superbowl 0.0.1

checksums.yaml

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+---
+SHA1:
+  metadata.gz: 6f8c655b547e0f5ba1f877514ca8e5f982379e4b
+  data.tar.gz: 02bc940de40a30c5cf626bd480490c121e8d3f75
+SHA512:
+  metadata.gz: 935fa549fb0eed317684d72d28147b3edb1076f5ee79d78ba721aa28ee7edd626c0b4b9a004345cb946a47161ecb4614d1c9c93f2ce3ed6984432a0f26e78b99
+  data.tar.gz: d51a7573a9b1891f961d42b85b51f7eca71c7c2343b5481b44ce1e10943e01f1a99356204cdff28cc71083957684e496b6bb7f9e01470718250d6b51256db2ba

data/.gitignore

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+Gemfile.lock
+.*.swp
+.drake/
+data/
+drake.log
+squares.tsv

data/Drakefile

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+;
+; Compute probabilities of winning Super Bowl squares pool
+;
+
+BASE=data/
+
+historic_box_scores_html/ <- [-timecheck]
+  mkdir -p $OUTPUT
+  cd $OUTPUT
+  wget http://www.printyourbrackets.com/best-super-bowl-squares-odds-probabilities.html
+  wget http://www.printyourbrackets.com/box-scores-for-super-bowl-1-through-10.html
+  wget http://www.printyourbrackets.com/box-scores-for-super-bowl-11-through-20.html
+  wget http://www.printyourbrackets.com/box-scores-for-super-bowl-21-through-30.html
+  wget http://www.printyourbrackets.com/box-scores-for-super-bowl-31-through-40.html
+
+historic_box_scores <- historic_box_scores_html/
+  find $INPUTS -type f -print0 | parallel -0 bundle exec ruby ./bin/parse_box_scores.rb > $OUTPUT
+
+
+;
+; squares.tsv is a tab-delimited file that you must supply, containing the
+; names of the people who have purchased each square.
+;
+squares.html <- !squares.tsv, historic_box_scores
+  bundle exec ruby ./bin/build_squares_html.rb --squares=$INPUT0 --box-scores=$INPUT1 > $OUTPUT

data/Gemfile

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+source 'https://rubygems.org'
+
+# Specify your gem's dependencies in superbowl.gemspec
+gemspec

data/LICENSE.txt

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+Copyright (c) 2015 Matt Gillooly
+
+MIT License
+
+Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining
+a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the
+"Software"), to deal in the Software without restriction, including
+without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge, publish,
+distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to
+permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so, subject to
+the following conditions:
+
+The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be
+included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software.
+
+THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND,
+EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF
+MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND
+NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE
+LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION
+OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION
+WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE.

data/README.md

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+# Superbowl Box Scores
+
+Use the magic of data to predict how much money you're going to win in your Super Bowl squares pool.
+
+## Installation
+
+Add this line to your application's Gemfile:
+
+```ruby
+gem 'superbowl'
+```
+
+And then execute:
+
+    $ bundle
+
+Or install it yourself as:
+
+    $ gem install superbowl
+
+## Usage
+
+TODO: Write usage instructions here
+
+## Contributing
+
+1. Fork it ( https://github.com/[my-github-username]/superbowl/fork )
+2. Create your feature branch (`git checkout -b my-new-feature`)
+3. Commit your changes (`git commit -am 'Add some feature'`)
+4. Push to the branch (`git push origin my-new-feature`)
+5. Create a new Pull Request

data/Rakefile

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+require "bundler/gem_tasks"
+

data/bin/build_squares_html.rb

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+#!/usr/bin/env ruby
+
+require 'erb'
+require 'optparse'
+require 'superbowl'
+
+squares_file = nil
+box_scores_file = nil
+
+opt_parser = OptionParser.new do |opts|
+  opts.banner = "Usage: build_squares_html.rb [options]"
+
+  opts.on("-sFILE", "--squares=FILE", "File containing square owners") do |f|
+    squares_file = f
+  end
+
+  opts.on("-bFILE", "--box-scores=FILE", "File containing historic box scores") do |f|
+    box_scores_file = f
+  end
+end
+
+opt_parser.parse!
+
+fail "missing squares file" unless squares_file
+fail "missing box-scores file" unless box_scores_file
+
+grid = Superbowl::Grid.parse(squares_file)
+box_score_history = Superbowl::BoxScoreHistory.parse(box_scores_file)
+
+renderer = ERB.new(File.read('squares.html.erb'))
+puts renderer.result()

