bayesab 0.0.1

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+ metadata.gz: ceb3116e3eb88d75eb355f26536661f955e7bd43eb6447bfa9ada89d6f0befa727c7f58d44a3bfd03b8de6739914f949bd176654112b460e7c6d8ba02460395b
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+ /.bundle/
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+ /.yardoc
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+ /Gemfile.lock
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+ /_yardoc/
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+ /coverage/
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+ /doc/
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+ /pkg/
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+ /spec/reports/
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+ /tmp/
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+ *.bundle
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+ *.so
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+ *.o
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+ *.a
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+ mkmf.log
data/Gemfile ADDED
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+ source 'https://rubygems.org'
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+
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+ # Specify your gem's dependencies in bayesab.gemspec
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+ gemspec
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+ Copyright (c) 2014 Alan Johnson
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+
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+ MIT License
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+
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+ Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining
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+ a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the
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+ "Software"), to deal in the Software without restriction, including
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+ without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge, publish,
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+ distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to
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+ permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so, subject to
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+ the following conditions:
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+
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+ The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be
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+ included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software.
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+
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+ THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND,
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+ EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF
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+ MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND
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+ NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE
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+ LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION
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+ OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION
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+ WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE.
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+ # Bayesab
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+
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+ TODO: Write a gem description
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+
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+ ## Installation
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+
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+ Add this line to your application's Gemfile:
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+
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+ ```ruby
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+ gem 'bayesab'
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+ ```
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+
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+ And then execute:
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+
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+ $ bundle
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+
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+ Or install it yourself as:
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+
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+ $ gem install bayesab
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+
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+ ## Usage
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+
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+ TODO: Write usage instructions here
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+
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+ ## Contributing
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+
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+ 1. Fork it ( https://github.com/[my-github-username]/bayesab/fork )
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+ 2. Create your feature branch (`git checkout -b my-new-feature`)
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+ 3. Commit your changes (`git commit -am 'Add some feature'`)
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+ 4. Push to the branch (`git push origin my-new-feature`)
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+ 5. Create a new Pull Request
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+ require "bundler/gem_tasks"
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+
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+ # coding: utf-8
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+ lib = File.expand_path('../lib', __FILE__)
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+ $LOAD_PATH.unshift(lib) unless $LOAD_PATH.include?(lib)
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+ require 'bayesab/version'
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+
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+ Gem::Specification.new do |spec|
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+ spec.name = "bayesab"
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+ spec.version = Bayesab::VERSION
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+ spec.authors = ["Alan Johnson"]
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+ spec.email = ["alan@teamtreehouse.com"]
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+ spec.summary = %q{Command line tool and library for analyzing Bayesian A/B tests.}
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+ spec.description = %q{Command line tool and library for analyzing Bayesian A/B tests.}
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+ spec.homepage = "https://github.com/commondream/bayesab"
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+ spec.license = "MIT"
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+
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+ spec.files = `git ls-files -z`.split("\x0")
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+ spec.executables = spec.files.grep(%r{^bin/}) { |f| File.basename(f) }
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+ spec.test_files = spec.files.grep(%r{^(test|spec|features)/})
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+ spec.require_paths = ["lib"]
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+
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+ spec.add_development_dependency "bundler", "~> 1.7"
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+ spec.add_development_dependency "rake", "~> 10.0"
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+
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+ spec.add_dependency 'distribution', '~> 0.7.1'
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+ end
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+ #!/usr/bin/env ruby
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+
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+ require_relative "../lib/bayesab"
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+
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+ args = {
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+ control_success: ARGV[0],
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+ control_fail: ARGV[1],
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+ experiment_success: ARGV[2],
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+ experiment_fail: ARGV[3]
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+ }
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+
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+ positive_integer_test = /\A[+]?[0-9]+\z/
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+ invalid_argument = false
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+
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+ args.each do |key, value|
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+ unless !!(value =~ positive_integer_test)
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+ puts
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+ puts "#{key.to_s} must be a positive integer."
