forecast-mcp 0.1.0__tar.gz

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/.github/workflows/ci.yml

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+name: CI
+
+on:
+  push:
+    branches: [ "main" ]
+  pull_request:
+    branches: [ "main" ]
+
+jobs:
+  test:
+    runs-on: ubuntu-latest
+    steps:
+      - uses: actions/checkout@v4
+
+      - name: Install uv
+        uses: astral-sh/setup-uv@v4
+        with:
+          version: "latest"
+
+      - name: Set up Python
+        uses: actions/setup-python@v5
+        with:
+          python-version-file: ".python-version"
+
+      - name: Install dependencies
+        run: uv pip install --system -e ".[dev]"
+
+      - name: Run tests (Baseline only)
+        run: uv run pytest tests/

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/.gitignore

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+__pycache__/
+*.pyc
+.venv/
+dist/
+build/
+*.egg-info/
+.pytest_cache/
+.DS_Store

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/CHANGELOG.md

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+# Changelog
+
+All notable changes to this project will be documented in this file.
+
+The format is based on [Keep a Changelog](https://keepachangelog.com/en/1.0.0/),
+and this project adheres to [Semantic Versioning](https://semver.org/spec/v2.0.0.html).
+
+## [0.1.0] - 2026-05-30
+### Added
+- Initial release of `forecast-mcp`.
+- Statistical `BaselineBackend` with seasonal-naive and linear trend forecasting.
+- Support for `TimesFMBackend` wrapping Google's TimesFM 2.5 foundation model (requires `timesfm` extra).
+- `forecast` tool to predict future values with uncertainty bands.
+- `list_backends` tool to check which backend is active.
+- `backtest` tool to compare Baseline and TimesFM backends using holdout sets and sMAPE calculation.

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/CONTRIBUTING.md

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+# Contributing
+
+We welcome contributions to `forecast-mcp`!
+
+## Development Setup
+
+This project uses [`uv`](https://github.com/astral-sh/uv) for dependency management.
+
+1. Clone the repository.
+2. Create an environment and install development dependencies:
+   ```bash
+   uv pip install -e ".[dev]"
+   ```
+3. Run tests using `pytest`:
+   ```bash
+   pytest tests/
+   ```
+
+## Guidelines
+- The core MCP server must always remain usable *without* heavy ML dependencies. 
+- Ensure that the `baseline` backend continues to work robustly for basic statistical predictions.
+- The `TimesFMBackend` should be loaded lazily so that it does not block initialization if `timesfm` is not installed.

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/LICENSE

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forecast_mcp-0.1.0/PKG-INFO

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+Metadata-Version: 2.4
+Name: forecast-mcp
+Version: 0.1.0
+Summary: An MCP server that gives any AI agent time-series forecasting superpowers (TimesFM 2.5 + statistical baselines).
+Project-URL: Homepage, https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp
+Project-URL: Repository, https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp
+Project-URL: Issues, https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp/issues
+Author: Preetam Ramdhave
+License: Apache-2.0
+License-File: LICENSE
+Keywords: agent,claude,forecasting,mcp,time-series,timesfm
+Classifier: License :: OSI Approved :: Apache Software License
+Classifier: Operating System :: OS Independent
+Classifier: Programming Language :: Python :: 3
+Requires-Python: >=3.10
+Requires-Dist: fastmcp>=3.0
+Requires-Dist: numpy>=1.24
+Requires-Dist: pydantic>=2
+Provides-Extra: dev
+Requires-Dist: pytest>=8; extra == 'dev'
+Provides-Extra: ollama
+Requires-Dist: httpx>=0.27; extra == 'ollama'
+Provides-Extra: timesfm
+Requires-Dist: timesfm>=2.5; extra == 'timesfm'
+Description-Content-Type: text/markdown
+
+# forecast-mcp
+
+[![CI](https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp/actions/workflows/ci.yml/badge.svg)](https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp/actions/workflows/ci.yml)
+
+**Give any AI agent time-series forecasting superpowers.**
+
+An [MCP](https://modelcontextprotocol.io) server that lets Claude Code, Claude
+Desktop, Cursor, or any MCP client forecast a series of numbers — sales, traffic,
+usage, costs — and reason about the result. Powered by Google's
+[TimesFM 2.5](https://github.com/google-research/timesfm) foundation model, with a
+zero-dependency statistical baseline so it works the moment you install it.
+
+## Why
+
+LLM agents can read, write, and run code — but they can't see the future. This
+gives them a clean `forecast` tool. The agent calls it, gets point forecasts +
+uncertainty bands + a compact trend/seasonality summary, and writes the
+explanation and recommendation itself.
+
+## Quickstart (30 seconds)
+
+```bash
+uvx forecast-mcp        # runs over stdio for local agents
+```
+
+Add to your Claude Desktop / Claude Code config:
+
+```json
+{
+  "mcpServers": {
+    "forecast": { "command": "uvx", "args": ["forecast-mcp"] }
+  }
+}
+```
+
+Then ask your agent: *"Forecast the next 6 months from this revenue data and tell
+me what to expect."*
+
+## Enable the foundation model
+
+```bash
+pip install "forecast-mcp[timesfm]"
+```
+
+The server auto-detects TimesFM and uses it; otherwise it runs the baseline.
+
+## Tools
+
+| Tool | What it does |
+|------|--------------|
+| `forecast` | Forecast a single series with optional uncertainty bands. |
+| `list_backends` | Report which engine is active (timesfm / baseline). |
+| `backtest` | Hold out the last N points and compare TimesFM vs baseline performance (MAE/MAPE). |
+
+## License
+Apache-2.0