data/bin/parse_box_scores.rb

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+#!/usr/bin/env ruby
+
+require 'nokogiri'
+
+doc = Nokogiri::HTML(ARGF.read)
+
+tables = doc.xpath('//*[@id="content"]/div/div/table/tbody/tr/td/table')
+winning_squares_tables = tables.select{|t| t.to_s.include? 'Winner'}
+
+winning_squares_tables.each do |table|
+  labels, digit_pairs = table.xpath('.//td').map(&:text).each_slice(4).to_a
+
+  labels.zip(digit_pairs).each do |label, digit_pair|
+    unless label.match(/Quarter Winner/)
+      fail "unexpected label: #{label}"
+    end
+
+    puts "Q#{label[0]},#{digit_pair}"
+  end
+end

data/lib/superbowl.rb

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+require "superbowl/version"
+
+require "superbowl/box_score_history"
+require "superbowl/contestant"
+require "superbowl/grid"
+
+module Superbowl
+  # Your code goes here...
+end

data/lib/superbowl/box_score_history.rb

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+require 'csv'
+
+module Superbowl
+
+  class BoxScoreHistory
+    def self.parse(filename)
+      new(CSV.open(filename, headers: %w(quarter x y)).to_a)
+    end
+
+    def initialize(box_scores)
+      @counts = Array.new(10) { Array.new(10) { 0 } }
+
+      box_scores.each do |box_score|
+        x, y = box_score.values_at('x', 'y').map(&:to_i)
+        @counts[x][y] += 1
+      end
+
+      @num_box_scores = box_scores.count
+    end
+
+    def ratio(row_index, col_index)
+      # TODO: force symmetry?
+      @counts[row_index][col_index].to_f / @num_box_scores
+    end
+
+    def probability(row_index, col_index)
+      "%.2f%" % (ratio(row_index, col_index) * 100)
+    end
+
+    def grid_color(row_index, col_index)
+      hex_val = 15 - (ratio(row_index, col_index) * 100).to_i
+      hex_val.to_s(16) * 6
+    end
+  end
+
+end

data/lib/superbowl/contestant.rb

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+module Superbowl
+
+  class Contestant < Struct.new(:name, :expected_payout, :num_squares)
+    def total_investment
+      10.0 * num_squares
+    end
+
+    def expected_roi
+      100 * (expected_payout - total_investment) / total_investment
+    end
+  end
+
+end

data/lib/superbowl/grid.rb

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+require 'csv'
+
+module Superbowl
+
+  class Grid
+    attr_reader :squares
+
+    def self.parse(filename)
+      new(CSV.open(filename, col_sep: "\t").to_a)
+    end
+
+    def initialize(squares)
+      @squares = squares
+    end
+
+    def contestants(box_score_history)
+      contestants_by_name = {}
+
+      @squares.each_with_index do |row, row_index|
+        row.each_with_index do |owner, col_index|
+          c = contestants_by_name[owner] ||= Contestant.new(owner, 0, 0)
+          c.expected_payout += box_score_history.ratio(row_index, col_index) * 1000
+          c.num_squares += 1
+        end
+      end
+
+      contestants_by_name.values.sort_by(&:expected_payout).reverse
+    end
+  end
+
+end

data/lib/superbowl/version.rb

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+module Superbowl
+  VERSION = "0.0.1"
+end

data/squares.html.erb

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+<html>
+  <body>
+
+    <table>
+      <CAPTION>Seahawks across, Patriots down</CAPTION>
+
+      <tr>
+        <th></th>
+        <th>0</th>
+        <th>1</th>
+        <th>2</th>
+        <th>3</th>
+        <th>4</th>
+        <th>5</th>
+        <th>6</th>
+        <th>7</th>
+        <th>8</th>
+        <th>9</th>
+      </tr>
+
+      <% grid.squares.each_with_index do |row, row_index| %>
+        <tr>
+          <th><%= row_index %></th>
+          <% row.each_with_index do |owner, col_index| %>
+            <td style="background-color:#<%= box_score_history.grid_color(row_index, col_index) %>;">
+              <h3><%= owner %></h3>
+              <%= box_score_history.probability(row_index, col_index) %>
+            </td>
+          <% end %>
+        </tr>
+      <% end %>
+    </table>
+
+    <p>Odds based on <a href="http://www.printyourbrackets.com/best-super-bowl-squares-odds-probabilities.html">past Super Bowl results</a>.</p>
+
+    <table border=1 cellpadding="5">
+      <tr>
+        <th>Contestant</th>
+        <th>Expected Payout</th>
+        <th># Squares</th>
+        <th>Expected ROI</th>
+        <th>Actual Payout</th>
+      </tr>
+      <% grid.contestants(box_score_history).each do |contestant| %>
+        <tr>
+          <th><%= contestant.name %></th>
+          <td><%= '$%.2f' % contestant.expected_payout %></td>
+          <td><%= contestant.num_squares %></td>
+          <td><%= '%.2f%' % contestant.expected_roi %></td>
+        </tr>
+      <% end %>
+    </table>
+
+  </body>
+</html>

