, or code, please cite as below."
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+ type: software
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+ version: "1.0.0"
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+ date-released: "2026-11-02"
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+ license: MIT
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+ abstract: |
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+ An exploratory associational analysis of the climatic, agricultural,
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+ and socioeconomic drivers of national freshwater withdrawals in Morocco
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+ (2000-2025). The study uses five publicly available World Bank
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+ indicators, supplemented by national indicators from Morocco's 2025
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+ State of the Environment Report, and applies ordinary least squares
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+ regression with full diagnostics (VIF, condition number, confidence
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+ intervals).
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+
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+ Key findings include a model R-squared of 0.812 on a sample of n = 16,
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+ with agricultural water demand emerging as the dominant driver of
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+ withdrawal trajectories. Morocco's renewable freshwater per capita
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+ fell from approximately 2,560 cubic meters per year in 1960 to about
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+ 620 cubic meters in 2020, well inside the United Nations absolute
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+ water-scarcity threshold.
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+
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+ The analysis is explicitly exploratory and associational. It is not
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+ designed to establish causal attribution, and its conclusions should
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+ be read as hypothesis-generating rather than confirmatory.
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+ keywords:
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+ - water scarcity
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+ - morocco
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+ - world bank indicators
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+ - OLS regression
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+ - environmental science
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+ - water policy
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+ - agricultural water demand
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+ - climate change
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+ - freshwater withdrawals
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+ authors:
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+ - family-names: "Baladi"
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+ given-names: "Samir"
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+ email: "gitdeeper@gmail.com"
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+ orcid: "https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8903-0029"
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+ affiliation: "Ronin Institute / Rite of Renaissance"
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+ repository-code: "TBD"
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+ url: "https://mws-lab.netlify.app"
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+ url: "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23884236"
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+ identifiers:
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+ - type: doi
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+ value: "10.5281/zenodo.23884236"
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+ - type: doi
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+ value: "10.6084/m9.figshare.34884417"
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+ - type: url
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+ value: "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23884236"
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+ - type: url
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+ value: "https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34884417"
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+ - type: url
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+ value: "https://mws-lab.netlify.app"
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+ - type: url
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+ value: "https://pypi.org/project/mws-lab/"
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+ # Contributing to Morocco_Water_Scarcity
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+
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+ **Water Scarcity in Morocco: A Multivariate Analysis of Climatic, Agricultural, and Socioeconomic Drivers**
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Status
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+
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+ This project is a **completed research release** (`1.0.0`). The manuscript,
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+ figures, data, and analysis pipeline are published.
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+
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+ Contributions at this stage are limited to:
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+
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+ - **Corrections**: typos, incorrect references, metadata errors.
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+ - **Reproducibility fixes**: dependency issues, broken scripts.
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+ - **Packaging fixes**: build artifacts, file structure.
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+ - **Documentation clarity**: ambiguities in README or methodology.
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+
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+ **Not accepted at this stage:**
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+
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+ - New analyses that change the reported findings.
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+ - Changes to the OLS specification or indicator definitions.
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+ - Rewriting the manuscript's conclusions.
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+ - New dependencies unless justified as a reproducibility fix.
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+
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+ For extensions (new analyses, sensitivity checks, confirmatory studies),
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+ open an issue first to discuss scope.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Reporting Issues
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+
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+ Open an issue with:
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+
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+ - A one-sentence description.
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+ - The affected file (e.g., `README.md`, `DATA/raw/fetch_worldbank_data.py`).
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+ - A minimal reproduction or screenshot.
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+ - Expected vs. actual behavior.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Submitting Corrections
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ git checkout -b fix/short-description
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+ # make changes
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+ git commit -m "fix: short description"
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+ git push origin fix/short-description
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+ ```
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+
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+ Then open a pull request. Each PR should address one concern.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ Code Standards
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+
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+ Language Standard
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+ Python PEP 8, black (88 chars), isort, flake8
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+ Markdown markdownlint (MD013 disabled)
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+ YAML yamllint
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+
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+ Reproducibility: every code change must reproduce the results reported in
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+ PUBLICATION/water_scarcity_morocco.pdf on a clean environment. If a change
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+ alters any reported number (R², coefficients, p-values), it is not a
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+ correction — open an issue to discuss.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ Data Provenance
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+
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+ Data under DATA/raw/ originates from:
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+
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+ · World Bank WDI — public domain (CC-BY-4.0), see
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+ .
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+ · Morocco 2025 State of the Environment Report — cited per source terms.
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+
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+ Do not commit derived data that is not reproducible from the scripts in
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+ DATA/raw/. Do not commit personal or sensitive data (none exists in the
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+ current dataset).
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ Review Process
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+
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+ · All changes are reviewed by the maintainer (Samir Baladi).
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+ · Changes to the manuscript, figures, or reported numbers require explicit
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+ documentation in CHANGELOG.md with rationale.
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+ · After the 1.0.0 release, any change to reported findings would require a
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+ new version (e.g., 1.1.0) with a new DOI deposit on Zenodo.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ Contact
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+
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+ · Email: gitdeeper@gmail.com
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+ · ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8903-0029
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+ · Zenodo DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23884236
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+ · PyPI: https://pypi.org/project/mws-lab/
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+ · Figshare: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34884417
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+ · Figshare: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34884417
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+ · Website: https://mws-lab.netlify.app
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ Thank you for helping improve the reproducibility of this research.
mws_lab-1.0.0/LICENSE ADDED
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+ MIT License
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+
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+ Copyright (c) 2026 Samir Baladi
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+
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+ Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy
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+ of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
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+ in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
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+ to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
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+ copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
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+ furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:
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+
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+ The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
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+ copies or substantial portions of the Software.
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+
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+ THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR
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+ IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
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+ FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
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+ AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER
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+ LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
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+ OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE
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+ SOFTWARE.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ ## Scope of This License
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+
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+ The MIT License above applies to:
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+
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+ - All source code in this repository, including
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+ `DATA/raw/fetch_worldbank_data.py` and any auxiliary scripts.
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+ - The Python package artifacts under `PUBLICATION/dist/`
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+ (`morocco-water-scarcity-1.0.0-py3-none-any.whl` and `.tar.gz`).
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+ - Configuration files such as `PUBLICATION/netlify.toml`,
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+ `PUBLICATION/ste_website_steering.json`, and `requirements.txt`.
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+ - Build and infrastructure files (`VERSION`, `.gitignore`).
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+
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+ ## Separate Licensing for Manuscript, Figures, and Documentation
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+
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+ The following are licensed under **Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
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+ International (CC-BY-4.0)**, not MIT:
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+
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+ - `PUBLICATION/water_scarcity_morocco.pdf` — the research manuscript.
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+ - `PUBLICATION/figures/` — all seven figures (Figure 1 through Figure 7).
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+ - `README.md` — repository documentation.
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+ - `AUTHORS.md`, `CHANGELOG.md`, `CITATION.cff` — project documentation.
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+ - `ANALYSIS/ANALYSIS_REPORT.md`, `ANALYSIS/analysis_insights.json` — analysis narrative.
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+ - `docs/` — iteration log and consolidated audit report.
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+
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+ This distinction reflects standard practice:
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+
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+ - **Code** is licensed permissively (MIT) to allow reuse, modification,
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+ and redistribution.
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+ - **Written research artifacts** (manuscript, figures, documentation) are
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+ licensed under CC-BY-4.0 to allow sharing and adaptation with attribution.
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+
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+ ## Data Licensing
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+
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+ The data files under `DATA/raw/` originate from the World Bank's
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+ World Development Indicators (WDI) and Morocco's 2025 State of the
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+ Environment Report. Their original licensing terms are governed by the
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+ respective data providers:
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+
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+ - World Bank Open Data is available under the
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+ [Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC-BY-4.0)](https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/public-licenses).
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+ - Indicators from Morocco's 2025 State of the Environment Report are used
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+ for scholarly analysis; users should consult the original source for
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+ redistribution terms.
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+
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+ The curated extract `DATA/raw/worldbank_data.csv` is distributed here under
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+ CC-BY-4.0 with attribution to the World Bank.
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+
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+ ## Attribution
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+
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+ For code use:
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+
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+ ```
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+
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+ Baladi, S. (2026). Water Scarcity in Morocco: Analysis Pipeline
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+ (Version 1.0.0) [Computer software].
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+
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+ ```
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+
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+ For manuscript or figure citation:
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+
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+ ```
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+
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+ Baladi, S. (2026). Water Scarcity in Morocco: A Multivariate Analysis of
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+ Climatic, Agricultural, and Socioeconomic Drivers [Research manuscript,
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+ v1.0.0]. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23884236
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+
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Scope of the Research Claims
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+
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+ This work is an **exploratory and associational** analysis of Morocco's
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+ freshwater trajectory between 2000 and 2025. It is explicitly **not**
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+ designed to establish causal attribution. Conclusions should be read as
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+ hypothesis-generating rather than confirmatory.
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+
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+ The manuscript reports an OLS model with an R-squared of 0.812 on a model
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+ sample of n = 16. These results are conditional on the specific indicator
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+ definitions, time window, and model specification documented in the
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+ manuscript. Reuse of the code does not imply endorsement of the empirical
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+ findings by the author.
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+
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+ ---
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+
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+ **Version:** 1.0.0
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+ **Date:** 2026-11-02
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+ **Copyright:** 2026 Samir Baladi
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+ include README.md
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+ include LICENSE
3
+ include CHANGELOG.md
4
+ include CITATION.cff
5
+ include AUTHORS.md
6
+ include CONTRIBUTING.md
7
+ include requirements.txt
8
+ include VERSION
9
+
10
+ recursive-include mws_lab/data *.csv *.json
11
+
12
+ prune .venv
13
+ prune .git
14
+ prune __pycache__
15
+ prune PUBLICATION
16
+ prune DATA
17
+ prune ANALYSIS
18
+ prune REPORTS
19
+ prune EXTERNAL_REVIEW
20
+ prune VALIDATION
21
+ prune docs
22
+ prune dist
23
+ prune build
24
+
25
+ global-exclude *.pyc
26
+ global-exclude *.pyo