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/README.md

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+# forecast-mcp
+
+[![CI](https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp/actions/workflows/ci.yml/badge.svg)](https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp/actions/workflows/ci.yml)
+
+**Give any AI agent time-series forecasting superpowers.**
+
+An [MCP](https://modelcontextprotocol.io) server that lets Claude Code, Claude
+Desktop, Cursor, or any MCP client forecast a series of numbers — sales, traffic,
+usage, costs — and reason about the result. Powered by Google's
+[TimesFM 2.5](https://github.com/google-research/timesfm) foundation model, with a
+zero-dependency statistical baseline so it works the moment you install it.
+
+## Why
+
+LLM agents can read, write, and run code — but they can't see the future. This
+gives them a clean `forecast` tool. The agent calls it, gets point forecasts +
+uncertainty bands + a compact trend/seasonality summary, and writes the
+explanation and recommendation itself.
+
+## Quickstart (30 seconds)
+
+```bash
+uvx forecast-mcp        # runs over stdio for local agents
+```
+
+Add to your Claude Desktop / Claude Code config:
+
+```json
+{
+  "mcpServers": {
+    "forecast": { "command": "uvx", "args": ["forecast-mcp"] }
+  }
+}
+```
+
+Then ask your agent: *"Forecast the next 6 months from this revenue data and tell
+me what to expect."*
+
+## Enable the foundation model
+
+```bash
+pip install "forecast-mcp[timesfm]"
+```
+
+The server auto-detects TimesFM and uses it; otherwise it runs the baseline.
+
+## Tools
+
+| Tool | What it does |
+|------|--------------|
+| `forecast` | Forecast a single series with optional uncertainty bands. |
+| `list_backends` | Report which engine is active (timesfm / baseline). |
+| `backtest` | Hold out the last N points and compare TimesFM vs baseline performance (MAE/MAPE). |
+
+## License
+Apache-2.0

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/docs/adr/0001-architecture-and-scope.md

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+# ADR 0001 — Architecture and Scope
+
+**Status:** Accepted · **Date:** 2026-05-29
+
+## Context
+We want an open-source tool that gives any MCP-compatible AI agent (Claude Code,
+Claude Desktop, Cursor, VS Code) the ability to forecast time series, powered by
+Google's TimesFM 2.5 foundation model. The goal is fast adoption in the developer
+community, which later funnels into a hosted API and consulting.
+
+## Decisions
+
+1. **Transport: MCP via FastMCP (3.x).** FastMCP is the de-facto standard and
+   powers the majority of MCP servers; decorator-based tools keep boilerplate low.
+   Default transport is stdio (for local agents); HTTP is available for hosting.
+
+2. **Distribution: `uvx`-runnable, zero-config.** Adoption dies on setup friction.
+   A user must be able to add one line to their agent config and have it work.
+
+3. **The agent is the LLM.** The server returns *numbers + a compact context
+   summary* (trend, seasonality, volatility). The calling agent writes the
+   natural-language explanation and recommendation. We do **not** bundle an LLM in
+   the core. This keeps dependencies light, which is what lets the tool spread.
+
+4. **Two backends behind one interface.** A pure-NumPy `BaselineBackend` runs
+   instantly with no heavy deps; the `TimesFMBackend` (optional `timesfm` extra) is
+   loaded lazily. The server auto-selects TimesFM when present, else the baseline.
+   The tool always returns something useful.
+
+5. **Local Ollama LLM = optional offline mode, not core.** A small local model is
+   only useful when there is *no* agent in the loop (e.g. CLI use). Deferred to a
+   later phase as an opt-in `explain` tool.
+
+## Consequences
+- Anyone can try the server in ~30 seconds; the foundation model is a power-up,
+  not a prerequisite.
+- TimesFM 2.5's inference API differs from 1.x/2.0, so `TimesFMBackend` ships as a
+  stub that delegates to the baseline until wired in Phase 2.
+- The same forecasting core is reusable inside a future Shopify app (idea A).

