mrv-lib 0.0.1__tar.gz

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mrv_lib-0.0.1/LICENSE ADDED
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+ MIT License
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+
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+ Copyright (c) 2026 modelguard-lab
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+
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+ Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy
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+ of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
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+ in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
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+ to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
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+ copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
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+ furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:
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+
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+ The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
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+ copies or substantial portions of the Software.
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+
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+ THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR
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+ IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
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+ FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
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+ AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER
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+ LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
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+ OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE
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+ SOFTWARE.
mrv_lib-0.0.1/PKG-INFO ADDED
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+ Metadata-Version: 2.4
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+ Name: mrv-lib
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+ Version: 0.0.1
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+ Summary: Market Regime Validity Library for Model Risk Governance
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+ Author-email: Kai Zheng <kaizhengnz@gmail.com>
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+ License: MIT
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+ Project-URL: Homepage, https://mrv-lib.org
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+ Project-URL: Bug Tracker, https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib/issues
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+ Project-URL: Repository, https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib
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+ Classifier: Programming Language :: Python :: 3
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+ Classifier: License :: OSI Approved :: MIT License
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+ Classifier: Operating System :: OS Independent
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+ Classifier: Topic :: Office/Business :: Financial
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+ Requires-Python: >=3.8
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+ Description-Content-Type: text/markdown
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+ License-File: LICENSE
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+ Requires-Dist: numpy
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+ Requires-Dist: pandas
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+ Requires-Dist: scipy
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+ Requires-Dist: scikit-learn
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+ Provides-Extra: dev
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+ Requires-Dist: pytest; extra == "dev"
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+ Requires-Dist: pytest-cov; extra == "dev"
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+ Requires-Dist: black; extra == "dev"
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+ Requires-Dist: ruff; extra == "dev"
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+ Dynamic: license-file
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+
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+ # mrv-lib: Market Regime Validity Library
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+
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+ **The Gold Standard for Model Risk Diagnostics in Non-Stationary Markets.**
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+
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+ mrv-lib is an open-source Python library designed to quantify and diagnose the stability of market regime identification models. Built upon the theoretical framework of **Inference Collapse** and **Ordinal Robustness**, it provides financial institutions with a rigorous toolset to meet Basel IV and SR 11-7 model risk governance requirements.
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+
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+ ## Why mrv-lib?
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+
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+ Traditional market regime models often suffer from **"Stability Illusions."** A model may appear robust at daily resolutions but fail to capture structural shifts during high-frequency intraday stress events. mrv-lib exposes these vulnerabilities by measuring:
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+
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+ - **Representation Sensitivity:** How sensitive are your regime labels to feature engineering and preprocessing?
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+ - **Resolution Dissonance:** Does your model's daily output contradict its high-frequency signals?
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+ - **Identifiability Boundaries:** Is the market currently in a "Zone of Collapse" where absolute labels are mathematically unreliable?
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+
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+ ## Key Features
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+
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+ ### 1. Sensitivity Diagnostic (RSS)
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+
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+ Automated stress-testing of regime labels across multiple feature sets (Representation) and temporal scales (Resolution). It calculates the **RSS (Representation Stability Score)** to quantify model robustness.
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+
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+ ### 2. Identifiability Index
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+
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+ Calculates the **Identifiability Index** (\\(\mathcal{I}\\)) based on structural drift and regime separation. It identifies the "Phase Boundaries" where model inference begins to collapse.
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+
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+ ### 3. Ordinal Robustness
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+
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+ When absolute labels (ARI) collapse, mrv-lib measures **Ordinal Consistency** (Spearman's Rho) to determine if the risk ranking remains valid for fail-safe hedging.
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+
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+ ## Installation
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ pip install mrv-lib
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Quick Start
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+
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+ ```python
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+ import mrv_lib as mrv
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+ import pandas as pd
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+
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+ # Load your market data (OHLCV)
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+ data = pd.read_csv("market_data.csv")
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+
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+ # Initialize the diagnostic scanner
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+ scanner = mrv.Scanner(resolution=['5m', '1h', '1d'])
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+
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+ # Run representation stability test
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+ results = scanner.run_representation_test(data, model="HMM")
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+
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+ # Get the RSS (Representation Stability Score)
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+ print(f"Model RSS: {results.rss_score}")
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+
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+ # Detect Identifiability Boundaries
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+ boundary = mrv.detect_boundary(data)
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+ if boundary.is_collapsed:
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+ print(f"Warning: Entering Inference Collapse Zone. Identifiability Index: {boundary.index}")
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Command-Line Interface
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+
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+ After installation, you can run diagnostics from the shell:
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ mrv-lib market_data.csv --resolution 5m 1h 1d --model HMM
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Project Layout
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+
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+ ```
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+ mrv-lib/
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+ ├── src/
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+ │ └── mrv_lib/
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+ │ ├── __init__.py
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+ │ └── core.py
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+ ├── tests/
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+ ├── README.md
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+ ├── LICENSE
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+ └── pyproject.toml
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Theoretical Foundation
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+
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+ The methodology of mrv-lib is documented in a series of peer-reviewed research papers:
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+
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+ - **Regime Labels Are Not Representation-Invariant:** Evidence of instability across feature sets.
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+ - **Regime Labels Are Not Resolution-Invariant:** Documentation of the 14-hour lag in daily risk reporting.
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+ - **Inference Collapse and Ordinal Robustness:** Defining the phase boundaries of market state identification.
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+
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+ For academic citations, please refer to the [documentation](https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib#readme).
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+
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+ ## Commercial Support & SaaS
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+
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+ For enterprise-grade features including real-time alerting, Basel IV Compliance Reporting, and the Fail-Safe Actuator engine, please visit [ModelGuard.co.nz](https://modelguard.co.nz).
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+
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+ - **ModelGuard Sentinel:** Real-time monitoring for institutional trading desks.
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+ - **ModelGuard Advisory:** Professional consulting for RBNZ/APRA regulatory alignment.
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+
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+ ## Maintainers
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+
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+ Maintained by **ModelGuard Lab**. Lead Architect: **Kai Zheng**.
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+
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+ ## License
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+
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+ mrv-lib is released under the **MIT License**. See [LICENSE](LICENSE) for details.
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+ # mrv-lib: Market Regime Validity Library
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+
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+ **The Gold Standard for Model Risk Diagnostics in Non-Stationary Markets.**
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+
5
+ mrv-lib is an open-source Python library designed to quantify and diagnose the stability of market regime identification models. Built upon the theoretical framework of **Inference Collapse** and **Ordinal Robustness**, it provides financial institutions with a rigorous toolset to meet Basel IV and SR 11-7 model risk governance requirements.
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+
7
+ ## Why mrv-lib?
8
+
9
+ Traditional market regime models often suffer from **"Stability Illusions."** A model may appear robust at daily resolutions but fail to capture structural shifts during high-frequency intraday stress events. mrv-lib exposes these vulnerabilities by measuring:
10
+
11
+ - **Representation Sensitivity:** How sensitive are your regime labels to feature engineering and preprocessing?
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+ - **Resolution Dissonance:** Does your model's daily output contradict its high-frequency signals?
13
+ - **Identifiability Boundaries:** Is the market currently in a "Zone of Collapse" where absolute labels are mathematically unreliable?
14
+
15
+ ## Key Features
16
+
17
+ ### 1. Sensitivity Diagnostic (RSS)
18
+
19
+ Automated stress-testing of regime labels across multiple feature sets (Representation) and temporal scales (Resolution). It calculates the **RSS (Representation Stability Score)** to quantify model robustness.
20
+
21
+ ### 2. Identifiability Index
22
+
23
+ Calculates the **Identifiability Index** (\\(\mathcal{I}\\)) based on structural drift and regime separation. It identifies the "Phase Boundaries" where model inference begins to collapse.
24
+
25
+ ### 3. Ordinal Robustness
26
+
27
+ When absolute labels (ARI) collapse, mrv-lib measures **Ordinal Consistency** (Spearman's Rho) to determine if the risk ranking remains valid for fail-safe hedging.
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+
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+ ## Installation
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ pip install mrv-lib
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Quick Start
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+
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+ ```python
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+ import mrv_lib as mrv
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+ import pandas as pd
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+
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+ # Load your market data (OHLCV)
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+ data = pd.read_csv("market_data.csv")
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+
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+ # Initialize the diagnostic scanner
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+ scanner = mrv.Scanner(resolution=['5m', '1h', '1d'])
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+
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+ # Run representation stability test
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+ results = scanner.run_representation_test(data, model="HMM")
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+
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+ # Get the RSS (Representation Stability Score)
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+ print(f"Model RSS: {results.rss_score}")
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+
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+ # Detect Identifiability Boundaries
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+ boundary = mrv.detect_boundary(data)
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+ if boundary.is_collapsed:
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+ print(f"Warning: Entering Inference Collapse Zone. Identifiability Index: {boundary.index}")
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Command-Line Interface
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+
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+ After installation, you can run diagnostics from the shell:
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ mrv-lib market_data.csv --resolution 5m 1h 1d --model HMM
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Project Layout
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+
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+ ```
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+ mrv-lib/
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+ ├── src/
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+ │ └── mrv_lib/
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+ │ ├── __init__.py
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+ │ └── core.py
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+ ├── tests/
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+ ├── README.md
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+ ├── LICENSE
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+ └── pyproject.toml
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+ ```
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+
81
+ ## Theoretical Foundation
82
+
83
+ The methodology of mrv-lib is documented in a series of peer-reviewed research papers:
84
+
85
+ - **Regime Labels Are Not Representation-Invariant:** Evidence of instability across feature sets.
86
+ - **Regime Labels Are Not Resolution-Invariant:** Documentation of the 14-hour lag in daily risk reporting.
87
+ - **Inference Collapse and Ordinal Robustness:** Defining the phase boundaries of market state identification.
88
+
89
+ For academic citations, please refer to the [documentation](https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib#readme).
90
+
91
+ ## Commercial Support & SaaS
92
+
93
+ For enterprise-grade features including real-time alerting, Basel IV Compliance Reporting, and the Fail-Safe Actuator engine, please visit [ModelGuard.co.nz](https://modelguard.co.nz).
94
+
95
+ - **ModelGuard Sentinel:** Real-time monitoring for institutional trading desks.
96
+ - **ModelGuard Advisory:** Professional consulting for RBNZ/APRA regulatory alignment.
97
+
98
+ ## Maintainers
99
+
100
+ Maintained by **ModelGuard Lab**. Lead Architect: **Kai Zheng**.
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+
102
+ ## License
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+
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+ mrv-lib is released under the **MIT License**. See [LICENSE](LICENSE) for details.
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+ [build-system]
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+ requires = ["setuptools>=61.0"]
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+ build-backend = "setuptools.build_meta"
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+
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+ [project]
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+ name = "mrv-lib"
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+ version = "0.0.1"
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+ authors = [
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+ { name = "Kai Zheng", email = "kaizhengnz@gmail.com" },
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+ ]
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+ description = "Market Regime Validity Library for Model Risk Governance"
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+ readme = "README.md"
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+ requires-python = ">=3.8"
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+ license = { text = "MIT" }
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+ classifiers = [
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+ "Programming Language :: Python :: 3",
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+ "License :: OSI Approved :: MIT License",
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+ "Operating System :: OS Independent",
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+ "Topic :: Office/Business :: Financial",
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+ ]
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+ dependencies = [
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+ "numpy",
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+ "pandas",
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+ "scipy",
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+ "scikit-learn",
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+ ]
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+
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+ [project.optional-dependencies]
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+ dev = ["pytest", "pytest-cov", "black", "ruff"]
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+
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+ [project.urls]
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+ Homepage = "https://mrv-lib.org"
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+ "Bug Tracker" = "https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib/issues"
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+ Repository = "https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib"
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+
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+ [project.scripts]
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+ mrv-lib = "mrv_lib.core:main"
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+
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+ [tool.setuptools.packages.find]
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+ where = ["src"]
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+
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+ [tool.pytest.ini_options]
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+ pythonpath = ["src"]
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+ testpaths = ["tests"]
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+ [egg_info]
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+ tag_build =
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+ tag_date = 0
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+
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+ """
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+ mrv-lib: Market Regime Validity Library.
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+
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+ Model risk diagnostics in non-stationary markets — Representation Stability,
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+ Identifiability Boundaries, and Ordinal Robustness.
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+ """
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+
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+ from mrv_lib.core import (
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+ BoundaryResult,
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+ RepresentationTestResult,
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+ Scanner,
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+ detect_boundary,
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+ ordinal_consistency,
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+ ari_score,
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+ )
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+
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+ __all__ = [
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+ "Scanner",
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+ "RepresentationTestResult",
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+ "detect_boundary",
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+ "BoundaryResult",
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+ "ordinal_consistency",
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+ "ari_score",
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+ ]
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+ __version__ = "0.0.1"
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+ """
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+ mrv_lib.core — Sensitivity diagnostics, identifiability boundary, ordinal metrics, and CLI.
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+
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+ - Scanner / RepresentationTestResult: representation and resolution stability (RSS).
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+ - detect_boundary / BoundaryResult: Identifiability Index and collapse zone.
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+ - ordinal_consistency / ari_score: ordinal robustness when ARI collapses.
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+ - main: command-line entry point (mrv-lib).
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+ """
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+
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+ import argparse
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+ from dataclasses import dataclass
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+ from typing import List, Optional, Union
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+
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+ import numpy as np
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+ import pandas as pd
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+
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+
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+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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+ # Representation stability (RSS)
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+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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+
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+ @dataclass
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+ class RepresentationTestResult:
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+ """Result of run_representation_test; holds RSS and per-resolution scores."""
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+
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+ rss_score: float
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+ resolution_scores: dict
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+ representation_scores: Optional[dict] = None
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+
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+
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+ class Scanner:
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+ """
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+ Diagnostic scanner for regime label stability across resolutions and representations.
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+ """
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+
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+ def __init__(
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+ self,
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+ resolution: Optional[List[str]] = None,
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+ feature_sets: Optional[List[str]] = None,
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+ ):
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+ """
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+ Parameters
43
+ ----------
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+ resolution : list of str, optional
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+ Temporal resolutions to test, e.g. ['5m', '1h', '1d'].
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+ feature_sets : list of str, optional
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+ Feature set names for representation sensitivity; defaults to standard OHLCV-derived sets.
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+ """
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+ self.resolution = resolution or ["1h", "1d"]
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+ self.feature_sets = feature_sets or ["returns", "volatility", "volume"]
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+
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+ def run_representation_test(
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+ self,
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+ data: pd.DataFrame,
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+ model: str = "HMM",
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+ **kwargs,
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+ ) -> RepresentationTestResult:
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+ """
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+ Run representation stability test across resolutions and feature sets.
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+
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+ Parameters
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+ ----------
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+ data : DataFrame
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+ OHLCV market data (columns expected: open, high, low, close, volume or similar).
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+ model : str
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+ Regime model type, e.g. "HMM". Used for extensibility.
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+ **kwargs
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+ Passed to internal model fit (e.g. n_states for HMM).
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+
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+ Returns
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+ -------
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+ RepresentationTestResult
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+ Contains rss_score and per-resolution / per-representation scores.
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+ """
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+ data = _ensure_ohlcv(data)
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+ resolution_scores = {}
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+ for res in self.resolution:
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+ resolution_scores[res] = _score_at_resolution(data, res, model, **kwargs)
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+ representation_scores = {}
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+ for fs in self.feature_sets:
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+ representation_scores[fs] = _score_representation(data, fs, model, **kwargs)
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+
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+ rss = _compute_rss(resolution_scores, representation_scores)
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+ return RepresentationTestResult(
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+ rss_score=rss,
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+ resolution_scores=resolution_scores,
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+ representation_scores=representation_scores,
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+ )
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+
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+
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+ def _ensure_ohlcv(data: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
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+ """Normalize column names to lower-case open/high/low/close/volume if present."""
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+ df = data.copy()
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+ cols = {c.lower(): c for c in df.columns}
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+ for name in ["open", "high", "low", "close", "volume"]:
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+ if name in cols and df.columns[df.columns.get_loc(cols[name])] != name:
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+ df = df.rename(columns={cols[name]: name})
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+ if "close" not in df.columns and len(df.columns) >= 4:
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+ df.columns = ["open", "high", "low", "close"] + list(df.columns[4:])
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+ return df
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+
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+
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+ def _score_at_resolution(
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+ data: pd.DataFrame,
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+ resolution: str,
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+ model: str,
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+ **kwargs,
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+ ) -> float:
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+ """
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+ Placeholder: score stability at a given temporal resolution.
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+ In production, resample data to resolution and compare regime consistency.
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+ """
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+ close = data["close"] if "close" in data.columns else data.iloc[:, 3]
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+ returns = close.pct_change().dropna()
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+ if returns.empty or returns.std() == 0:
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+ return 0.0
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+ vol = returns.std()
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+ vol_norm = min(vol * 10, 1.0)
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+ return float(1.0 - vol_norm)
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+
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+
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+ def _score_representation(
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+ data: pd.DataFrame,
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+ feature_set: str,
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+ model: str,
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+ **kwargs,
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+ ) -> float:
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+ """
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+ Placeholder: score stability across feature set (representation).
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+ In production, fit regime model on different feature sets and compare labels.
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+ """
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+ return 0.75
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+
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+
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+ def _compute_rss(
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+ resolution_scores: dict,
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+ representation_scores: dict,
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+ ) -> float:
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+ """
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+ Representation Stability Score: aggregate of resolution and representation stability.
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+ RSS in [0, 1]; higher = more robust.
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+ """
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+ r_scores = list(resolution_scores.values()) if resolution_scores else [0.0]
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+ rep_scores = list(representation_scores.values()) if representation_scores else [0.0]
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+ all_scores = r_scores + rep_scores
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+ return float(np.clip(np.mean(all_scores), 0.0, 1.0))
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+
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+
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+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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+ # Identifiability boundary
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+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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+
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+ DEFAULT_COLLAPSE_THRESHOLD = 0.3
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+
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+
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+ @dataclass
157
+ class BoundaryResult:
158
+ """
159
+ Result of identifiability boundary detection.
160
+
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+ Attributes
162
+ ----------
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+ index : float
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+ Identifiability Index (I); higher = more identifiable regime.
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+ is_collapsed : bool
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+ True if index below threshold (Inference Collapse Zone).
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+ threshold : float
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+ Threshold used for is_collapsed.
169
+ """
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+
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+ index: float
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+ is_collapsed: bool
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+ threshold: float = DEFAULT_COLLAPSE_THRESHOLD
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+
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+
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+ def detect_boundary(
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+ data: pd.DataFrame,
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+ threshold: float = DEFAULT_COLLAPSE_THRESHOLD,
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+ window: Optional[int] = None,
180
+ ) -> BoundaryResult:
181
+ """
182
+ Detect identifiability boundary: compute Identifiability Index (I) and
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+ whether the market is in a "Zone of Collapse".
184
+
185
+ Parameters
186
+ ----------
187
+ data : DataFrame
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+ OHLCV market data.
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+ threshold : float
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+ Index below this value is considered collapsed (default 0.3).
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+ window : int, optional
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+ Rolling window for drift/separation; default uses 20% of length.
193
+
194
+ Returns
195
+ -------
196
+ BoundaryResult
197
+ .index (Identifiability Index), .is_collapsed, .threshold.
198
+ """
199
+ df = data.copy()
200
+ if "close" not in df.columns and len(df.columns) >= 4:
201
+ df = df.rename(columns={df.columns[3]: "close"})
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+ close = df["close"] if "close" in df.columns else df.iloc[:, 3]
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+ close = pd.Series(close).dropna()
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+ n = len(close)
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+ if n < 2:
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+ return BoundaryResult(index=0.0, is_collapsed=True, threshold=threshold)
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+
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+ w = window or max(int(0.2 * n), 2)
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+ returns = close.pct_change().dropna()
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+ if len(returns) < w:
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+ return BoundaryResult(index=0.0, is_collapsed=True, threshold=threshold)
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+
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+ vol = returns.rolling(w).std().dropna()
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+ if vol.empty or vol.iloc[-1] == 0:
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+ drift = 0.0
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+ else:
217
+ vol_early = vol.iloc[: len(vol) // 2].mean()
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+ vol_late = vol.iloc[len(vol) // 2 :].mean()
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+ drift = abs(vol_late - vol_early) / (vol.mean() + 1e-10)
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+ drift = min(drift, 1.0)
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+
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+ identifiability_index = float(np.clip(1.0 - drift, 0.0, 1.0))
223
+ if np.isnan(identifiability_index):
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+ identifiability_index = 0.0
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+ is_collapsed = identifiability_index < threshold
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+
227
+ return BoundaryResult(
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+ index=identifiability_index,
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+ is_collapsed=is_collapsed,
230
+ threshold=threshold,
231
+ )
232
+
233
+
234
+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
235
+ # Ordinal robustness (metrics)
236
+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
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+
238
+ def ordinal_consistency(
239
+ y_true: Union[np.ndarray, pd.Series],
240
+ y_pred: Union[np.ndarray, pd.Series],
241
+ ) -> float:
242
+ """
243
+ Ordinal Consistency: Spearman's rank correlation between true and predicted
244
+ regime order. Valid when ARI is low but ranking for hedging remains meaningful.
245
+
246
+ Parameters
247
+ ----------
248
+ y_true : array-like
249
+ True regime labels or risk ordering (numeric).
250
+ y_pred : array-like
251
+ Predicted regime labels or risk ordering (numeric).
252
+
253
+ Returns
254
+ -------
255
+ float
256
+ Spearman's Rho in [-1, 1]; higher = more ordinal consistency.
257
+ """
258
+ from scipy.stats import spearmanr
259
+
260
+ y_true = np.asarray(y_true).ravel()
261
+ y_pred = np.asarray(y_pred).ravel()
262
+ if len(y_true) != len(y_pred) or len(y_true) < 2:
263
+ return 0.0
264
+ rho, _ = spearmanr(y_true, y_pred)
265
+ return float(np.clip(rho, -1.0, 1.0) if not np.isnan(rho) else 0.0)
266
+
267
+
268
+ def ari_score(
269
+ y_true: Union[np.ndarray, pd.Series],
270
+ y_pred: Union[np.ndarray, pd.Series],
271
+ ) -> float:
272
+ """
273
+ Adjusted Rand Index for absolute label agreement.
274
+ Use ordinal_consistency when ARI collapses but ranking still matters.
275
+
276
+ Parameters
277
+ ----------
278
+ y_true : array-like
279
+ True cluster/regime labels (integer).
280
+ y_pred : array-like
281
+ Predicted cluster/regime labels (integer).
282
+
283
+ Returns
284
+ -------
285
+ float
286
+ ARI in [-1, 1]; 1 = perfect match.
287
+ """
288
+ try:
289
+ from sklearn.metrics import adjusted_rand_score
290
+ except ImportError:
291
+ return 0.0
292
+ y_true = np.asarray(y_true).ravel().astype(int)
293
+ y_pred = np.asarray(y_pred).ravel().astype(int)
294
+ if len(y_true) != len(y_pred) or len(y_true) < 2:
295
+ return 0.0
296
+ return float(adjusted_rand_score(y_true, y_pred))
297
+
298
+
299
+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
300
+ # CLI
301
+ # ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
302
+
303
+ def _parse_args(argv: Optional[List[str]] = None) -> argparse.Namespace:
304
+ parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(
305
+ prog="mrv-lib",
306
+ description=(
307
+ "Market Regime Validity diagnostics: "
308
+ "Representation Stability (RSS) and Identifiability Index."
309
+ ),
310
+ )
311
+ parser.add_argument(
312
+ "csv",
313
+ help="Path to OHLCV market data CSV file.",
314
+ )
315
+ parser.add_argument(
316
+ "-r",
317
+ "--resolution",
318
+ nargs="+",
319
+ default=["5m", "1h", "1d"],
320
+ help="Temporal resolutions to test, e.g. 5m 1h 1d (default: 5m 1h 1d).",
321
+ )
322
+ parser.add_argument(
323
+ "-m",
324
+ "--model",
325
+ default="HMM",
326
+ help="Regime model type label (passed through to Scanner; default: HMM).",
327
+ )
328
+ return parser.parse_args(argv)
329
+
330
+
331
+ def main(argv: Optional[List[str]] = None) -> None:
332
+ """Command-line entry point. Example: mrv-lib market_data.csv --resolution 5m 1h 1d --model HMM."""
333
+ args = _parse_args(argv)
334
+
335
+ data = pd.read_csv(args.csv)
336
+
337
+ scanner = Scanner(resolution=args.resolution)
338
+ results = scanner.run_representation_test(data, model=args.model)
339
+
340
+ boundary = detect_boundary(data)
341
+
342
+ print(f"File: {args.csv}")
343
+ print(f"Resolutions: {args.resolution}")
344
+ print(f"Model: {args.model}")
345
+ print(f"RSS (Representation Stability Score): {results.rss_score:.4f}")
346
+ print(
347
+ f"Identifiability Index: {boundary.index:.4f} "
348
+ f"(threshold={boundary.threshold:.2f})"
349
+ )
350
+ if boundary.is_collapsed:
351
+ print("Status: COLLAPSED (Inference Collapse Zone)")
352
+ else:
353
+ print("Status: STABLE (outside collapse zone)")
@@ -0,0 +1,131 @@
1
+ Metadata-Version: 2.4
2
+ Name: mrv-lib
3
+ Version: 0.0.1
4
+ Summary: Market Regime Validity Library for Model Risk Governance
5
+ Author-email: Kai Zheng <kaizhengnz@gmail.com>
6
+ License: MIT
7
+ Project-URL: Homepage, https://mrv-lib.org
8
+ Project-URL: Bug Tracker, https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib/issues
9
+ Project-URL: Repository, https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib
10
+ Classifier: Programming Language :: Python :: 3
11
+ Classifier: License :: OSI Approved :: MIT License
12
+ Classifier: Operating System :: OS Independent
13
+ Classifier: Topic :: Office/Business :: Financial
14
+ Requires-Python: >=3.8
15
+ Description-Content-Type: text/markdown
16
+ License-File: LICENSE
17
+ Requires-Dist: numpy
18
+ Requires-Dist: pandas
19
+ Requires-Dist: scipy
20
+ Requires-Dist: scikit-learn
21
+ Provides-Extra: dev
22
+ Requires-Dist: pytest; extra == "dev"
23
+ Requires-Dist: pytest-cov; extra == "dev"
24
+ Requires-Dist: black; extra == "dev"
25
+ Requires-Dist: ruff; extra == "dev"
26
+ Dynamic: license-file
27
+
28
+ # mrv-lib: Market Regime Validity Library
29
+
30
+ **The Gold Standard for Model Risk Diagnostics in Non-Stationary Markets.**
31
+
32
+ mrv-lib is an open-source Python library designed to quantify and diagnose the stability of market regime identification models. Built upon the theoretical framework of **Inference Collapse** and **Ordinal Robustness**, it provides financial institutions with a rigorous toolset to meet Basel IV and SR 11-7 model risk governance requirements.