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+ puts
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+ invalid_argument = true
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+ break
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+ end
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+ end
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+
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+ if invalid_argument
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+ puts "Usage: bayesab control_success control_fail experiment_success experiment_fail"
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+ puts
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+ exit
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+ end
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+
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+ puts
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+
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+ result = Bayesab::probability(args[:control_success].to_i,
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+ args[:control_fail].to_i, args[:experiment_success].to_i,
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+ args[:experiment_fail].to_i)
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+
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+ control_total = args[:control_success].to_i + args[:control_fail].to_i
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+ control_ratio = args[:control_success].to_f / control_total
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+ puts "Control: success=#{args[:control_success]}, fail=#{args[:control_fail]}, total=#{control_total}, rate=#{control_ratio}"
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+
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+ experiment_total = args[:experiment_success].to_i + args[:experiment_fail].to_i
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+ experiment_ratio = args[:experiment_success].to_f / experiment_total
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+ puts "Experiment: success=#{args[:experiment_success]}, fail=#{args[:experiment_fail]}, total=#{experiment_total}, rate=#{experiment_ratio}"
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+
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+ puts "Probability that experiment is an improvement: #{result}"
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+ puts "Inverse: #{1 - result}"
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+ puts
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+ puts
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+ require_relative 'bayesab/version'
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+ require 'distribution'
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+
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+ module Bayesab
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+ # Calculates the likelyhood that control is an improvement on experiment.
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+ #
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+ # Parameters:
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+ # control_success: Number of successes for the control group.
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+ # control_fail: Number of failures for the control group.
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+ # experiment_success: Number of successes for the experiment group.
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+ # experiment_fail: Number of failures for the experiment group.
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+ def self.probability(control_success, control_fail, experiment_success, experiment_fail)
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+ alpha_a = control_success + 1
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+ beta_a = control_fail + 1
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+ alpha_b = experiment_success + 1
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+ beta_b = experiment_fail + 1
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+
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+ total = 0.0
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+ 0.upto(alpha_b - 1) do |i|
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+ total += Math.exp(Math.lbeta(alpha_a + i, beta_b + beta_a)[0] - Math.log(beta_b + i) -
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+ Math.lbeta(1 + i, beta_b)[0] - Math.lbeta(alpha_a, beta_a)[0])
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+ end
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+
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+ total
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+ end
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+ end
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+ module Bayesab
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+ VERSION = "0.0.1"
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+ end
metadata ADDED
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+ --- !ruby/object:Gem::Specification
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+ name: bayesab
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+ version: !ruby/object:Gem::Version
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+ version: 0.0.1
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+ platform: ruby
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+ authors:
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+ - Alan Johnson
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+ autorequire:
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+ bindir: bin
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+ cert_chain: []
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+ date: 2014-12-08 00:00:00.000000000 Z
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+ dependencies:
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Dependency
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+ name: bundler
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+ requirement: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
16
+ requirements:
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+ - - "~>"
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
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+ version: '1.7'
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+ type: :development
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+ prerelease: false
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+ version_requirements: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
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+ requirements:
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+ - - "~>"
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
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+ version: '1.7'
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Dependency
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+ name: rake
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+ requirement: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
30
+ requirements:
31
+ - - "~>"
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
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+ version: '10.0'
34
+ type: :development
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+ prerelease: false
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+ version_requirements: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
37
+ requirements:
38
+ - - "~>"
39
+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
40
+ version: '10.0'
41
+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Dependency
42
+ name: distribution
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+ requirement: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
44
+ requirements:
45
+ - - "~>"
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
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+ version: 0.7.1
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+ type: :runtime
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+ prerelease: false
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+ version_requirements: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
51
+ requirements:
52
+ - - "~>"
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
54
+ version: 0.7.1
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+ description: Command line tool and library for analyzing Bayesian A/B tests.
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+ email:
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+ - alan@teamtreehouse.com
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+ executables:
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+ - bayesab
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+ extensions: []
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+ extra_rdoc_files: []
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+ files:
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+ - ".gitignore"
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+ - Gemfile
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+ - LICENSE.txt
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+ - README.md
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+ - Rakefile
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+ - bayesab.gemspec
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+ - bin/bayesab
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+ - lib/bayesab.rb
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+ - lib/bayesab/version.rb
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+ homepage: https://github.com/commondream/bayesab
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+ licenses:
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+ - MIT
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+ metadata: {}
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+ post_install_message:
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+ rdoc_options: []
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+ require_paths:
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+ - lib
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+ required_ruby_version: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
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+ requirements:
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+ - - ">="
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
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+ version: '0'
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+ required_rubygems_version: !ruby/object:Gem::Requirement
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+ requirements:
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+ - - ">="
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+ - !ruby/object:Gem::Version
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+ version: '0'
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+ requirements: []
91
+ rubyforge_project:
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+ rubygems_version: 2.2.2
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+ signing_key:
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+ specification_version: 4
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+ summary: Command line tool and library for analyzing Bayesian A/B tests.
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+ test_files: []
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+ has_rdoc: