gnomon-forecast 0.5.0__tar.gz

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  1. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/.gitignore +93 -0
  2. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/CHANGELOG.md +3136 -0
  3. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/COMPATIBILITY.md +51 -0
  4. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/LICENSE +201 -0
  5. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/PKG-INFO +866 -0
  6. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/README.md +635 -0
  7. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/pyproject.toml +73 -0
  8. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/skills/use-gnomon/SKILL.md +83 -0
  9. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/skills/use-gnomon/agents/openai.yaml +4 -0
  10. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/__init__.py +34 -0
  11. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/__main__.py +4 -0
  12. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/adapter_promotion.py +176 -0
  13. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/adjudication.py +373 -0
  14. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/admission.py +372 -0
  15. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/agent_context.py +1121 -0
  16. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/agent_eval.py +209 -0
  17. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/anomaly.py +602 -0
  18. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/api_inference.py +241 -0
  19. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/artifacts.py +375 -0
  20. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/breach.py +601 -0
  21. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/calibration_counterfactual.py +198 -0
  22. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/candidate.py +251 -0
  23. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/cli.py +2381 -0
  24. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/conditional.py +406 -0
  25. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/config.py +771 -0
  26. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/constraints.py +266 -0
  27. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/context.py +313 -0
  28. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/context_eval.py +924 -0
  29. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/context_intelligence.py +2913 -0
  30. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/context_model.py +328 -0
  31. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/context_store.py +311 -0
  32. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/contracts.py +871 -0
  33. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/covariates.py +712 -0
  34. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/data.py +593 -0
  35. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/decision_model.py +224 -0
  36. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/discrimination.py +321 -0
  37. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/effect_proposals.py +483 -0
  38. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/effect_registry.py +162 -0
  39. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/effect_resolution.py +124 -0
  40. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/effects.py +139 -0
  41. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/ensemble.py +305 -0
  42. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/episodes.py +437 -0
  43. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/evaluation.py +2388 -0
  44. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/feedback.py +663 -0
  45. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/fingerprint.py +84 -0
  46. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/forecast_adapter.py +305 -0
  47. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/future_context.py +1695 -0
  48. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/ids.py +60 -0
  49. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/lineage.py +293 -0
  50. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/llm.py +63 -0
  51. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/llm_covariates.py +298 -0
  52. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/llm_dossier.py +3146 -0
  53. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/macros.py +1120 -0
  54. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/mcp_server.py +182 -0
  55. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/meta_model.py +335 -0
  56. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/model_assisted.py +375 -0
  57. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/model_evidence.py +184 -0
  58. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/models.py +243 -0
  59. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/monitoring.py +163 -0
  60. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/multivariate.py +128 -0
  61. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/observation_counterfactual.py +447 -0
  62. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/operators.py +660 -0
  63. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/panel_pooling.py +219 -0
  64. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/pipeline.py +1899 -0
  65. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/preflight.py +195 -0
  66. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/project_report.py +124 -0
  67. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/publication.py +2990 -0
  68. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/reasoning_boundary.py +249 -0
  69. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/reasoning_packet.py +359 -0
  70. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/registry.py +360 -0
  71. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/relationship_text.py +206 -0
  72. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/repair.py +710 -0
  73. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/reporting.py +185 -0
  74. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/router.py +168 -0
  75. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/runtime.py +1814 -0
  76. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/selfcheck.py +69 -0
  77. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/soft_context.py +307 -0
  78. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/sources.py +153 -0
  79. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/statistical_executables.py +323 -0
  80. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/supervision.py +129 -0
  81. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/support.py +393 -0
  82. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal.py +437 -0
  83. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_adjudication.py +223 -0
  84. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_contracts.py +255 -0
  85. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_distribution.py +134 -0
  86. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_evidence.py +613 -0
  87. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_executables.py +483 -0
  88. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_intent.py +491 -0
  89. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_planner.py +327 -0
  90. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_profile.py +289 -0
  91. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_question.py +310 -0
  92. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_reasoning.py +844 -0
  93. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_state.py +75 -0
  94. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_store.py +561 -0
  95. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/temporal_vocabulary.py +60 -0
  96. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/toolspec.py +4786 -0
  97. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/tracking.py +3161 -0
  98. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/tsfm.py +1187 -0
  99. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/tsfm_sandbox.py +1047 -0
  100. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/verifier.py +312 -0
  101. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/versioning.py +42 -0
  102. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/volatility.py +549 -0
  103. gnomon_forecast-0.5.0/src/gnomon/workflows.py +768 -0
@@ -0,0 +1,93 @@
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+ __pycache__/
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+ *.py[cod]
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+ .pytest_cache/
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+ .venv/
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+ dist/
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+ *.egg-info/
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+ gnomon-output/
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+
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+
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+ # secrets
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+ .env
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+ .env.*
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+
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+ # Benchmark corpora are downloaded, not versioned. A `git add -A` swept
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+ # 582 MB of them into history once; GitHub rejects the 290 MB file among
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+ # them, and nothing in the codebase reads these paths.
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+ data/
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+
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+ # Exception: the curated real-data corpora for DossierBench and
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+ # BreachBench ARE versioned. They are small (~220 KB total), the
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+ # benchmarks cannot run without them, and their sha256 is pinned into
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+ # every run's dataset identity — so the exact bytes must travel with the
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+ # code, not a download script that can drift or be unreachable. Both the
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+ # directory and its contents need re-including: git does not descend into
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+ # an excluded directory.
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+ !benchmarks/breachbench/data/
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+ !benchmarks/breachbench/data/**
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+ !benchmarks/dossierbench/data/
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+ !benchmarks/dossierbench/data/**
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+
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+ # CiK's official result cache. Swept in by the same `git add -A`; the runs
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+ # that produced it used --no-cache because the cached path fails on
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+ # object-dtype columns.
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+ inference_cache/
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+
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+ # Benchmark run outputs. Regenerable from benchmarks/configs/*.yaml, and
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+ # large enough (10.5 MB of JSON, PNG, and PDF) that carrying them makes
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+ # every clone pay for one machine's run.
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+ #
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+ # `results/*` rather than `results/`: git does not descend into an excluded
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+ # directory, so the negation below would never be reached under the shorter
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+ # form.
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+ results/*
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+ metric_scaling_cache/
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+
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+ # Except the leakage-trap results — the evidence behind the McNemar figure
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+ # in docs/leakage-trap-results-2026-08.md. 62 KB of text, and a published
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+ # claim should not rest on output nobody can see.
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+ !results/leaktrap/
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+
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+ # And except the future-context A/B pre-registration and its write-up: a
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+ # prediction registered before the run is only worth something if it is
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+ # versioned before the run.
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+ !results/future-context-ab/
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+ results/future-context-ab/cik-*
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+
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+ # Except the proposer-trust warrant registration: the hypothesis is
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+ # versioned before the experiment exists, which is the point of it.
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+ !results/proposer-trust-warrant/
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+
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+ # Same rule for the structural-effects registration.
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+ !results/structural-effects/
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+ !results/seasonal-regime-effects/
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+
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+ # And except the news-regime exploration: pre-registration, summaries, and
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+ # the scripts that regenerate them are versioned; per-task raw outputs are
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+ # not (same rule as the benchmark corpora — regenerable, and bulky).
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+ !results/news-regime-explore/
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+ results/news-regime-explore/raw/
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+
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+ # And the guardrail build's pre-registration and write-up, same rule.
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+ !results/short-history-guardrail/
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+ results/short-history-guardrail/raw/
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+
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+ # Curated aggregate-only benchmark releases. Raw runs remain ignored and are
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+ # retained as CI artifacts; benchmarks.release validates size, provenance,
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+ # digests, and sensitive-field exclusions for these directories.
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+ !results/benchmark-releases/
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+ !results/benchmark-releases/**
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+
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+
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+ # Root-level run scratch: per-machine census JSONs, arm run directories,
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+ # their *-work task trees, and downloaded model checkpoints. The citable
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+ # versions of these live under results/<registration>/ and are
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+ # un-ignored above; these loose copies were drowning every git status.
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+ /census*.json
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+ /*-work/
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+ /results-*/
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+ /models/
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+
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+ # Local content-addressed context receipts and numeric assessment cache.
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+ # These can contain operational source metadata and are never source files.
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+ /.gnomon/