data/superbowl.gemspec

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+# coding: utf-8
+lib = File.expand_path('../lib', __FILE__)
+$LOAD_PATH.unshift(lib) unless $LOAD_PATH.include?(lib)
+require 'superbowl/version'
+
+Gem::Specification.new do |spec|
+  spec.name          = "superbowl"
+  spec.version       = Superbowl::VERSION
+  spec.authors       = ["Matt Gillooly"]
+  spec.email         = ["matt@swipely.com"]
+  spec.summary       = %q{Use the magic of data to predict how much money you're going to win in your Super Bowl squares pool.}
+  spec.homepage      = "http://github.com/mattgillooly/superbowl"
+  spec.license       = "MIT"
+
+  spec.files         = `git ls-files -z`.split("\x0")
+  spec.executables   = spec.files.grep(%r{^bin/}) { |f| File.basename(f) }
+  spec.test_files    = spec.files.grep(%r{^(test|spec|features)/})
+  spec.require_paths = ["lib"]
+
+  spec.add_development_dependency "bundler", "~> 1.7"
+  spec.add_development_dependency "rake", "~> 10.0"
+
+  spec.add_dependency 'nokogiri'
+end

metadata

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+--- !ruby/object:Gem::Specification
+name: superbowl
+version: !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+  version: 0.0.1
+platform: ruby
+authors:
+- Matt Gillooly
+autorequire: 
+bindir: bin
+cert_chain: []
+date: 2015-01-31 00:00:00.000000000 Z
+dependencies:
+- !ruby/object:Gem::Dependency
+  name: bundler
+  requirement: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+    requirements:
+    - - "~>"
+      - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+        version: '1.7'
+  type: :development
+  prerelease: false
+  version_requirements: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+    requirements:
+    - - "~>"
+      - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+        version: '1.7'
+- !ruby/object:Gem::Dependency
+  name: rake
+  requirement: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+    requirements:
+    - - "~>"
+      - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+        version: '10.0'
+  type: :development
+  prerelease: false
+  version_requirements: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+    requirements:
+    - - "~>"
+      - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+        version: '10.0'
+- !ruby/object:Gem::Dependency
+  name: nokogiri
+  requirement: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+    requirements:
+    - - ">="
+      - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+        version: '0'
+  type: :runtime
+  prerelease: false
+  version_requirements: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+    requirements:
+    - - ">="
+      - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+        version: '0'
+description: 
+email:
+- matt@swipely.com
+executables:
+- build_squares_html.rb
+- parse_box_scores.rb
+extensions: []
+extra_rdoc_files: []
+files:
+- ".gitignore"
+- Drakefile
+- Gemfile
+- LICENSE.txt
+- README.md
+- Rakefile
+- bin/build_squares_html.rb
+- bin/parse_box_scores.rb
+- lib/superbowl.rb
+- lib/superbowl/box_score_history.rb
+- lib/superbowl/contestant.rb
+- lib/superbowl/grid.rb
+- lib/superbowl/version.rb
+- squares.html.erb
+- superbowl.gemspec
+homepage: http://github.com/mattgillooly/superbowl
+licenses:
+- MIT
+metadata: {}
+post_install_message: 
+rdoc_options: []
+require_paths:
+- lib
+required_ruby_version: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+  requirements:
+  - - ">="
+    - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+      version: '0'
+required_rubygems_version: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
+  requirements:
+  - - ">="
+    - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
+      version: '0'
+requirements: []
+rubyforge_project: 
+rubygems_version: 2.2.2
+signing_key: 
+specification_version: 4
+summary: Use the magic of data to predict how much money you're going to win in your
+  Super Bowl squares pool.
+test_files: []