earnings_estimates 0.0.5 → 0.0.6
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- data/README.rdoc +1 -1
- data/VERSION +1 -1
- data/doc/classes/Array.html +152 -0
- data/doc/classes/Array.src/M000001.html +18 -0
- data/doc/classes/Array.src/M000002.html +18 -0
- data/doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.html +245 -0
- data/doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000003.html +20 -0
- data/doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000004.html +33 -0
- data/doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000005.html +24 -0
- data/doc/created.rid +1 -0
- data/doc/files/lib/array_extensions_rb.html +101 -0
- data/doc/files/lib/earnings_estimates_rb.html +112 -0
- data/doc/fr_class_index.html +28 -0
- data/doc/fr_file_index.html +28 -0
- data/doc/fr_method_index.html +31 -0
- data/doc/index.html +24 -0
- data/doc/rdoc-style.css +208 -0
- data/earnings_estimates.gemspec +18 -2
- data/lib/array_extensions.rb +9 -0
- data/lib/earnings_estimates.rb +78 -6
- metadata +19 -3
data/README.rdoc
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= earnings_estimates
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The goal of this gem is to retrieve analyst earnings estimates for a given security and perform analysis on them. The theory is that companies that consistently beat earnings estimates and have upward earnings revisions will consistently outperform the market.
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== Note on Patches/Pull Requests
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data/VERSION
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// ]]>
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Object
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<!-- if method_list -->
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<span class="method-name">average</span><span class="method-args">()</span>
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onclick="popupCode('Array.src/M000001.html');return false;">
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<span class="method-name">sum</span><span class="method-args">()</span>
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<title>sum (Array)</title>
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</head>
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<body class="standalone-code">
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<pre><span class="ruby-comment cmt"># File lib/array_extensions.rb, line 2</span>
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">def</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">sum</span>
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">self</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">inject</span>(<span class="ruby-value">0</span>) {<span class="ruby-operator">|</span><span class="ruby-identifier">accum</span>, <span class="ruby-identifier">c</span><span class="ruby-operator">|</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">accum</span> <span class="ruby-operator">+</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">c</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">to_f</span> }
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">end</span></pre>
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<html>
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<title>average (Array)</title>
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<pre><span class="ruby-comment cmt"># File lib/array_extensions.rb, line 6</span>
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">def</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">average</span>
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">self</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">sum</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">to_f</span> <span class="ruby-operator">/</span> <span class="ruby-keyword kw">self</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">size</span>
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">end</span></pre>
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<title>Class: EarningsEstimates</title>
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// ]]>
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<td><strong>Class</strong></td>
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<td class="class-name-in-header">EarningsEstimates</td>
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<td><strong>In:</strong></td>
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<td>
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<a href="../files/lib/earnings_estimates_rb.html">
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<pre><span class="ruby-comment cmt"># File lib/earnings_estimates.rb, line 20</span>
|
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">def</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">initialize</span>(<span class="ruby-identifier">ticker</span>)
|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-ivar">@ticker</span> = <span class="ruby-identifier">ticker</span>
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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<pre><span class="ruby-comment cmt"># File lib/earnings_estimates.rb, line 27</span>
|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">def</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">analyze</span>