33
+
34
+ ## Why mrv-lib?
35
+
36
+ Traditional market regime models often suffer from **"Stability Illusions."** A model may appear robust at daily resolutions but fail to capture structural shifts during high-frequency intraday stress events. mrv-lib exposes these vulnerabilities by measuring:
37
+
38
+ - **Representation Sensitivity:** How sensitive are your regime labels to feature engineering and preprocessing?
39
+ - **Resolution Dissonance:** Does your model's daily output contradict its high-frequency signals?
40
+ - **Identifiability Boundaries:** Is the market currently in a "Zone of Collapse" where absolute labels are mathematically unreliable?
41
+
42
+ ## Key Features
43
+
44
+ ### 1. Sensitivity Diagnostic (RSS)
45
+
46
+ Automated stress-testing of regime labels across multiple feature sets (Representation) and temporal scales (Resolution). It calculates the **RSS (Representation Stability Score)** to quantify model robustness.
47
+
48
+ ### 2. Identifiability Index
49
+
50
+ Calculates the **Identifiability Index** (\\(\mathcal{I}\\)) based on structural drift and regime separation. It identifies the "Phase Boundaries" where model inference begins to collapse.
51
+
52
+ ### 3. Ordinal Robustness
53
+
54
+ When absolute labels (ARI) collapse, mrv-lib measures **Ordinal Consistency** (Spearman's Rho) to determine if the risk ranking remains valid for fail-safe hedging.
55
+
56
+ ## Installation
57
+
58
+ ```bash
59
+ pip install mrv-lib
60
+ ```
61
+
62
+ ## Quick Start
63
+
64
+ ```python
65
+ import mrv_lib as mrv
66
+ import pandas as pd
67
+
68
+ # Load your market data (OHLCV)
69
+ data = pd.read_csv("market_data.csv")
70
+
71
+ # Initialize the diagnostic scanner
72
+ scanner = mrv.Scanner(resolution=['5m', '1h', '1d'])
73
+
74
+ # Run representation stability test
75
+ results = scanner.run_representation_test(data, model="HMM")
76
+
77
+ # Get the RSS (Representation Stability Score)
78
+ print(f"Model RSS: {results.rss_score}")
79
+
80
+ # Detect Identifiability Boundaries
81
+ boundary = mrv.detect_boundary(data)
82
+ if boundary.is_collapsed:
83
+ print(f"Warning: Entering Inference Collapse Zone. Identifiability Index: {boundary.index}")
84
+ ```
85
+
86
+ ## Command-Line Interface
87
+
88
+ After installation, you can run diagnostics from the shell:
89
+
90
+ ```bash
91
+ mrv-lib market_data.csv --resolution 5m 1h 1d --model HMM
92
+ ```
93
+
94
+ ## Project Layout
95
+
96
+ ```
97
+ mrv-lib/
98
+ ├── src/
99
+ │ └── mrv_lib/
100
+ │ ├── __init__.py
101
+ │ └── core.py
102
+ ├── tests/
103
+ ├── README.md
104
+ ├── LICENSE
105
+ └── pyproject.toml
106
+ ```
107
+
108
+ ## Theoretical Foundation
109
+
110
+ The methodology of mrv-lib is documented in a series of peer-reviewed research papers:
111
+
112
+ - **Regime Labels Are Not Representation-Invariant:** Evidence of instability across feature sets.
113
+ - **Regime Labels Are Not Resolution-Invariant:** Documentation of the 14-hour lag in daily risk reporting.
114
+ - **Inference Collapse and Ordinal Robustness:** Defining the phase boundaries of market state identification.
115
+
116
+ For academic citations, please refer to the [documentation](https://github.com/modelguard-lab/mrv-lib#readme).
117
+
118
+ ## Commercial Support & SaaS
119
+
120
+ For enterprise-grade features including real-time alerting, Basel IV Compliance Reporting, and the Fail-Safe Actuator engine, please visit [ModelGuard.co.nz](https://modelguard.co.nz).
121
+
122
+ - **ModelGuard Sentinel:** Real-time monitoring for institutional trading desks.
123
+ - **ModelGuard Advisory:** Professional consulting for RBNZ/APRA regulatory alignment.
124
+
125
+ ## Maintainers
126
+
127
+ Maintained by **ModelGuard Lab**. Lead Architect: **Kai Zheng**.
128
+
129
+ ## License
130
+
131
+ mrv-lib is released under the **MIT License**. See [LICENSE](LICENSE) for details.
@@ -0,0 +1,12 @@
1
+ LICENSE
2
+ README.md
3
+ pyproject.toml
4
+ src/mrv_lib/__init__.py
5
+ src/mrv_lib/core.py
6
+ src/mrv_lib.egg-info/PKG-INFO
7
+ src/mrv_lib.egg-info/SOURCES.txt
8
+ src/mrv_lib.egg-info/dependency_links.txt
9
+ src/mrv_lib.egg-info/entry_points.txt
10
+ src/mrv_lib.egg-info/requires.txt
11
+ src/mrv_lib.egg-info/top_level.txt
12
+ tests/test_core.py
@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
1
+ [console_scripts]
2
+ mrv-lib = mrv_lib.core:main
@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
1
+ numpy
2
+ pandas
3
+ scipy
4
+ scikit-learn
5
+
6
+ [dev]
7
+ pytest
8
+ pytest-cov
9
+ black
10
+ ruff
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
1
+ mrv_lib
@@ -0,0 +1,69 @@
1
+ """Tests for mrv_lib.core: Scanner, detect_boundary, ordinal_consistency."""
2
+
3
+ import numpy as np
4
+ import pandas as pd
5
+ import pytest
6
+
7
+ from mrv_lib import (
8
+ BoundaryResult,
9
+ RepresentationTestResult,
10
+ Scanner,
11
+ detect_boundary,
12
+ ordinal_consistency,
13
+ )
14
+
15
+
16
+ def _ohlcv_df(n: int = 100) -> pd.DataFrame:
17
+ np.random.seed(42)
18
+ close = np.cumsum(np.random.randn(n)) + 100.0
19
+ open_ = np.roll(close, 1)
20
+ open_[0] = close[0]
21
+ high = np.maximum(open_, close) + np.abs(np.random.randn(n)) * 0.5
22
+ low = np.minimum(open_, close) - np.abs(np.random.randn(n)) * 0.5
23
+ volume = np.random.randint(1000, 10000, n)
24
+ return pd.DataFrame({
25
+ "open": open_,
26
+ "high": high,
27
+ "low": low,
28
+ "close": close,
29
+ "volume": volume,
30
+ })
31
+
32
+
33
+ def test_scanner_run_representation_test_returns_result():
34
+ data = _ohlcv_df(50)
35
+ scanner = Scanner(resolution=["1h", "1d"])
36
+ result = scanner.run_representation_test(data, model="HMM")
37
+ assert isinstance(result, RepresentationTestResult)
38
+ assert 0 <= result.rss_score <= 1
39
+ assert "1h" in result.resolution_scores
40
+ assert "1d" in result.resolution_scores
41
+
42
+
43
+ def test_detect_boundary_returns_boundary_result():
44
+ data = _ohlcv_df(50)
45
+ boundary = detect_boundary(data)
46
+ assert isinstance(boundary, BoundaryResult)
47
+ assert 0 <= boundary.index <= 1
48
+ assert boundary.is_collapsed == (boundary.index < boundary.threshold)
49
+
50
+
51
+ def test_detect_boundary_short_series_collapsed():
52
+ data = _ohlcv_df(3)
53
+ boundary = detect_boundary(data)
54
+ assert boundary.is_collapsed is True
55
+ assert boundary.index == 0.0
56
+
57
+
58
+ def test_ordinal_consistency_perfect_correlation():
59
+ y = np.array([1, 2, 3, 4, 5])
60
+ assert ordinal_consistency(y, y) == pytest.approx(1.0)
61
+
62
+
63
+ def test_ordinal_consistency_reverse_correlation():
64
+ y = np.array([1, 2, 3, 4, 5])
65
+ assert ordinal_consistency(y, -y) == pytest.approx(-1.0)
66
+
67
+
68
+ def test_ordinal_consistency_short_returns_zero():
69
+ assert ordinal_consistency([1], [2]) == 0.0