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/docs/adr/0002-phase1-verification.md

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+# ADR 0002 — Phase 1 Verification
+
+**Status:** Accepted
+**Date:** 2026-05-29
+
+## Context
+As part of the initial launch of the `forecast-mcp` server, Phase 1 was scoped to verify the core architecture (ADR 0001) using the pure-NumPy baseline fallback mechanism. The tests verify that the server can boot and serve MCP clients immediately without the heavy machine learning dependencies (TimesFM 2.5), maintaining zero-friction adoption.
+
+## Actions Taken
+1. Set up the local environment in a Python 3.10 virtual environment using `uv venv` and `uv pip install -e ".[dev]"`.
+2. Executed the test suite using `pytest tests/`.
+3. Verified the MCP server manually via Python integration (simulating the FastMCP inspector).
+4. Tested the `forecast` tool on a 36-point sample seasonal series with `horizon=6` and `quantiles=[0.9]`.
+5. Tested the `list_backends` tool.
+
+## Results & Quirks
+- **Test Suite:** Passed (5/5).
+- **Tool Listing:** Both `forecast` and `list_backends` were successfully exposed as MCP tools.
+- **Backend Detection:** `list_backends` correctly fell back to the `baseline` engine and provided the correct installation hint for TimesFM.
+- **Forecast Generation:**
+  - The series successfully extrapolated 6 points ahead.
+  - Uncertainty bands widened correctly with the horizon.
+  - `context` reliably reported trend and seasonality (e.g. `{'n_observations': 36, 'detected_season_length': 2, 'trend': 'rising', 'trend_pct_per_step': 4.21, 'last_value': 63.0, 'mean': 35.5556, 'volatility': 1.2371}`).
+- **Quirks/Notes:** 
+  - Since `timesfm` >= 2.5 is not formally published on standard PyPI (or requires fetching from Google Research's github), users running `pip install "forecast-mcp[timesfm]"` might experience dependency resolution failures unless we point to the repository or clarify the installation instructions in the README. We will continue respecting the current setup and lazy load approach in Phase 2.

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/examples/claude_desktop_config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+{
+  "mcpServers": {
+    "forecast": {
+      "command": "uvx",
+      "args": ["forecast-mcp"]
+    }
+  }
+}

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/pyproject.toml

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+[project]
+name = "forecast-mcp"
+version = "0.1.0"
+description = "An MCP server that gives any AI agent time-series forecasting superpowers (TimesFM 2.5 + statistical baselines)."
+readme = "README.md"
+requires-python = ">=3.10"
+license = { text = "Apache-2.0" }
+authors = [{ name = "Preetam Ramdhave" }]
+keywords = ["mcp", "forecasting", "time-series", "timesfm", "agent", "claude"]
+classifiers = [
+    "Programming Language :: Python :: 3",
+    "License :: OSI Approved :: Apache Software License",
+    "Operating System :: OS Independent",
+]
+
+dependencies = [
+    "fastmcp>=3.0",
+    "numpy>=1.24",
+    "pydantic>=2",
+]
+
+[project.urls]
+Homepage = "https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp"
+Repository = "https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp"
+Issues = "https://github.com/preetam/forecast-mcp/issues"
+
+[project.optional-dependencies]
+# The heavy ML backend. Kept optional so the server runs instantly without it.
+timesfm = ["timesfm>=2.5"]
+# Optional local-LLM narrative mode (talks to a running Ollama instance via HTTP).
+ollama = ["httpx>=0.27"]
+dev = ["pytest>=8"]
+
+[project.scripts]
+forecast-mcp = "forecast_mcp.server:main"
+
+[build-system]
+requires = ["hatchling"]
+build-backend = "hatchling.build"
+
+[tool.hatch.build.targets.wheel]
+packages = ["src/forecast_mcp"]

forecast_mcp-0.1.0/src/forecast_mcp/__init__.py

@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
+"""forecast-mcp: time-series forecasting tools for AI agents over MCP."""
+__version__ = "0.1.0"