|
|
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|
+
<span class="ruby-comment cmt">#Score is based on:</span>
|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-comment cmt"># % of times beating estimates</span>
|
|
17
|
+
<span class="ruby-comment cmt"># % by which estimates were beat</span>
|
|
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|
+
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|
|
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|
+
<span class="ruby-comment cmt"># 4 points for 7 days</span>
|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-comment cmt"># 3 points for 30 days</span>
|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-comment cmt"># 2 points for 60 days</span>
|
|
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|
+
<span class="ruby-comment cmt"># 1 point for 90 days</span>
|
|
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|
+
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|
|
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|
+
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|
|
25
|
+
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-identifier">:beats</span> =<span class="ruby-operator">></span> <span class="ruby-identifier">times_beating_estimates</span>(<span class="ruby-identifier">percentages</span>),
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">end</span></pre>
|
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<pre><span class="ruby-comment cmt"># File lib/earnings_estimates.rb, line 47</span>
|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-keyword kw">def</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">fetch_earnings_data</span>
|
|
15
|
+
<span class="ruby-identifier">threads</span> = []
|
|
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|
+
<span class="ruby-identifier">analysts_covering</span>, <span class="ruby-identifier">earnings_surprise</span>, <span class="ruby-identifier">eps_trend</span> = <span class="ruby-keyword kw">nil</span>, <span class="ruby-keyword kw">nil</span>, <span class="ruby-keyword kw">nil</span>
|
|
17
|
+
<span class="ruby-identifier">threads</span> <span class="ruby-operator"><<</span> <span class="ruby-constant">Thread</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">new</span> { <span class="ruby-identifier">analysts_covering</span> = <span class="ruby-identifier">parse_earnings_table</span>(<span class="ruby-node">"http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/analyst/earnest.asp?Symbol=#{@ticker}"</span>) }
|
|
18
|
+
<span class="ruby-identifier">threads</span> <span class="ruby-operator"><<</span> <span class="ruby-constant">Thread</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">new</span> { <span class="ruby-identifier">earnings_surprise</span> = <span class="ruby-identifier">parse_earnings_table</span>(<span class="ruby-node">"http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/analyst/earnest.asp?Page=EarningsSurprise&Symbol=#{@ticker}"</span>) }
|
|
19
|
+
<span class="ruby-identifier">threads</span> <span class="ruby-operator"><<</span> <span class="ruby-constant">Thread</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">new</span> { <span class="ruby-identifier">eps_trend</span> = <span class="ruby-identifier">parse_earnings_table</span>(<span class="ruby-node">"http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/analyst/earnest.asp?Page=ConsensusEPSTrend&Symbol=#{@ticker}"</span>) }
|
|
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|
+
<span class="ruby-identifier">threads</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">each</span> { <span class="ruby-operator">|</span><span class="ruby-identifier">t</span><span class="ruby-operator">|</span> <span class="ruby-identifier">t</span>.<span class="ruby-identifier">join</span> }
|
|
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|
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<span class="ruby-ivar">@estimates</span>[<span class="ruby-identifier">:analysts_covering</span>], <span class="ruby-ivar">@estimates</span>[<span class="ruby-identifier">:earnings_surprise</span>], <span class="ruby-ivar">@estimates</span>[<span class="ruby-identifier">:eps_trend</span>] = <span class="ruby-identifier">analysts_covering</span>, <span class="ruby-identifier">earnings_surprise</span>, <span class="ruby-identifier">eps_trend</span>
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
+
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|
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<table class="header-table">
|
|
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|
+
<tr class="top-aligned-row">
|
|
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|
+
<td><strong>Path:</strong></td>
|
|
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|
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<td>lib/array_extensions.rb
|
|
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|
+
</td>
|
|
56
|
+
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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<td><strong>Last Update:</strong></td>
|
|
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|
+
<td>Thu Apr 22 12:18:29 -0600 2010</td>
|
|
60
|
+
</tr>
|
|
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|
+
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|
|
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/* === Classes =================================== */
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/* --- Source code sections -------------------- */
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div.method-source-code pre { color: #ffdead; overflow: hidden; }
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|
+
.standalone-code { background: #221111; color: #ffdead; overflow: hidden; }
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.ruby-comment { color: #b22222; font-weight: bold; background: transparent; }
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.ruby-value { color: #7fffd4; background: transparent; }
|
data/earnings_estimates.gemspec
CHANGED
|
@@ -5,11 +5,11 @@
|
|
|
5
5
|
|
|
6
6
|
Gem::Specification.new do |s|
|
|
7
7
|
s.name = %q{earnings_estimates}
|
|
8
|
-
s.version = "0.0.
|
|
8
|
+
s.version = "0.0.6"
|
|
9
9
|
|
|
10
10
|
s.required_rubygems_version = Gem::Requirement.new(">= 0") if s.respond_to? :required_rubygems_version=
|
|
11
11
|
s.authors = ["Matt White"]
|
|
12
|
-
s.date = %q{2010-04-
|
|
12
|
+
s.date = %q{2010-04-22}
|
|
13
13
|
s.description = %q{Retrieves and analyzes earnings estimates for a given security.}
|
|
14
14
|
s.email = %q{mattw922@gmail.com}
|
|
15
15
|
s.extra_rdoc_files = [
|
|
@@ -23,7 +23,23 @@ Gem::Specification.new do |s|
|
|
|
23
23
|
"README.rdoc",
|
|
24
24
|
"Rakefile",
|
|
25
25
|
"VERSION",
|
|
26
|
+
"doc/classes/Array.html",
|
|
27
|
+
"doc/classes/Array.src/M000001.html",
|
|
28
|
+
"doc/classes/Array.src/M000002.html",
|
|
29
|
+
"doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.html",
|
|
30
|
+
"doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000003.html",
|
|
31
|
+
"doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000004.html",
|
|
32
|
+
"doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000005.html",
|
|
33
|
+
"doc/created.rid",
|
|
34
|
+
"doc/files/lib/array_extensions_rb.html",
|
|
35
|
+
"doc/files/lib/earnings_estimates_rb.html",
|
|
36
|
+
"doc/fr_class_index.html",
|
|
37
|
+
"doc/fr_file_index.html",
|
|
38
|
+
"doc/fr_method_index.html",
|
|
39
|
+
"doc/index.html",
|
|
40
|
+
"doc/rdoc-style.css",
|
|
26
41
|
"earnings_estimates.gemspec",
|
|
42
|
+
"lib/array_extensions.rb",
|
|
27
43
|
"lib/earnings_estimates.rb",
|
|
28
44
|
"test/helper.rb",
|
|
29
45
|
"test/test_earnings_estimates.rb"
|
data/lib/earnings_estimates.rb
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,26 +1,98 @@
|
|
|
1
1
|
require 'rubygems'
|
|
2
|
+
require 'rdoc/rdoc'
|
|
2
3
|
require 'open-uri'
|
|
3
4
|
require 'nokogiri'
|
|
5
|
+
require 'array_extensions'
|
|
4
6
|
|
|
5
7
|
class EarningsEstimates
|
|
8
|
+
#Potentially useful URLs
|
|
9
|
+
#http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ae?s=YHOO
|
|
10
|
+
#http://biz.yahoo.com/a/ba/a11.html
|
|
11
|
+
#http://www.zacks.com/research/earnings/today_eps.php
|
|
12
|
+
#TODO: Get market cap
|
|
13
|
+
#TODO: Analyze with # of analysts covering
|
|
14
|
+
#TODO: Figure out which metrics most closely follow price increase
|
|
15
|
+
#TODO: Analyze spread between high and low estimate
|
|
16
|
+
|
|
17
|
+
attr_accessor :estimates, :ticker, :analysis
|
|
18
|
+
MAX_REVISION_SCORE = 4
|
|
19
|
+
|
|
6
20
|
def initialize(ticker)
|
|
7
21
|
@ticker = ticker
|
|
22
|
+
@estimates = {}
|
|
23
|
+
@analysis = {}
|
|
24
|
+
end
|
|
25
|
+
|
|
26
|
+
# Analyzes earnings data and gives the security a score.
|
|
27
|
+
#Score is based on:
|
|
28
|
+
# * % of times beating estimates
|
|
29
|
+
# * % by which estimates were beat
|
|
30
|
+
# * Bonus for upward revisions:
|
|
31
|
+
# * 4 points for 7 days
|
|
32
|
+
# * 3 points for 30 days
|
|
33
|
+
# * 2 points for 60 days
|
|
34
|
+
# * 1 point for 90 days
|
|
35
|
+
# Max score is 40
|
|
36
|
+
def analyze
|
|
37
|
+
percentages = percentages_to_f
|
|
38
|
+
@analysis = {
|
|
39
|
+
:average_beating_percentage => average_percent_beating(percentages),
|
|
40
|
+
:beats => times_beating_estimates(percentages),
|
|
41
|
+
:revision_points => revision_score,
|
|
42
|
+
:recently_revised => nearest_quarters_upward_revised_recently?
|
|
43
|
+
}
|
|
8
44
|
end
|
|
9
45
|
|
|
46
|
+
# Retrieves earnings data. Current source is MSN Money. Result is stored in @estimates.
|
|
10
47
|
def fetch_earnings_data
|
|
11
48
|
threads = []
|
|
12
|
-
|
|
13
|
-
threads << Thread.new {
|
|
14
|
-
threads << Thread.new {
|
|
15
|
-
threads << Thread.new {
|
|
49
|
+
analysts_covering, earnings_surprise, eps_trend = nil, nil, nil
|
|
50
|
+
threads << Thread.new { analysts_covering = parse_earnings_table("http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/analyst/earnest.asp?Symbol=#{@ticker}") }
|
|
51
|
+
threads << Thread.new { earnings_surprise = parse_earnings_table("http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/analyst/earnest.asp?Page=EarningsSurprise&Symbol=#{@ticker}") }
|
|
52
|
+
threads << Thread.new { eps_trend = parse_earnings_table("http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/analyst/earnest.asp?Page=ConsensusEPSTrend&Symbol=#{@ticker}") }
|
|
16
53
|
threads.each { |t| t.join }
|
|
17
|
-
|
|
54
|
+
@estimates[:analysts_covering], @estimates[:earnings_surprise], @estimates[:eps_trend] = analysts_covering, earnings_surprise, eps_trend
|
|
18
55
|
end
|
|
19
56
|
|
|
20
57
|
private
|
|
21
58
|
|
|
59
|
+
def nearest_quarters_upward_revised_recently?
|
|
60
|
+
0.upto(1) { |i| @estimates[:eps_trend]["Current Estimate"][i] > @estimates[:eps_trend]["7 Days Ago"][i] }
|
|
61
|
+
end
|
|
62
|
+
|
|
22
63
|
def parse_earnings_table(url)
|
|
64
|
+
table_hash = {}
|
|
23
65
|
page = Nokogiri::HTML(open(url))
|
|
24
|
-
table = page.search("table.t1 tr").inject([]) { |accum, tr| accum << tr.children.map { |child| child.inner_text } }
|
|
66
|
+
table = page.search("table.t1 tr").inject([]) { |accum, tr| accum << tr.children.map { |child| child.inner_text.strip } }
|
|
67
|
+
table.each { |row| table_hash[strip_weird_chars(row[0])] = row.slice(1...row.size) }
|
|
68
|
+
table_hash
|
|
69
|
+
end
|
|
70
|
+
|
|
71
|
+
def strip_weird_chars(header)
|
|
72
|
+
#Take off all chars at the beginning of the string before the first uppercase char
|
|
73
|
+
header.gsub(/^[^A-Z0-9]+/, '')
|
|
74
|
+
end
|
|
75
|
+
|
|
76
|
+
def percentages_to_f
|
|
77
|
+
@estimates[:earnings_surprise]["Change"].map { |ch| ch[/(-?\d\.\d+)/, 1].to_f }
|
|
78
|
+
end
|
|
79
|
+
|
|
80
|
+
def times_beating_estimates(percentages)
|
|
81
|
+
percentages.inject(0) { |accum, p| accum += p > 0 ? 1 : 0 }
|
|
82
|
+
end
|
|
83
|
+
|
|
84
|
+
def average_percent_beating(percentages)
|
|
85
|
+
percentages.average
|
|
86
|
+
end
|
|
87
|
+
|
|
88
|
+
def revision_score
|
|
89
|
+
score = 0
|
|
90
|
+
0.upto(3) do |i|
|
|
91
|
+
["7 Days Ago", "30 Days Ago", "60 Days Ago", "90 Days Ago"].each do |period|
|
|
92
|
+
score += (MAX_REVISION_SCORE - i) if @estimates[:eps_trend]["Current Estimate"][i] > @estimates[:eps_trend][period][i]
|
|
93
|
+
score -= (MAX_REVISION_SCORE - i) if @estimates[:eps_trend]["Current Estimate"][i] < @estimates[:eps_trend][period][i]
|
|
94
|
+
end
|
|
95
|
+
end
|
|
96
|
+
score
|
|
25
97
|
end
|
|
26
98
|
end
|
metadata
CHANGED
|
@@ -5,8 +5,8 @@ version: !ruby/object:Gem::Version
|
|
|
5
5
|
segments:
|
|
6
6
|
- 0
|
|
7
7
|
- 0
|
|
8
|
-
-
|
|
9
|
-
version: 0.0.
|
|
8
|
+
- 6
|
|
9
|
+
version: 0.0.6
|
|
10
10
|
platform: ruby
|
|
11
11
|
authors:
|
|
12
12
|
- Matt White
|
|
@@ -14,7 +14,7 @@ autorequire:
|
|
|
14
14
|
bindir: bin
|
|
15
15
|
cert_chain: []
|
|
16
16
|
|
|
17
|
-
date: 2010-04-
|
|
17
|
+
date: 2010-04-22 00:00:00 -06:00
|
|
18
18
|
default_executable:
|
|
19
19
|
dependencies: []
|
|
20
20
|
|
|
@@ -34,7 +34,23 @@ files:
|
|
|
34
34
|
- README.rdoc
|
|
35
35
|
- Rakefile
|
|
36
36
|
- VERSION
|
|
37
|
+
- doc/classes/Array.html
|
|
38
|
+
- doc/classes/Array.src/M000001.html
|
|
39
|
+
- doc/classes/Array.src/M000002.html
|
|
40
|
+
- doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.html
|
|
41
|
+
- doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000003.html
|
|
42
|
+
- doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000004.html
|
|
43
|
+
- doc/classes/EarningsEstimates.src/M000005.html
|
|
44
|
+
- doc/created.rid
|
|
45
|
+
- doc/files/lib/array_extensions_rb.html
|
|
46
|
+
- doc/files/lib/earnings_estimates_rb.html
|
|
47
|
+
- doc/fr_class_index.html
|
|
48
|
+
- doc/fr_file_index.html
|
|
49
|
+
- doc/fr_method_index.html
|
|
50
|
+
- doc/index.html
|
|
51
|
+
- doc/rdoc-style.css
|
|
37
52
|
- earnings_estimates.gemspec
|
|
53
|
+
- lib/array_extensions.rb
|
|
38
54
|
- lib/earnings_estimates.rb
|
|
39
55
|
- test/helper.rb
|
|
40
56
|
- test/test_earnings_estimates.rb
|